See the charts →

Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Rank 21–46

Stage Impact To Round WP

WP = win probability: here, the chance of winning a round.

Rank bandLow, mid and high combined3,279,083 roundsLow ranks1,497,898 roundsMid ranks1,523,592 roundsHigh ranks257,593 rounds

StagesBy shape10 typesWalls or no walls2 groups

Rounds counted3,279,083

Stage types10

Most affectedTaka

Widest swing2.6 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Full	Break. full	Half	Break. half	Low	Wall	Mixed	Oct	Rect	Open
Taka	-0.9	-0.4	-0.1	-0.4	+0.8	+1.7	-0.3	-0.6	+0.1	+0.2
Eileen	+0.1	+1.5	-0.5	+0.5	-0.7	+0.3	-0.8	-1.5	-0.0	+0.8
Jeffry	+0.3	+0.5	-0.3	-0.1	+0.1	-0.7	+0.8	+0.3	+0.5	-0.9
Lion	-0.1	-0.6	+0.1	+0.1	-0.5	+0.7	-0.5	-0.3	-0.1	+1.1
Shun	+0.0	+0.4	-0.4	+0.7	-0.2	+0.3	+0.1	+0.1	-0.8	+0.0
Wolf	-0.5	-0.2	-0.1	-0.6	+0.5	+0.4	-0.2	-0.4	+0.2	+0.7
Aoi	-0.3	-0.5	-0.2	-0.4	-0.1	+0.2	+0.8	-0.2	+0.5	+0.3
Kage	-0.1	+0.1	+0.2	+0.1	+0.2	+0.0	+0.8	-0.3	-0.1	-0.5
Lau	+0.2	+0.1	+0.2	-0.6	-0.4	-0.2	+0.4	+0.6	+0.3	-0.5
Sarah	-0.2	+0.5	+0.2	+0.6	-0.0	-0.4	-0.2	+0.3	-0.6	-0.2
Brad	+0.2	-0.3	-0.1	+0.0	-0.1	+0.2	+0.6	+0.4	-0.5	+0.1
Vanessa	+0.2	-0.2	-0.0	+0.2	+0.5	+0.2	+0.3	-0.5	+0.2	-0.4
Goh	-0.2	-0.4	-0.4	-0.4	+0.2	+0.6	+0.1	+0.1	-0.3	+0.4
Pai	-0.2	-0.3	+0.1	+0.1	+0.2	-0.1	-0.6	+0.0	-0.0	+0.4
Jacky	+0.1	+0.2	+0.2	+0.4	+0.0	-0.5	-0.5	+0.3	-0.1	-0.5
El Blaze	+0.4	+0.4	-0.4	-0.3	-0.3	+0.1	+0.1	-0.1	+0.5	+0.1
Lei Fei	+0.2	+0.1	-0.1	+0.2	+0.4	-0.2	+0.0	-0.4	-0.0	-0.2
Jean	+0.3	+0.3	+0.3	+0.0	+0.0	-0.4	-0.5	-0.2	-0.4	+0.1
Akira	+0.3	-0.3	+0.2	-0.2	-0.3	-0.2	-0.2	+0.3	+0.3	-0.1
Dural	-0.6	+0.7	+0.8	+0.6	+0.7	-0.3	-2.2	-0.5	+0.1	-0.1

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The matchups the stage decides

One matchup on one stage, against the same matchup everywhere

Matchup	Stage	Overall	On this stage	Change	Rounds
Jean vs Kage	Breakable full fence	50.2%	53.8%	+3.6	1,616
Eileen vs Akira	Breakable full fence	51.4%	55.0%	+3.5	1,423
Lion vs Jeffry	Open	48.9%	52.3%	+3.5	1,898
Pai vs Brad	Full fence	50.0%	53.4%	+3.3	1,494
Brad vs Goh	Half fence	50.7%	54.0%	+3.3	1,407
Aoi vs Jacky	Fence and open	49.0%	52.3%	+3.3	1,730
Sarah vs Aoi	Breakable half fence	50.0%	53.2%	+3.2	2,040
Brad vs Goh	Full fence	50.7%	53.9%	+3.2	1,538
Aoi vs El Blaze	Half fence	47.5%	50.7%	+3.2	1,494
Wolf vs Sarah	Single wall	50.1%	53.2%	+3.2	2,630
Sarah vs Shun	Half fence	51.4%	54.5%	+3.1	1,965
Lion vs Pai	Full fence	51.0%	54.0%	+3.0	1,842
Brad vs Sarah	Octagon	50.0%	53.0%	+3.0	1,744
Akira vs Taka	Full fence	46.9%	49.7%	+2.8	1,682
Sarah vs Shun	Octagon	51.4%	54.3%	+2.8	2,029
Lion vs Shun	Single wall	52.8%	55.6%	+2.8	1,867
Jean vs Pai	Half fence	50.0%	52.8%	+2.8	1,775
Pai vs Brad	Half fence	50.0%	52.8%	+2.8	1,592
Shun vs Lion	Full fence	47.2%	50.0%	+2.7	1,719
Wolf vs Lau	Low fence	48.5%	51.2%	+2.7	2,391
Jeffry vs Shun	Half fence	50.8%	53.5%	+2.7	1,860
Jean vs Lau	Full fence	48.3%	51.0%	+2.7	1,852
Goh vs Kage	Breakable full fence	49.1%	51.9%	+2.7	1,726
Lau vs Brad	Octagon	50.4%	53.1%	+2.7	1,702

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Full fence	334,215	10.19%
Breakable full fence	316,469	9.65%
Half fence	331,032	10.10%
Breakable half fence	317,032	9.67%
Low fence	328,679	10.02%
Single wall	327,367	9.98%
Fence and open	164,861	5.03%
Octagon	331,179	10.10%
Rectangle	333,001	10.16%
Open	330,236	10.07%
Not recorded	165,012	5.03%

Rounds counted3,279,083

Stage groups2

Most affectedTaka

Widest walls gap1.3 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once

Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=23.3 on 19 df, p=0.225

Matches sharing one stage drawabout 8.3, so a match is not an independent draw

Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.37

Characters whose gap holds up5 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0

Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 123 — chance alone would give about 6.2

The roster taken togetherχ²=231.8 on 123 df, p=1e−8

Every character, tested

The gap, the range it could be, and the odds of it being nothing

Character	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds	Players
Jeffry	50.8%	50.1%	+0.7	+0.2 … +1.2	0.007	0.039	330,998	980
Lau	50.9%	50.4%	+0.5	+0.0 … +1.0	0.043	0.121	309,547	845
Jacky	50.2%	49.7%	+0.5	+0.1 … +0.9	0.010	0.039	538,902	1,240
Sarah	50.1%	49.8%	+0.3	-0.1 … +0.8	0.175	0.389	339,602	781
Akira	49.2%	48.9%	+0.3	-0.0 … +0.7	0.079	0.198	649,592	1,200
Jean	50.6%	50.5%	+0.2	-0.4 … +0.7	0.542	0.901	275,442	767
El Blaze	51.0%	50.9%	+0.1	-0.5 … +0.7	0.766	0.901	217,094	598
Kage	50.6%	50.6%	+0.1	-0.4 … +0.6	0.761	0.901	320,947	898
Dural	51.8%	51.7%	+0.1	-1.2 … +1.3	0.916	0.985	50,518	181
Lei Fei	50.4%	50.4%	+0.0	-0.6 … +0.6	0.994	0.994	207,415	532
Shun	49.0%	49.0%	-0.0	-0.5 … +0.5	0.936	0.985	309,473	654
Vanessa	49.8%	49.9%	-0.1	-0.7 … +0.5	0.759	0.901	207,434	569
Brad	50.2%	50.4%	-0.1	-0.7 … +0.5	0.658	0.901	252,633	683
Eileen	50.9%	51.0%	-0.1	-1.0 … +0.7	0.739	0.901	109,118	434
Pai	49.9%	50.1%	-0.2	-0.7 … +0.3	0.403	0.733	331,877	845
Aoi	48.7%	49.0%	-0.3	-0.8 … +0.2	0.251	0.502	330,177	679
Lion	50.1%	50.7%	-0.6	-1.1 … -0.0	0.034	0.113	294,888	841
Goh	49.3%	50.0%	-0.7	-1.2 … -0.2	0.010	0.039	313,088	871
Wolf	49.4%	50.2%	-0.8	-1.3 … -0.4	4e−4	0.008	400,741	960
Taka	51.4%	52.7%	-1.3	-2.1 … -0.4	0.004	0.039	108,934	519

How significance is decided

• Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
• The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
• q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
• Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
• Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Walls	No walls
Jeffry	+0.2	-0.5
Lau	+0.1	-0.4
Jacky	+0.2	-0.3
Sarah	+0.1	-0.2
Akira	+0.1	-0.2
Jean	+0.1	-0.1
El Blaze	+0.1	-0.0
Kage	-0.0	-0.1
Dural	+0.2	+0.1
Lei Fei	+0.0	+0.0
Shun	+0.0	+0.0
Vanessa	-0.0	+0.1
Brad	-0.0	+0.1
Eileen	+0.0	+0.1
Pai	-0.1	+0.2
Aoi	-0.2	+0.1
Lion	-0.2	+0.4
Goh	-0.3	+0.4
Wolf	-0.3	+0.6
Taka	-0.4	+0.9

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The widest matchup gaps

One matchup behind walls against the same matchup in the open, widest first — none of them survives correction

Matchup	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds
El Blaze vs Lion	51.0%	48.3%	+2.6	-0.1 … +5.3	0.056	0.846	11,043
Lau vs Wolf	52.3%	49.8%	+2.5	+0.5 … +4.5	0.014	0.566	20,335
Sarah vs Wolf	50.6%	48.3%	+2.3	+0.5 … +4.1	0.012	0.566	24,920
Shun vs Lion	47.9%	45.6%	+2.3	+0.1 … +4.5	0.043	0.846	16,391
Sarah vs Vanessa	51.2%	48.9%	+2.3	-0.3 … +4.8	0.079	0.846	12,856
Lau vs Goh	51.8%	49.6%	+2.2	-0.0 … +4.4	0.054	0.846	16,672
Sarah vs Lei Fei	51.6%	49.5%	+2.1	-0.5 … +4.6	0.109	0.846	12,752
Jeffry vs Vanessa	49.5%	47.4%	+2.0	-0.6 … +4.6	0.123	0.846	12,665
Lau vs Aoi	51.6%	49.6%	+2.0	-0.2 … +4.2	0.071	0.846	16,761
Eileen vs Akira	52.2%	50.3%	+2.0	-0.5 … +4.5	0.112	0.846	13,321
Pai vs Brad	50.9%	49.0%	+1.9	-0.4 … +4.3	0.107	0.846	14,247
Vanessa vs Lau	48.3%	46.5%	+1.8	-0.9 … +4.5	0.194	0.846	11,040
Brad vs Aoi	49.6%	47.9%	+1.7	-0.7 … +4.1	0.159	0.846	14,231
Akira vs Taka	47.6%	45.9%	+1.7	-0.8 … +4.2	0.178	0.846	13,669
Akira vs Wolf	49.2%	47.6%	+1.7	+0.4 … +2.9	0.011	0.566	50,328
Jacky vs Vanessa	50.2%	48.5%	+1.6	-0.3 … +3.6	0.102	0.846	21,131
El Blaze vs Goh	52.1%	50.5%	+1.6	-0.9 … +4.2	0.215	0.846	12,550
Jean vs Wolf	52.8%	51.2%	+1.6	-0.3 … +3.6	0.105	0.846	21,334
Brad vs Goh	51.1%	49.5%	+1.6	-0.7 … +4.0	0.178	0.846	14,473
Lau vs Brad	51.0%	49.4%	+1.6	-0.7 … +3.9	0.168	0.846	15,067
Goh vs Lion	49.6%	48.1%	+1.5	-0.7 … +3.8	0.186	0.846	16,266
Kage vs Lei Fei	51.2%	49.6%	+1.5	-1.1 … +4.1	0.261	0.846	11,666
Lei Fei vs Wolf	50.5%	49.0%	+1.5	-0.9 … +3.9	0.216	0.846	14,042
Kage vs Lion	50.1%	48.6%	+1.5	-0.6 … +3.6	0.164	0.846	18,184

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Walls	1,962,928	59.86%
No walls	986,282	30.08%
Not recorded	165,012	5.03%

StagesBy shape10 typesWalls or no walls2 groups

Rounds counted1,497,898

Stage types10

Most affectedEileen

Widest swing3.2 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Full	Break. full	Half	Break. half	Low	Wall	Mixed	Oct	Rect	Open
Eileen	+0.4	+1.6	-0.3	+1.2	-1.3	+0.1	-0.8	-1.7	-0.3	+1.1
Lau	-0.1	-0.9	+0.0	-0.6	-0.2	-0.5	+0.4	+1.5	+0.6	-1.0
Taka	-1.1	-0.1	+0.2	+0.0	+0.1	+1.2	-0.8	-0.2	+0.7	+0.5
Jeffry	+0.3	+0.3	-0.4	+0.0	+0.0	-0.8	+1.2	+0.6	+0.3	-1.1
Lion	+0.0	-0.2	+0.5	+0.8	-1.3	+0.1	-0.4	-0.4	-0.1	+0.8
Shun	+0.2	+1.3	-0.5	+0.5	-0.8	+0.3	-0.2	-0.0	-0.8	+0.2
Wolf	-0.9	-0.5	-0.2	-0.7	+0.5	+0.8	+0.0	-0.3	+0.3	+1.1
Jean	+0.6	+1.0	+0.3	-0.3	+0.5	-0.7	-0.5	-0.6	-0.8	-0.5
Lei Fei	+0.8	+0.1	+0.2	+0.1	+1.0	-0.4	-0.1	-0.0	-0.9	-0.0
Goh	+0.3	-0.1	-0.2	-1.0	+0.1	+0.8	-0.3	+0.5	-0.6	+0.1
Vanessa	-0.6	-0.7	+0.5	+1.1	+0.1	+0.1	-0.1	-0.1	+0.3	-0.3
Pai	-0.4	-0.8	+0.0	+0.2	+0.6	-0.2	+0.1	-0.1	-0.3	+0.7
Aoi	-0.0	-0.4	-0.5	-0.5	+0.1	+0.4	+0.9	-0.3	+0.6	+0.1
Brad	+0.7	-0.7	+0.4	-0.1	+0.7	+0.1	+0.7	-0.1	-0.7	-0.2
Kage	-0.1	+0.7	-0.5	-0.0	+0.4	-0.1	+0.4	-0.6	+0.1	-0.3
El Blaze	+0.6	+0.7	+0.2	-0.4	-0.5	-0.1	-0.4	-0.0	+0.6	-0.5
Jacky	+0.2	+0.4	-0.1	+0.1	-0.3	-0.2	-0.6	+0.5	+0.1	-0.4
Sarah	-0.6	+0.5	+0.3	+0.5	+0.2	-0.3	-0.5	-0.2	+0.1	-0.2
Akira	+0.3	-0.6	+0.2	+0.1	-0.3	-0.3	+0.3	+0.2	+0.1	-0.2
Dural	-1.7	+0.1	+2.1	+1.2	+1.1	+0.5	-3.3	-1.9	-0.6	+1.6

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The matchups the stage decides

One matchup on one stage, against the same matchup everywhere

Matchup	Stage	Overall	On this stage	Change	Rounds
Shun vs Goh	Breakable full fence	49.0%	55.2%	+6.2	869
Jeffry vs Vanessa	Breakable full fence	49.0%	54.9%	+5.9	618
Pai vs Brad	Full fence	50.0%	55.9%	+5.9	573
Sarah vs Brad	Rectangle	49.6%	55.2%	+5.7	773
El Blaze vs Jean	Half fence	49.2%	54.8%	+5.6	568
Shun vs Aoi	Full fence	51.2%	56.7%	+5.5	1,121
Lei Fei vs Shun	Single wall	53.8%	59.3%	+5.5	622
Goh vs Jean	Octagon	46.4%	51.7%	+5.3	559
Lion vs Pai	Full fence	50.8%	56.0%	+5.2	857
Jean vs Pai	Half fence	50.7%	55.9%	+5.1	902
Shun vs Lei Fei	Breakable full fence	46.2%	51.3%	+5.1	661
Vanessa vs Sarah	Open	50.0%	55.0%	+5.0	609
Lion vs Jeffry	Open	48.5%	53.4%	+4.9	689
Akira vs Taka	Full fence	47.1%	52.0%	+4.9	927
Aoi vs Jacky	Fence and open	47.2%	52.1%	+4.9	1,067
Kage vs Jacky	Fence and open	50.1%	54.7%	+4.6	559
Shun vs Lion	Octagon	47.0%	51.7%	+4.6	813
Shun vs El Blaze	Breakable half fence	49.3%	53.9%	+4.6	590
Akira vs Taka	Half fence	47.1%	51.6%	+4.5	852
El Blaze vs Lion	Full fence	50.1%	54.6%	+4.5	624
Lau vs Goh	Octagon	50.9%	55.4%	+4.5	645
El Blaze vs Goh	Breakable full fence	50.7%	55.2%	+4.5	587
Jeffry vs Jean	Low fence	47.7%	52.1%	+4.4	771
Jeffry vs Kage	Full fence	50.6%	55.0%	+4.3	808

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Full fence	151,894	10.14%
Breakable full fence	144,369	9.64%
Half fence	152,445	10.18%
Breakable half fence	145,980	9.75%
Low fence	150,054	10.02%
Single wall	149,082	9.95%
Fence and open	75,882	5.07%
Octagon	149,554	9.98%
Rectangle	152,573	10.19%
Open	150,134	10.02%
Not recorded	75,931	5.07%

Rounds counted1,497,898

Stage groups2

Most affectedWolf

Widest walls gap1.2 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once

Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=18.2 on 19 df, p=0.507

Matches sharing one stage drawabout 8.1, so a match is not an independent draw

Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.33

Characters whose gap holds up1 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0

Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 120 — chance alone would give about 6.0

The roster taken togetherχ²=213.0 on 120 df, p=4e−7

Every character, tested

The gap, the range it could be, and the odds of it being nothing

Character	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds	Players
Jeffry	51.1%	50.3%	+0.8	+0.1 … +1.5	0.025	0.253	153,388	759
Lau	50.6%	49.9%	+0.7	-0.2 … +1.5	0.109	0.436	108,243	612
El Blaze	51.0%	50.4%	+0.7	-0.2 … +1.5	0.154	0.440	96,253	424
Jacky	50.6%	50.2%	+0.5	-0.1 … +1.1	0.093	0.436	234,818	916
Akira	48.7%	48.4%	+0.3	-0.2 … +0.8	0.195	0.470	326,094	932
Jean	51.9%	51.7%	+0.3	-0.6 … +1.1	0.546	0.722	106,094	582
Lion	50.1%	49.9%	+0.2	-0.6 … +1.0	0.578	0.722	119,473	623
Shun	49.4%	49.2%	+0.2	-0.5 … +0.9	0.577	0.722	151,296	499
Sarah	50.2%	50.0%	+0.2	-0.5 … +0.8	0.573	0.722	176,981	617
Eileen	50.4%	50.3%	+0.1	-1.1 … +1.3	0.850	0.860	55,210	321
Vanessa	50.4%	50.4%	+0.1	-0.9 … +1.0	0.860	0.860	85,037	434
Kage	50.3%	50.4%	-0.1	-0.9 … +0.7	0.803	0.860	114,572	624
Lei Fei	50.5%	50.6%	-0.2	-1.2 … +0.8	0.749	0.860	74,217	392
Brad	50.5%	50.8%	-0.3	-1.2 … +0.7	0.573	0.722	86,726	500
Aoi	48.0%	48.4%	-0.4	-1.0 … +0.2	0.213	0.470	194,698	545
Goh	49.5%	50.1%	-0.6	-1.3 … +0.2	0.137	0.440	141,583	689
Pai	49.8%	50.4%	-0.6	-1.2 … +0.1	0.077	0.436	181,528	656
Taka	51.5%	52.2%	-0.7	-1.9 … +0.6	0.292	0.531	50,017	375
Wolf	49.9%	51.1%	-1.2	-1.8 … -0.6	9e−5	0.002	217,136	754
Dural	53.5%	54.7%	-1.2	-3.2 … +0.8	0.235	0.470	18,806	123

How significance is decided

• Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
• The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
• q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
• Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
• Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Walls	No walls
Jeffry	+0.2	-0.6
Lau	+0.1	-0.6
El Blaze	+0.3	-0.4
Jacky	+0.2	-0.3
Akira	+0.1	-0.2
Jean	+0.1	-0.2
Lion	+0.1	-0.1
Shun	+0.1	-0.1
Sarah	+0.1	-0.1
Eileen	+0.1	+0.0
Vanessa	+0.1	-0.0
Kage	-0.1	+0.0
Lei Fei	+0.0	+0.2
Brad	-0.1	+0.2
Aoi	-0.2	+0.2
Goh	-0.2	+0.4
Pai	-0.2	+0.3
Taka	-0.1	+0.6
Wolf	-0.4	+0.8
Dural	-0.2	+1.1

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The widest matchup gaps

One matchup behind walls against the same matchup in the open, widest first — none of them survives correction

Matchup	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds
Eileen vs Akira	54.3%	49.9%	+4.4	+1.2 … +7.5	0.006	0.373	7,571
Jeffry vs Vanessa	50.3%	46.1%	+4.2	+0.4 … +8.0	0.031	0.833	5,545
El Blaze vs Goh	52.0%	47.9%	+4.1	+0.3 … +8.0	0.035	0.833	5,312
Lau vs Wolf	52.4%	48.9%	+3.5	+0.6 … +6.4	0.019	0.764	8,896
Lion vs Pai	51.9%	48.8%	+3.1	+0.1 … +6.1	0.042	0.836	8,344
Jacky vs Eileen	51.1%	48.2%	+3.0	-1.0 … +6.9	0.146	0.911	4,892
Jacky vs Lei Fei	51.0%	48.1%	+2.9	-0.7 … +6.4	0.116	0.911	6,032
Akira vs Wolf	48.8%	46.1%	+2.6	+1.0 … +4.2	0.002	0.187	29,129
Pai vs Brad	51.0%	48.4%	+2.6	-0.9 … +6.1	0.146	0.911	6,091
Sarah vs Lei Fei	51.8%	49.2%	+2.6	-1.1 … +6.3	0.173	0.911	5,374
Shun vs Pai	51.1%	48.7%	+2.5	-0.2 … +5.1	0.065	0.911	11,037
Lei Fei vs Wolf	50.0%	47.5%	+2.4	-1.1 … +5.9	0.172	0.911	6,260
Brad vs Wolf	52.6%	50.3%	+2.4	-1.1 … +5.8	0.180	0.911	6,678
Lau vs Jean	50.4%	48.1%	+2.3	-1.9 … +6.5	0.286	0.911	4,184
Brad vs Goh	51.4%	49.1%	+2.3	-1.6 … +6.1	0.244	0.911	5,028
Lau vs Sarah	49.5%	47.2%	+2.3	-0.8 … +5.3	0.147	0.911	8,364
Jean vs Jeffry	52.9%	50.7%	+2.2	-1.1 … +5.6	0.194	0.911	6,629
Sarah vs Wolf	50.0%	47.8%	+2.2	-0.1 … +4.5	0.055	0.911	14,997
Akira vs Taka	48.1%	45.9%	+2.1	-1.1 … +5.4	0.198	0.911	7,317
El Blaze vs Sarah	51.3%	49.2%	+2.1	-1.1 … +5.4	0.200	0.911	6,971
Sarah vs Brad	50.2%	48.1%	+2.1	-1.5 … +5.8	0.249	0.911	6,041
Taka vs Wolf	50.4%	48.3%	+2.1	-2.1 … +6.3	0.323	0.911	4,422
Jacky vs Kage	50.9%	48.8%	+2.1	-0.7 … +4.8	0.135	0.911	10,492
Jeffry vs Jacky	50.6%	48.7%	+1.9	-0.3 … +4.2	0.094	0.911	14,876

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Walls	896,815	59.87%
No walls	449,270	29.99%
Not recorded	75,931	5.07%

StagesBy shape10 typesWalls or no walls2 groups

Rounds counted1,523,592

Stage types10

Most affectedTaka

Widest swing4.0 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Full	Break. full	Half	Break. half	Low	Wall	Mixed	Oct	Rect	Open
Taka	-0.7	-0.5	-0.7	-0.5	+1.8	+2.2	-0.1	-1.8	-0.2	+0.3
Lion	-0.1	-0.9	-0.0	-0.5	-0.1	+1.5	-0.4	-0.3	-0.3	+0.8
Sarah	+0.1	+0.4	-0.1	+0.6	-0.1	-0.4	+0.2	+0.7	-1.2	-0.1
Pai	+0.1	+0.5	+0.3	+0.0	-0.3	-0.3	-1.2	+0.3	+0.5	-0.1
Vanessa	+1.1	+0.3	-0.1	-0.6	+1.1	-0.2	+0.3	-0.5	-0.1	-0.7
Goh	-0.6	-0.6	-0.6	+0.1	+0.2	+0.4	+1.0	-0.0	-0.2	+0.6
Brad	-0.1	-0.3	-0.2	+0.2	-0.8	+0.4	+0.3	+0.8	-0.3	+0.3
El Blaze	+0.3	+0.6	-1.0	+0.0	-0.7	+0.4	+0.6	+0.1	+0.5	+0.4
Shun	-0.1	-0.3	-0.4	+0.7	+0.2	+0.5	+0.4	+0.2	-0.9	-0.1
Jacky	+0.1	+0.2	+0.6	+0.6	+0.3	-1.0	-0.7	+0.3	-0.1	-0.7
Akira	+0.2	+0.1	+0.2	-0.6	-0.2	-0.1	-0.9	+0.2	+0.7	+0.0
Aoi	-0.5	-0.7	+0.0	-0.2	-0.4	-0.1	+0.8	-0.1	+0.3	+0.7
Lau	+0.2	+0.6	+0.2	-0.7	-0.4	-0.1	+0.5	-0.3	+0.3	+0.1
Jeffry	+0.2	+0.5	-0.3	+0.0	+0.0	-0.5	+0.4	+0.2	+0.5	-0.7
Wolf	-0.2	+0.2	-0.0	-0.7	+0.6	-0.2	-0.4	-0.4	+0.2	+0.3
Kage	+0.1	-0.4	+0.6	+0.5	-0.1	+0.3	+0.7	-0.3	-0.5	-0.4
Lei Fei	-0.4	-0.1	-0.5	+0.4	+0.4	-0.4	+0.3	-0.4	+0.5	-0.2
Jean	+0.1	-0.2	+0.2	+0.3	-0.1	-0.4	-0.3	+0.1	-0.2	+0.4
Eileen	-0.6	+0.9	-0.3	-0.3	+0.0	+0.9	-0.8	-1.2	+0.1	+0.7
Dural	-0.2	+1.0	+0.3	+0.0	+0.6	-0.5	-0.8	+0.3	+0.1	-1.4

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The matchups the stage decides

One matchup on one stage, against the same matchup everywhere

Matchup	Stage	Overall	On this stage	Change	Rounds
Lion vs Aoi	Single wall	52.2%	57.6%	+5.4	682
Shun vs Lion	Full fence	46.7%	52.0%	+5.2	668
Lei Fei vs Lion	Breakable half fence	49.3%	54.3%	+5.0	685
Lau vs Aoi	Breakable full fence	49.8%	54.7%	+4.9	827
Sarah vs Lau	Breakable half fence	50.0%	54.9%	+4.9	719
Jeffry vs Lei Fei	Breakable full fence	52.8%	57.4%	+4.6	704
Sarah vs Lion	Octagon	50.2%	54.7%	+4.5	877
Jean vs Goh	Octagon	51.7%	56.2%	+4.5	1,100
Lion vs Shun	Low fence	53.3%	57.7%	+4.4	709
Lau vs Akira	Fence and open	50.8%	55.2%	+4.4	1,013
Lau vs Jacky	Single wall	50.5%	54.8%	+4.3	1,710
Lei Fei vs Goh	Breakable full fence	50.9%	55.2%	+4.2	734
Aoi vs Shun	Full fence	50.0%	54.3%	+4.2	746
Wolf vs Sarah	Single wall	49.2%	53.4%	+4.2	917
Aoi vs Akira	Fence and open	49.8%	54.1%	+4.2	690
Brad vs Sarah	Octagon	49.5%	53.7%	+4.2	961
Pai vs Kage	Breakable full fence	50.0%	54.1%	+4.1	1,004
Jean vs Kage	Breakable full fence	49.3%	53.4%	+4.1	1,125
Kage vs Pai	Single wall	50.0%	54.1%	+4.1	776
El Blaze vs Goh	Open	52.0%	56.0%	+4.0	664
Vanessa vs Lion	Low fence	49.1%	53.1%	+4.0	653
Akira vs Pai	Fence and open	50.5%	54.5%	+3.9	703
Aoi vs Sarah	Rectangle	51.2%	55.2%	+3.9	743
Brad vs Jacky	Single wall	52.3%	56.2%	+3.9	1,498

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Full fence	156,121	10.25%
Breakable full fence	146,924	9.64%
Half fence	152,223	9.99%
Breakable half fence	146,221	9.60%
Low fence	153,125	10.05%
Single wall	152,255	9.99%
Fence and open	76,296	5.01%
Octagon	155,136	10.18%
Rectangle	154,420	10.14%
Open	154,591	10.15%
Not recorded	76,280	5.01%

Rounds counted1,523,592

Stage groups2

Most affectedTaka

Widest walls gap2.1 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once

Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=18.9 on 19 df, p=0.465

Matches sharing one stage drawabout 7.8, so a match is not an independent draw

Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.15

Characters whose gap holds up3 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0

Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 130 — chance alone would give about 6.5

The roster taken togetherχ²=170.7 on 130 df, p=0.010

Every character, tested

The gap, the range it could be, and the odds of it being nothing

Character	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds	Players
Jacky	49.7%	49.0%	+0.8	+0.3 … +1.2	0.002	0.011	262,432	496
Dural	50.7%	50.0%	+0.7	-0.7 … +2.0	0.339	0.616	29,760	80
Jeffry	50.8%	50.2%	+0.6	-0.0 … +1.2	0.054	0.214	164,128	379
Pai	50.3%	49.8%	+0.5	-0.1 … +1.2	0.124	0.413	129,779	284
Akira	49.4%	49.2%	+0.2	-0.2 … +0.7	0.277	0.610	280,885	453
Sarah	50.2%	50.0%	+0.2	-0.4 … +0.9	0.445	0.726	141,786	246
Lau	50.6%	50.4%	+0.2	-0.4 … +0.8	0.508	0.726	156,718	334
Jean	49.9%	49.9%	+0.1	-0.5 … +0.7	0.858	0.961	158,623	295
Brad	50.2%	50.2%	+0.1	-0.6 … +0.7	0.862	0.961	140,600	273
Kage	51.1%	51.0%	+0.1	-0.5 … +0.6	0.855	0.961	170,646	390
El Blaze	51.0%	51.0%	-0.0	-0.8 … +0.8	0.970	0.970	98,723	250
Vanessa	50.1%	50.2%	-0.0	-0.8 … +0.7	0.913	0.961	95,035	202
Lei Fei	49.7%	49.8%	-0.1	-0.8 … +0.7	0.903	0.961	110,423	199
Aoi	49.8%	50.1%	-0.2	-0.9 … +0.4	0.485	0.726	120,748	201
Shun	48.7%	49.0%	-0.3	-1.0 … +0.3	0.305	0.610	133,010	249
Wolf	48.9%	49.3%	-0.4	-1.0 … +0.2	0.188	0.537	167,087	325
Goh	49.1%	49.8%	-0.7	-1.3 … -0.1	0.021	0.104	155,918	288
Eileen	51.4%	52.2%	-0.8	-2.0 … +0.4	0.215	0.537	38,837	161
Lion	50.4%	51.5%	-1.1	-1.8 … -0.5	5e−4	0.005	138,606	315
Taka	51.3%	53.4%	-2.1	-3.2 … -1.0	1e−4	0.003	48,288	184

How significance is decided

• Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
• The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
• q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
• Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
• Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Walls	No walls
Jacky	+0.3	-0.5
Dural	+0.3	-0.4
Jeffry	+0.2	-0.4
Pai	+0.3	-0.2
Akira	+0.1	-0.1
Sarah	+0.1	-0.2
Lau	+0.1	-0.1
Jean	+0.0	-0.0
Brad	+0.0	-0.0
Kage	-0.0	-0.1
El Blaze	+0.1	+0.1
Vanessa	+0.0	+0.1
Lei Fei	-0.1	-0.1
Aoi	-0.2	+0.1
Shun	-0.1	+0.2
Wolf	-0.1	+0.2
Goh	-0.3	+0.4
Eileen	-0.2	+0.5
Lion	-0.4	+0.8
Taka	-0.7	+1.4

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The widest matchup gaps

One matchup behind walls against the same matchup in the open, widest first — none of them survives correction

Matchup	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds
Jacky vs Vanessa	50.0%	46.5%	+3.5	+1.1 … +5.9	0.005	0.339	9,692
Lei Fei vs Lion	50.4%	46.9%	+3.5	+0.2 … +6.7	0.035	0.682	5,793
Lau vs Aoi	50.8%	47.6%	+3.2	+0.4 … +6.0	0.025	0.682	7,334
Shun vs Lion	47.7%	44.6%	+3.0	+0.3 … +5.8	0.030	0.682	7,231
Sarah vs Lion	51.3%	48.3%	+3.0	+0.2 … +5.7	0.037	0.682	7,423
Jacky vs Shun	52.4%	49.5%	+2.9	+0.9 … +4.8	0.005	0.339	14,313
Pai vs Lei Fei	53.7%	50.9%	+2.9	-0.5 … +6.2	0.092	0.827	5,095
Sarah vs Wolf	51.6%	48.8%	+2.8	+0.3 … +5.3	0.028	0.682	9,063
Shun vs El Blaze	49.4%	47.0%	+2.4	-0.9 … +5.8	0.159	0.827	4,929
Sarah vs Vanessa	51.3%	48.9%	+2.4	-0.9 … +5.6	0.152	0.827	5,318
Aoi vs Jean	51.1%	48.7%	+2.3	-0.5 … +5.2	0.109	0.827	6,884
Akira vs Taka	47.2%	44.9%	+2.3	-0.9 … +5.5	0.156	0.827	5,507
Pai vs Sarah	50.7%	48.4%	+2.3	-0.6 … +5.3	0.122	0.827	6,572
Kage vs Lion	50.7%	48.6%	+2.1	-0.2 … +4.5	0.073	0.827	10,115
Brad vs Aoi	47.9%	45.8%	+2.1	-0.8 … +5.0	0.147	0.827	6,615
Sarah vs Lau	51.0%	48.9%	+2.1	-0.6 … +4.8	0.126	0.827	7,811
Wolf vs Goh	49.9%	47.9%	+2.0	-0.5 … +4.5	0.110	0.827	9,187
Jeffry vs Sarah	52.3%	50.3%	+2.0	-0.6 … +4.6	0.140	0.827	8,320
Vanessa vs Akira	51.5%	49.6%	+1.9	-0.3 … +4.2	0.096	0.827	10,876
El Blaze vs Sarah	50.6%	48.7%	+1.9	-1.4 … +5.2	0.255	0.896	5,444
El Blaze vs Wolf	52.1%	50.3%	+1.9	-1.1 … +4.8	0.221	0.896	6,445
Aoi vs Shun	50.7%	48.9%	+1.8	-1.3 … +4.9	0.253	0.896	5,949
Lau vs Wolf	52.3%	50.5%	+1.8	-0.6 … +4.2	0.134	0.827	9,971
Jeffry vs Lion	50.9%	49.1%	+1.8	-0.8 … +4.3	0.178	0.831	8,464

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Walls	911,045	59.80%
No walls	459,971	30.19%
Not recorded	76,280	5.01%

StagesBy shape10 typesWalls or no walls2 groups

Rounds counted257,593

Stage types10

Most affectedJeffry

Widest swing5.7 pts

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Full	Break. full	Half	Break. half	Low	Wall	Mixed	Oct	Rect	Open
Jeffry	+0.8	+1.3	+1.2	-3.2	+2.4	-3.3	+0.8	-1.5	+1.4	-0.6
Taka	-0.8	-1.5	+1.5	-1.9	+0.5	+1.3	+1.0	+3.4	-1.5	-1.3
Eileen	+0.8	+2.9	-1.6	-0.1	-0.6	-0.7	-0.9	-1.3	+0.5	+0.4
Jean	+1.3	+0.1	+0.3	-0.5	-2.0	+2.1	-5.0	-0.3	+2.4	-0.4
El Blaze	+0.1	-1.5	-0.2	-1.2	+2.5	-0.7	+0.5	-1.2	-0.1	+1.6
Pai	-0.5	-1.3	-0.1	-0.4	+0.1	+1.7	-2.0	-0.0	-0.5	+1.2
Lion	-0.6	-0.6	-1.0	+0.7	+0.3	-0.4	-0.9	-0.4	+0.1	+2.6
Kage	-1.1	+0.8	+0.8	-1.3	+0.8	-1.0	+2.1	+1.0	+1.0	-1.4
Shun	-0.6	-1.4	-0.6	+2.1	+1.2	-1.1	-0.1	+0.9	-0.0	-0.8
Aoi	-1.9	+0.8	+1.5	+0.5	-1.2	+0.2	+0.3	-0.4	-0.1	-0.7
Sarah	+0.6	+0.7	+1.7	+1.8	-1.1	-1.4	-0.7	+1.5	-1.6	-1.6
Goh	-0.5	-0.7	-0.3	+0.9	+2.1	-0.3	-4.4	-1.1	+0.8	+1.4
Vanessa	-0.5	-0.4	-1.4	+0.6	-0.4	+1.7	+1.7	-1.5	+1.2	-0.2
Wolf	+1.1	+0.2	+0.2	+0.3	-0.0	+1.1	-1.4	-2.0	-0.7	-0.6
Brad	+0.3	+0.4	-1.2	-0.5	+0.9	-0.0	+1.8	+0.1	-0.6	+0.4
Lei Fei	+1.1	+1.3	+0.7	+0.3	-1.3	+1.0	-1.2	-1.6	+0.5	-1.0
Lau	+0.8	+0.6	+0.3	-0.1	-1.1	+0.1	+0.2	+1.6	-0.4	-1.3
Akira	+1.3	-0.3	+0.3	-0.4	-1.1	-0.0	+0.6	+0.7	-0.5	-0.3
Jacky	-1.0	-0.4	-0.3	+0.7	-0.1	+0.7	+1.1	-0.2	-0.7	+1.3
Dural	+1.7	-0.7	-2.6	+3.1	-1.1	-3.6	-19.8	+0.4	+6.1	+4.0

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The matchups the stage decides

One matchup on one stage, against the same matchup everywhere

Matchup	Stage	Overall	On this stage	Change	Rounds
Brad vs Eileen	Half fence	49.8%	65.0%	+15.2	100
Sarah vs Shun	Single wall	49.8%	64.2%	+14.5	137
Lei Fei vs Shun	Rectangle	52.4%	66.7%	+14.2	123
Vanessa vs Wolf	Single wall	49.9%	63.1%	+13.2	103
Sarah vs El Blaze	Full fence	45.3%	57.8%	+12.6	128
Jean vs Jacky	Single wall	49.6%	61.9%	+12.3	147
El Blaze vs Sarah	Single wall	54.7%	66.7%	+11.9	105
Jacky vs Wolf	Breakable half fence	50.0%	61.8%	+11.8	131
Lion vs Goh	Open	51.7%	63.4%	+11.7	112
Shun vs Taka	Full fence	46.2%	57.8%	+11.6	109
Eileen vs Brad	Full fence	50.2%	61.6%	+11.3	125
Shun vs Sarah	Low fence	50.2%	61.0%	+10.8	141
Jeffry vs Brad	Half fence	52.4%	62.6%	+10.3	99
Jean vs Akira	Rectangle	49.7%	60.0%	+10.3	125
Lion vs Akira	Open	49.9%	60.1%	+10.2	356
Taka vs Jean	Breakable full fence	37.5%	47.7%	+10.2	107
Eileen vs Lion	Open	50.3%	60.5%	+10.2	134
Sarah vs Shun	Half fence	49.8%	59.8%	+10.1	117
Sarah vs Akira	Fence and open	47.8%	57.8%	+10.0	102
Vanessa vs Shun	Rectangle	50.0%	60.0%	+10.0	130
Jeffry vs Kage	Open	49.5%	59.0%	+9.6	100
Vanessa vs Akira	Low fence	46.7%	56.2%	+9.5	283
Kage vs Jeffry	Breakable full fence	50.5%	60.0%	+9.4	105
Jean vs Jacky	Octagon	49.6%	59.0%	+9.4	117

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Full fence	26,200	10.17%
Breakable full fence	25,176	9.77%
Half fence	26,364	10.23%
Breakable half fence	24,831	9.64%
Low fence	25,500	9.90%
Single wall	26,030	10.11%
Fence and open	12,683	4.92%
Octagon	26,489	10.28%
Rectangle	26,008	10.10%
Open	25,511	9.90%
Not recorded	12,801	4.97%

Rounds counted257,593

Stage groups2

Most affected—

Widest walls gap—

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once

Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=14.3 on 19 df, p=0.765

Matches sharing one stage drawabout 8.2, so a match is not an independent draw

Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.22

Characters whose gap holds up0 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0

Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 118 — chance alone would give about 5.9

The roster taken togetherχ²=176.8 on 118 df, p=4e−4

Every character, tested

The gap, the range it could be, and the odds of it being nothing

Character	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds	Players
Sarah	48.5%	46.3%	+2.2	+0.4 … +3.9	0.016	0.281	20,835	24
Dural	52.0%	50.1%	+1.9	-3.8 … +7.6	0.510	0.771	1,952	13
Lau	52.8%	51.6%	+1.2	+0.0 … +2.5	0.042	0.281	44,586	63
Lei Fei	53.0%	52.2%	+0.8	-0.9 … +2.5	0.363	0.660	22,775	31
Kage	49.7%	49.0%	+0.8	-0.6 … +2.1	0.266	0.660	35,729	71
Akira	51.4%	50.8%	+0.7	-0.6 … +1.9	0.305	0.660	42,613	70
Aoi	49.6%	49.0%	+0.6	-1.5 … +2.7	0.554	0.771	14,731	24
Jean	48.5%	47.9%	+0.6	-1.8 … +3.1	0.618	0.771	10,725	45
Eileen	51.3%	50.9%	+0.4	-1.7 … +2.5	0.691	0.771	15,071	37
Jeffry	48.8%	48.4%	+0.4	-1.8 … +2.6	0.715	0.771	13,482	48
Shun	47.9%	47.5%	+0.3	-1.2 … +1.9	0.668	0.771	25,167	34
Taka	51.6%	51.9%	-0.3	-2.8 … +2.1	0.799	0.799	10,629	29
Wolf	48.6%	49.0%	-0.3	-2.3 … +1.6	0.732	0.771	16,518	35
Brad	49.1%	49.8%	-0.7	-2.3 … +0.9	0.407	0.678	25,307	47
Vanessa	47.0%	47.8%	-0.7	-2.3 … +0.8	0.362	0.660	27,362	31
Jacky	50.5%	51.4%	-0.9	-2.2 … +0.3	0.139	0.463	41,652	84
Lion	49.1%	50.2%	-1.1	-2.4 … +0.3	0.120	0.463	36,809	62
Goh	48.7%	50.0%	-1.3	-3.3 … +0.7	0.210	0.600	15,587	21
Pai	48.8%	50.3%	-1.5	-3.3 … +0.3	0.101	0.463	20,570	38
El Blaze	51.0%	52.8%	-1.9	-3.6 … -0.1	0.034	0.281	22,118	42

How significance is decided

• Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
• The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
• q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
• Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
• Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points

Character	Walls	No walls
Sarah	+0.8	-1.4
Dural	+1.3	-0.6
Lau	+0.5	-0.8
Lei Fei	+0.4	-0.4
Kage	+0.2	-0.6
Akira	+0.2	-0.5
Aoi	+0.1	-0.6
Jean	+0.5	-0.1
Eileen	+0.2	-0.3
Jeffry	+0.0	-0.4
Shun	+0.1	-0.2
Taka	-0.1	+0.2
Wolf	-0.2	+0.2
Brad	-0.2	+0.4
Vanessa	-0.3	+0.4
Jacky	-0.3	+0.6
Lion	-0.3	+0.8
Goh	-0.2	+1.1
Pai	-0.5	+1.0
El Blaze	-0.7	+1.2

Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage

The widest matchup gaps

One matchup behind walls against the same matchup in the open, widest first — none of them survives correction

Matchup	Behind walls	In the open	Gap	95% interval	p	q (corrected)	Rounds
Jeffry vs Shun	51.1%	38.6%	+12.4	+3.2 … +21.4	0.008	0.640	694
Sarah vs El Blaze	48.5%	40.4%	+8.1	+1.4 … +14.6	0.017	0.640	1,386
Pai vs Brad	56.1%	48.4%	+7.8	-1.1 … +16.5	0.084	0.688	829
Wolf vs Vanessa	53.0%	45.7%	+7.3	-1.1 … +15.6	0.091	0.688	887
Sarah vs Jeffry	46.1%	38.9%	+7.2	-1.5 … +15.8	0.105	0.688	770
Goh vs Lion	50.1%	43.4%	+6.8	-0.7 … +14.1	0.075	0.688	1,206
Lei Fei vs Shun	53.9%	47.2%	+6.6	-0.8 … +14.0	0.081	0.688	1,283
Sarah vs Jacky	53.7%	47.2%	+6.5	+1.0 … +11.9	0.021	0.640	2,058
Kage vs Taka	50.0%	43.8%	+6.2	-1.1 … +13.4	0.097	0.688	1,138
Jacky vs Jean	52.1%	46.0%	+6.1	-1.9 … +14.0	0.135	0.756	958
Sarah vs Vanessa	55.4%	49.4%	+6.1	-1.0 … +13.1	0.094	0.688	1,407
Akira vs Vanessa	55.0%	49.2%	+5.8	+0.8 … +10.8	0.022	0.640	2,757
Aoi vs Jacky	52.4%	46.6%	+5.8	-1.8 … +13.3	0.135	0.756	1,307
Kage vs Jeffry	52.3%	46.5%	+5.7	-2.2 … +13.5	0.156	0.800	1,031
Lau vs Goh	55.2%	49.5%	+5.6	-0.1 … +11.4	0.055	0.688	1,963
Lion vs Pai	52.0%	46.8%	+5.2	-1.1 … +11.5	0.104	0.688	1,608
Kage vs Goh	52.9%	47.7%	+5.2	-1.6 … +12.0	0.136	0.756	1,314
Jeffry vs Jacky	46.5%	41.4%	+5.1	-3.1 … +13.2	0.223	0.948	938
Lei Fei vs El Blaze	52.0%	47.1%	+4.9	-2.2 … +11.9	0.177	0.870	1,297
Shun vs Lion	50.9%	46.1%	+4.8	-0.8 … +10.4	0.095	0.688	2,121
Jeffry vs Pai	52.0%	47.3%	+4.7	-4.7 … +14.0	0.324	0.974	675
Jeffry vs Akira	47.6%	42.9%	+4.7	-3.5 … +12.7	0.261	0.974	1,141
Lau vs Brad	55.4%	50.8%	+4.6	-0.5 … +9.7	0.077	0.688	2,354
Shun vs Jacky	47.5%	42.9%	+4.5	-0.5 … +9.5	0.074	0.688	2,524

Every stage type

How much of the data each stage type is

Stage	Rounds	Share
Walls	155,068	60.20%
No walls	77,041	29.91%
Not recorded	12,801	4.97%