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Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Rank 21–46

Stage Impact To Round WP

WP = win probability: here, the chance of winning a round.

The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted3,279,083
Stage types10
Most affectedTaka
Widest swing2.6 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the stage matters to

Best stage against worst, in points
TakaTaka: 53.5% on Single wall, 50.9% on Full fence2.6 ptsEileenEileen: 51.2% on Single wall, 49.4% on Octagon1.8 ptsJeffryJeffry: 51.5% on Fence and open, 49.8% on Open1.7 ptsLionLion: 51.4% on Open, 49.7% on Breakable full fence1.6 ptsShunShun: 49.7% on Breakable half fence, 48.2% on Rectangle1.5 ptsWolfWolf: 50.4% on Open, 49.0% on Breakable half fence1.4 ptsAoiAoi: 49.7% on Fence and open, 48.4% on Breakable full fence1.3 ptsKageKage: 51.4% on Fence and open, 50.2% on Open1.2 ptsLauLau: 51.4% on Octagon, 50.2% on Breakable half fence1.2 ptsSarahSarah: 50.6% on Breakable half fence, 49.4% on Rectangle1.2 pts

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterFullBreak. fullHalfBreak. halfLowWallMixedOctRectOpen
Taka-0.9-0.4-0.1-0.4+0.8+1.7-0.3-0.6+0.1+0.2
Eileen+0.1+1.5-0.5+0.5-0.7+0.3-0.8-1.5-0.0+0.8
Jeffry+0.3+0.5-0.3-0.1+0.1-0.7+0.8+0.3+0.5-0.9
Lion-0.1-0.6+0.1+0.1-0.5+0.7-0.5-0.3-0.1+1.1
Shun+0.0+0.4-0.4+0.7-0.2+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.8+0.0
Wolf-0.5-0.2-0.1-0.6+0.5+0.4-0.2-0.4+0.2+0.7
Aoi-0.3-0.5-0.2-0.4-0.1+0.2+0.8-0.2+0.5+0.3
Kage-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.1+0.2+0.0+0.8-0.3-0.1-0.5
Lau+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.6-0.4-0.2+0.4+0.6+0.3-0.5
Sarah-0.2+0.5+0.2+0.6-0.0-0.4-0.2+0.3-0.6-0.2
Brad+0.2-0.3-0.1+0.0-0.1+0.2+0.6+0.4-0.5+0.1
Vanessa+0.2-0.2-0.0+0.2+0.5+0.2+0.3-0.5+0.2-0.4
Goh-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.3+0.4
Pai-0.2-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.6+0.0-0.0+0.4
Jacky+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.4+0.0-0.5-0.5+0.3-0.1-0.5
El Blaze+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1+0.5+0.1
Lei Fei+0.2+0.1-0.1+0.2+0.4-0.2+0.0-0.4-0.0-0.2
Jean+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.2-0.4+0.1
Akira+0.3-0.3+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3-0.1
Dural-0.6+0.7+0.8+0.6+0.7-0.3-2.2-0.5+0.1-0.1
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted3,279,083
Stage groups2
Most affectedTaka
Widest walls gap1.3 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the walls suit

Walled stages against open ones, in points
JeffryJeffry: 0.7 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=0.007, q=0.039)+0.7LauLau: 0.5 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.043, q=0.121)+0.5JackyJacky: 0.5 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=0.010, q=0.039)+0.5SarahSarah: 0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.175, q=0.389)+0.3AkiraAkira: 0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.079, q=0.198)+0.3JeanJean: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.542, q=0.901)+0.2El BlazeEl Blaze: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.766, q=0.901)+0.1KageKage: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.761, q=0.901)+0.1DuralDural: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.916, q=0.985)+0.1Lei FeiLei Fei: 0.0 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.994, q=0.994)+0.0ShunShun: -0.0 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.936, q=0.985)-0.0VanessaVanessa: -0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.759, q=0.901)-0.1BradBrad: -0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.658, q=0.901)-0.1EileenEileen: -0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.739, q=0.901)-0.1PaiPai: -0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.403, q=0.733)-0.2AoiAoi: -0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.251, q=0.502)-0.3LionLion: -0.6 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.034, q=0.113)-0.6GohGoh: -0.7 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=0.010, q=0.039)-0.7WolfWolf: -0.8 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=4e−4, q=0.008)-0.8TakaTaka: -1.3 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=0.004, q=0.039)-1.3
Better in the openBetter behind wallsHolds up after correctionWithin chance95% interval

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once
Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=23.3 on 19 df, p=0.225
Matches sharing one stage drawabout 8.3, so a match is not an independent draw
Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.37
Characters whose gap holds up5 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0
Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 123 — chance alone would give about 6.2
The roster taken togetherχ²=231.8 on 123 df, p=1e−8

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterWallsNo walls
Jeffry+0.2-0.5
Lau+0.1-0.4
Jacky+0.2-0.3
Sarah+0.1-0.2
Akira+0.1-0.2
Jean+0.1-0.1
El Blaze+0.1-0.0
Kage-0.0-0.1
Dural+0.2+0.1
Lei Fei+0.0+0.0
Shun+0.0+0.0
Vanessa-0.0+0.1
Brad-0.0+0.1
Eileen+0.0+0.1
Pai-0.1+0.2
Aoi-0.2+0.1
Lion-0.2+0.4
Goh-0.3+0.4
Wolf-0.3+0.6
Taka-0.4+0.9
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted1,497,898
Stage types10
Most affectedEileen
Widest swing3.2 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the stage matters to

Best stage against worst, in points
EileenEileen: 51.8% on Breakable full fence, 48.6% on Octagon3.2 ptsLauLau: 52.0% on Octagon, 49.5% on Open2.5 ptsTakaTaka: 52.8% on Single wall, 50.5% on Full fence2.4 ptsJeffryJeffry: 52.1% on Fence and open, 49.8% on Open2.3 ptsLionLion: 50.9% on Open, 48.7% on Low fence2.1 ptsShunShun: 50.6% on Breakable full fence, 48.5% on Low fence2.1 ptsWolfWolf: 51.4% on Open, 49.4% on Full fence2.0 ptsJeanJean: 52.9% on Breakable full fence, 51.0% on Rectangle1.9 ptsLei FeiLei Fei: 51.4% on Low fence, 49.5% on Rectangle1.9 ptsGohGoh: 50.5% on Single wall, 48.7% on Breakable half fence1.8 pts

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterFullBreak. fullHalfBreak. halfLowWallMixedOctRectOpen
Eileen+0.4+1.6-0.3+1.2-1.3+0.1-0.8-1.7-0.3+1.1
Lau-0.1-0.9+0.0-0.6-0.2-0.5+0.4+1.5+0.6-1.0
Taka-1.1-0.1+0.2+0.0+0.1+1.2-0.8-0.2+0.7+0.5
Jeffry+0.3+0.3-0.4+0.0+0.0-0.8+1.2+0.6+0.3-1.1
Lion+0.0-0.2+0.5+0.8-1.3+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.1+0.8
Shun+0.2+1.3-0.5+0.5-0.8+0.3-0.2-0.0-0.8+0.2
Wolf-0.9-0.5-0.2-0.7+0.5+0.8+0.0-0.3+0.3+1.1
Jean+0.6+1.0+0.3-0.3+0.5-0.7-0.5-0.6-0.8-0.5
Lei Fei+0.8+0.1+0.2+0.1+1.0-0.4-0.1-0.0-0.9-0.0
Goh+0.3-0.1-0.2-1.0+0.1+0.8-0.3+0.5-0.6+0.1
Vanessa-0.6-0.7+0.5+1.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1+0.3-0.3
Pai-0.4-0.8+0.0+0.2+0.6-0.2+0.1-0.1-0.3+0.7
Aoi-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.4+0.9-0.3+0.6+0.1
Brad+0.7-0.7+0.4-0.1+0.7+0.1+0.7-0.1-0.7-0.2
Kage-0.1+0.7-0.5-0.0+0.4-0.1+0.4-0.6+0.1-0.3
El Blaze+0.6+0.7+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.1-0.4-0.0+0.6-0.5
Jacky+0.2+0.4-0.1+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.6+0.5+0.1-0.4
Sarah-0.6+0.5+0.3+0.5+0.2-0.3-0.5-0.2+0.1-0.2
Akira+0.3-0.6+0.2+0.1-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.2+0.1-0.2
Dural-1.7+0.1+2.1+1.2+1.1+0.5-3.3-1.9-0.6+1.6
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted1,497,898
Stage groups2
Most affectedWolf
Widest walls gap1.2 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the walls suit

Walled stages against open ones, in points
JeffryJeffry: 0.8 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.025, q=0.253)+0.8LauLau: 0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.109, q=0.436)+0.7El BlazeEl Blaze: 0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.154, q=0.440)+0.7JackyJacky: 0.5 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.093, q=0.436)+0.5AkiraAkira: 0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.195, q=0.470)+0.3JeanJean: 0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.546, q=0.722)+0.3LionLion: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.578, q=0.722)+0.2ShunShun: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.577, q=0.722)+0.2SarahSarah: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.573, q=0.722)+0.2EileenEileen: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.850, q=0.860)+0.1VanessaVanessa: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.860, q=0.860)+0.1KageKage: -0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.803, q=0.860)-0.1Lei FeiLei Fei: -0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.749, q=0.860)-0.2BradBrad: -0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.573, q=0.722)-0.3AoiAoi: -0.4 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.213, q=0.470)-0.4GohGoh: -0.6 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.137, q=0.440)-0.6PaiPai: -0.6 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.077, q=0.436)-0.6TakaTaka: -0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.292, q=0.531)-0.7WolfWolf: -1.2 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=9e−5, q=0.002)-1.2DuralDural: -1.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.235, q=0.470)-1.2
Better in the openBetter behind wallsHolds up after correctionWithin chance95% interval

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once
Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=18.2 on 19 df, p=0.507
Matches sharing one stage drawabout 8.1, so a match is not an independent draw
Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.33
Characters whose gap holds up1 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0
Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 120 — chance alone would give about 6.0
The roster taken togetherχ²=213.0 on 120 df, p=4e−7

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterWallsNo walls
Jeffry+0.2-0.6
Lau+0.1-0.6
El Blaze+0.3-0.4
Jacky+0.2-0.3
Akira+0.1-0.2
Jean+0.1-0.2
Lion+0.1-0.1
Shun+0.1-0.1
Sarah+0.1-0.1
Eileen+0.1+0.0
Vanessa+0.1-0.0
Kage-0.1+0.0
Lei Fei+0.0+0.2
Brad-0.1+0.2
Aoi-0.2+0.2
Goh-0.2+0.4
Pai-0.2+0.3
Taka-0.1+0.6
Wolf-0.4+0.8
Dural-0.2+1.1
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted1,523,592
Stage types10
Most affectedTaka
Widest swing4.0 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the stage matters to

Best stage against worst, in points
TakaTaka: 54.2% on Single wall, 50.2% on Octagon4.0 ptsLionLion: 52.3% on Single wall, 49.8% on Breakable full fence2.4 ptsSarahSarah: 50.8% on Octagon, 48.9% on Rectangle1.9 ptsPaiPai: 50.5% on Breakable full fence, 48.8% on Fence and open1.8 ptsVanessaVanessa: 51.2% on Full fence, 49.4% on Open1.7 ptsGohGoh: 50.4% on Fence and open, 48.8% on Breakable full fence1.6 ptsBradBrad: 51.0% on Octagon, 49.4% on Low fence1.6 ptsEl BlazeEl Blaze: 51.5% on Fence and open, 49.9% on Half fence1.6 ptsShunShun: 49.5% on Breakable half fence, 47.9% on Rectangle1.6 ptsJackyJacky: 50.0% on Breakable half fence, 48.4% on Single wall1.6 pts

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterFullBreak. fullHalfBreak. halfLowWallMixedOctRectOpen
Taka-0.7-0.5-0.7-0.5+1.8+2.2-0.1-1.8-0.2+0.3
Lion-0.1-0.9-0.0-0.5-0.1+1.5-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.8
Sarah+0.1+0.4-0.1+0.6-0.1-0.4+0.2+0.7-1.2-0.1
Pai+0.1+0.5+0.3+0.0-0.3-0.3-1.2+0.3+0.5-0.1
Vanessa+1.1+0.3-0.1-0.6+1.1-0.2+0.3-0.5-0.1-0.7
Goh-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.1+0.2+0.4+1.0-0.0-0.2+0.6
Brad-0.1-0.3-0.2+0.2-0.8+0.4+0.3+0.8-0.3+0.3
El Blaze+0.3+0.6-1.0+0.0-0.7+0.4+0.6+0.1+0.5+0.4
Shun-0.1-0.3-0.4+0.7+0.2+0.5+0.4+0.2-0.9-0.1
Jacky+0.1+0.2+0.6+0.6+0.3-1.0-0.7+0.3-0.1-0.7
Akira+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.6-0.2-0.1-0.9+0.2+0.7+0.0
Aoi-0.5-0.7+0.0-0.2-0.4-0.1+0.8-0.1+0.3+0.7
Lau+0.2+0.6+0.2-0.7-0.4-0.1+0.5-0.3+0.3+0.1
Jeffry+0.2+0.5-0.3+0.0+0.0-0.5+0.4+0.2+0.5-0.7
Wolf-0.2+0.2-0.0-0.7+0.6-0.2-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.3
Kage+0.1-0.4+0.6+0.5-0.1+0.3+0.7-0.3-0.5-0.4
Lei Fei-0.4-0.1-0.5+0.4+0.4-0.4+0.3-0.4+0.5-0.2
Jean+0.1-0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.4-0.3+0.1-0.2+0.4
Eileen-0.6+0.9-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.9-0.8-1.2+0.1+0.7
Dural-0.2+1.0+0.3+0.0+0.6-0.5-0.8+0.3+0.1-1.4
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted1,523,592
Stage groups2
Most affectedTaka
Widest walls gap2.1 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the walls suit

Walled stages against open ones, in points
JackyJacky: 0.8 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=0.002, q=0.011)+0.8DuralDural: 0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.339, q=0.616)+0.7JeffryJeffry: 0.6 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.054, q=0.214)+0.6PaiPai: 0.5 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.124, q=0.413)+0.5AkiraAkira: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.277, q=0.610)+0.2SarahSarah: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.445, q=0.726)+0.2LauLau: 0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.508, q=0.726)+0.2JeanJean: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.858, q=0.961)+0.1BradBrad: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.862, q=0.961)+0.1KageKage: 0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.855, q=0.961)+0.1El BlazeEl Blaze: -0.0 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.970, q=0.970)-0.0VanessaVanessa: -0.0 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.913, q=0.961)-0.0Lei FeiLei Fei: -0.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.903, q=0.961)-0.1AoiAoi: -0.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.485, q=0.726)-0.2ShunShun: -0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.305, q=0.610)-0.3WolfWolf: -0.4 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.188, q=0.537)-0.4GohGoh: -0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.021, q=0.104)-0.7EileenEileen: -0.8 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.215, q=0.537)-0.8LionLion: -1.1 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=5e−4, q=0.005)-1.1TakaTaka: -2.1 pts behind walls, and the gap survives correction across the 20 characters tested (p=1e−4, q=0.003)-2.1
Better in the openBetter behind wallsHolds up after correctionWithin chance95% interval

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once
Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=18.9 on 19 df, p=0.465
Matches sharing one stage drawabout 7.8, so a match is not an independent draw
Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.15
Characters whose gap holds up3 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0
Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 130 — chance alone would give about 6.5
The roster taken togetherχ²=170.7 on 130 df, p=0.010

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterWallsNo walls
Jacky+0.3-0.5
Dural+0.3-0.4
Jeffry+0.2-0.4
Pai+0.3-0.2
Akira+0.1-0.1
Sarah+0.1-0.2
Lau+0.1-0.1
Jean+0.0-0.0
Brad+0.0-0.0
Kage-0.0-0.1
El Blaze+0.1+0.1
Vanessa+0.0+0.1
Lei Fei-0.1-0.1
Aoi-0.2+0.1
Shun-0.1+0.2
Wolf-0.1+0.2
Goh-0.3+0.4
Eileen-0.2+0.5
Lion-0.4+0.8
Taka-0.7+1.4
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Rounds counted257,593
Stage types10
Most affectedJeffry
Widest swing5.7 pts
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the stage matters to

Best stage against worst, in points
JeffryJeffry: 51.2% on Low fence, 45.5% on Single wall5.7 ptsTakaTaka: 55.1% on Octagon, 49.8% on Breakable half fence5.2 ptsEileenEileen: 54.0% on Breakable full fence, 49.5% on Half fence4.5 ptsJeanJean: 50.5% on Rectangle, 46.0% on Low fence4.4 ptsEl BlazeEl Blaze: 54.2% on Low fence, 50.1% on Breakable full fence4.0 ptsPaiPai: 51.0% on Single wall, 47.2% on Fence and open3.8 ptsLionLion: 52.0% on Open, 48.4% on Half fence3.6 ptsKageKage: 51.6% on Fence and open, 48.1% on Open3.6 ptsShunShun: 49.9% on Breakable half fence, 46.4% on Breakable full fence3.5 ptsAoiAoi: 51.0% on Half fence, 47.6% on Full fence3.4 pts

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterFullBreak. fullHalfBreak. halfLowWallMixedOctRectOpen
Jeffry+0.8+1.3+1.2-3.2+2.4-3.3+0.8-1.5+1.4-0.6
Taka-0.8-1.5+1.5-1.9+0.5+1.3+1.0+3.4-1.5-1.3
Eileen+0.8+2.9-1.6-0.1-0.6-0.7-0.9-1.3+0.5+0.4
Jean+1.3+0.1+0.3-0.5-2.0+2.1-5.0-0.3+2.4-0.4
El Blaze+0.1-1.5-0.2-1.2+2.5-0.7+0.5-1.2-0.1+1.6
Pai-0.5-1.3-0.1-0.4+0.1+1.7-2.0-0.0-0.5+1.2
Lion-0.6-0.6-1.0+0.7+0.3-0.4-0.9-0.4+0.1+2.6
Kage-1.1+0.8+0.8-1.3+0.8-1.0+2.1+1.0+1.0-1.4
Shun-0.6-1.4-0.6+2.1+1.2-1.1-0.1+0.9-0.0-0.8
Aoi-1.9+0.8+1.5+0.5-1.2+0.2+0.3-0.4-0.1-0.7
Sarah+0.6+0.7+1.7+1.8-1.1-1.4-0.7+1.5-1.6-1.6
Goh-0.5-0.7-0.3+0.9+2.1-0.3-4.4-1.1+0.8+1.4
Vanessa-0.5-0.4-1.4+0.6-0.4+1.7+1.7-1.5+1.2-0.2
Wolf+1.1+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.0+1.1-1.4-2.0-0.7-0.6
Brad+0.3+0.4-1.2-0.5+0.9-0.0+1.8+0.1-0.6+0.4
Lei Fei+1.1+1.3+0.7+0.3-1.3+1.0-1.2-1.6+0.5-1.0
Lau+0.8+0.6+0.3-0.1-1.1+0.1+0.2+1.6-0.4-1.3
Akira+1.3-0.3+0.3-0.4-1.1-0.0+0.6+0.7-0.5-0.3
Jacky-1.0-0.4-0.3+0.7-0.1+0.7+1.1-0.2-0.7+1.3
Dural+1.7-0.7-2.6+3.1-1.1-3.6-19.8+0.4+6.1+4.0
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage
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Rounds counted257,593
Stage groups2
Most affected—
Widest walls gap—
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Who the walls suit

Walled stages against open ones, in points
SarahSarah: 2.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.016, q=0.281)+2.2DuralDural: 1.9 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.510, q=0.771)+1.9LauLau: 1.2 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.042, q=0.281)+1.2Lei FeiLei Fei: 0.8 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.363, q=0.660)+0.8KageKage: 0.8 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.266, q=0.660)+0.8AkiraAkira: 0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.305, q=0.660)+0.7AoiAoi: 0.6 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.554, q=0.771)+0.6JeanJean: 0.6 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.618, q=0.771)+0.6EileenEileen: 0.4 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.691, q=0.771)+0.4JeffryJeffry: 0.4 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.715, q=0.771)+0.4ShunShun: 0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.668, q=0.771)+0.3TakaTaka: -0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.799, q=0.799)-0.3WolfWolf: -0.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.732, q=0.771)-0.3BradBrad: -0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.407, q=0.678)-0.7VanessaVanessa: -0.7 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.362, q=0.660)-0.7JackyJacky: -0.9 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.139, q=0.463)-0.9LionLion: -1.1 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.120, q=0.463)-1.1GohGoh: -1.3 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.210, q=0.600)-1.3PaiPai: -1.5 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.101, q=0.463)-1.5El BlazeEl Blaze: -1.9 pts behind walls, but within what chance gives across the 20 characters tested (p=0.034, q=0.281)-1.9
Better in the openBetter behind wallsHolds up after correctionWithin chance95% interval

Is any of this chance?

The whole cut, tested at once
Walled stages dealt evenly across the rosterχ²=14.3 on 19 df, p=0.765
Matches sharing one stage drawabout 8.2, so a match is not an independent draw
Allowance made for thatevery interval and p-value here widened by ×1.22
Characters whose gap holds up0 of 20 — chance alone would give about 1.0
Matchups whose gap holds up0 of 118 — chance alone would give about 5.9
The roster taken togetherχ²=176.8 on 118 df, p=4e−4

Every character, every stage

Change from that character's own win rate, in points
CharacterWallsNo walls
Sarah+0.8-1.4
Dural+1.3-0.6
Lau+0.5-0.8
Lei Fei+0.4-0.4
Kage+0.2-0.6
Akira+0.2-0.5
Aoi+0.1-0.6
Jean+0.5-0.1
Eileen+0.2-0.3
Jeffry+0.0-0.4
Shun+0.1-0.2
Taka-0.1+0.2
Wolf-0.2+0.2
Brad-0.2+0.4
Vanessa-0.3+0.4
Jacky-0.3+0.6
Lion-0.3+0.8
Goh-0.2+1.1
Pai-0.5+1.0
El Blaze-0.7+1.2
Worse on this stageNo changeBetter on this stage