VirtuAnalytics

Novel Insights Through Data & Analysis

Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Rank 30–46

Meta Over Time

Each character's win rate and pick rate, month by month, from v1.10 (26 March) to 19 September. Ranks 30–46.

The same figures as a 1080×1080 card, for posting. Click it to copy the image. Full size ↗
Matches counted392,391
Players2,269
Characters19
Rank bandRank 30–46
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/19

Win rate by month

Mirror matches left out · shared axis 44–60%
Eileen44%48%52%56%60%Eileen, 26 Mar–Apr: 48.6% won (95% range 44.3%–52.9%) · 1,459 matches · 65 playersEileen, May: 50.6% won (95% range 47.3%–53.8%) · 2,520 matches · 67 playersEileen, Jun: 51.0% won (95% range 48.7%–53.3%) · 2,541 matches · 71 playersEileen, Jul: 57.1% won (95% range 50.2%–63.9%) · 2,338 matches · 74 playersEileen, Aug: 55.2% won (95% range 51.6%–58.9%) · 1,928 matches · 73 playersEileen, 1–19 Sep: 52.7% won (95% range 49.9%–55.6%) · 1,908 matches · 66 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Lei Fei44%48%52%56%60%Lei Fei, 26 Mar–Apr: 48.6% won (95% range 46.6%–50.6%) · 4,206 matches · 100 playersLei Fei, May: 48.5% won (95% range 46.3%–50.6%) · 6,245 matches · 111 playersLei Fei, Jun: 49.0% won (95% range 47.0%–51.0%) · 5,242 matches · 108 playersLei Fei, Jul: 49.6% won (95% range 47.0%–52.2%) · 4,375 matches · 117 playersLei Fei, Aug: 52.3% won (95% range 49.5%–55.2%) · 5,075 matches · 108 playersLei Fei, 1–19 Sep: 51.9% won (95% range 48.4%–55.4%) · 4,999 matches · 96 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Vanessa44%48%52%56%60%Vanessa, 26 Mar–Apr: 47.1% won (95% range 44.3%–49.9%) · 4,123 matches · 95 playersVanessa, May: 48.4% won (95% range 46.2%–50.5%) · 6,570 matches · 91 playersVanessa, Jun: 48.6% won (95% range 46.9%–50.3%) · 4,633 matches · 98 playersVanessa, Jul: 49.1% won (95% range 47.4%–50.8%) · 5,544 matches · 107 playersVanessa, Aug: 50.5% won (95% range 47.7%–53.3%) · 4,703 matches · 90 playersVanessa, 1–19 Sep: 48.4% won (95% range 46.1%–50.8%) · 3,704 matches · 81 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Aoi44%48%52%56%60%Aoi, 26 Mar–Apr: 48.7% won (95% range 46.6%–50.8%) · 4,243 matches · 89 playersAoi, May: 49.4% won (95% range 47.0%–51.8%) · 5,426 matches · 89 playersAoi, Jun: 49.1% won (95% range 46.3%–51.9%) · 5,125 matches · 96 playersAoi, Jul: 50.7% won (95% range 48.5%–52.9%) · 5,333 matches · 100 playersAoi, Aug: 50.7% won (95% range 48.6%–52.8%) · 5,867 matches · 99 playersAoi, 1–19 Sep: 49.9% won (95% range 47.9%–51.9%) · 4,690 matches · 80 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Jean44%48%52%56%60%Jean, 26 Mar–Apr: 48.9% won (95% range 47.2%–50.5%) · 4,419 matches · 123 playersJean, May: 48.0% won (95% range 45.7%–50.2%) · 7,811 matches · 138 playersJean, Jun: 50.0% won (95% range 48.5%–51.4%) · 6,895 matches · 137 playersJean, Jul: 48.9% won (95% range 46.7%–51.0%) · 6,466 matches · 142 playersJean, Aug: 50.3% won (95% range 48.8%–51.7%) · 6,215 matches · 149 playersJean, 1–19 Sep: 49.7% won (95% range 48.2%–51.2%) · 6,217 matches · 132 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Wolf44%48%52%56%60%Wolf, 26 Mar–Apr: 47.9% won (95% range 45.4%–50.4%) · 4,734 matches · 135 playersWolf, May: 47.4% won (95% range 45.8%–49.1%) · 8,071 matches · 165 playersWolf, Jun: 48.8% won (95% range 47.2%–50.5%) · 8,194 matches · 168 playersWolf, Jul: 48.1% won (95% range 46.4%–49.8%) · 7,625 matches · 163 playersWolf, Aug: 48.2% won (95% range 46.4%–50.1%) · 7,278 matches · 165 playersWolf, 1–19 Sep: 49.0% won (95% range 47.3%–50.8%) · 6,525 matches · 151 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Brad44%48%52%56%60%Brad, 26 Mar–Apr: 50.8% won (95% range 49.1%–52.4%) · 4,294 matches · 112 playersBrad, May: 50.3% won (95% range 48.8%–51.9%) · 7,346 matches · 130 playersBrad, Jun: 50.2% won (95% range 48.5%–51.9%) · 7,385 matches · 129 playersBrad, Jul: 49.5% won (95% range 47.9%–51.2%) · 7,465 matches · 142 playersBrad, Aug: 49.2% won (95% range 47.4%–51.0%) · 6,003 matches · 136 playersBrad, 1–19 Sep: 53.0% won (95% range 49.9%–56.0%) · 5,649 matches · 131 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Shun44%48%52%56%60%Shun, 26 Mar–Apr: 47.9% won (95% range 45.8%–50.0%) · 4,218 matches · 111 playersShun, May: 49.9% won (95% range 48.0%–51.9%) · 7,353 matches · 125 playersShun, Jun: 47.9% won (95% range 45.9%–49.9%) · 5,597 matches · 127 playersShun, Jul: 50.0% won (95% range 48.3%–51.8%) · 6,799 matches · 124 playersShun, Aug: 48.4% won (95% range 46.0%–50.8%) · 7,311 matches · 135 playersShun, 1–19 Sep: 49.6% won (95% range 47.6%–51.6%) · 6,288 matches · 123 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Jacky44%48%52%56%60%Jacky, 26 Mar–Apr: 48.2% won (95% range 46.2%–50.2%) · 6,887 matches · 217 playersJacky, May: 49.4% won (95% range 48.2%–50.6%) · 13,211 matches · 247 playersJacky, Jun: 50.2% won (95% range 48.7%–51.7%) · 11,982 matches · 256 playersJacky, Jul: 49.3% won (95% range 47.8%–50.8%) · 12,248 matches · 248 playersJacky, Aug: 49.3% won (95% range 47.5%–51.2%) · 12,856 matches · 277 playersJacky, 1–19 Sep: 49.2% won (95% range 47.7%–50.7%) · 11,020 matches · 255 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Pai44%48%52%56%60%Pai, 26 Mar–Apr: 49.2% won (95% range 47.0%–51.5%) · 3,190 matches · 110 playersPai, May: 49.7% won (95% range 48.0%–51.5%) · 6,660 matches · 130 playersPai, Jun: 50.1% won (95% range 48.4%–51.7%) · 6,234 matches · 144 playersPai, Jul: 49.0% won (95% range 47.6%–50.5%) · 5,372 matches · 131 playersPai, Aug: 50.0% won (95% range 48.1%–51.9%) · 6,644 matches · 133 playersPai, 1–19 Sep: 49.5% won (95% range 47.5%–51.4%) · 5,910 matches · 132 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Kage44%48%52%56%60%Kage, 26 Mar–Apr: 51.0% won (95% range 48.1%–53.8%) · 6,170 matches · 181 playersKage, May: 52.4% won (95% range 50.9%–54.0%) · 8,917 matches · 194 playersKage, Jun: 50.6% won (95% range 49.0%–52.2%) · 8,161 matches · 204 playersKage, Jul: 52.0% won (95% range 50.5%–53.6%) · 8,468 matches · 198 playersKage, Aug: 51.7% won (95% range 49.9%–53.5%) · 8,275 matches · 196 playersKage, 1–19 Sep: 51.0% won (95% range 49.2%–52.9%) · 7,802 matches · 189 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Lau44%48%52%56%60%Lau, 26 Mar–Apr: 52.3% won (95% range 49.7%–54.8%) · 5,747 matches · 166 playersLau, May: 51.3% won (95% range 49.7%–52.8%) · 9,496 matches · 181 playersLau, Jun: 50.9% won (95% range 48.4%–53.5%) · 8,007 matches · 173 playersLau, Jul: 51.7% won (95% range 49.9%–53.4%) · 8,010 matches · 171 playersLau, Aug: 50.9% won (95% range 48.6%–53.1%) · 8,633 matches · 167 playersLau, 1–19 Sep: 52.0% won (95% range 50.0%–54.0%) · 7,100 matches · 156 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Taka44%48%52%56%60%Taka, 26 Mar–Apr: 48.6% won (95% range 44.8%–52.4%) · 1,395 matches · 79 playersTaka, May: 58.0% won (95% range 53.7%–62.2%) · 2,119 matches · 84 playersTaka, Jun: 54.8% won (95% range 50.8%–58.7%) · 2,537 matches · 80 playersTaka, Jul: 51.8% won (95% range 48.4%–55.2%) · 2,803 matches · 89 playersTaka, Aug: 53.9% won (95% range 50.5%–57.2%) · 2,387 matches · 88 playersTaka, 1–19 Sep: 52.9% won (95% range 49.2%–56.5%) · 2,277 matches · 75 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Akira44%48%52%56%60%Akira, 26 Mar–Apr: 49.3% won (95% range 47.4%–51.3%) · 8,685 matches · 221 playersAkira, May: 50.2% won (95% range 48.5%–51.8%) · 13,487 matches · 239 playersAkira, Jun: 49.0% won (95% range 47.5%–50.5%) · 13,613 matches · 247 playersAkira, Jul: 49.2% won (95% range 47.9%–50.5%) · 13,111 matches · 260 playersAkira, Aug: 49.0% won (95% range 47.5%–50.4%) · 12,502 matches · 243 playersAkira, 1–19 Sep: 48.9% won (95% range 47.5%–50.2%) · 12,035 matches · 236 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Lion44%48%52%56%60%Lion, 26 Mar–Apr: 51.2% won (95% range 49.7%–52.7%) · 5,473 matches · 137 playersLion, May: 50.7% won (95% range 49.1%–52.2%) · 8,211 matches · 165 playersLion, Jun: 51.9% won (95% range 50.1%–53.7%) · 7,432 matches · 176 playersLion, Jul: 50.0% won (95% range 48.0%–52.0%) · 6,972 matches · 166 playersLion, Aug: 51.4% won (95% range 49.6%–53.2%) · 6,444 matches · 140 playersLion, 1–19 Sep: 49.8% won (95% range 48.2%–51.4%) · 6,273 matches · 137 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
El Blaze44%48%52%56%60%El Blaze, 26 Mar–Apr: 52.6% won (95% range 50.1%–55.2%) · 3,829 matches · 109 playersEl Blaze, May: 51.1% won (95% range 48.6%–53.5%) · 5,805 matches · 125 playersEl Blaze, Jun: 52.1% won (95% range 49.8%–54.4%) · 4,670 matches · 123 playersEl Blaze, Jul: 52.4% won (95% range 49.4%–55.4%) · 4,173 matches · 111 playersEl Blaze, Aug: 52.3% won (95% range 48.7%–55.8%) · 4,858 matches · 107 playersEl Blaze, 1–19 Sep: 50.0% won (95% range 47.3%–52.7%) · 4,927 matches · 99 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Sarah44%48%52%56%60%Sarah, 26 Mar–Apr: 50.7% won (95% range 48.7%–52.6%) · 5,410 matches · 106 playersSarah, May: 49.9% won (95% range 47.7%–52.0%) · 6,763 matches · 121 playersSarah, Jun: 49.9% won (95% range 47.4%–52.3%) · 6,651 matches · 129 playersSarah, Jul: 49.5% won (95% range 47.3%–51.6%) · 7,640 matches · 130 playersSarah, Aug: 49.7% won (95% range 47.8%–51.6%) · 5,774 matches · 131 playersSarah, 1–19 Sep: 49.1% won (95% range 46.6%–51.7%) · 6,039 matches · 124 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Goh44%48%52%56%60%Goh, 26 Mar–Apr: 49.8% won (95% range 47.5%–52.2%) · 4,458 matches · 111 playersGoh, May: 48.2% won (95% range 46.5%–50.0%) · 7,975 matches · 127 playersGoh, Jun: 49.5% won (95% range 48.0%–51.0%) · 7,695 matches · 146 playersGoh, Jul: 49.9% won (95% range 48.2%–51.6%) · 6,465 matches · 136 playersGoh, Aug: 47.8% won (95% range 46.3%–49.4%) · 7,232 matches · 135 playersGoh, 1–19 Sep: 47.9% won (95% range 46.2%–49.5%) · 6,374 matches · 135 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Jeffry44%48%52%56%60%Jeffry, 26 Mar–Apr: 53.6% won (95% range 51.6%–55.6%) · 7,152 matches · 185 playersJeffry, May: 52.4% won (95% range 50.6%–54.3%) · 8,193 matches · 173 playersJeffry, Jun: 49.5% won (95% range 47.7%–51.3%) · 6,686 matches · 158 playersJeffry, Jul: 49.7% won (95% range 47.0%–52.3%) · 6,641 matches · 151 playersJeffry, Aug: 48.1% won (95% range 46.1%–50.2%) · 6,280 matches · 150 playersJeffry, 1–19 Sep: 50.1% won (95% range 47.9%–52.3%) · 6,158 matches · 136 playersAprMayJunJulAugSep
Monthly rate95% range across players50% linePart of a monthPatch, no balance changes

Where a month's range runs past 44–60%, the band stops at the edge; that point's tooltip gives the range in full.

1.11 (18 Jun, Switch 2 fixes) and 1.12 (10 Sep, Xbox PC and cloud release, fixes): no balance changes.

September runs to the 19th, the last day with pulled openings.

Pick rate by month

Share of all appearances · shared axis 0–12%
Jacky0%4%8%12%Jacky, 26 Mar–Apr: 7.91% of appearances · 7,591 appearancesJacky, May: 9.50% of appearances · 14,433 appearancesJacky, Jun: 9.58% of appearances · 13,242 appearancesJacky, Jul: 9.92% of appearances · 13,638 appearancesJacky, Aug: 10.41% of appearances · 14,198 appearancesJacky, 1–19 Sep: 9.67% of appearances · 12,060 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Pai0%4%8%12%Pai, 26 Mar–Apr: 3.44% of appearances · 3,302 appearancesPai, May: 4.58% of appearances · 6,962 appearancesPai, Jun: 4.71% of appearances · 6,518 appearancesPai, Jul: 4.17% of appearances · 5,734 appearancesPai, Aug: 5.11% of appearances · 6,976 appearancesPai, 1–19 Sep: 4.99% of appearances · 6,230 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Shun0%4%8%12%Shun, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.58% of appearances · 4,396 appearancesShun, May: 5.12% of appearances · 7,785 appearancesShun, Jun: 4.20% of appearances · 5,805 appearancesShun, Jul: 5.21% of appearances · 7,159 appearancesShun, Aug: 5.67% of appearances · 7,735 appearancesShun, 1–19 Sep: 5.28% of appearances · 6,592 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Akira0%4%8%12%Akira, 26 Mar–Apr: 9.97% of appearances · 9,561 appearancesAkira, May: 9.86% of appearances · 14,985 appearancesAkira, Jun: 10.97% of appearances · 15,171 appearancesAkira, Jul: 10.64% of appearances · 14,621 appearancesAkira, Aug: 10.32% of appearances · 14,082 appearancesAkira, 1–19 Sep: 10.93% of appearances · 13,633 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Taka0%4%8%12%Taka, 26 Mar–Apr: 1.48% of appearances · 1,415 appearancesTaka, May: 1.41% of appearances · 2,141 appearancesTaka, Jun: 1.86% of appearances · 2,575 appearancesTaka, Jul: 2.06% of appearances · 2,829 appearancesTaka, Aug: 1.78% of appearances · 2,433 appearancesTaka, 1–19 Sep: 1.87% of appearances · 2,329 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Kage0%4%8%12%Kage, 26 Mar–Apr: 6.86% of appearances · 6,584 appearancesKage, May: 6.17% of appearances · 9,377 appearancesKage, Jun: 6.21% of appearances · 8,587 appearancesKage, Jul: 6.59% of appearances · 9,052 appearancesKage, Aug: 6.55% of appearances · 8,939 appearancesKage, 1–19 Sep: 6.74% of appearances · 8,408 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Goh0%4%8%12%Goh, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.85% of appearances · 4,654 appearancesGoh, May: 5.51% of appearances · 8,375 appearancesGoh, Jun: 5.92% of appearances · 8,191 appearancesGoh, Jul: 4.90% of appearances · 6,729 appearancesGoh, Aug: 5.54% of appearances · 7,550 appearancesGoh, 1–19 Sep: 5.34% of appearances · 6,664 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Wolf0%4%8%12%Wolf, 26 Mar–Apr: 5.17% of appearances · 4,958 appearancesWolf, May: 5.64% of appearances · 8,575 appearancesWolf, Jun: 6.30% of appearances · 8,710 appearancesWolf, Jul: 5.89% of appearances · 8,093 appearancesWolf, Aug: 5.62% of appearances · 7,662 appearancesWolf, 1–19 Sep: 5.53% of appearances · 6,901 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Jean0%4%8%12%Jean, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.78% of appearances · 4,589 appearancesJean, May: 5.38% of appearances · 8,171 appearancesJean, Jun: 5.21% of appearances · 7,199 appearancesJean, Jul: 4.96% of appearances · 6,824 appearancesJean, Aug: 4.75% of appearances · 6,475 appearancesJean, 1–19 Sep: 5.26% of appearances · 6,565 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Aoi0%4%8%12%Aoi, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.74% of appearances · 4,551 appearancesAoi, May: 3.68% of appearances · 5,586 appearancesAoi, Jun: 3.83% of appearances · 5,297 appearancesAoi, Jul: 4.00% of appearances · 5,493 appearancesAoi, Aug: 4.44% of appearances · 6,057 appearancesAoi, 1–19 Sep: 3.91% of appearances · 4,878 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Lau0%4%8%12%Lau, 26 Mar–Apr: 6.27% of appearances · 6,013 appearancesLau, May: 6.61% of appearances · 10,038 appearancesLau, Jun: 6.21% of appearances · 8,585 appearancesLau, Jul: 6.23% of appearances · 8,558 appearancesLau, Aug: 6.79% of appearances · 9,255 appearancesLau, 1–19 Sep: 6.01% of appearances · 7,496 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
El Blaze0%4%8%12%El Blaze, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.13% of appearances · 3,963 appearancesEl Blaze, May: 4.01% of appearances · 6,089 appearancesEl Blaze, Jun: 3.49% of appearances · 4,830 appearancesEl Blaze, Jul: 3.12% of appearances · 4,293 appearancesEl Blaze, Aug: 3.68% of appearances · 5,018 appearancesEl Blaze, 1–19 Sep: 4.16% of appearances · 5,193 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Brad0%4%8%12%Brad, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.68% of appearances · 4,486 appearancesBrad, May: 5.12% of appearances · 7,774 appearancesBrad, Jun: 5.58% of appearances · 7,713 appearancesBrad, Jul: 5.79% of appearances · 7,961 appearancesBrad, Aug: 4.67% of appearances · 6,373 appearancesBrad, 1–19 Sep: 4.80% of appearances · 5,991 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Eileen0%4%8%12%Eileen, 26 Mar–Apr: 1.53% of appearances · 1,467 appearancesEileen, May: 1.71% of appearances · 2,604 appearancesEileen, Jun: 1.91% of appearances · 2,639 appearancesEileen, Jul: 1.73% of appearances · 2,372 appearancesEileen, Aug: 1.45% of appearances · 1,972 appearancesEileen, 1–19 Sep: 1.55% of appearances · 1,932 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Sarah0%4%8%12%Sarah, 26 Mar–Apr: 5.94% of appearances · 5,696 appearancesSarah, May: 4.67% of appearances · 7,089 appearancesSarah, Jun: 5.11% of appearances · 7,069 appearancesSarah, Jul: 5.93% of appearances · 8,152 appearancesSarah, Aug: 4.43% of appearances · 6,048 appearancesSarah, 1–19 Sep: 5.09% of appearances · 6,347 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Lei Fei0%4%8%12%Lei Fei, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.55% of appearances · 4,368 appearancesLei Fei, May: 4.24% of appearances · 6,439 appearancesLei Fei, Jun: 3.88% of appearances · 5,368 appearancesLei Fei, Jul: 3.26% of appearances · 4,479 appearancesLei Fei, Aug: 3.81% of appearances · 5,201 appearancesLei Fei, 1–19 Sep: 4.13% of appearances · 5,153 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Lion0%4%8%12%Lion, 26 Mar–Apr: 5.94% of appearances · 5,701 appearancesLion, May: 5.64% of appearances · 8,571 appearancesLion, Jun: 5.61% of appearances · 7,764 appearancesLion, Jul: 5.34% of appearances · 7,338 appearancesLion, Aug: 5.12% of appearances · 6,990 appearancesLion, 1–19 Sep: 5.37% of appearances · 6,699 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Vanessa0%4%8%12%Vanessa, 26 Mar–Apr: 4.49% of appearances · 4,311 appearancesVanessa, May: 4.54% of appearances · 6,902 appearancesVanessa, Jun: 3.46% of appearances · 4,789 appearancesVanessa, Jul: 4.18% of appearances · 5,740 appearancesVanessa, Aug: 3.55% of appearances · 4,843 appearancesVanessa, 1–19 Sep: 3.10% of appearances · 3,866 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Jeffry0%4%8%12%Jeffry, 26 Mar–Apr: 8.07% of appearances · 7,738 appearancesJeffry, May: 5.80% of appearances · 8,817 appearancesJeffry, Jun: 5.19% of appearances · 7,182 appearancesJeffry, Jul: 5.06% of appearances · 6,953 appearancesJeffry, Aug: 4.83% of appearances · 6,586 appearancesJeffry, 1–19 Sep: 5.17% of appearances · 6,448 appearancesAprMayJunJulAugSep
Monthly ratePart of a monthPatch, no balance changes

Dural is left out of the tests and the panels, as on the tier list. Dural's appearances still count in every pick rate's denominator.

Did anyone really rise or fall?

Win rate · ordered by p
CharacterFirst monthLast monthChangeSlope / monthPlayerspq (corrected)
Jeffry53.6%50.1%−3.5−0.893650.0040.076
Eileen48.6%52.7%+4.1+1.171670.0290.222
Lei Fei48.6%51.9%+3.3+0.841960.0350.222
Vanessa47.1%48.4%+1.3+0.412010.2110.695
Jean48.9%49.7%+0.8+0.322980.2210.695
Goh49.8%47.9%−2.0−0.282780.2320.695
Aoi48.7%49.9%+1.2+0.341950.2560.695
Wolf47.9%49.0%+1.1+0.223190.3750.697
Akira49.3%48.9%−0.4−0.184470.4050.697
Brad50.8%53.0%+2.2+0.202760.4110.697
Lion51.2%49.8%−1.4−0.193180.4270.697
Sarah50.7%49.1%−1.5−0.242490.4400.697
El Blaze52.6%50.0%−2.6−0.242470.5060.740
Shun47.9%49.6%+1.7+0.102440.6840.928
Jacky48.2%49.2%+1.0+0.054890.8180.966
Taka48.6%52.9%+4.3−0.101810.8260.966
Lau52.3%52.0%−0.3−0.033320.9010.966
Kage51.0%51.0%+0.1−0.033890.9150.966
Pai49.2%49.5%+0.2+0.002780.9950.995

None of the 19 trends survives the test. The closest is Jeffry: 53.6% → 50.1% (−0.89 points a month; p 0.004, q 0.076).

A character's rate can move because players figured it out, or because different people now play it. This report can't tell the two apart.

Jeffry: the 167 players who played it before and after July went from 50.5% to 47.9%; the 124 who stopped before July had been at 56.2%; the 74 who started from July on are at 54.5%.

Each trend is a straight line through every match's result against its month, and its error is counted in players, so one person's run of matches is not read as many people agreeing. A win-rate trend's p is the share of 1,000 shuffles — calendar days dealt to months at random, each month keeping its number of days — whose trend is at least as far from zero; q corrects it across the 19 characters (Benjamini–Hochberg). Under the same shuffles the usual normal p called 6.8% of win-rate trends significant where 5% is right, so it is not used; for pick rates it called 4.9% and is used as it stands.

The per-match pull holds no matches at all on 17 days inside the window (1 Apr, 28 Apr, 1 May, 1 Jun, 1 Jul, 1 Aug, 7 Aug–16 Aug, 1 Sep); the months around them are counted from the days that do.

Patch sources