Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Kage vs Taka
Matches counted1,049
Win rate44.6%
Widest swing20.3 pts
Survive correction2
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Kage's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 64.9% | +20.3 | <0.001 | 77 · | |
| Fence and open | 50.0% | +5.4 | 0.442 | 48 · | |
| Half fence | 49.6% | +5.0 | 0.242 | 121 | |
| Full fence | 48.2% | +3.6 | 0.426 | 110 | |
| Octagon | 44.9% | +0.3 | 0.953 | 98 | |
| Open | 44.2% | -0.4 | 0.934 | 113 | |
| Low fence | 43.0% | -1.6 | 0.721 | 107 | |
| Breakable half fence | 40.4% | -4.2 | 0.346 | 109 | |
| Rectangle | 38.8% | -5.8 | 0.222 | 98 | |
| Single wall | 32.5% | -12.1 | 0.004 | 126 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Kage's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 24.90 on 9 df, p 0.003
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 48.2%110 | -16.80.023 | -1.40.831 | +7.80.244 | +5.20.443 | +15.60.014 | -1.80.833 | +3.90.556 | +9.40.172 | +3.30.636 |
| Breakable full fence | +16.80.023 | 64.9%77 | +15.30.034 | +24.6<0.001 | +21.90.003 | +32.4<0.001 | +14.90.098 | +20.70.005 | +26.2<0.001 | +20.00.008 |
| Half fence | +1.40.831 | -15.30.034 | 49.6%121 | +9.20.161 | +6.60.319 | +17.10.006 | -0.40.961 | +5.30.414 | +10.80.110 | +4.70.490 |
| Breakable half fence | -7.80.244 | -24.6<0.001 | -9.20.161 | 40.4%109 | -2.60.696 | +7.80.213 | -9.60.262 | -3.90.559 | +1.60.815 | -4.50.510 |
| Low fence | -5.20.443 | -21.90.003 | -6.60.319 | +2.60.696 | 43.0%107 | +10.40.100 | -7.00.417 | -1.30.851 | +4.20.540 | -1.90.783 |
| Single wall | -15.60.014 | -32.4<0.001 | -17.10.006 | -7.80.213 | -10.40.100 | 32.5%126 | -17.50.033 | -11.70.063 | -6.20.333 | -12.40.059 |
| Fence and open | +1.80.833 | -14.90.098 | +0.40.961 | +9.60.262 | +7.00.417 | +17.50.033 | 50.0%48 | +5.80.503 | +11.20.197 | +5.10.562 |
| Open | -3.90.556 | -20.70.005 | -5.30.414 | +3.90.559 | +1.30.851 | +11.70.063 | -5.80.503 | 44.2%113 | +5.50.421 | -0.70.924 |
| Rectangle | -9.40.172 | -26.2<0.001 | -10.80.110 | -1.60.815 | -4.20.540 | +6.20.333 | -11.20.197 | -5.50.421 | 38.8%98 | -6.10.385 |
| Octagon | -3.30.636 | -20.00.008 | -4.70.490 | +4.50.510 | +1.90.783 | +12.40.059 | -5.10.562 | +0.70.924 | +6.10.385 | 44.9%98 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted768
Win rate44.1%
Widest swing-17.0 pts
Survive correction1
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Kage's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 57.9% | +13.8 | 0.030 | 57 · | |
| Fence and open | 53.9% | +9.7 | 0.210 | 39 · | |
| Half fence | 50.0% | +5.9 | 0.233 | 90 | |
| Octagon | 49.3% | +5.2 | 0.349 | 73 · | |
| Full fence | 47.7% | +3.5 | 0.484 | 86 | |
| Low fence | 44.6% | +0.5 | 0.936 | 65 · | |
| Open | 44.4% | +0.3 | 0.951 | 90 | |
| Breakable half fence | 41.4% | -2.7 | 0.632 | 70 · | |
| Rectangle | 36.4% | -7.8 | 0.147 | 77 · | |
| Single wall | 27.2% | -17.0 | <0.001 | 92 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Kage's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 21.18 on 9 df, p 0.012
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 47.7%86 | -10.20.231 | -2.30.758 | +6.20.435 | +3.00.709 | +20.50.005 | -6.20.523 | +3.20.667 | +11.30.145 | -1.60.837 |
| Breakable full fence | +10.20.231 | 57.9%57 | +7.90.350 | +16.50.065 | +13.30.143 | +30.7<0.001 | +4.00.695 | +13.40.112 | +21.50.013 | +8.60.331 |
| Half fence | +2.30.758 | -7.90.350 | 50.0%90 | +8.60.281 | +5.40.508 | +22.80.002 | -3.90.688 | +5.60.455 | +13.60.077 | +0.70.931 |
| Breakable half fence | -6.20.435 | -16.50.065 | -8.60.281 | 41.4%70 | -3.20.709 | +14.30.057 | -12.40.212 | -3.00.702 | +5.10.529 | -7.90.344 |
| Low fence | -3.00.709 | -13.30.143 | -5.40.508 | +3.20.709 | 44.6%65 | +17.40.023 | -9.20.362 | +0.20.983 | +8.30.318 | -4.70.581 |
| Single wall | -20.50.005 | -30.7<0.001 | -22.80.002 | -14.30.057 | -17.40.023 | 27.2%92 | -26.70.003 | -17.30.015 | -9.20.200 | -22.10.003 |
| Fence and open | +6.20.523 | -4.00.695 | +3.90.688 | +12.40.212 | +9.20.362 | +26.70.003 | 53.9%39 | +9.40.326 | +17.50.072 | +4.50.648 |
| Open | -3.20.667 | -13.40.112 | -5.60.455 | +3.00.702 | -0.20.983 | +17.30.015 | -9.40.326 | 44.4%90 | +8.10.289 | -4.90.535 |
| Rectangle | -11.30.145 | -21.50.013 | -13.60.077 | -5.10.529 | -8.30.318 | +9.20.200 | -17.50.072 | -8.10.289 | 36.4%77 | -13.00.109 |
| Octagon | +1.60.837 | -8.60.331 | -0.70.931 | +7.90.344 | +4.70.581 | +22.10.003 | -4.50.648 | +4.90.535 | +13.00.109 | 49.3%73 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted281
Win rate45.9%
Widest swing39.1 pts
Survive correction1
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Kage's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 85.0% | +39.1 | <0.001 | 20 · | |
| Full fence | 50.0% | +4.1 | 0.674 | 24 · | |
| Half fence | 48.4% | +2.5 | 0.769 | 31 · | |
| Rectangle | 47.6% | +1.7 | 0.870 | 21 · | |
| Single wall | 47.1% | +1.1 | 0.886 | 34 · | |
| Open | 43.5% | -2.4 | 0.807 | 23 · | |
| Low fence | 40.5% | -5.4 | 0.444 | 42 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 38.5% | -7.5 | 0.315 | 39 · | |
| Fence and open | 33.3% | -12.6 | 0.442 | 9 · | |
| Octagon | 32.0% | -13.9 | 0.144 | 25 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Kage's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 16.54 on 9 df, p 0.057
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 50.0%24 | -35.00.015 | +1.60.906 | +11.50.369 | +9.50.453 | +2.90.825 | +16.70.392 | +6.50.654 | +2.40.873 | +18.00.200 |
| Breakable full fence | +35.00.015 | 85.0%20 | +36.60.008 | +46.5<0.001 | +44.5<0.001 | +37.90.006 | +51.70.005 | +41.50.005 | +37.40.012 | +53.0<0.001 |
| Half fence | -1.60.906 | -36.60.008 | 48.4%31 | +9.90.405 | +7.90.501 | +1.30.915 | +15.10.424 | +4.90.721 | +0.80.957 | +16.40.215 |
| Breakable half fence | -11.50.369 | -46.5<0.001 | -9.90.405 | 38.5%39 | -2.00.853 | -8.60.459 | +5.10.775 | -5.00.697 | -9.20.493 | +6.50.599 |
| Low fence | -9.50.453 | -44.5<0.001 | -7.90.501 | +2.00.853 | 40.5%42 | -6.60.565 | +7.20.690 | -3.00.814 | -7.10.589 | +8.50.488 |
| Single wall | -2.90.825 | -37.90.006 | -1.30.915 | +8.60.459 | +6.60.565 | 47.1%34 | +13.70.461 | +3.60.790 | -0.60.968 | +15.10.245 |
| Fence and open | -16.70.392 | -51.70.005 | -15.10.424 | -5.10.775 | -7.20.690 | -13.70.461 | 33.3%9 | -10.20.599 | -14.30.469 | +1.30.942 |
| Open | -6.50.654 | -41.50.005 | -4.90.721 | +5.00.697 | +3.00.814 | -3.60.790 | +10.20.599 | 43.5%23 | -4.10.783 | +11.50.412 |
| Rectangle | -2.40.873 | -37.40.012 | -0.80.957 | +9.20.493 | +7.10.589 | +0.60.968 | +14.30.469 | +4.10.783 | 47.6%21 | +15.60.280 |
| Octagon | -18.00.200 | -53.0<0.001 | -16.40.215 | -6.50.599 | -8.50.488 | -15.10.245 | -1.30.942 | -11.50.412 | -15.60.280 | 32.0%25 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.