Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Jeffry vs Taka
Matches counted670
Win rate48.8%
Widest swing-8.8 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jeffry's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single wall | 56.4% | +7.5 | 0.242 | 55 · | |
| Fence and open | 52.5% | +3.7 | 0.630 | 40 · | |
| Rectangle | 51.9% | +3.0 | 0.641 | 54 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 50.9% | +2.0 | 0.743 | 59 · | |
| Half fence | 49.5% | +0.7 | 0.882 | 99 | |
| Breakable half fence | 47.1% | -1.7 | 0.769 | 70 · | |
| Full fence | 47.1% | -1.7 | 0.769 | 70 · | |
| Open | 46.0% | -2.8 | 0.643 | 63 · | |
| Octagon | 44.3% | -4.5 | 0.424 | 70 · | |
| Low fence | 40.0% | -8.8 | 0.153 | 60 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jeffry's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 4.51 on 9 df, p 0.875
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 47.1%70 | -3.70.675 | -2.40.763 | +0.01.000 | +7.10.413 | -9.20.306 | -5.40.589 | +1.10.898 | -4.70.603 | +2.90.734 |
| Breakable full fence | +3.70.675 | 50.9%59 | +1.40.869 | +3.70.675 | +10.80.235 | -5.50.555 | -1.60.872 | +4.80.595 | -1.00.915 | +6.60.457 |
| Half fence | +2.40.763 | -1.40.869 | 49.5%99 | +2.40.763 | +9.50.244 | -6.90.414 | -3.00.748 | +3.50.667 | -2.40.781 | +5.20.504 |
| Breakable half fence | -0.01.000 | -3.70.675 | -2.40.763 | 47.1%70 | +7.10.413 | -9.20.306 | -5.40.589 | +1.10.898 | -4.70.603 | +2.90.734 |
| Low fence | -7.10.413 | -10.80.235 | -9.50.244 | -7.10.413 | 40.0%60 | -16.40.079 | -12.50.218 | -6.00.500 | -11.80.205 | -4.30.622 |
| Single wall | +9.20.306 | +5.50.555 | +6.90.414 | +9.20.306 | +16.40.079 | 56.4%55 | +3.90.709 | +10.30.263 | +4.50.636 | +12.10.180 |
| Fence and open | +5.40.589 | +1.60.872 | +3.00.748 | +5.40.589 | +12.50.218 | -3.90.709 | 52.5%40 | +6.50.522 | +0.70.950 | +8.20.406 |
| Open | -1.10.898 | -4.80.595 | -3.50.667 | -1.10.898 | +6.00.500 | -10.30.263 | -6.50.522 | 46.0%63 | -5.80.530 | +1.70.840 |
| Rectangle | +4.70.603 | +1.00.915 | +2.40.781 | +4.70.603 | +11.80.205 | -4.50.636 | -0.70.950 | +5.80.530 | 51.9%54 | +7.60.403 |
| Octagon | -2.90.734 | -6.60.457 | -5.20.504 | -2.90.734 | +4.30.622 | -12.10.180 | -8.20.406 | -1.70.840 | -7.60.403 | 44.3%70 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted593
Win rate49.9%
Widest swing-11.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jeffry's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single wall | 56.0% | +6.1 | 0.369 | 50 · | |
| Fence and open | 55.9% | +6.0 | 0.474 | 34 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 52.9% | +3.0 | 0.651 | 51 · | |
| Rectangle | 52.0% | +2.1 | 0.758 | 50 · | |
| Half fence | 51.6% | +1.7 | 0.721 | 93 | |
| Breakable half fence | 48.4% | -1.5 | 0.802 | 64 · | |
| Open | 48.2% | -1.7 | 0.789 | 56 · | |
| Octagon | 47.3% | -2.6 | 0.681 | 55 · | |
| Full fence | 44.4% | -5.5 | 0.358 | 63 · | |
| Low fence | 38.3% | -11.6 | 0.097 | 47 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jeffry's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 5.11 on 9 df, p 0.825
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 44.4%63 | -8.50.367 | -7.20.379 | -4.00.652 | +6.10.518 | -11.60.222 | -11.40.282 | -3.80.681 | -7.60.425 | -2.80.758 |
| Breakable full fence | +8.50.367 | 52.9%51 | +1.30.879 | +4.50.631 | +14.60.146 | -3.10.758 | -2.90.790 | +4.70.625 | +0.90.925 | +5.70.560 |
| Half fence | +7.20.379 | -1.30.879 | 51.6%93 | +3.20.696 | +13.30.136 | -4.40.616 | -4.30.670 | +3.40.688 | -0.40.965 | +4.30.610 |
| Breakable half fence | +4.00.652 | -4.50.631 | -3.20.696 | 48.4%64 | +10.10.288 | -7.60.423 | -7.40.483 | +0.20.981 | -3.60.706 | +1.20.899 |
| Low fence | -6.10.518 | -14.60.146 | -13.30.136 | -10.10.288 | 38.3%47 | -17.70.081 | -17.60.117 | -9.90.312 | -13.70.176 | -9.00.362 |
| Single wall | +11.60.222 | +3.10.758 | +4.40.616 | +7.60.423 | +17.70.081 | 56.0%50 | +0.10.991 | +7.80.423 | +4.00.688 | +8.70.372 |
| Fence and open | +11.40.282 | +2.90.790 | +4.30.670 | +7.40.483 | +17.60.117 | -0.10.991 | 55.9%34 | +7.70.480 | +3.90.726 | +8.60.430 |
| Open | +3.80.681 | -4.70.625 | -3.40.688 | -0.20.981 | +9.90.312 | -7.80.423 | -7.70.480 | 48.2%56 | -3.80.697 | +0.90.921 |
| Rectangle | +7.60.425 | -0.90.925 | +0.40.965 | +3.60.706 | +13.70.176 | -4.00.688 | -3.90.726 | +3.80.697 | 52.0%50 | +4.70.628 |
| Octagon | +2.80.758 | -5.70.560 | -4.30.610 | -1.20.899 | +9.00.362 | -8.70.372 | -8.60.430 | -0.90.921 | -4.70.628 | 47.3%55 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted77
Win rate40.3%
Widest swing31.2 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jeffry's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 71.4% | +31.2 | 0.078 | 7 · | |
| Single wall | 60.0% | +19.7 | 0.352 | 5 · | |
| Rectangle | 50.0% | +9.7 | 0.683 | 4 · | |
| Low fence | 46.1% | +5.9 | 0.635 | 13 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 37.5% | -2.8 | 0.866 | 8 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 33.3% | -6.9 | 0.719 | 6 · | |
| Fence and open | 33.3% | -6.9 | 0.719 | 6 · | |
| Octagon | 33.3% | -6.9 | 0.542 | 15 · | |
| Open | 28.6% | -11.7 | 0.508 | 7 · | |
| Half fence | 16.7% | -23.6 | 0.220 | 6 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jeffry's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.33 on 9 df, p 0.706
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 71.4%7 | +33.90.189 | +54.80.048 | +38.10.170 | +25.30.279 | +11.40.679 | +38.10.170 | +42.90.109 | +21.40.477 | +38.10.095 |
| Breakable full fence | -33.90.189 | 37.5%8 | +20.80.393 | +4.20.872 | -8.70.697 | -22.50.429 | +4.20.872 | +8.90.714 | -12.50.679 | +4.20.842 |
| Half fence | -54.80.048 | -20.80.393 | 16.7%6 | -16.70.505 | -29.50.216 | -43.30.137 | -16.70.505 | -11.90.612 | -33.30.260 | -16.70.445 |
| Breakable half fence | -38.10.170 | -4.20.872 | +16.70.505 | 33.3%6 | -12.80.599 | -26.70.376 | +0.01.000 | +4.80.853 | -16.70.598 | +0.01.000 |
| Low fence | -25.30.279 | +8.70.697 | +29.50.216 | +12.80.599 | 46.1%13 | -13.80.599 | +12.80.599 | +17.60.444 | -3.90.893 | +12.80.488 |
| Single wall | -11.40.679 | +22.50.429 | +43.30.137 | +26.70.376 | +13.80.599 | 60.0%5 | +26.70.376 | +31.40.276 | +10.00.764 | +26.70.292 |
| Fence and open | -38.10.170 | -4.20.872 | +16.70.505 | -0.01.000 | -12.80.599 | -26.70.376 | 33.3%6 | +4.80.853 | -16.70.598 | +0.01.000 |
| Open | -42.90.109 | -8.90.714 | +11.90.612 | -4.80.853 | -17.60.444 | -31.40.276 | -4.80.853 | 28.6%7 | -21.40.477 | -4.80.823 |
| Rectangle | -21.40.477 | +12.50.679 | +33.30.260 | +16.70.598 | +3.90.893 | -10.00.764 | +16.70.598 | +21.40.477 | 50.0%4 | +16.70.539 |
| Octagon | -38.10.095 | -4.20.842 | +16.70.445 | -0.01.000 | -12.80.488 | -26.70.292 | -0.01.000 | +4.80.823 | -16.70.539 | 33.3%15 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.