Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Jacky vs Kage
Matches counted4,780
Win rate47.5%
Widest swing3.9 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jacky's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 51.5% | +3.9 | 0.214 | 239 | |
| Octagon | 50.9% | +3.4 | 0.117 | 481 | |
| Half fence | 49.9% | +2.3 | 0.323 | 411 | |
| Open | 48.7% | +1.1 | 0.605 | 460 | |
| Single wall | 47.2% | -0.3 | 0.882 | 546 | |
| Full fence | 47.1% | -0.4 | 0.836 | 484 | |
| Breakable full fence | 46.7% | -0.9 | 0.667 | 525 | |
| Low fence | 46.5% | -1.1 | 0.613 | 480 | |
| Rectangle | 46.5% | -1.1 | 0.617 | 465 | |
| Breakable half fence | 44.3% | -3.2 | 0.136 | 474 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jacky's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.46 on 9 df, p 0.590
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 47.1%484 | +0.40.889 | -2.80.408 | +2.80.384 | +0.70.840 | -0.10.963 | -4.30.270 | -1.60.625 | +0.70.840 | -3.80.234 |
| Breakable full fence | -0.40.889 | 46.7%525 | -3.20.329 | +2.40.454 | +0.20.947 | -0.60.848 | -4.80.218 | -2.00.525 | +0.20.946 | -4.30.176 |
| Half fence | +2.80.408 | +3.20.329 | 49.9%411 | +5.60.097 | +3.40.308 | +2.60.421 | -1.60.697 | +1.20.727 | +3.40.311 | -1.10.753 |
| Breakable half fence | -2.80.384 | -2.40.454 | -5.60.097 | 44.3%474 | -2.20.504 | -3.00.346 | -7.20.070 | -4.40.178 | -2.10.509 | -6.60.040 |
| Low fence | -0.70.840 | -0.20.947 | -3.40.308 | +2.20.504 | 46.5%480 | -0.80.799 | -5.00.206 | -2.20.492 | +0.00.998 | -4.50.165 |
| Single wall | +0.10.963 | +0.60.848 | -2.60.421 | +3.00.346 | +0.80.799 | 47.2%546 | -4.20.277 | -1.40.648 | +0.80.799 | -3.70.239 |
| Fence and open | +4.30.270 | +4.80.218 | +1.60.697 | +7.20.070 | +5.00.206 | +4.20.277 | 51.5%239 | +2.80.487 | +5.00.207 | +0.50.894 |
| Open | +1.60.625 | +2.00.525 | -1.20.727 | +4.40.178 | +2.20.492 | +1.40.648 | -2.80.487 | 48.7%460 | +2.20.494 | -2.20.492 |
| Rectangle | -0.70.840 | -0.20.946 | -3.40.311 | +2.10.509 | -0.00.998 | -0.80.799 | -5.00.207 | -2.20.494 | 46.5%465 | -4.50.168 |
| Octagon | +3.80.234 | +4.30.176 | +1.10.753 | +6.60.040 | +4.50.165 | +3.70.239 | -0.50.894 | +2.20.492 | +4.50.168 | 50.9%481 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted3,836
Win rate47.2%
Widest swing-3.0 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jacky's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Octagon | 49.9% | +2.6 | 0.284 | 367 | |
| Fence and open | 49.8% | +2.5 | 0.464 | 197 | |
| Half fence | 49.7% | +2.5 | 0.346 | 328 | |
| Open | 48.5% | +1.2 | 0.602 | 390 | |
| Full fence | 48.2% | +1.0 | 0.664 | 398 | |
| Breakable full fence | 47.0% | -0.3 | 0.908 | 426 | |
| Low fence | 46.8% | -0.5 | 0.850 | 385 | |
| Rectangle | 46.5% | -0.7 | 0.764 | 368 | |
| Single wall | 45.9% | -1.3 | 0.556 | 438 | |
| Breakable half fence | 44.2% | -3.0 | 0.220 | 382 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jacky's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 4.46 on 9 df, p 0.878
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 48.2%398 | +1.30.710 | -1.50.697 | +4.00.263 | +1.50.677 | +2.40.496 | -1.50.730 | -0.20.951 | +1.80.623 | -1.60.654 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.30.710 | 47.0%426 | -2.80.454 | +2.70.440 | +0.20.956 | +1.10.755 | -2.80.516 | -1.50.666 | +0.50.892 | -2.90.413 |
| Half fence | +1.50.697 | +2.80.454 | 49.7%328 | +5.50.146 | +3.00.433 | +3.80.297 | -0.10.991 | +1.20.742 | +3.20.395 | -0.20.965 |
| Breakable half fence | -4.00.263 | -2.70.440 | -5.50.146 | 44.2%382 | -2.50.485 | -1.60.636 | -5.50.208 | -4.20.240 | -2.20.540 | -5.60.123 |
| Low fence | -1.50.677 | -0.20.956 | -3.00.433 | +2.50.485 | 46.8%385 | +0.90.804 | -3.00.494 | -1.70.634 | +0.30.937 | -3.10.394 |
| Single wall | -2.40.496 | -1.10.755 | -3.80.297 | +1.60.636 | -0.90.804 | 45.9%438 | -3.90.368 | -2.60.459 | -0.60.870 | -4.00.261 |
| Fence and open | +1.50.730 | +2.80.516 | +0.10.991 | +5.50.208 | +3.00.494 | +3.90.368 | 49.8%197 | +1.30.769 | +3.30.457 | -0.10.979 |
| Open | +0.20.951 | +1.50.666 | -1.20.742 | +4.20.240 | +1.70.634 | +2.60.459 | -1.30.769 | 48.5%390 | +2.00.583 | -1.40.700 |
| Rectangle | -1.80.623 | -0.50.892 | -3.20.395 | +2.20.540 | -0.30.937 | +0.60.870 | -3.30.457 | -2.00.583 | 46.5%368 | -3.40.357 |
| Octagon | +1.60.654 | +2.90.413 | +0.20.965 | +5.60.123 | +3.10.394 | +4.00.261 | +0.10.979 | +1.40.700 | +3.40.357 | 49.9%367 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted944
Win rate48.9%
Widest swing10.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jacky's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 59.5% | +10.6 | 0.160 | 42 · | |
| Octagon | 54.4% | +5.5 | 0.215 | 114 | |
| Single wall | 52.8% | +3.8 | 0.397 | 108 | |
| Half fence | 50.6% | +1.7 | 0.751 | 83 | |
| Open | 50.0% | +1.1 | 0.854 | 70 · | |
| Rectangle | 46.4% | -2.5 | 0.596 | 97 | |
| Breakable full fence | 45.5% | -3.5 | 0.463 | 99 | |
| Low fence | 45.3% | -3.7 | 0.450 | 95 | |
| Breakable half fence | 44.6% | -4.4 | 0.377 | 92 | |
| Full fence | 41.9% | -7.1 | 0.168 | 86 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jacky's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.64 on 9 df, p 0.570
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 41.9%86 | -3.60.623 | -8.70.254 | -2.70.716 | -3.40.645 | -10.90.131 | -17.70.060 | -8.10.310 | -4.50.538 | -12.50.079 |
| Breakable full fence | +3.60.623 | 45.5%99 | -5.20.489 | +0.90.902 | +0.20.979 | -7.30.292 | -14.10.126 | -4.50.560 | -0.90.895 | -8.90.194 |
| Half fence | +8.70.254 | +5.20.489 | 50.6%83 | +6.00.424 | +5.30.477 | -2.20.766 | -8.90.345 | +0.60.941 | +4.20.573 | -3.80.599 |
| Breakable half fence | +2.70.716 | -0.90.902 | -6.00.424 | 44.6%92 | -0.70.924 | -8.20.247 | -14.90.108 | -5.40.492 | -1.80.801 | -9.80.161 |
| Low fence | +3.40.645 | -0.20.979 | -5.30.477 | +0.70.924 | 45.3%95 | -7.50.285 | -14.30.124 | -4.70.547 | -1.10.875 | -9.10.189 |
| Single wall | +10.90.131 | +7.30.292 | +2.20.766 | +8.20.247 | +7.50.285 | 52.8%108 | -6.70.456 | +2.80.717 | +6.40.361 | -1.60.810 |
| Fence and open | +17.70.060 | +14.10.126 | +8.90.345 | +14.90.108 | +14.30.124 | +6.70.456 | 59.5%42 | +9.50.328 | +13.10.155 | +5.10.567 |
| Open | +8.10.310 | +4.50.560 | -0.60.941 | +5.40.492 | +4.70.547 | -2.80.717 | -9.50.328 | 50.0%70 | +3.60.645 | -4.40.563 |
| Rectangle | +4.50.538 | +0.90.895 | -4.20.573 | +1.80.801 | +1.10.875 | -6.40.361 | -13.10.155 | -3.60.645 | 46.4%97 | -8.00.247 |
| Octagon | +12.50.079 | +8.90.194 | +3.80.599 | +9.80.161 | +9.10.189 | +1.60.810 | -5.10.567 | +4.40.563 | +8.00.247 | 54.4%114 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.