Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Jacky vs Jean
Matches counted3,758
Win rate50.5%
Widest swing-4.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jacky's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low fence | 52.5% | +2.1 | 0.410 | 356 | |
| Octagon | 52.1% | +1.6 | 0.503 | 388 | |
| Half fence | 52.0% | +1.6 | 0.526 | 373 | |
| Rectangle | 51.6% | +1.1 | 0.675 | 316 | |
| Full fence | 51.4% | +0.9 | 0.700 | 405 | |
| Single wall | 50.9% | +0.5 | 0.849 | 383 | |
| Breakable half fence | 50.6% | +0.1 | 0.955 | 334 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.5% | -0.9 | 0.686 | 424 | |
| Fence and open | 46.8% | -3.6 | 0.305 | 188 | |
| Open | 45.9% | -4.5 | 0.058 | 394 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jacky's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.06 on 9 df, p 0.734
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.4%405 | +1.80.598 | -0.70.856 | +0.80.837 | -1.20.747 | +0.50.901 | +4.50.303 | +5.40.125 | -0.20.952 | -0.70.843 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.80.598 | 49.5%424 | -2.50.484 | -1.10.770 | -3.00.404 | -1.40.694 | +2.70.535 | +3.60.304 | -2.00.580 | -2.50.471 |
| Half fence | +0.70.856 | +2.50.484 | 52.0%373 | +1.40.708 | -0.50.889 | +1.10.763 | +5.20.245 | +6.10.093 | +0.40.911 | -0.10.989 |
| Breakable half fence | -0.80.837 | +1.10.770 | -1.40.708 | 50.6%334 | -1.90.612 | -0.30.933 | +3.80.406 | +4.70.210 | -1.00.802 | -1.50.695 |
| Low fence | +1.20.747 | +3.00.404 | +0.50.889 | +1.90.612 | 52.5%356 | +1.60.661 | +5.70.204 | +6.60.071 | +0.90.806 | +0.50.899 |
| Single wall | -0.50.901 | +1.40.694 | -1.10.763 | +0.30.933 | -1.60.661 | 50.9%383 | +4.10.357 | +5.00.165 | -0.70.860 | -1.10.750 |
| Fence and open | -4.50.303 | -2.70.535 | -5.20.245 | -3.80.406 | -5.70.204 | -4.10.357 | 46.8%188 | +0.90.844 | -4.80.300 | -5.20.237 |
| Open | -5.40.125 | -3.60.304 | -6.10.093 | -4.70.210 | -6.60.071 | -5.00.165 | -0.90.844 | 45.9%394 | -5.60.135 | -6.10.087 |
| Rectangle | +0.20.952 | +2.00.580 | -0.40.911 | +1.00.802 | -0.90.806 | +0.70.860 | +4.80.300 | +5.60.135 | 51.6%316 | -0.50.899 |
| Octagon | +0.70.843 | +2.50.471 | +0.10.989 | +1.50.695 | -0.50.899 | +1.10.750 | +5.20.237 | +6.10.087 | +0.50.899 | 52.1%388 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted3,560
Win rate50.3%
Widest swing-4.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jacky's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low fence | 52.7% | +2.4 | 0.357 | 338 | |
| Single wall | 52.5% | +2.2 | 0.373 | 358 | |
| Octagon | 52.2% | +1.9 | 0.445 | 370 | |
| Half fence | 51.9% | +1.6 | 0.535 | 351 | |
| Rectangle | 50.8% | +0.6 | 0.842 | 301 | |
| Full fence | 50.8% | +0.5 | 0.836 | 384 | |
| Breakable half fence | 49.8% | -0.4 | 0.870 | 315 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.4% | -0.9 | 0.701 | 401 | |
| Fence and open | 45.6% | -4.6 | 0.197 | 184 | |
| Open | 45.6% | -4.6 | 0.061 | 368 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jacky's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.31 on 9 df, p 0.605
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 50.8%384 | +1.40.694 | -1.10.772 | +0.90.805 | -1.90.614 | -1.70.637 | +5.10.253 | +5.10.159 | -0.10.990 | -1.40.704 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.40.694 | 49.4%401 | -2.50.498 | -0.50.902 | -3.30.373 | -3.10.388 | +3.70.403 | +3.70.302 | -1.40.703 | -2.80.440 |
| Half fence | +1.10.772 | +2.50.498 | 51.9%351 | +2.00.604 | -0.80.831 | -0.70.860 | +6.20.173 | +6.20.096 | +1.00.795 | -0.30.934 |
| Breakable half fence | -0.90.805 | +0.50.902 | -2.00.604 | 49.8%315 | -2.80.471 | -2.70.489 | +4.20.366 | +4.20.274 | -1.00.806 | -2.30.545 |
| Low fence | +1.90.614 | +3.30.373 | +0.80.831 | +2.80.471 | 52.7%338 | +0.10.969 | +7.00.126 | +7.00.063 | +1.80.644 | +0.50.894 |
| Single wall | +1.70.637 | +3.10.388 | +0.70.860 | +2.70.489 | -0.10.969 | 52.5%358 | +6.90.130 | +6.90.064 | +1.70.667 | +0.30.924 |
| Fence and open | -5.10.253 | -3.70.403 | -6.20.173 | -4.20.366 | -7.00.126 | -6.90.130 | 45.6%184 | +0.01.000 | -5.20.268 | -6.50.149 |
| Open | -5.10.159 | -3.70.302 | -6.20.096 | -4.20.274 | -7.00.063 | -6.90.064 | -0.01.000 | 45.6%368 | -5.20.182 | -6.50.077 |
| Rectangle | +0.10.990 | +1.40.703 | -1.00.795 | +1.00.806 | -1.80.644 | -1.70.667 | +5.20.268 | +5.20.182 | 50.8%301 | -1.30.731 |
| Octagon | +1.40.704 | +2.80.440 | +0.30.934 | +2.30.545 | -0.50.894 | -0.30.924 | +6.50.149 | +6.50.077 | +1.30.731 | 52.2%370 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted198
Win rate53.5%
Widest swing46.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Jacky's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 100.0% | +46.5 | 0.060 | 4 · | |
| Rectangle | 66.7% | +13.1 | 0.289 | 15 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 63.2% | +9.6 | 0.376 | 19 · | |
| Full fence | 61.9% | +8.4 | 0.416 | 21 · | |
| Half fence | 54.5% | +1.0 | 0.920 | 22 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 52.2% | -1.4 | 0.889 | 23 · | |
| Low fence | 50.0% | -3.5 | 0.752 | 18 · | |
| Octagon | 50.0% | -3.5 | 0.752 | 18 · | |
| Open | 50.0% | -3.5 | 0.698 | 26 · | |
| Single wall | 28.0% | -25.5 | 0.006 | 25 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Jacky's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 12.65 on 9 df, p 0.179
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 61.9%21 | +9.70.515 | +7.30.625 | -1.30.935 | +11.90.455 | +33.90.021 | -38.10.134 | +11.90.414 | -4.80.769 | +11.90.455 |
| Breakable full fence | -9.70.515 | 52.2%23 | -2.40.873 | -11.00.474 | +2.20.890 | +24.20.087 | -47.80.072 | +2.20.879 | -14.50.376 | +2.20.890 |
| Half fence | -7.30.625 | +2.40.873 | 54.5%22 | -8.60.577 | +4.50.775 | +26.60.064 | -45.50.086 | +4.50.753 | -12.10.461 | +4.50.775 |
| Breakable half fence | +1.30.935 | +11.00.474 | +8.60.577 | 63.2%19 | +13.20.419 | +35.20.020 | -36.80.146 | +13.20.380 | -3.50.832 | +13.20.419 |
| Low fence | -11.90.455 | -2.20.890 | -4.50.775 | -13.20.419 | 50.0%18 | +22.00.141 | -50.00.066 | +0.01.000 | -16.70.335 | +0.01.000 |
| Single wall | -33.90.021 | -24.20.087 | -26.60.064 | -35.20.020 | -22.00.141 | 28.0%25 | -72.00.006 | -22.00.108 | -38.70.017 | -22.00.141 |
| Fence and open | +38.10.134 | +47.80.072 | +45.50.086 | +36.80.146 | +50.00.066 | +72.00.006 | 100.0%4 | +50.00.060 | +33.30.179 | +50.00.066 |
| Open | -11.90.414 | -2.20.879 | -4.50.753 | -13.20.380 | -0.01.000 | +22.00.108 | -50.00.060 | 50.0%26 | -16.70.300 | +0.01.000 |
| Rectangle | +4.80.769 | +14.50.376 | +12.10.461 | +3.50.832 | +16.70.335 | +38.70.017 | -33.30.179 | +16.70.300 | 66.7%15 | +16.70.335 |
| Octagon | -11.90.455 | -2.20.890 | -4.50.775 | -13.20.419 | -0.01.000 | +22.00.141 | -50.00.066 | -0.01.000 | -16.70.335 | 50.0%18 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.