Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Goh vs Wolf
Matches counted2,333
Win rate50.7%
Widest swing6.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Goh's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single wall | 57.2% | +6.5 | 0.034 | 236 | |
| Low fence | 53.1% | +2.4 | 0.444 | 228 | |
| Fence and open | 52.1% | +1.5 | 0.744 | 117 | |
| Open | 51.2% | +0.6 | 0.854 | 246 | |
| Octagon | 50.7% | +0.0 | 0.999 | 227 | |
| Rectangle | 50.6% | -0.1 | 0.974 | 263 | |
| Half fence | 50.2% | -0.5 | 0.883 | 237 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.1% | -1.6 | 0.624 | 224 | |
| Full fence | 48.1% | -2.6 | 0.433 | 206 | |
| Breakable half fence | 45.4% | -5.2 | 0.103 | 218 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Goh's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.89 on 9 df, p 0.545
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 48.1%206 | -1.10.828 | -2.10.651 | +2.60.585 | -5.00.297 | -9.10.055 | -4.10.481 | -3.20.503 | -2.50.589 | -2.60.589 |
| Breakable full fence | +1.10.828 | 49.1%224 | -1.10.813 | +3.70.437 | -4.00.399 | -8.10.082 | -3.00.595 | -2.10.647 | -1.50.748 | -1.60.741 |
| Half fence | +2.10.651 | +1.10.813 | 50.2%237 | +4.80.306 | -2.90.537 | -7.00.127 | -1.90.733 | -1.00.825 | -0.40.936 | -0.50.923 |
| Breakable half fence | -2.60.585 | -3.70.437 | -4.80.306 | 45.4%218 | -7.70.106 | -11.80.012 | -6.70.240 | -5.80.212 | -5.20.260 | -5.20.268 |
| Low fence | +5.00.297 | +4.00.399 | +2.90.537 | +7.70.106 | 53.1%228 | -4.10.371 | +0.90.869 | +1.90.687 | +2.50.580 | +2.40.607 |
| Single wall | +9.10.055 | +8.10.082 | +7.00.127 | +11.80.012 | +4.10.371 | 57.2%236 | +5.10.367 | +6.00.188 | +6.60.138 | +6.50.158 |
| Fence and open | +4.10.481 | +3.00.595 | +1.90.733 | +6.70.240 | -0.90.869 | -5.10.367 | 52.1%117 | +0.90.870 | +1.60.778 | +1.50.795 |
| Open | +3.20.503 | +2.10.647 | +1.00.825 | +5.80.212 | -1.90.687 | -6.00.188 | -0.90.870 | 51.2%246 | +0.70.884 | +0.60.903 |
| Rectangle | +2.50.589 | +1.50.748 | +0.40.936 | +5.20.260 | -2.50.580 | -6.60.138 | -1.60.778 | -0.70.884 | 50.6%263 | -0.10.984 |
| Octagon | +2.60.589 | +1.60.741 | +0.50.923 | +5.20.268 | -2.40.607 | -6.50.158 | -1.50.795 | -0.60.903 | +0.10.984 | 50.7%227 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted2,225
Win rate50.5%
Widest swing5.2 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Goh's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single wall | 55.7% | +5.2 | 0.104 | 221 | |
| Low fence | 53.9% | +3.5 | 0.285 | 217 | |
| Fence and open | 52.7% | +2.2 | 0.632 | 112 | |
| Octagon | 50.9% | +0.4 | 0.891 | 220 | |
| Open | 50.9% | +0.4 | 0.903 | 236 | |
| Half fence | 50.7% | +0.2 | 0.952 | 227 | |
| Rectangle | 50.4% | -0.1 | 0.982 | 248 | |
| Breakable full fence | 48.8% | -1.6 | 0.614 | 215 | |
| Full fence | 46.6% | -3.8 | 0.264 | 193 | |
| Breakable half fence | 45.3% | -5.2 | 0.112 | 212 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Goh's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.31 on 9 df, p 0.605
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 46.6%193 | -2.20.656 | -4.00.410 | +1.40.786 | -7.30.141 | -9.00.067 | -6.00.309 | -4.20.385 | -3.80.432 | -4.30.386 |
| Breakable full fence | +2.20.656 | 48.8%215 | -1.80.702 | +3.60.462 | -5.10.291 | -6.80.154 | -3.80.510 | -2.00.670 | -1.60.737 | -2.10.666 |
| Half fence | +4.00.410 | +1.80.702 | 50.7%227 | +5.40.260 | -3.30.492 | -5.00.289 | -2.00.727 | -0.20.968 | +0.30.955 | -0.20.958 |
| Breakable half fence | -1.40.786 | -3.60.462 | -5.40.260 | 45.3%212 | -8.60.074 | -10.40.031 | -7.40.205 | -5.60.239 | -5.10.273 | -5.60.242 |
| Low fence | +7.30.141 | +5.10.291 | +3.30.492 | +8.60.074 | 53.9%217 | -1.70.715 | +1.20.831 | +3.10.513 | +3.50.449 | +3.00.529 |
| Single wall | +9.00.067 | +6.80.154 | +5.00.289 | +10.40.031 | +1.70.715 | 55.7%221 | +3.00.606 | +4.80.303 | +5.30.255 | +4.80.318 |
| Fence and open | +6.00.309 | +3.80.510 | +2.00.727 | +7.40.205 | -1.20.831 | -3.00.606 | 52.7%112 | +1.80.749 | +2.30.689 | +1.80.760 |
| Open | +4.20.385 | +2.00.670 | +0.20.968 | +5.60.239 | -3.10.513 | -4.80.303 | -1.80.749 | 50.9%236 | +0.50.922 | -0.10.990 |
| Rectangle | +3.80.432 | +1.60.737 | -0.30.955 | +5.10.273 | -3.50.449 | -5.30.255 | -2.30.689 | -0.50.922 | 50.4%248 | -0.50.913 |
| Octagon | +4.30.386 | +2.10.666 | +0.20.958 | +5.60.242 | -3.00.529 | -4.80.318 | -1.80.760 | +0.10.990 | +0.50.913 | 50.9%220 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted108
Win rate54.6%
Widest swing25.4 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Goh's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single wall | 80.0% | +25.4 | 0.033 | 15 · | |
| Full fence | 69.2% | +14.6 | 0.260 | 13 · | |
| Open | 60.0% | +5.4 | 0.720 | 10 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 55.6% | +0.9 | 0.954 | 9 · | |
| Rectangle | 53.3% | -1.3 | 0.913 | 15 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 50.0% | -4.6 | 0.815 | 6 · | |
| Octagon | 42.9% | -11.8 | 0.518 | 7 · | |
| Fence and open | 40.0% | -14.6 | 0.501 | 5 · | |
| Half fence | 40.0% | -14.6 | 0.329 | 10 · | |
| Low fence | 36.4% | -18.3 | 0.199 | 11 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Goh's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.36 on 9 df, p 0.498
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 69.2%13 | +13.70.512 | +29.20.161 | +19.20.419 | +32.90.107 | -10.80.512 | +29.20.255 | +9.20.645 | +15.90.390 | +26.40.251 |
| Breakable full fence | -13.70.512 | 55.6%9 | +15.60.498 | +5.60.833 | +19.20.391 | -24.40.202 | +15.60.577 | -4.40.845 | +2.20.916 | +12.70.614 |
| Half fence | -29.20.161 | -15.60.498 | 40.0%10 | -10.00.696 | +3.60.864 | -40.00.041 | +0.01.000 | -20.00.371 | -13.30.513 | -2.90.906 |
| Breakable half fence | -19.20.419 | -5.60.833 | +10.00.696 | 50.0%6 | +13.60.585 | -30.00.169 | +10.00.740 | -10.00.696 | -3.30.890 | +7.10.797 |
| Low fence | -32.90.107 | -19.20.391 | -3.60.864 | -13.60.585 | 36.4%11 | -43.60.024 | -3.60.889 | -23.60.279 | -17.00.391 | -6.50.783 |
| Single wall | +10.80.512 | +24.40.202 | +40.00.041 | +30.00.169 | +43.60.024 | 80.0%15 | +40.00.091 | +20.00.275 | +26.70.121 | +37.10.081 |
| Fence and open | -29.20.255 | -15.60.577 | -0.01.000 | -10.00.740 | +3.60.889 | -40.00.091 | 40.0%5 | -20.00.464 | -13.30.606 | -2.90.921 |
| Open | -9.20.645 | +4.40.845 | +20.00.371 | +10.00.696 | +23.60.279 | -20.00.275 | +20.00.464 | 60.0%10 | +6.70.742 | +17.10.486 |
| Rectangle | -15.90.390 | -2.20.916 | +13.30.513 | +3.30.890 | +17.00.391 | -26.70.121 | +13.30.606 | -6.70.742 | 53.3%15 | +10.50.647 |
| Octagon | -26.40.251 | -12.70.614 | +2.90.906 | -7.10.797 | +6.50.783 | -37.10.081 | +2.90.921 | -17.10.486 | -10.50.647 | 42.9%7 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.