Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Goh vs Jean
Matches counted2,417
Win rate48.1%
Widest swing6.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Goh's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 54.6% | +6.5 | 0.051 | 205 | |
| Open | 52.6% | +4.5 | 0.152 | 232 | |
| Fence and open | 51.3% | +3.2 | 0.484 | 113 | |
| Full fence | 50.8% | +2.7 | 0.369 | 252 | |
| Breakable half fence | 50.2% | +2.1 | 0.494 | 241 | |
| Rectangle | 48.4% | +0.2 | 0.934 | 273 | |
| Single wall | 48.1% | +0.0 | 0.992 | 243 | |
| Low fence | 46.1% | -2.1 | 0.500 | 241 | |
| Half fence | 43.1% | -5.0 | 0.080 | 267 | |
| Octagon | 42.5% | -5.6 | 0.072 | 235 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Goh's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 12.88 on 9 df, p 0.168
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 50.8%252 | -3.80.414 | +7.70.078 | +0.60.896 | +4.70.293 | +2.60.556 | -0.50.925 | -1.80.693 | +2.40.576 | +8.20.069 |
| Breakable full fence | +3.80.414 | 54.6%205 | +11.60.013 | +4.40.351 | +8.60.071 | +6.50.171 | +3.30.572 | +2.00.668 | +6.30.174 | +12.10.011 |
| Half fence | -7.70.078 | -11.60.013 | 43.1%267 | -7.10.107 | -3.00.499 | -5.10.250 | -8.30.140 | -9.50.034 | -5.30.218 | +0.50.907 |
| Breakable half fence | -0.60.896 | -4.40.351 | +7.10.107 | 50.2%241 | +4.20.362 | +2.10.650 | -1.10.844 | -2.40.605 | +1.90.675 | +7.70.094 |
| Low fence | -4.70.293 | -8.60.071 | +3.00.499 | -4.20.362 | 46.1%241 | -2.10.645 | -5.30.355 | -6.50.156 | -2.30.603 | +3.50.442 |
| Single wall | -2.60.556 | -6.50.171 | +5.10.250 | -2.10.650 | +2.10.645 | 48.1%243 | -3.20.576 | -4.40.334 | -0.20.963 | +5.60.219 |
| Fence and open | +0.50.925 | -3.30.572 | +8.30.140 | +1.10.844 | +5.30.355 | +3.20.576 | 51.3%113 | -1.30.826 | +3.00.595 | +8.80.124 |
| Open | +1.80.693 | -2.00.668 | +9.50.034 | +2.40.605 | +6.50.156 | +4.40.334 | +1.30.826 | 52.6%232 | +4.20.343 | +10.00.030 |
| Rectangle | -2.40.576 | -6.30.174 | +5.30.218 | -1.90.675 | +2.30.603 | +0.20.963 | -3.00.595 | -4.20.343 | 48.4%273 | +5.80.191 |
| Octagon | -8.20.069 | -12.10.011 | -0.50.907 | -7.70.094 | -3.50.442 | -5.60.219 | -8.80.124 | -10.00.030 | -5.80.191 | 42.5%235 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted2,321
Win rate48.0%
Widest swing7.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Goh's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 55.5% | +7.5 | 0.026 | 200 | |
| Open | 52.2% | +4.2 | 0.182 | 224 | |
| Fence and open | 51.8% | +3.8 | 0.411 | 112 | |
| Full fence | 51.0% | +3.0 | 0.319 | 239 | |
| Breakable half fence | 49.3% | +1.3 | 0.676 | 223 | |
| Single wall | 48.8% | +0.8 | 0.805 | 240 | |
| Rectangle | 48.1% | +0.1 | 0.958 | 270 | |
| Low fence | 45.3% | -2.7 | 0.379 | 232 | |
| Half fence | 42.9% | -5.1 | 0.086 | 254 | |
| Octagon | 41.6% | -6.4 | 0.046 | 221 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Goh's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 14.67 on 9 df, p 0.100
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.0%239 | -4.50.352 | +8.10.071 | +1.70.712 | +5.80.209 | +2.30.615 | -0.70.897 | -1.20.799 | +2.90.514 | +9.40.043 |
| Breakable full fence | +4.50.352 | 55.5%200 | +12.60.008 | +6.20.204 | +10.20.034 | +6.80.158 | +3.70.528 | +3.30.500 | +7.30.115 | +13.90.004 |
| Half fence | -8.10.071 | -12.60.008 | 42.9%254 | -6.40.161 | -2.40.603 | -5.80.193 | -8.90.116 | -9.30.042 | -5.20.229 | +1.30.777 |
| Breakable half fence | -1.70.712 | -6.20.204 | +6.40.161 | 49.3%223 | +4.10.385 | +0.60.901 | -2.50.671 | -2.90.539 | +1.20.794 | +7.70.103 |
| Low fence | -5.80.209 | -10.20.034 | +2.40.603 | -4.10.385 | 45.3%232 | -3.50.447 | -6.50.256 | -7.00.136 | -2.90.518 | +3.60.436 |
| Single wall | -2.30.615 | -6.80.158 | +5.80.193 | -0.60.901 | +3.50.447 | 48.8%240 | -3.00.596 | -3.50.453 | +0.60.892 | +7.10.125 |
| Fence and open | +0.70.897 | -3.70.528 | +8.90.116 | +2.50.671 | +6.50.256 | +3.00.596 | 51.8%112 | -0.40.938 | +3.60.517 | +10.20.078 |
| Open | +1.20.799 | -3.30.500 | +9.30.042 | +2.90.539 | +7.00.136 | +3.50.453 | +0.40.938 | 52.2%224 | +4.10.366 | +10.60.025 |
| Rectangle | -2.90.514 | -7.30.115 | +5.20.229 | -1.20.794 | +2.90.518 | -0.60.892 | -3.60.517 | -4.10.366 | 48.1%270 | +6.50.149 |
| Octagon | -9.40.043 | -13.90.004 | -1.30.777 | -7.70.103 | -3.60.436 | -7.10.125 | -10.20.078 | -10.60.025 | -6.50.149 | 41.6%221 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted96
Win rate51.0%
Widest swing-51.0 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Goh's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low fence | 66.7% | +15.6 | 0.325 | 9 · | |
| Rectangle | 66.7% | +15.6 | 0.582 | 3 · | |
| Open | 62.5% | +11.5 | 0.498 | 8 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 61.1% | +10.1 | 0.343 | 18 · | |
| Octagon | 57.1% | +6.1 | 0.621 | 14 · | |
| Full fence | 46.1% | -4.9 | 0.705 | 13 · | |
| Half fence | 46.1% | -4.9 | 0.705 | 13 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 20.0% | -31.0 | 0.154 | 5 · | |
| Fence and open | 0.0% | -51.0 | 0.305 | 1 · | |
| Single wall | 0.0% | -51.0 | 0.072 | 3 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Goh's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.87 on 9 df, p 0.449
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 46.1%13 | +26.10.308 | +0.01.000 | -15.00.409 | -20.50.342 | +46.10.137 | +46.10.369 | -16.40.466 | -20.50.522 | -11.00.568 |
| Breakable full fence | -26.10.308 | 20.0%5 | -26.10.308 | -41.10.104 | -46.70.094 | +20.00.408 | +20.00.624 | -42.50.135 | -46.70.187 | -37.10.153 |
| Half fence | -0.01.000 | +26.10.308 | 46.1%13 | -15.00.409 | -20.50.342 | +46.10.137 | +46.10.369 | -16.40.466 | -20.50.522 | -11.00.568 |
| Breakable half fence | +15.00.409 | +41.10.104 | +15.00.409 | 61.1%18 | -5.60.778 | +61.10.050 | +61.10.228 | -1.40.946 | -5.60.854 | +4.00.821 |
| Low fence | +20.50.342 | +46.70.094 | +20.50.342 | +5.60.778 | 66.7%9 | +66.70.046 | +66.70.197 | +4.20.858 | +0.01.000 | +9.50.648 |
| Single wall | -46.10.137 | -20.00.408 | -46.10.137 | -61.10.050 | -66.70.046 | 0.0%3 | +0.01.000 | -62.50.064 | -66.70.083 | -57.10.072 |
| Fence and open | -46.10.369 | -20.00.624 | -46.10.369 | -61.10.228 | -66.70.197 | -0.01.000 | 0.0%1 | -62.50.236 | -66.70.248 | -57.10.268 |
| Open | +16.40.466 | +42.50.135 | +16.40.466 | +1.40.946 | -4.20.858 | +62.50.064 | +62.50.236 | 62.5%8 | -4.20.898 | +5.40.806 |
| Rectangle | +20.50.522 | +46.70.187 | +20.50.522 | +5.60.854 | -0.01.000 | +66.70.083 | +66.70.248 | +4.20.898 | 66.7%3 | +9.50.761 |
| Octagon | +11.00.568 | +37.10.153 | +11.00.568 | -4.00.821 | -9.50.648 | +57.10.072 | +57.10.268 | -5.40.806 | -9.50.761 | 57.1%14 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.