Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Eileen vs Wolf
Matches counted672
Win rate57.6%
Widest swing10.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Eileen's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low fence | 68.2% | +10.6 | 0.067 | 66 · | |
| Fence and open | 65.7% | +8.1 | 0.318 | 35 · | |
| Single wall | 58.3% | +0.7 | 0.892 | 72 · | |
| Half fence | 57.9% | +0.3 | 0.954 | 76 · | |
| Full fence | 56.2% | -1.3 | 0.820 | 64 · | |
| Rectangle | 56.2% | -1.3 | 0.820 | 64 · | |
| Octagon | 55.9% | -1.7 | 0.764 | 68 · | |
| Open | 55.0% | -2.6 | 0.671 | 60 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 52.7% | -4.9 | 0.367 | 74 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 50.0% | -7.6 | 0.182 | 68 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Eileen's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.61 on 9 df, p 0.678
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 56.2%64 | +6.20.472 | -1.60.845 | +3.50.677 | -11.90.160 | -2.10.806 | -9.50.359 | +1.20.889 | +0.01.000 | +0.40.966 |
| Breakable full fence | -6.20.472 | 50.0%68 | -7.90.343 | -2.70.748 | -18.20.032 | -8.30.323 | -15.70.129 | -5.00.572 | -6.20.472 | -5.90.492 |
| Half fence | +1.60.845 | +7.90.343 | 57.9%76 | +5.20.523 | -10.30.206 | -0.40.957 | -7.80.434 | +2.90.735 | +1.60.845 | +2.00.808 |
| Breakable half fence | -3.50.677 | +2.70.748 | -5.20.523 | 52.7%74 | -15.50.062 | -5.60.494 | -13.00.200 | -2.30.791 | -3.50.677 | -3.20.704 |
| Low fence | +11.90.160 | +18.20.032 | +10.30.206 | +15.50.062 | 68.2%66 | +9.80.231 | +2.50.801 | +13.20.128 | +11.90.160 | +12.30.143 |
| Single wall | +2.10.806 | +8.30.323 | +0.40.957 | +5.60.494 | -9.80.231 | 58.3%72 | -7.40.463 | +3.30.700 | +2.10.806 | +2.50.770 |
| Fence and open | +9.50.359 | +15.70.129 | +7.80.434 | +13.00.200 | -2.50.801 | +7.40.463 | 65.7%35 | +10.70.306 | +9.50.359 | +9.80.336 |
| Open | -1.20.889 | +5.00.572 | -2.90.735 | +2.30.791 | -13.20.128 | -3.30.700 | -10.70.306 | 55.0%60 | -1.20.889 | -0.90.920 |
| Rectangle | -0.01.000 | +6.20.472 | -1.60.845 | +3.50.677 | -11.90.160 | -2.10.806 | -9.50.359 | +1.20.889 | 56.2%64 | +0.40.966 |
| Octagon | -0.40.966 | +5.90.492 | -2.00.808 | +3.20.704 | -12.30.143 | -2.50.770 | -9.80.336 | +0.90.920 | -0.40.966 | 55.9%68 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted560
Win rate59.1%
Widest swing10.1 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Eileen's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 69.2% | +10.1 | 0.282 | 26 · | |
| Low fence | 66.1% | +7.0 | 0.248 | 59 · | |
| Open | 60.0% | +0.9 | 0.893 | 50 · | |
| Full fence | 58.9% | -0.2 | 0.977 | 56 · | |
| Half fence | 58.1% | -1.1 | 0.859 | 62 · | |
| Octagon | 58.0% | -1.1 | 0.867 | 50 · | |
| Single wall | 57.6% | -1.5 | 0.807 | 59 · | |
| Rectangle | 57.1% | -2.0 | 0.753 | 56 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 56.7% | -2.4 | 0.684 | 60 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 50.0% | -9.1 | 0.122 | 62 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Eileen's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 4.69 on 9 df, p 0.861
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 58.9%56 | +8.90.331 | +0.90.924 | +2.30.805 | -7.20.427 | +1.30.888 | -10.30.371 | -1.10.911 | +1.80.848 | +0.90.923 |
| Breakable full fence | -8.90.331 | 50.0%62 | -8.10.368 | -6.70.461 | -16.10.073 | -7.60.400 | -19.20.098 | -10.00.291 | -7.10.437 | -8.00.399 |
| Half fence | -0.90.924 | +8.10.368 | 58.1%62 | +1.40.876 | -8.00.363 | +0.40.961 | -11.20.326 | -1.90.836 | +0.90.919 | +0.10.995 |
| Breakable half fence | -2.30.805 | +6.70.461 | -1.40.876 | 56.7%60 | -9.40.291 | -1.00.916 | -12.60.274 | -3.30.724 | -0.50.959 | -1.30.888 |
| Low fence | +7.20.427 | +16.10.073 | +8.00.363 | +9.40.291 | 66.1%59 | +8.50.343 | -3.10.777 | +6.10.510 | +9.00.323 | +8.10.384 |
| Single wall | -1.30.888 | +7.60.400 | -0.40.961 | +1.00.916 | -8.50.343 | 57.6%59 | -11.60.312 | -2.40.802 | +0.50.958 | -0.40.969 |
| Fence and open | +10.30.371 | +19.20.098 | +11.20.326 | +12.60.274 | +3.10.777 | +11.60.312 | 69.2%26 | +9.20.429 | +12.10.296 | +11.20.339 |
| Open | +1.10.911 | +10.00.291 | +1.90.836 | +3.30.724 | -6.10.510 | +2.40.802 | -9.20.429 | 60.0%50 | +2.90.766 | +2.00.839 |
| Rectangle | -1.80.848 | +7.10.437 | -0.90.919 | +0.50.959 | -9.00.323 | -0.50.958 | -12.10.296 | -2.90.766 | 57.1%56 | -0.90.929 |
| Octagon | -0.90.923 | +8.00.399 | -0.10.995 | +1.30.888 | -8.10.384 | +0.40.969 | -11.20.339 | -2.00.839 | +0.90.929 | 58.0%50 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted112
Win rate50.0%
Widest swing35.7 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Eileen's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low fence | 85.7% | +35.7 | 0.051 | 7 · | |
| Single wall | 61.5% | +11.5 | 0.376 | 13 · | |
| Half fence | 57.1% | +7.1 | 0.568 | 14 · | |
| Fence and open | 55.6% | +5.6 | 0.728 | 9 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 50.0% | +0.0 | 1.000 | 6 · | |
| Octagon | 50.0% | +0.0 | 1.000 | 18 · | |
| Rectangle | 50.0% | +0.0 | 1.000 | 8 · | |
| Full fence | 37.5% | -12.5 | 0.463 | 8 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 35.7% | -14.3 | 0.253 | 14 · | |
| Open | 30.0% | -20.0 | 0.185 | 10 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Eileen's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.89 on 9 df, p 0.545
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 37.5%8 | -12.50.640 | -19.60.375 | +1.80.933 | -48.20.057 | -24.00.284 | -18.10.457 | +7.50.737 | -12.50.614 | -12.50.555 |
| Breakable full fence | +12.50.640 | 50.0%6 | -7.10.769 | +14.30.550 | -35.70.164 | -11.50.636 | -5.60.833 | +20.00.424 | +0.01.000 | +0.01.000 |
| Half fence | +19.60.375 | +7.10.769 | 57.1%14 | +21.40.256 | -28.60.190 | -4.40.816 | +1.60.940 | +27.10.188 | +7.10.746 | +7.10.688 |
| Breakable half fence | -1.80.933 | -14.30.550 | -21.40.256 | 35.7%14 | -50.00.031 | -25.80.180 | -19.90.349 | +5.70.770 | -14.30.512 | -14.30.419 |
| Low fence | +48.20.057 | +35.70.164 | +28.60.190 | +50.00.031 | 85.7%7 | +24.20.260 | +30.10.197 | +55.70.024 | +35.70.143 | +35.70.102 |
| Single wall | +24.00.284 | +11.50.636 | +4.40.816 | +25.80.180 | -24.20.260 | 61.5%13 | +6.00.779 | +31.50.133 | +11.50.604 | +11.50.524 |
| Fence and open | +18.10.457 | +5.60.833 | -1.60.940 | +19.90.349 | -30.10.197 | -6.00.779 | 55.6%9 | +25.60.260 | +5.60.819 | +5.60.785 |
| Open | -7.50.737 | -20.00.424 | -27.10.188 | -5.70.770 | -55.70.024 | -31.50.133 | -25.60.260 | 30.0%10 | -20.00.387 | -20.00.306 |
| Rectangle | +12.50.614 | -0.01.000 | -7.10.746 | +14.30.512 | -35.70.143 | -11.50.604 | -5.60.819 | +20.00.387 | 50.0%8 | +0.01.000 |
| Octagon | +12.50.555 | -0.01.000 | -7.10.688 | +14.30.419 | -35.70.102 | -11.50.524 | -5.60.785 | +20.00.306 | -0.01.000 | 50.0%18 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.