Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Wolf
Matches counted4,936
Win rate50.0%
Widest swing-3.8 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 52.0% | +2.0 | 0.379 | 452 | |
| Half fence | 51.4% | +1.3 | 0.521 | 516 | |
| Full fence | 51.2% | +1.2 | 0.578 | 500 | |
| Single wall | 50.9% | +0.9 | 0.677 | 495 | |
| Fence and open | 50.6% | +0.6 | 0.853 | 259 | |
| Breakable half fence | 50.3% | +0.3 | 0.894 | 489 | |
| Octagon | 50.3% | +0.3 | 0.897 | 521 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.4% | -0.6 | 0.773 | 520 | |
| Low fence | 46.3% | -3.7 | 0.083 | 484 | |
| Rectangle | 46.3% | -3.8 | 0.083 | 482 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.00 on 9 df, p 0.637
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.2%500 | +1.80.570 | -0.20.960 | +0.90.779 | +4.90.123 | +0.30.927 | +0.60.871 | -0.80.807 | +4.90.122 | +0.90.771 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.80.570 | 49.4%520 | -1.90.534 | -0.90.779 | +3.10.319 | -1.50.636 | -1.20.761 | -2.60.424 | +3.10.317 | -0.90.780 |
| Half fence | +0.20.960 | +1.90.534 | 51.4%516 | +1.10.739 | +5.10.109 | +0.50.887 | +0.80.838 | -0.60.844 | +5.10.108 | +1.10.731 |
| Breakable half fence | -0.90.779 | +0.90.779 | -1.10.739 | 50.3%489 | +4.00.209 | -0.60.850 | -0.30.943 | -1.70.606 | +4.00.208 | +0.00.995 |
| Low fence | -4.90.123 | -3.10.319 | -5.10.109 | -4.00.209 | 46.3%484 | -4.60.147 | -4.30.264 | -5.70.081 | +0.00.996 | -4.00.204 |
| Single wall | -0.30.927 | +1.50.636 | -0.50.887 | +0.60.850 | +4.60.147 | 50.9%495 | +0.30.931 | -1.10.739 | +4.60.147 | +0.60.843 |
| Fence and open | -0.60.871 | +1.20.761 | -0.80.838 | +0.30.943 | +4.30.264 | -0.30.931 | 50.6%259 | -1.40.717 | +4.30.262 | +0.30.939 |
| Open | +0.80.807 | +2.60.424 | +0.60.844 | +1.70.606 | +5.70.081 | +1.10.739 | +1.40.717 | 52.0%452 | +5.70.080 | +1.70.596 |
| Rectangle | -4.90.122 | -3.10.317 | -5.10.108 | -4.00.208 | -0.00.996 | -4.60.147 | -4.30.262 | -5.70.080 | 46.3%482 | -4.00.203 |
| Octagon | -0.90.771 | +0.90.780 | -1.10.731 | -0.00.995 | +4.00.204 | -0.60.843 | -0.30.939 | -1.70.596 | +4.00.203 | 50.3%521 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted4,582
Win rate49.6%
Widest swing-3.4 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 51.8% | +2.2 | 0.345 | 425 | |
| Half fence | 51.3% | +1.7 | 0.440 | 478 | |
| Single wall | 50.8% | +1.2 | 0.595 | 465 | |
| Full fence | 50.5% | +0.9 | 0.665 | 465 | |
| Octagon | 49.9% | +0.3 | 0.882 | 497 | |
| Breakable half fence | 49.5% | -0.1 | 0.984 | 434 | |
| Fence and open | 48.7% | -0.8 | 0.789 | 238 | |
| Breakable full fence | 48.6% | -1.0 | 0.658 | 471 | |
| Low fence | 46.3% | -3.3 | 0.136 | 456 | |
| Rectangle | 46.2% | -3.4 | 0.131 | 446 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.02 on 9 df, p 0.737
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 50.5%465 | +1.90.557 | -0.70.826 | +1.00.765 | +4.30.195 | -0.20.948 | +1.80.652 | -1.20.715 | +4.30.189 | +0.60.843 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.90.557 | 48.6%471 | -2.60.417 | -0.90.782 | +2.40.474 | -2.10.514 | -0.10.976 | -3.10.347 | +2.40.461 | -1.30.691 |
| Half fence | +0.70.826 | +2.60.417 | 51.3%478 | +1.70.605 | +5.00.128 | +0.50.877 | +2.50.526 | -0.50.878 | +5.10.124 | +1.40.672 |
| Breakable half fence | -1.00.765 | +0.90.782 | -1.70.605 | 49.5%434 | +3.30.329 | -1.20.716 | +0.80.843 | -2.20.514 | +3.40.320 | -0.40.913 |
| Low fence | -4.30.195 | -2.40.474 | -5.00.128 | -3.30.329 | 46.3%456 | -4.50.174 | -2.50.536 | -5.50.103 | +0.10.980 | -3.60.263 |
| Single wall | +0.20.948 | +2.10.514 | -0.50.877 | +1.20.716 | +4.50.174 | 50.8%465 | +2.00.613 | -1.00.763 | +4.60.168 | +0.80.791 |
| Fence and open | -1.80.652 | +0.10.976 | -2.50.526 | -0.80.843 | +2.50.536 | -2.00.613 | 48.7%238 | -3.00.455 | +2.50.524 | -1.20.769 |
| Open | +1.20.715 | +3.10.347 | +0.50.878 | +2.20.514 | +5.50.103 | +1.00.763 | +3.00.455 | 51.8%425 | +5.60.100 | +1.90.572 |
| Rectangle | -4.30.189 | -2.40.461 | -5.10.124 | -3.40.320 | -0.10.980 | -4.60.168 | -2.50.524 | -5.60.100 | 46.2%446 | -3.70.255 |
| Octagon | -0.60.843 | +1.30.691 | -1.40.672 | +0.40.913 | +3.60.263 | -0.80.791 | +1.20.769 | -1.90.572 | +3.70.255 | 49.9%497 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted354
Win rate55.6%
Widest swing15.8 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 71.4% | +15.8 | 0.133 | 21 · | |
| Full fence | 60.0% | +4.3 | 0.585 | 35 · | |
| Octagon | 58.3% | +2.7 | 0.784 | 24 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 57.1% | +1.5 | 0.821 | 49 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 56.4% | +0.7 | 0.908 | 55 · | |
| Open | 55.6% | -0.1 | 0.992 | 27 · | |
| Single wall | 53.3% | -2.3 | 0.790 | 30 · | |
| Half fence | 52.6% | -3.0 | 0.692 | 38 · | |
| Rectangle | 47.2% | -8.4 | 0.283 | 36 · | |
| Low fence | 46.4% | -9.2 | 0.306 | 28 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 4.70 on 9 df, p 0.859
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 60.0%35 | +2.90.793 | +7.40.526 | +3.60.733 | +13.60.283 | +6.70.588 | -11.40.388 | +4.40.725 | +12.80.280 | +1.70.898 |
| Breakable full fence | -2.90.793 | 57.1%49 | +4.50.675 | +0.80.936 | +10.70.365 | +3.80.741 | -14.30.260 | +1.60.894 | +9.90.365 | -1.20.923 |
| Half fence | -7.40.526 | -4.50.675 | 52.6%38 | -3.70.722 | +6.20.618 | -0.70.954 | -18.80.159 | -2.90.816 | +5.40.642 | -5.70.660 |
| Breakable half fence | -3.60.733 | -0.80.936 | +3.70.722 | 56.4%55 | +9.90.391 | +3.00.788 | -15.10.230 | +0.80.945 | +9.10.393 | -2.00.871 |
| Low fence | -13.60.283 | -10.70.365 | -6.20.618 | -9.90.391 | 46.4%28 | -6.90.599 | -25.00.080 | -9.10.498 | -0.80.950 | -11.90.392 |
| Single wall | -6.70.588 | -3.80.741 | +0.70.954 | -3.00.788 | +6.90.599 | 53.3%30 | -18.10.193 | -2.20.866 | +6.10.621 | -5.00.713 |
| Fence and open | +11.40.388 | +14.30.260 | +18.80.159 | +15.10.230 | +25.00.080 | +18.10.193 | 71.4%21 | +15.90.260 | +24.20.076 | +13.10.360 |
| Open | -4.40.725 | -1.60.894 | +2.90.816 | -0.80.945 | +9.10.498 | +2.20.866 | -15.90.260 | 55.6%27 | +8.30.513 | -2.80.842 |
| Rectangle | -12.80.280 | -9.90.365 | -5.40.642 | -9.10.393 | +0.80.950 | -6.10.621 | -24.20.076 | -8.30.513 | 47.2%36 | -11.10.399 |
| Octagon | -1.70.898 | +1.20.923 | +5.70.660 | +2.00.871 | +11.90.392 | +5.00.713 | -13.10.360 | +2.80.842 | +11.10.399 | 58.3%24 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.