Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Taka
Matches counted1,504
Win rate44.3%
Widest swing-5.9 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 49.7% | +5.4 | 0.138 | 165 | |
| Open | 48.9% | +4.6 | 0.264 | 133 | |
| Octagon | 47.8% | +3.5 | 0.308 | 182 | |
| Low fence | 45.4% | +1.1 | 0.771 | 152 | |
| Breakable full fence | 45.2% | +1.0 | 0.821 | 126 | |
| Rectangle | 45.0% | +0.8 | 0.845 | 151 | |
| Fence and open | 41.7% | -2.6 | 0.619 | 84 | |
| Half fence | 41.3% | -3.0 | 0.494 | 121 | |
| Breakable half fence | 39.8% | -4.5 | 0.214 | 166 | |
| Single wall | 38.4% | -5.9 | 0.129 | 146 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.24 on 9 df, p 0.510
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 49.7%165 | +4.50.451 | +8.40.160 | +9.90.069 | +4.30.444 | +11.30.045 | +8.00.230 | +0.80.887 | +4.70.407 | +1.90.724 |
| Breakable full fence | -4.50.451 | 45.2%126 | +3.90.535 | +5.50.348 | -0.10.979 | +6.90.251 | +3.60.609 | -3.60.558 | +0.20.973 | -2.60.657 |
| Half fence | -8.40.160 | -3.90.535 | 41.3%121 | +1.60.790 | -4.10.500 | +3.00.622 | -0.30.961 | -7.50.227 | -3.70.539 | -6.50.267 |
| Breakable half fence | -9.90.069 | -5.50.348 | -1.60.790 | 39.8%166 | -5.60.310 | +1.40.800 | -1.90.772 | -9.10.114 | -5.30.342 | -8.00.131 |
| Low fence | -4.30.444 | +0.10.979 | +4.10.500 | +5.60.310 | 45.4%152 | +7.00.218 | +3.70.581 | -3.50.557 | +0.40.950 | -2.40.661 |
| Single wall | -11.30.045 | -6.90.251 | -3.00.622 | -1.40.800 | -7.00.218 | 38.4%146 | -3.30.621 | -10.50.077 | -6.70.243 | -9.40.086 |
| Fence and open | -8.00.230 | -3.60.609 | +0.30.961 | +1.90.772 | -3.70.581 | +3.30.621 | 41.7%84 | -7.20.300 | -3.40.618 | -6.10.351 |
| Open | -0.80.887 | +3.60.558 | +7.50.227 | +9.10.114 | +3.50.557 | +10.50.077 | +7.20.300 | 48.9%133 | +3.80.518 | +1.10.851 |
| Rectangle | -4.70.407 | -0.20.973 | +3.70.539 | +5.30.342 | -0.40.950 | +6.70.243 | +3.40.618 | -3.80.518 | 45.0%151 | -2.80.614 |
| Octagon | -1.90.724 | +2.60.657 | +6.50.267 | +8.00.131 | +2.40.661 | +9.40.086 | +6.10.351 | -1.10.851 | +2.80.614 | 47.8%182 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted1,282
Win rate43.6%
Widest swing-6.8 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 48.9% | +5.3 | 0.190 | 135 | |
| Open | 48.3% | +4.7 | 0.287 | 116 | |
| Octagon | 47.2% | +3.6 | 0.324 | 161 | |
| Rectangle | 45.2% | +1.6 | 0.695 | 135 | |
| Low fence | 43.4% | -0.2 | 0.963 | 129 | |
| Breakable full fence | 43.4% | -0.2 | 0.957 | 113 | |
| Half fence | 41.7% | -1.9 | 0.691 | 96 | |
| Breakable half fence | 40.7% | -2.9 | 0.465 | 140 | |
| Fence and open | 38.5% | -5.1 | 0.391 | 65 · | |
| Single wall | 36.8% | -6.8 | 0.097 | 133 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.33 on 9 df, p 0.603
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 48.9%135 | +5.50.385 | +7.20.278 | +8.20.173 | +5.50.372 | +12.10.046 | +10.40.165 | +0.60.923 | +3.70.542 | +1.70.773 |
| Breakable full fence | -5.50.385 | 43.4%113 | +1.70.805 | +2.60.671 | -0.10.994 | +6.50.298 | +4.90.523 | -4.90.456 | -1.80.774 | -3.80.530 |
| Half fence | -7.20.278 | -1.70.805 | 41.7%96 | +1.00.884 | -1.70.794 | +4.80.460 | +3.20.684 | -6.60.336 | -3.50.595 | -5.50.388 |
| Breakable half fence | -8.20.173 | -2.60.671 | -1.00.884 | 40.7%140 | -2.70.654 | +3.90.512 | +2.20.759 | -7.60.225 | -4.50.454 | -6.50.258 |
| Low fence | -5.50.372 | +0.10.994 | +1.70.794 | +2.70.654 | 43.4%129 | +6.60.278 | +5.00.509 | -4.90.445 | -1.80.772 | -3.80.519 |
| Single wall | -12.10.046 | -6.50.298 | -4.80.460 | -3.90.512 | -6.60.278 | 36.8%133 | -1.60.825 | -11.40.068 | -8.30.165 | -10.40.074 |
| Fence and open | -10.40.165 | -4.90.523 | -3.20.684 | -2.20.759 | -5.00.509 | +1.60.825 | 38.5%65 | -9.80.203 | -6.70.368 | -8.70.231 |
| Open | -0.60.923 | +4.90.456 | +6.60.336 | +7.60.225 | +4.90.445 | +11.40.068 | +9.80.203 | 48.3%116 | +3.10.625 | +1.10.860 |
| Rectangle | -3.70.542 | +1.80.774 | +3.50.595 | +4.50.454 | +1.80.772 | +8.30.165 | +6.70.368 | -3.10.625 | 45.2%135 | -2.00.729 |
| Octagon | -1.70.773 | +3.80.530 | +5.50.388 | +6.50.258 | +3.80.519 | +10.40.074 | +8.70.231 | -1.10.860 | +2.00.729 | 47.2%161 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted222
Win rate48.2%
Widest swing-13.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 61.5% | +13.3 | 0.321 | 13 · | |
| Low fence | 56.5% | +8.3 | 0.399 | 23 · | |
| Single wall | 53.9% | +5.7 | 0.674 | 13 · | |
| Full fence | 53.3% | +5.1 | 0.545 | 30 · | |
| Open | 52.9% | +4.7 | 0.684 | 17 · | |
| Fence and open | 52.6% | +4.4 | 0.686 | 19 · | |
| Octagon | 52.4% | +4.2 | 0.687 | 21 · | |
| Rectangle | 43.8% | -4.5 | 0.712 | 16 · | |
| Half fence | 40.0% | -8.2 | 0.384 | 25 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 34.6% | -13.6 | 0.140 | 26 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 5.12 on 9 df, p 0.824
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 53.3%30 | -8.20.619 | +13.30.324 | +18.70.160 | -3.20.817 | -0.50.975 | +0.70.962 | +0.40.979 | +9.60.536 | +0.90.947 |
| Breakable full fence | +8.20.619 | 61.5%13 | +21.50.207 | +26.90.110 | +5.00.769 | +7.70.691 | +8.90.618 | +8.60.638 | +17.80.340 | +9.20.601 |
| Half fence | -13.30.324 | -21.50.207 | 40.0%25 | +5.40.691 | -16.50.252 | -13.80.415 | -12.60.405 | -12.90.408 | -3.80.812 | -12.40.401 |
| Breakable half fence | -18.70.160 | -26.90.110 | -5.40.691 | 34.6%26 | -21.90.124 | -19.20.250 | -18.00.227 | -18.30.234 | -9.10.554 | -17.80.221 |
| Low fence | +3.20.817 | -5.00.769 | +16.50.252 | +21.90.124 | 56.5%23 | +2.70.877 | +3.90.801 | +3.60.822 | +12.80.433 | +4.10.783 |
| Single wall | +0.50.975 | -7.70.691 | +13.80.415 | +19.20.250 | -2.70.877 | 53.9%13 | +1.20.946 | +0.90.961 | +10.10.588 | +1.50.934 |
| Fence and open | -0.70.962 | -8.90.618 | +12.60.405 | +18.00.227 | -3.90.801 | -1.20.946 | 52.6%19 | -0.30.985 | +8.90.600 | +0.20.987 |
| Open | -0.40.979 | -8.60.638 | +12.90.408 | +18.30.234 | -3.60.822 | -0.90.961 | +0.30.985 | 52.9%17 | +9.20.598 | +0.60.973 |
| Rectangle | -9.60.536 | -17.80.340 | +3.80.812 | +9.10.554 | -12.80.433 | -10.10.588 | -8.90.600 | -9.20.598 | 43.8%16 | -8.60.603 |
| Octagon | -0.90.947 | -9.20.601 | +12.40.401 | +17.80.221 | -4.10.783 | -1.50.934 | -0.20.987 | -0.60.973 | +8.60.603 | 52.4%21 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.