Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Kage
Matches counted5,100
Win rate48.7%
Widest swing4.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 53.2% | +4.5 | 0.027 | 528 | |
| Half fence | 50.6% | +2.0 | 0.326 | 557 | |
| Single wall | 49.9% | +1.2 | 0.550 | 523 | |
| Rectangle | 49.6% | +0.9 | 0.679 | 470 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.4% | +0.7 | 0.737 | 490 | |
| Breakable half fence | 48.8% | +0.2 | 0.942 | 469 | |
| Fence and open | 48.3% | -0.4 | 0.906 | 267 | |
| Open | 46.4% | -2.3 | 0.279 | 515 | |
| Low fence | 45.9% | -2.8 | 0.192 | 499 | |
| Octagon | 45.0% | -3.7 | 0.063 | 554 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 11.49 on 9 df, p 0.244
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 53.2%528 | +3.80.222 | +2.60.393 | +4.40.166 | +7.30.019 | +3.30.282 | +4.90.191 | +6.80.028 | +3.60.250 | +8.30.007 |
| Breakable full fence | -3.80.222 | 49.4%490 | -1.20.689 | +0.60.862 | +3.50.271 | -0.50.869 | +1.10.778 | +3.00.345 | -0.20.954 | +4.40.151 |
| Half fence | -2.60.393 | +1.20.689 | 50.6%557 | +1.80.565 | +4.70.124 | +0.70.812 | +2.30.534 | +4.20.167 | +1.10.736 | +5.70.058 |
| Breakable half fence | -4.40.166 | -0.60.862 | -1.80.565 | 48.8%469 | +2.90.361 | -1.10.735 | +0.50.894 | +2.40.448 | -0.70.819 | +3.90.215 |
| Low fence | -7.30.019 | -3.50.271 | -4.70.124 | -2.90.361 | 45.9%499 | -4.00.199 | -2.40.522 | -0.50.869 | -3.70.251 | +0.90.758 |
| Single wall | -3.30.282 | +0.50.869 | -0.70.812 | +1.10.735 | +4.00.199 | 49.9%523 | +1.60.672 | +3.50.260 | +0.30.917 | +5.00.103 |
| Fence and open | -4.90.191 | -1.10.778 | -2.30.534 | -0.50.894 | +2.40.522 | -1.60.672 | 48.3%267 | +1.90.612 | -1.30.742 | +3.40.364 |
| Open | -6.80.028 | -3.00.345 | -4.20.167 | -2.40.448 | +0.50.869 | -3.50.260 | -1.90.612 | 46.4%515 | -3.20.320 | +1.50.632 |
| Rectangle | -3.60.250 | +0.20.954 | -1.10.736 | +0.70.819 | +3.70.251 | -0.30.917 | +1.30.742 | +3.20.320 | 49.6%470 | +4.60.139 |
| Octagon | -8.30.007 | -4.40.151 | -5.70.058 | -3.90.215 | -0.90.758 | -5.00.103 | -3.40.364 | -1.50.632 | -4.60.139 | 45.0%554 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted4,197
Win rate47.8%
Widest swing3.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.2% | +3.5 | 0.119 | 449 | |
| Half fence | 50.8% | +3.0 | 0.171 | 459 | |
| Rectangle | 50.0% | +2.2 | 0.364 | 370 | |
| Single wall | 48.7% | +0.9 | 0.685 | 419 | |
| Breakable full fence | 48.0% | +0.3 | 0.901 | 408 | |
| Breakable half fence | 47.6% | -0.1 | 0.958 | 378 | |
| Fence and open | 46.5% | -1.3 | 0.690 | 226 | |
| Low fence | 45.5% | -2.3 | 0.322 | 418 | |
| Open | 44.7% | -3.0 | 0.194 | 418 | |
| Octagon | 44.4% | -3.4 | 0.125 | 464 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 9.40 on 9 df, p 0.401
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.2%449 | +3.20.352 | +0.50.889 | +3.60.302 | +5.80.089 | +2.50.455 | +4.80.243 | +6.50.056 | +1.20.727 | +6.80.039 |
| Breakable full fence | -3.20.352 | 48.0%408 | -2.70.423 | +0.40.906 | +2.60.457 | -0.70.852 | +1.60.703 | +3.30.341 | -2.00.585 | +3.60.282 |
| Half fence | -0.50.889 | +2.70.423 | 50.8%459 | +3.10.365 | +5.30.116 | +2.10.539 | +4.30.290 | +6.00.074 | +0.80.827 | +6.40.053 |
| Breakable half fence | -3.60.302 | -0.40.906 | -3.10.365 | 47.6%378 | +2.20.541 | -1.10.763 | +1.20.782 | +2.90.415 | -2.40.515 | +3.20.351 |
| Low fence | -5.80.089 | -2.60.457 | -5.30.116 | -2.20.541 | 45.5%418 | -3.20.349 | -1.00.807 | +0.70.835 | -4.50.202 | +1.10.752 |
| Single wall | -2.50.455 | +0.70.852 | -2.10.539 | +1.10.763 | +3.20.349 | 48.7%419 | +2.20.589 | +4.00.252 | -1.30.713 | +4.30.202 |
| Fence and open | -4.80.243 | -1.60.703 | -4.30.290 | -1.20.782 | +1.00.807 | -2.20.589 | 46.5%226 | +1.70.675 | -3.50.402 | +2.10.609 |
| Open | -6.50.056 | -3.30.341 | -6.00.074 | -2.90.415 | -0.70.835 | -4.00.252 | -1.70.675 | 44.7%418 | -5.30.140 | +0.30.919 |
| Rectangle | -1.20.727 | +2.00.585 | -0.80.827 | +2.40.515 | +4.50.202 | +1.30.713 | +3.50.402 | +5.30.140 | 50.0%370 | +5.60.107 |
| Octagon | -6.80.039 | -3.60.282 | -6.40.053 | -3.20.351 | -1.10.752 | -4.30.202 | -2.10.609 | -0.30.919 | -5.60.107 | 44.4%464 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted903
Win rate52.9%
Widest swing11.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 64.6% | +11.6 | 0.030 | 79 · | |
| Fence and open | 58.5% | +5.6 | 0.462 | 41 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 56.1% | +3.2 | 0.547 | 82 | |
| Single wall | 54.8% | +1.9 | 0.684 | 104 | |
| Breakable half fence | 53.9% | +0.9 | 0.854 | 91 | |
| Open | 53.6% | +0.7 | 0.888 | 97 | |
| Half fence | 50.0% | -2.9 | 0.538 | 98 | |
| Low fence | 48.1% | -4.8 | 0.366 | 81 | |
| Rectangle | 48.0% | -4.9 | 0.294 | 100 | |
| Octagon | 47.8% | -5.2 | 0.302 | 90 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.34 on 9 df, p 0.500
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 64.6%79 | +8.50.273 | +14.60.052 | +10.70.157 | +16.40.036 | +9.80.184 | +6.00.518 | +10.90.143 | +16.60.027 | +16.80.028 |
| Breakable full fence | -8.50.273 | 56.1%82 | +6.10.414 | +2.20.766 | +8.00.310 | +1.30.861 | -2.40.797 | +2.50.739 | +8.10.277 | +8.30.275 |
| Half fence | -14.60.052 | -6.10.414 | 50.0%98 | -3.90.597 | +1.90.805 | -4.80.494 | -8.50.358 | -3.60.614 | +2.00.778 | +2.20.761 |
| Breakable half fence | -10.70.157 | -2.20.766 | +3.90.597 | 53.9%91 | +5.70.456 | -1.00.893 | -4.70.616 | +0.20.974 | +5.80.420 | +6.10.414 |
| Low fence | -16.40.036 | -8.00.310 | -1.90.805 | -5.70.456 | 48.1%81 | -6.70.368 | -10.40.278 | -5.50.468 | +0.10.984 | +0.40.961 |
| Single wall | -9.80.184 | -1.30.861 | +4.80.494 | +1.00.893 | +6.70.368 | 54.8%104 | -3.70.684 | +1.20.865 | +6.80.331 | +7.00.329 |
| Fence and open | -6.00.518 | +2.40.797 | +8.50.358 | +4.70.616 | +10.40.278 | +3.70.684 | 58.5%41 | +4.90.595 | +10.50.256 | +10.80.253 |
| Open | -10.90.143 | -2.50.739 | +3.60.614 | -0.20.974 | +5.50.468 | -1.20.865 | -4.90.595 | 53.6%97 | +5.60.431 | +5.80.426 |
| Rectangle | -16.60.027 | -8.10.277 | -2.00.778 | -5.80.420 | -0.10.984 | -6.80.331 | -10.50.256 | -5.60.431 | 48.0%100 | +0.20.976 |
| Octagon | -16.80.028 | -8.30.275 | -2.20.761 | -6.10.414 | -0.40.961 | -7.00.329 | -10.80.253 | -5.80.426 | -0.20.976 | 47.8%90 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.