Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Jeffry
Matches counted4,714
Win rate48.5%
Widest swing3.8 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half fence | 52.3% | +3.8 | 0.075 | 495 | |
| Open | 51.0% | +2.4 | 0.300 | 416 | |
| Breakable full fence | 50.2% | +1.7 | 0.451 | 452 | |
| Breakable half fence | 49.4% | +0.9 | 0.705 | 425 | |
| Single wall | 48.6% | +0.0 | 0.991 | 486 | |
| Fence and open | 48.5% | -0.1 | 0.985 | 196 | |
| Rectangle | 48.2% | -0.4 | 0.866 | 463 | |
| Octagon | 47.6% | -0.9 | 0.641 | 540 | |
| Full fence | 45.7% | -2.8 | 0.176 | 514 | |
| Low fence | 45.3% | -3.3 | 0.124 | 497 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.43 on 9 df, p 0.491
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 45.7%514 | -4.50.162 | -6.60.036 | -3.70.259 | +0.50.886 | -2.80.369 | -2.80.511 | -5.20.112 | -2.40.445 | -1.90.542 |
| Breakable full fence | +4.50.162 | 50.2%452 | -2.10.518 | +0.80.811 | +5.00.127 | +1.70.611 | +1.80.682 | -0.70.827 | +2.10.534 | +2.60.409 |
| Half fence | +6.60.036 | +2.10.518 | 52.3%495 | +2.90.378 | +7.00.026 | +3.80.238 | +3.90.361 | +1.40.682 | +4.20.198 | +4.70.128 |
| Breakable half fence | +3.70.259 | -0.80.811 | -2.90.378 | 49.4%425 | +4.10.209 | +0.80.797 | +0.90.827 | -1.60.653 | +1.20.710 | +1.80.575 |
| Low fence | -0.50.886 | -5.00.127 | -7.00.026 | -4.10.209 | 45.3%497 | -3.30.302 | -3.20.447 | -5.70.087 | -2.90.369 | -2.30.454 |
| Single wall | +2.80.369 | -1.70.611 | -3.80.238 | -0.80.797 | +3.30.302 | 48.6%486 | +0.10.983 | -2.40.472 | +0.40.903 | +1.00.757 |
| Fence and open | +2.80.511 | -1.80.682 | -3.90.361 | -0.90.827 | +3.20.447 | -0.10.983 | 48.5%196 | -2.50.565 | +0.30.943 | +0.90.833 |
| Open | +5.20.112 | +0.70.827 | -1.40.682 | +1.60.653 | +5.70.087 | +2.40.472 | +2.50.565 | 51.0%416 | +2.80.408 | +3.40.302 |
| Rectangle | +2.40.445 | -2.10.534 | -4.20.198 | -1.20.710 | +2.90.369 | -0.40.903 | -0.30.943 | -2.80.408 | 48.2%463 | +0.60.857 |
| Octagon | +1.90.542 | -2.60.409 | -4.70.128 | -1.80.575 | +2.30.454 | -1.00.757 | -0.90.833 | -3.40.302 | -0.60.857 | 47.6%540 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted4,432
Win rate47.9%
Widest swing4.2 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half fence | 52.1% | +4.2 | 0.059 | 459 | |
| Open | 50.2% | +2.4 | 0.325 | 398 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.6% | +1.8 | 0.449 | 425 | |
| Breakable half fence | 48.8% | +0.9 | 0.711 | 408 | |
| Fence and open | 48.1% | +0.2 | 0.949 | 187 | |
| Single wall | 47.5% | -0.5 | 0.835 | 470 | |
| Rectangle | 47.2% | -0.7 | 0.766 | 432 | |
| Octagon | 46.7% | -1.2 | 0.570 | 501 | |
| Low fence | 45.2% | -2.7 | 0.216 | 469 | |
| Full fence | 45.1% | -2.8 | 0.197 | 468 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.98 on 9 df, p 0.537
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 45.1%468 | -4.60.173 | -7.00.033 | -3.70.275 | -0.10.971 | -2.40.468 | -3.00.480 | -5.20.129 | -2.10.521 | -1.60.613 |
| Breakable full fence | +4.60.173 | 49.6%425 | -2.40.472 | +0.90.801 | +4.50.184 | +2.20.511 | +1.50.729 | -0.60.862 | +2.40.478 | +2.90.372 |
| Half fence | +7.00.033 | +2.40.472 | 52.1%459 | +3.30.333 | +6.90.036 | +4.60.159 | +3.90.363 | +1.80.595 | +4.80.148 | +5.40.097 |
| Breakable half fence | +3.70.275 | -0.90.801 | -3.30.333 | 48.8%408 | +3.60.290 | +1.30.695 | +0.60.884 | -1.50.675 | +1.60.653 | +2.10.535 |
| Low fence | +0.10.971 | -4.50.184 | -6.90.036 | -3.60.290 | 45.2%469 | -2.20.490 | -2.90.497 | -5.00.138 | -2.00.544 | -1.50.639 |
| Single wall | +2.40.468 | -2.20.511 | -4.60.159 | -1.30.695 | +2.20.490 | 47.5%470 | -0.70.875 | -2.80.410 | +0.20.946 | +0.70.817 |
| Fence and open | +3.00.480 | -1.50.729 | -3.90.363 | -0.60.884 | +2.90.497 | +0.70.875 | 48.1%187 | -2.10.632 | +0.90.836 | +1.40.740 |
| Open | +5.20.129 | +0.60.862 | -1.80.595 | +1.50.675 | +5.00.138 | +2.80.410 | +2.10.632 | 50.2%398 | +3.00.383 | +3.50.291 |
| Rectangle | +2.10.521 | -2.40.478 | -4.80.148 | -1.60.653 | +2.00.544 | -0.20.946 | -0.90.836 | -3.00.383 | 47.2%432 | +0.50.875 |
| Octagon | +1.60.613 | -2.90.372 | -5.40.097 | -2.10.535 | +1.50.639 | -0.70.817 | -1.40.740 | -3.50.291 | -0.50.875 | 46.7%501 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted282
Win rate58.5%
Widest swing22.7 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single wall | 81.2% | +22.7 | 0.057 | 16 · | |
| Open | 66.7% | +8.2 | 0.468 | 18 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 64.7% | +6.2 | 0.593 | 17 · | |
| Rectangle | 61.3% | +2.8 | 0.739 | 31 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 59.3% | +0.8 | 0.934 | 27 · | |
| Octagon | 59.0% | +0.5 | 0.950 | 39 · | |
| Fence and open | 55.6% | -3.0 | 0.855 | 9 · | |
| Half fence | 55.6% | -3.0 | 0.700 | 36 · | |
| Full fence | 52.2% | -6.3 | 0.340 | 46 · | |
| Low fence | 46.4% | -12.1 | 0.172 | 28 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.88 on 9 df, p 0.650
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 52.2%46 | -7.10.557 | -3.40.761 | -12.50.374 | +5.70.632 | -29.10.041 | -3.40.853 | -14.50.293 | -9.10.429 | -6.80.530 |
| Breakable full fence | +7.10.557 | 59.3%27 | +3.70.769 | -5.50.718 | +12.80.341 | -22.00.137 | +3.70.845 | -7.40.616 | -2.00.875 | +0.30.982 |
| Half fence | +3.40.761 | -3.70.769 | 55.6%36 | -9.20.528 | +9.10.469 | -25.70.076 | +0.01.000 | -11.10.433 | -5.70.635 | -3.40.765 |
| Breakable half fence | +12.50.374 | +5.50.718 | +9.20.528 | 64.7%17 | +18.30.233 | -16.50.286 | +9.20.648 | -2.00.903 | +3.40.815 | +5.70.686 |
| Low fence | -5.70.632 | -12.80.341 | -9.10.469 | -18.30.233 | 46.4%28 | -34.80.024 | -9.10.634 | -20.20.179 | -14.90.253 | -12.50.310 |
| Single wall | +29.10.041 | +22.00.137 | +25.70.076 | +16.50.286 | +34.80.024 | 81.2%16 | +25.70.170 | +14.60.336 | +20.00.164 | +22.30.115 |
| Fence and open | +3.40.853 | -3.70.845 | -0.01.000 | -9.20.648 | +9.10.634 | -25.70.170 | 55.6%9 | -11.10.573 | -5.70.757 | -3.40.851 |
| Open | +14.50.293 | +7.40.616 | +11.10.433 | +2.00.903 | +20.20.179 | -14.60.336 | +11.10.573 | 66.7%18 | +5.40.707 | +7.70.579 |
| Rectangle | +9.10.429 | +2.00.875 | +5.70.635 | -3.40.815 | +14.90.253 | -20.00.164 | +5.70.757 | -5.40.707 | 61.3%31 | +2.30.844 |
| Octagon | +6.80.530 | -0.30.982 | +3.40.765 | -5.70.686 | +12.50.310 | -22.30.115 | +3.40.851 | -7.70.579 | -2.30.844 | 59.0%39 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.