Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Jean
Matches counted4,354
Win rate48.5%
Widest swing-3.1 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 51.5% | +3.1 | 0.186 | 421 | |
| Half fence | 51.5% | +3.0 | 0.185 | 447 | |
| Fence and open | 50.8% | +2.3 | 0.518 | 183 | |
| Octagon | 50.4% | +1.9 | 0.370 | 478 | |
| Low fence | 49.0% | +0.5 | 0.826 | 441 | |
| Open | 48.6% | +0.1 | 0.953 | 434 | |
| Rectangle | 48.0% | -0.5 | 0.836 | 456 | |
| Single wall | 46.9% | -1.6 | 0.462 | 463 | |
| Breakable half fence | 46.8% | -1.7 | 0.450 | 432 | |
| Full fence | 45.4% | -3.1 | 0.178 | 421 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.84 on 9 df, p 0.653
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 45.4%421 | -6.20.073 | -6.10.073 | -1.40.684 | -3.60.288 | -1.50.655 | -5.50.217 | -3.20.341 | -2.70.431 | -5.00.130 |
| Breakable full fence | +6.20.073 | 51.5%421 | +0.10.979 | +4.80.162 | +2.60.452 | +4.70.165 | +0.70.870 | +2.90.392 | +3.50.298 | +1.10.736 |
| Half fence | +6.10.073 | -0.10.979 | 51.5%447 | +4.70.164 | +2.50.461 | +4.60.167 | +0.60.885 | +2.80.400 | +3.40.303 | +1.00.753 |
| Breakable half fence | +1.40.684 | -4.80.162 | -4.70.164 | 46.8%432 | -2.20.511 | -0.10.974 | -4.10.357 | -1.90.584 | -1.30.705 | -3.70.270 |
| Low fence | +3.60.288 | -2.60.452 | -2.50.461 | +2.20.511 | 49.0%441 | +2.10.525 | -1.80.676 | +0.40.915 | +0.90.775 | -1.40.663 |
| Single wall | +1.50.655 | -4.70.165 | -4.60.167 | +0.10.974 | -2.10.525 | 46.9%463 | -4.00.365 | -1.80.600 | -1.20.725 | -3.50.276 |
| Fence and open | +5.50.217 | -0.70.870 | -0.60.885 | +4.10.357 | +1.80.676 | +4.00.365 | 50.8%183 | +2.20.617 | +2.80.523 | +0.40.926 |
| Open | +3.20.341 | -2.90.392 | -2.80.400 | +1.90.584 | -0.40.915 | +1.80.600 | -2.20.617 | 48.6%434 | +0.60.860 | -1.80.587 |
| Rectangle | +2.70.431 | -3.50.298 | -3.40.303 | +1.30.705 | -0.90.775 | +1.20.725 | -2.80.523 | -0.60.860 | 48.0%456 | -2.40.465 |
| Octagon | +5.00.130 | -1.10.736 | -1.00.753 | +3.70.270 | +1.40.663 | +3.50.276 | -0.40.926 | +1.80.587 | +2.40.465 | 50.4%478 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted4,177
Win rate48.4%
Widest swing3.7 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half fence | 52.1% | +3.7 | 0.102 | 428 | |
| Breakable full fence | 51.5% | +3.1 | 0.186 | 408 | |
| Fence and open | 50.6% | +2.2 | 0.547 | 180 | |
| Octagon | 49.7% | +1.3 | 0.554 | 455 | |
| Rectangle | 49.2% | +0.8 | 0.716 | 431 | |
| Low fence | 48.8% | +0.5 | 0.837 | 428 | |
| Open | 48.4% | +0.1 | 0.980 | 411 | |
| Single wall | 46.6% | -1.8 | 0.419 | 451 | |
| Breakable half fence | 45.9% | -2.5 | 0.287 | 412 | |
| Full fence | 45.0% | -3.3 | 0.161 | 404 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.01 on 9 df, p 0.533
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 45.0%404 | -6.40.067 | -7.00.042 | -0.80.813 | -3.80.275 | -1.50.657 | -5.50.218 | -3.40.335 | -4.10.231 | -4.60.176 |
| Breakable full fence | +6.40.067 | 51.5%408 | -0.60.855 | +5.60.109 | +2.60.446 | +4.90.151 | +0.90.838 | +3.00.382 | +2.30.509 | +1.80.597 |
| Half fence | +7.00.042 | +0.60.855 | 52.1%428 | +6.20.071 | +3.30.339 | +5.50.101 | +1.50.727 | +3.70.286 | +2.90.393 | +2.40.470 |
| Breakable half fence | +0.80.813 | -5.60.109 | -6.20.071 | 45.9%412 | -3.00.391 | -0.70.839 | -4.70.294 | -2.50.465 | -3.30.335 | -3.80.264 |
| Low fence | +3.80.275 | -2.60.446 | -3.30.339 | +3.00.391 | 48.8%428 | +2.30.501 | -1.70.698 | +0.40.905 | -0.40.917 | -0.80.803 |
| Single wall | +1.50.657 | -4.90.151 | -5.50.101 | +0.70.839 | -2.30.501 | 46.6%451 | -4.00.365 | -1.90.586 | -2.60.435 | -3.10.349 |
| Fence and open | +5.50.218 | -0.90.838 | -1.50.727 | +4.70.294 | +1.70.698 | +4.00.365 | 50.6%180 | +2.10.632 | +1.40.758 | +0.90.841 |
| Open | +3.40.335 | -3.00.382 | -3.70.286 | +2.50.465 | -0.40.905 | +1.90.586 | -2.10.632 | 48.4%411 | -0.80.823 | -1.20.713 |
| Rectangle | +4.10.231 | -2.30.509 | -2.90.393 | +3.30.335 | +0.40.917 | +2.60.435 | -1.40.758 | +0.80.823 | 49.2%431 | -0.50.886 |
| Octagon | +4.60.176 | -1.80.597 | -2.40.470 | +3.80.264 | +0.80.803 | +3.10.349 | -0.90.841 | +1.20.713 | +0.50.886 | 49.7%455 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted177
Win rate51.4%
Widest swing-23.4 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 66.7% | +15.3 | 0.594 | 3 · | |
| Octagon | 65.2% | +13.8 | 0.156 | 23 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 65.0% | +13.6 | 0.197 | 20 · | |
| Single wall | 58.3% | +6.9 | 0.619 | 12 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 53.9% | +2.4 | 0.855 | 13 · | |
| Low fence | 53.9% | +2.4 | 0.855 | 13 · | |
| Full fence | 52.9% | +1.5 | 0.894 | 17 · | |
| Open | 52.2% | +0.8 | 0.938 | 23 · | |
| Half fence | 36.8% | -14.6 | 0.179 | 19 · | |
| Rectangle | 28.0% | -23.4 | 0.011 | 25 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 10.92 on 9 df, p 0.281
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 52.9%17 | -0.90.961 | +16.10.332 | -12.10.457 | -0.90.961 | -5.40.774 | -13.70.660 | +0.80.962 | +24.90.102 | -12.30.433 |
| Breakable full fence | +0.90.961 | 53.9%13 | +17.00.341 | -11.20.522 | +0.01.000 | -4.50.821 | -12.80.687 | +1.70.923 | +25.90.117 | -11.40.501 |
| Half fence | -16.10.332 | -17.00.341 | 36.8%19 | -28.20.079 | -17.00.341 | -21.50.242 | -29.80.329 | -15.30.320 | +8.80.533 | -28.40.067 |
| Breakable half fence | +12.10.457 | +11.20.522 | +28.20.079 | 65.0%20 | +11.20.522 | +6.70.706 | -1.70.955 | +12.80.395 | +37.00.013 | -0.20.988 |
| Low fence | +0.90.961 | -0.01.000 | +17.00.341 | -11.20.522 | 53.9%13 | -4.50.821 | -12.80.687 | +1.70.923 | +25.90.117 | -11.40.501 |
| Single wall | +5.40.774 | +4.50.821 | +21.50.242 | -6.70.706 | +4.50.821 | 58.3%12 | -8.30.792 | +6.20.728 | +30.30.075 | -6.90.689 |
| Fence and open | +13.70.660 | +12.80.687 | +29.80.329 | +1.70.955 | +12.80.687 | +8.30.792 | 66.7%3 | +14.50.636 | +38.70.175 | +1.40.960 |
| Open | -0.80.962 | -1.70.923 | +15.30.320 | -12.80.395 | -1.70.923 | -6.20.728 | -14.50.636 | 52.2%23 | +24.20.087 | -13.10.369 |
| Rectangle | -24.90.102 | -25.90.117 | -8.80.533 | -37.00.013 | -25.90.117 | -30.30.075 | -38.70.175 | -24.20.087 | 28.0%25 | -37.20.010 |
| Octagon | +12.30.433 | +11.40.501 | +28.40.067 | +0.20.988 | +11.40.501 | +6.90.689 | -1.40.960 | +13.10.369 | +37.20.010 | 65.2%23 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.