Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Jacky
Matches counted8,218
Win rate50.0%
Widest swing2.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 52.5% | +2.5 | 0.305 | 392 | |
| Open | 51.9% | +1.8 | 0.265 | 837 | |
| Full fence | 51.5% | +1.5 | 0.343 | 881 | |
| Rectangle | 50.8% | +0.7 | 0.649 | 851 | |
| Octagon | 50.4% | +0.4 | 0.813 | 865 | |
| Breakable full fence | 50.1% | +0.1 | 0.953 | 822 | |
| Single wall | 49.7% | -0.3 | 0.869 | 772 | |
| Breakable half fence | 48.3% | -1.7 | 0.299 | 834 | |
| Half fence | 48.1% | -1.9 | 0.251 | 833 | |
| Low fence | 48.0% | -2.0 | 0.250 | 768 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.54 on 9 df, p 0.685
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.5%881 | +1.40.561 | +3.40.160 | +3.20.184 | +3.50.158 | +1.80.467 | -1.00.737 | -0.30.895 | +0.80.749 | +1.10.637 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.40.561 | 50.1%822 | +2.00.420 | +1.80.464 | +2.10.408 | +0.40.879 | -2.40.429 | -1.70.481 | -0.60.793 | -0.30.908 |
| Half fence | -3.40.160 | -2.00.420 | 48.1%833 | -0.20.941 | +0.10.971 | -1.60.521 | -4.40.150 | -3.70.129 | -2.60.281 | -2.30.351 |
| Breakable half fence | -3.20.184 | -1.80.464 | +0.20.941 | 48.3%834 | +0.30.913 | -1.40.570 | -4.20.167 | -3.50.149 | -2.40.316 | -2.10.391 |
| Low fence | -3.50.158 | -2.10.408 | -0.10.971 | -0.30.913 | 48.0%768 | -1.70.506 | -4.50.147 | -3.80.128 | -2.70.275 | -2.40.342 |
| Single wall | -1.80.467 | -0.40.879 | +1.60.521 | +1.40.570 | +1.70.506 | 49.7%772 | -2.80.365 | -2.10.397 | -1.00.681 | -0.70.789 |
| Fence and open | +1.00.737 | +2.40.429 | +4.40.150 | +4.20.167 | +4.50.147 | +2.80.365 | 52.5%392 | +0.70.819 | +1.80.558 | +2.10.481 |
| Open | +0.30.895 | +1.70.481 | +3.70.129 | +3.50.149 | +3.80.128 | +2.10.397 | -0.70.819 | 51.9%837 | +1.10.655 | +1.40.550 |
| Rectangle | -0.80.749 | +0.60.793 | +2.60.281 | +2.40.316 | +2.70.275 | +1.00.681 | -1.80.558 | -1.10.655 | 50.8%851 | +0.40.882 |
| Octagon | -1.10.637 | +0.30.908 | +2.30.351 | +2.10.391 | +2.40.342 | +0.70.789 | -2.10.481 | -1.40.550 | -0.40.882 | 50.4%865 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted7,138
Win rate49.7%
Widest swing2.9 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 52.6% | +2.9 | 0.274 | 346 | |
| Open | 52.1% | +2.4 | 0.171 | 721 | |
| Rectangle | 51.4% | +1.7 | 0.332 | 737 | |
| Single wall | 50.8% | +1.1 | 0.556 | 685 | |
| Full fence | 49.9% | +0.1 | 0.936 | 770 | |
| Octagon | 49.5% | -0.3 | 0.872 | 730 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.3% | -0.4 | 0.803 | 702 | |
| Low fence | 48.2% | -1.6 | 0.392 | 687 | |
| Half fence | 47.9% | -1.8 | 0.305 | 724 | |
| Breakable half fence | 47.8% | -1.9 | 0.268 | 720 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.76 on 9 df, p 0.663
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 49.9%770 | +0.60.823 | +1.90.453 | +2.10.419 | +1.70.520 | -0.90.722 | -2.70.399 | -2.30.379 | -1.60.546 | +0.40.871 |
| Breakable full fence | -0.60.823 | 49.3%702 | +1.40.608 | +1.50.569 | +1.10.680 | -1.50.573 | -3.30.313 | -2.90.280 | -2.10.418 | -0.20.950 |
| Half fence | -1.90.453 | -1.40.608 | 47.9%724 | +0.10.954 | -0.20.924 | -2.90.281 | -4.70.153 | -4.20.109 | -3.50.181 | -1.50.561 |
| Breakable half fence | -2.10.419 | -1.50.569 | -0.10.954 | 47.8%720 | -0.40.880 | -3.00.257 | -4.80.140 | -4.40.097 | -3.60.164 | -1.70.524 |
| Low fence | -1.70.520 | -1.10.680 | +0.20.924 | +0.40.880 | 48.2%687 | -2.60.331 | -4.40.180 | -4.00.136 | -3.20.221 | -1.30.632 |
| Single wall | +0.90.722 | +1.50.573 | +2.90.281 | +3.00.257 | +2.60.331 | 50.8%685 | -1.80.585 | -1.40.613 | -0.60.815 | +1.40.612 |
| Fence and open | +2.70.399 | +3.30.313 | +4.70.153 | +4.80.140 | +4.40.180 | +1.80.585 | 52.6%346 | +0.50.890 | +1.20.718 | +3.10.335 |
| Open | +2.30.379 | +2.90.280 | +4.20.109 | +4.40.097 | +4.00.136 | +1.40.613 | -0.50.890 | 52.1%721 | +0.70.782 | +2.70.304 |
| Rectangle | +1.60.546 | +2.10.418 | +3.50.181 | +3.60.164 | +3.20.221 | +0.60.815 | -1.20.718 | -0.70.782 | 51.4%737 | +2.00.450 |
| Octagon | -0.40.871 | +0.20.950 | +1.50.561 | +1.70.524 | +1.30.632 | -1.40.612 | -3.10.335 | -2.70.304 | -2.00.450 | 49.5%730 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted1,080
Win rate51.9%
Widest swing11.1 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 63.1% | +11.1 | 0.013 | 111 | |
| Octagon | 55.6% | +3.6 | 0.369 | 135 | |
| Breakable full fence | 55.0% | +3.1 | 0.477 | 120 | |
| Fence and open | 52.2% | +0.2 | 0.975 | 46 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 51.8% | -0.2 | 0.966 | 114 | |
| Open | 50.0% | -1.9 | 0.657 | 116 | |
| Half fence | 49.5% | -2.4 | 0.596 | 109 | |
| Low fence | 46.9% | -5.0 | 0.346 | 81 | |
| Rectangle | 46.5% | -5.5 | 0.218 | 114 | |
| Single wall | 41.4% | -10.6 | 0.040 | 87 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 13.10 on 9 df, p 0.158
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 63.1%111 | +8.10.213 | +13.50.043 | +11.30.086 | +16.10.026 | +21.70.002 | +10.90.205 | +13.10.047 | +16.60.013 | +7.50.234 |
| Breakable full fence | -8.10.213 | 55.0%120 | +5.50.409 | +3.20.619 | +8.10.260 | +13.60.053 | +2.80.744 | +5.00.442 | +8.50.193 | -0.60.929 |
| Half fence | -13.50.043 | -5.50.409 | 49.5%109 | -2.20.741 | +2.60.720 | +8.20.255 | -2.60.765 | -0.50.945 | +3.00.649 | -6.00.349 |
| Breakable half fence | -11.30.086 | -3.20.619 | +2.20.741 | 51.8%114 | +4.80.505 | +10.40.144 | -0.40.962 | +1.80.790 | +5.30.427 | -3.80.549 |
| Low fence | -16.10.026 | -8.10.260 | -2.60.720 | -4.80.505 | 46.9%81 | +5.50.470 | -5.30.569 | -3.10.670 | +0.40.954 | -8.70.218 |
| Single wall | -21.70.002 | -13.60.053 | -8.20.255 | -10.40.144 | -5.50.470 | 41.4%87 | -10.80.234 | -8.60.223 | -5.10.470 | -14.20.039 |
| Fence and open | -10.90.205 | -2.80.744 | +2.60.765 | +0.40.962 | +5.30.569 | +10.80.234 | 52.2%46 | +2.20.803 | +5.70.515 | -3.40.691 |
| Open | -13.10.047 | -5.00.442 | +0.50.945 | -1.80.790 | +3.10.670 | +8.60.223 | -2.20.803 | 50.0%116 | +3.50.594 | -5.60.379 |
| Rectangle | -16.60.013 | -8.50.193 | -3.00.649 | -5.30.427 | -0.40.954 | +5.10.470 | -5.70.515 | -3.50.594 | 46.5%114 | -9.10.154 |
| Octagon | -7.50.234 | +0.60.929 | +6.00.349 | +3.80.549 | +8.70.218 | +14.20.039 | +3.40.691 | +5.60.379 | +9.10.154 | 55.6%135 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.