Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Goh
Matches counted4,580
Win rate49.5%
Widest swing-4.3 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 52.9% | +3.4 | 0.124 | 465 | |
| Full fence | 52.1% | +2.6 | 0.221 | 497 | |
| Octagon | 51.8% | +2.3 | 0.281 | 504 | |
| Rectangle | 51.8% | +2.2 | 0.331 | 423 | |
| Open | 50.7% | +1.1 | 0.608 | 452 | |
| Breakable half fence | 50.1% | +0.6 | 0.799 | 403 | |
| Low fence | 47.2% | -2.3 | 0.294 | 468 | |
| Fence and open | 47.0% | -2.6 | 0.425 | 230 | |
| Single wall | 46.4% | -3.1 | 0.146 | 487 | |
| Half fence | 45.2% | -4.3 | 0.073 | 398 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 12.01 on 9 df, p 0.213
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 52.1%497 | -0.80.806 | +6.90.041 | +2.00.553 | +4.90.129 | +5.70.073 | +5.20.196 | +1.40.656 | +0.30.918 | +0.30.918 |
| Breakable full fence | +0.80.806 | 52.9%465 | +7.70.025 | +2.80.414 | +5.70.083 | +6.50.045 | +5.90.140 | +2.20.497 | +1.10.736 | +1.10.728 |
| Half fence | -6.90.041 | -7.70.025 | 45.2%398 | -4.90.165 | -2.00.557 | -1.20.726 | -1.70.675 | -5.40.113 | -6.50.061 | -6.60.050 |
| Breakable half fence | -2.00.553 | -2.80.414 | +4.90.165 | 50.1%403 | +2.90.393 | +3.70.269 | +3.20.443 | -0.50.875 | -1.60.636 | -1.70.619 |
| Low fence | -4.90.129 | -5.70.083 | +2.00.557 | -2.90.393 | 47.2%468 | +0.80.801 | +0.30.947 | -3.40.297 | -4.50.175 | -4.60.155 |
| Single wall | -5.70.073 | -6.50.045 | +1.20.726 | -3.70.269 | -0.80.801 | 46.4%487 | -0.60.890 | -4.20.192 | -5.40.106 | -5.40.090 |
| Fence and open | -5.20.196 | -5.90.140 | +1.70.675 | -3.20.443 | -0.30.947 | +0.60.890 | 47.0%230 | -3.70.360 | -4.80.240 | -4.80.225 |
| Open | -1.40.656 | -2.20.497 | +5.40.113 | +0.50.875 | +3.40.297 | +4.20.192 | +3.70.360 | 50.7%452 | -1.10.743 | -1.10.729 |
| Rectangle | -0.30.918 | -1.10.736 | +6.50.061 | +1.60.636 | +4.50.175 | +5.40.106 | +4.80.240 | +1.10.743 | 51.8%423 | -0.00.997 |
| Octagon | -0.30.918 | -1.10.728 | +6.60.050 | +1.70.619 | +4.60.155 | +5.40.090 | +4.80.225 | +1.10.729 | +0.00.997 | 51.8%504 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted4,294
Win rate49.5%
Widest swing-4.5 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable full fence | 53.1% | +3.6 | 0.117 | 420 | |
| Full fence | 52.4% | +2.9 | 0.174 | 483 | |
| Octagon | 51.9% | +2.4 | 0.261 | 476 | |
| Rectangle | 51.9% | +2.4 | 0.312 | 401 | |
| Open | 50.4% | +0.9 | 0.700 | 421 | |
| Breakable half fence | 49.7% | +0.3 | 0.911 | 382 | |
| Low fence | 47.4% | -2.1 | 0.358 | 441 | |
| Single wall | 46.0% | -3.4 | 0.121 | 452 | |
| Fence and open | 45.6% | -3.9 | 0.243 | 215 | |
| Half fence | 45.0% | -4.5 | 0.067 | 376 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 13.30 on 9 df, p 0.150
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 52.4%483 | -0.70.830 | +7.40.031 | +2.60.440 | +5.00.130 | +6.40.052 | +6.80.097 | +2.00.543 | +0.50.880 | +0.50.879 |
| Breakable full fence | +0.70.830 | 53.1%420 | +8.20.022 | +3.40.342 | +5.70.094 | +7.10.037 | +7.50.073 | +2.70.427 | +1.20.725 | +1.20.719 |
| Half fence | -7.40.031 | -8.20.022 | 45.0%376 | -4.80.187 | -2.40.485 | -1.10.758 | -0.60.881 | -5.40.127 | -6.90.054 | -6.90.044 |
| Breakable half fence | -2.60.440 | -3.40.342 | +4.80.187 | 49.7%382 | +2.40.502 | +3.70.284 | +4.20.329 | -0.60.861 | -2.10.551 | -2.10.531 |
| Low fence | -5.00.130 | -5.70.094 | +2.40.485 | -2.40.502 | 47.4%441 | +1.40.681 | +1.80.663 | -3.00.384 | -4.50.194 | -4.50.173 |
| Single wall | -6.40.052 | -7.10.037 | +1.10.758 | -3.70.284 | -1.40.681 | 46.0%452 | +0.40.916 | -4.30.200 | -5.80.088 | -5.90.074 |
| Fence and open | -6.80.097 | -7.50.073 | +0.60.881 | -4.20.329 | -1.80.663 | -0.40.916 | 45.6%215 | -4.80.254 | -6.30.137 | -6.30.125 |
| Open | -2.00.543 | -2.70.427 | +5.40.127 | +0.60.861 | +3.00.384 | +4.30.200 | +4.80.254 | 50.4%421 | -1.50.664 | -1.50.646 |
| Rectangle | -0.50.880 | -1.20.725 | +6.90.054 | +2.10.551 | +4.50.194 | +5.80.088 | +6.30.137 | +1.50.664 | 51.9%401 | -0.00.995 |
| Octagon | -0.50.879 | -1.20.719 | +6.90.044 | +2.10.531 | +4.50.173 | +5.90.074 | +6.30.125 | +1.50.646 | +0.00.995 | 51.9%476 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted286
Win rate50.4%
Widest swing16.3 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 66.7% | +16.3 | 0.194 | 15 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 57.1% | +6.8 | 0.518 | 21 · | |
| Open | 54.8% | +4.5 | 0.597 | 31 · | |
| Single wall | 51.4% | +1.1 | 0.892 | 35 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 51.1% | +0.8 | 0.911 | 45 · | |
| Half fence | 50.0% | -0.3 | 0.973 | 22 · | |
| Octagon | 50.0% | -0.3 | 0.969 | 28 · | |
| Rectangle | 50.0% | -0.3 | 0.973 | 22 · | |
| Low fence | 44.4% | -5.9 | 0.519 | 27 · | |
| Full fence | 42.9% | -7.5 | 0.565 | 14 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 2.81 on 9 df, p 0.971
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 42.9%14 | -8.20.590 | -7.10.676 | -14.30.407 | -1.60.923 | -8.60.588 | -23.80.198 | -12.00.457 | -7.10.676 | -7.10.662 |
| Breakable full fence | +8.20.590 | 51.1%45 | +1.10.932 | -6.00.647 | +6.70.584 | -0.30.978 | -15.60.294 | -3.70.749 | +1.10.932 | +1.10.926 |
| Half fence | +7.10.676 | -1.10.932 | 50.0%22 | -7.10.639 | +5.60.698 | -1.40.916 | -16.70.315 | -4.80.728 | +0.01.000 | +0.01.000 |
| Breakable half fence | +14.30.407 | +6.00.647 | +7.10.639 | 57.1%21 | +12.70.383 | +5.70.678 | -9.50.563 | +2.30.870 | +7.10.639 | +7.10.620 |
| Low fence | +1.60.923 | -6.70.584 | -5.60.698 | -12.70.383 | 44.4%27 | -7.00.585 | -22.20.167 | -10.40.430 | -5.60.698 | -5.60.680 |
| Single wall | +8.60.588 | +0.30.978 | +1.40.916 | -5.70.678 | +7.00.585 | 51.4%35 | -15.20.320 | -3.40.782 | +1.40.916 | +1.40.910 |
| Fence and open | +23.80.198 | +15.60.294 | +16.70.315 | +9.50.563 | +22.20.167 | +15.20.320 | 66.7%15 | +11.80.445 | +16.70.315 | +16.70.294 |
| Open | +12.00.457 | +3.70.749 | +4.80.728 | -2.30.870 | +10.40.430 | +3.40.782 | -11.80.445 | 54.8%31 | +4.80.728 | +4.80.710 |
| Rectangle | +7.10.676 | -1.10.932 | -0.01.000 | -7.10.639 | +5.60.698 | -1.40.916 | -16.70.315 | -4.80.728 | 50.0%22 | +0.01.000 |
| Octagon | +7.10.662 | -1.10.926 | -0.01.000 | -7.10.620 | +5.60.680 | -1.40.910 | -16.70.294 | -4.80.710 | -0.01.000 | 50.0%28 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.