Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs El Blaze
Matches counted2,933
Win rate47.3%
Widest swing-3.9 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rectangle | 51.0% | +3.7 | 0.175 | 298 | |
| Fence and open | 49.7% | +2.4 | 0.514 | 171 | |
| Half fence | 49.1% | +1.8 | 0.546 | 265 | |
| Breakable half fence | 48.8% | +1.6 | 0.570 | 301 | |
| Octagon | 48.8% | +1.5 | 0.605 | 281 | |
| Low fence | 47.8% | +0.5 | 0.859 | 293 | |
| Open | 46.4% | -0.9 | 0.737 | 336 | |
| Full fence | 45.3% | -2.0 | 0.463 | 296 | |
| Breakable full fence | 44.0% | -3.3 | 0.283 | 241 | |
| Single wall | 43.4% | -3.9 | 0.144 | 309 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.49 on 9 df, p 0.690
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 45.3%296 | +1.30.765 | -3.80.370 | -3.60.383 | -2.50.541 | +1.90.637 | -4.40.355 | -1.20.771 | -5.70.162 | -3.50.402 |
| Breakable full fence | -1.30.765 | 44.0%241 | -5.10.253 | -4.90.260 | -3.80.381 | +0.60.885 | -5.70.251 | -2.50.561 | -7.00.105 | -4.80.276 |
| Half fence | +3.80.370 | +5.10.253 | 49.1%265 | +0.20.958 | +1.30.763 | +5.70.173 | -0.70.894 | +2.60.522 | -1.90.644 | +0.30.944 |
| Breakable half fence | +3.60.383 | +4.90.260 | -0.20.958 | 48.8%301 | +1.10.797 | +5.50.175 | -0.90.856 | +2.40.543 | -2.20.595 | +0.10.984 |
| Low fence | +2.50.541 | +3.80.381 | -1.30.763 | -1.10.797 | 47.8%293 | +4.40.277 | -1.90.689 | +1.40.735 | -3.20.433 | -1.00.816 |
| Single wall | -1.90.637 | -0.60.885 | -5.70.173 | -5.50.175 | -4.40.277 | 43.4%309 | -6.30.182 | -3.10.435 | -7.60.059 | -5.40.190 |
| Fence and open | +4.40.355 | +5.70.251 | +0.70.894 | +0.90.856 | +1.90.689 | +6.30.182 | 49.7%171 | +3.30.485 | -1.30.787 | +1.00.844 |
| Open | +1.20.771 | +2.50.561 | -2.60.522 | -2.40.543 | -1.40.735 | +3.10.435 | -3.30.485 | 46.4%336 | -4.60.250 | -2.30.565 |
| Rectangle | +5.70.162 | +7.00.105 | +1.90.644 | +2.20.595 | +3.20.433 | +7.60.059 | +1.30.787 | +4.60.250 | 51.0%298 | +2.30.588 |
| Octagon | +3.50.402 | +4.80.276 | -0.30.944 | -0.10.984 | +1.00.816 | +5.40.190 | -1.00.844 | +2.30.565 | -2.30.588 | 48.8%281 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted2,470
Win rate47.3%
Widest swing-4.8 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rectangle | 51.5% | +4.2 | 0.151 | 258 | |
| Fence and open | 50.7% | +3.4 | 0.407 | 142 | |
| Breakable half fence | 50.4% | +3.1 | 0.306 | 248 | |
| Open | 48.0% | +0.6 | 0.813 | 296 | |
| Half fence | 47.7% | +0.4 | 0.912 | 216 | |
| Low fence | 47.3% | -0.1 | 0.982 | 237 | |
| Octagon | 47.1% | -0.3 | 0.930 | 238 | |
| Full fence | 46.3% | -1.0 | 0.744 | 246 | |
| Single wall | 42.8% | -4.5 | 0.114 | 271 | |
| Breakable full fence | 42.5% | -4.8 | 0.147 | 207 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 7.75 on 9 df, p 0.560
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 46.3%246 | +3.80.414 | -1.40.773 | -4.10.366 | -0.90.840 | +3.50.419 | -4.40.407 | -1.60.705 | -5.20.242 | -0.70.874 |
| Breakable full fence | -3.80.414 | 42.5%207 | -5.20.285 | -7.90.093 | -4.80.316 | -0.30.949 | -8.20.131 | -5.50.226 | -9.00.052 | -4.50.336 |
| Half fence | +1.40.773 | +5.20.285 | 47.7%216 | -2.70.559 | +0.40.927 | +4.90.282 | -3.00.576 | -0.30.949 | -3.90.402 | +0.60.894 |
| Breakable half fence | +4.10.366 | +7.90.093 | +2.70.559 | 50.4%248 | +3.10.488 | +7.60.083 | -0.30.954 | +2.40.572 | -1.10.796 | +3.30.461 |
| Low fence | +0.90.840 | +4.80.316 | -0.40.927 | -3.10.488 | 47.3%237 | +4.50.314 | -3.40.516 | -0.70.869 | -4.30.340 | +0.20.965 |
| Single wall | -3.50.419 | +0.30.949 | -4.90.282 | -7.60.083 | -4.50.314 | 42.8%271 | -7.90.126 | -5.20.217 | -8.80.044 | -4.30.336 |
| Fence and open | +4.40.407 | +8.20.131 | +3.00.576 | +0.30.954 | +3.40.516 | +7.90.126 | 50.7%142 | +2.70.592 | -0.80.871 | +3.60.492 |
| Open | +1.60.705 | +5.50.226 | +0.30.949 | -2.40.572 | +0.70.869 | +5.20.217 | -2.70.592 | 48.0%296 | -3.60.401 | +0.90.833 |
| Rectangle | +5.20.242 | +9.00.052 | +3.90.402 | +1.10.796 | +4.30.340 | +8.80.044 | +0.80.871 | +3.60.401 | 51.5%258 | +4.50.318 |
| Octagon | +0.70.874 | +4.50.336 | -0.60.894 | -3.30.461 | -0.20.965 | +4.30.336 | -3.60.492 | -0.90.833 | -4.50.318 | 47.1%238 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted463
Win rate47.1%
Widest swing-12.1 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Octagon | 58.1% | +11.1 | 0.127 | 43 · | |
| Half fence | 55.1% | +8.0 | 0.234 | 49 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 52.9% | +5.9 | 0.477 | 34 · | |
| Low fence | 50.0% | +2.9 | 0.641 | 56 · | |
| Rectangle | 47.5% | +0.4 | 0.956 | 40 · | |
| Single wall | 47.4% | +0.3 | 0.971 | 38 · | |
| Fence and open | 44.8% | -2.2 | 0.801 | 29 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 41.5% | -5.6 | 0.388 | 53 · | |
| Full fence | 40.0% | -7.1 | 0.288 | 50 · | |
| Open | 35.0% | -12.1 | 0.109 | 40 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.10 on 9 df, p 0.524
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 40.0%50 | -12.90.242 | -15.10.132 | -1.50.876 | -10.00.302 | -7.40.489 | -4.80.675 | +5.00.627 | -7.50.476 | -18.10.081 |
| Breakable full fence | +12.90.242 | 52.9%34 | -2.20.846 | +11.40.297 | +2.90.787 | +5.60.637 | +8.10.521 | +17.90.121 | +5.40.641 | -5.20.648 |
| Half fence | +15.10.132 | +2.20.846 | 55.1%49 | +13.60.170 | +5.10.602 | +7.70.474 | +10.30.380 | +20.10.058 | +7.60.475 | -3.00.769 |
| Breakable half fence | +1.50.876 | -11.40.297 | -13.60.170 | 41.5%53 | -8.50.374 | -5.90.579 | -3.30.771 | +6.50.523 | -6.00.565 | -16.60.105 |
| Low fence | +10.00.302 | -2.90.787 | -5.10.602 | +8.50.374 | 50.0%56 | +2.60.802 | +5.20.651 | +15.00.144 | +2.50.809 | -8.10.421 |
| Single wall | +7.40.489 | -5.60.637 | -7.70.474 | +5.90.579 | -2.60.802 | 47.4%38 | +2.50.836 | +12.40.267 | -0.10.991 | -10.80.332 |
| Fence and open | +4.80.675 | -8.10.521 | -10.30.380 | +3.30.771 | -5.20.651 | -2.50.836 | 44.8%29 | +9.80.409 | -2.70.826 | -13.30.267 |
| Open | -5.00.627 | -17.90.121 | -20.10.058 | -6.50.523 | -15.00.144 | -12.40.267 | -9.80.409 | 35.0%40 | -12.50.256 | -23.10.035 |
| Rectangle | +7.50.476 | -5.40.641 | -7.60.475 | +6.00.565 | -2.50.809 | +0.10.991 | +2.70.826 | +12.50.256 | 47.5%40 | -10.60.332 |
| Octagon | +18.10.081 | +5.20.648 | +3.00.769 | +16.60.105 | +8.10.421 | +10.80.332 | +13.30.267 | +23.10.035 | +10.60.332 | 58.1%43 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.