Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Eileen
Matches counted1,277
Win rate50.4%
Widest swing6.3 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 56.8% | +6.3 | 0.262 | 74 · | |
| Open | 53.2% | +2.8 | 0.512 | 124 | |
| Rectangle | 53.0% | +2.6 | 0.557 | 115 | |
| Breakable half fence | 52.2% | +1.7 | 0.665 | 138 | |
| Low fence | 51.0% | +0.6 | 0.879 | 147 | |
| Full fence | 50.8% | +0.4 | 0.932 | 126 | |
| Octagon | 50.7% | +0.2 | 0.951 | 150 | |
| Half fence | 48.5% | -1.9 | 0.637 | 132 | |
| Breakable full fence | 47.3% | -3.1 | 0.491 | 112 | |
| Single wall | 47.2% | -3.3 | 0.483 | 106 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 3.06 on 9 df, p 0.962
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 50.8%126 | +3.50.593 | +2.30.711 | -1.40.823 | -0.20.970 | +3.60.582 | -6.00.415 | -2.40.700 | -2.20.727 | +0.10.983 |
| Breakable full fence | -3.50.593 | 47.3%112 | -1.20.856 | -4.80.445 | -3.70.555 | +0.10.982 | -9.40.208 | -5.90.365 | -5.70.389 | -3.40.592 |
| Half fence | -2.30.711 | +1.20.856 | 48.5%132 | -3.70.544 | -2.50.672 | +1.30.840 | -8.30.254 | -4.80.448 | -4.60.475 | -2.20.715 |
| Breakable half fence | +1.40.823 | +4.80.445 | +3.70.544 | 52.2%138 | +1.10.846 | +5.00.438 | -4.60.524 | -1.10.865 | -0.90.890 | +1.50.798 |
| Low fence | +0.20.970 | +3.70.555 | +2.50.672 | -1.10.846 | 51.0%147 | +3.90.546 | -5.70.420 | -2.20.717 | -2.00.745 | +0.30.951 |
| Single wall | -3.60.582 | -0.10.982 | -1.30.840 | -5.00.438 | -3.90.546 | 47.2%106 | -9.60.205 | -6.10.360 | -5.90.383 | -3.50.581 |
| Fence and open | +6.00.415 | +9.40.208 | +8.30.254 | +4.60.524 | +5.70.420 | +9.60.205 | 56.8%74 | +3.50.629 | +3.70.617 | +6.10.391 |
| Open | +2.40.700 | +5.90.365 | +4.80.448 | +1.10.865 | +2.20.717 | +6.10.360 | -3.50.629 | 53.2%124 | +0.20.977 | +2.60.673 |
| Rectangle | +2.20.727 | +5.70.389 | +4.60.475 | +0.90.890 | +2.00.745 | +5.90.383 | -3.70.617 | -0.20.977 | 53.0%115 | +2.40.701 |
| Octagon | -0.10.983 | +3.40.592 | +2.20.715 | -1.50.798 | -0.30.951 | +3.50.581 | -6.10.391 | -2.60.673 | -2.40.701 | 50.7%150 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted952
Win rate49.0%
Widest swing-5.6 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fence and open | 54.1% | +5.0 | 0.415 | 61 · | |
| Low fence | 52.4% | +3.4 | 0.422 | 124 | |
| Breakable half fence | 52.3% | +3.3 | 0.471 | 107 | |
| Octagon | 50.5% | +1.5 | 0.762 | 95 | |
| Open | 50.0% | +0.9 | 0.854 | 86 | |
| Rectangle | 50.0% | +0.9 | 0.860 | 80 | |
| Half fence | 49.5% | +0.5 | 0.921 | 103 | |
| Breakable full fence | 49.3% | +0.3 | 0.960 | 75 · | |
| Full fence | 46.6% | -2.5 | 0.598 | 103 | |
| Single wall | 43.4% | -5.6 | 0.306 | 76 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 2.75 on 9 df, p 0.973
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 46.6%103 | -2.70.719 | -2.90.676 | -5.70.406 | -5.80.383 | +3.20.673 | -7.50.353 | -3.40.642 | -3.40.648 | -3.90.581 |
| Breakable full fence | +2.70.719 | 49.3%75 | -0.20.981 | -3.00.690 | -3.10.673 | +5.90.466 | -4.80.580 | -0.70.933 | -0.70.934 | -1.20.877 |
| Half fence | +2.90.676 | +0.20.981 | 49.5%103 | -2.80.683 | -2.90.663 | +6.10.419 | -4.60.570 | -0.50.947 | -0.50.948 | -1.00.887 |
| Breakable half fence | +5.70.406 | +3.00.690 | +2.80.683 | 52.3%107 | -0.10.990 | +8.90.234 | -1.80.826 | +2.30.747 | +2.30.752 | +1.80.797 |
| Low fence | +5.80.383 | +3.10.673 | +2.90.663 | +0.10.990 | 52.4%124 | +9.00.217 | -1.70.830 | +2.40.730 | +2.40.736 | +1.90.781 |
| Single wall | -3.20.673 | -5.90.466 | -6.10.419 | -8.90.234 | -9.00.217 | 43.4%76 | -10.70.214 | -6.60.402 | -6.60.410 | -7.10.355 |
| Fence and open | +7.50.353 | +4.80.580 | +4.60.570 | +1.80.826 | +1.70.830 | +10.70.214 | 54.1%61 | +4.10.624 | +4.10.629 | +3.60.663 |
| Open | +3.40.642 | +0.70.933 | +0.50.947 | -2.30.747 | -2.40.730 | +6.60.402 | -4.10.624 | 50.0%86 | +0.01.000 | -0.50.944 |
| Rectangle | +3.40.648 | +0.70.934 | +0.50.948 | -2.30.752 | -2.40.736 | +6.60.410 | -4.10.629 | -0.01.000 | 50.0%80 | -0.50.945 |
| Octagon | +3.90.581 | +1.20.877 | +1.00.887 | -1.80.797 | -1.90.781 | +7.10.355 | -3.60.663 | +0.50.944 | +0.50.945 | 50.5%95 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted325
Win rate54.5%
Widest swing15.1 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 69.6% | +15.1 | 0.131 | 23 · | |
| Fence and open | 69.2% | +14.8 | 0.275 | 13 · | |
| Open | 60.5% | +6.1 | 0.424 | 38 · | |
| Rectangle | 60.0% | +5.5 | 0.486 | 35 · | |
| Single wall | 56.7% | +2.2 | 0.799 | 30 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 51.6% | -2.9 | 0.738 | 31 · | |
| Octagon | 50.9% | -3.5 | 0.562 | 55 · | |
| Half fence | 44.8% | -9.6 | 0.275 | 29 · | |
| Low fence | 43.5% | -11.0 | 0.273 | 23 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 43.2% | -11.2 | 0.146 | 37 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 8.71 on 9 df, p 0.465
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 69.6%23 | +26.30.047 | +24.70.074 | +18.00.184 | +26.10.074 | +12.90.337 | +0.30.983 | +9.00.476 | +9.60.458 | +18.70.130 |
| Breakable full fence | -26.30.047 | 43.2%37 | -1.60.898 | -8.40.491 | -0.20.986 | -13.40.274 | -26.00.107 | -17.30.134 | -16.80.155 | -7.70.470 |
| Half fence | -24.70.074 | +1.60.898 | 44.8%29 | -6.80.599 | +1.40.922 | -11.80.363 | -24.40.143 | -15.70.202 | -15.20.226 | -6.10.596 |
| Breakable half fence | -18.00.184 | +8.40.491 | +6.80.599 | 51.6%31 | +8.10.554 | -5.10.692 | -17.60.282 | -8.90.458 | -8.40.493 | +0.70.950 |
| Low fence | -26.10.074 | +0.20.986 | -1.40.922 | -8.10.554 | 43.5%23 | -13.20.341 | -25.80.137 | -17.10.195 | -16.50.217 | -7.40.549 |
| Single wall | -12.90.337 | +13.40.274 | +11.80.363 | +5.10.692 | +13.20.341 | 56.7%30 | -12.60.439 | -3.90.748 | -3.30.786 | +5.80.611 |
| Fence and open | -0.30.983 | +26.00.107 | +24.40.143 | +17.60.282 | +25.80.137 | +12.60.439 | 69.2%13 | +8.70.575 | +9.20.557 | +18.30.233 |
| Open | -9.00.476 | +17.30.134 | +15.70.202 | +8.90.458 | +17.10.195 | +3.90.748 | -8.70.575 | 60.5%38 | +0.50.963 | +9.60.360 |
| Rectangle | -9.60.458 | +16.80.155 | +15.20.226 | +8.40.493 | +16.50.217 | +3.30.786 | -9.20.557 | -0.50.963 | 60.0%35 | +9.10.399 |
| Octagon | -18.70.130 | +7.70.470 | +6.10.596 | -0.70.950 | +7.40.549 | -5.80.611 | -18.30.233 | -9.60.360 | -9.10.399 | 50.9%55 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.