Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Character Matchup Winrates
Akira vs Brad
Matches counted4,072
Win rate50.5%
Widest swing-6.2 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half fence | 53.7% | +3.2 | 0.146 | 443 | |
| Rectangle | 53.1% | +2.7 | 0.240 | 429 | |
| Full fence | 51.8% | +1.3 | 0.586 | 396 | |
| Breakable full fence | 51.6% | +1.2 | 0.623 | 397 | |
| Octagon | 51.2% | +0.7 | 0.753 | 418 | |
| Low fence | 50.9% | +0.4 | 0.875 | 344 | |
| Open | 49.9% | -0.6 | 0.798 | 431 | |
| Single wall | 49.1% | -1.4 | 0.571 | 395 | |
| Fence and open | 48.7% | -1.8 | 0.614 | 189 | |
| Breakable half fence | 44.2% | -6.2 | 0.007 | 416 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 10.76 on 9 df, p 0.292
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.8%396 | +0.10.971 | -1.90.571 | +7.50.032 | +0.90.808 | +2.70.455 | +3.10.484 | +1.90.588 | -1.40.692 | +0.60.870 |
| Breakable full fence | -0.10.971 | 51.6%397 | -2.10.545 | +7.40.035 | +0.80.835 | +2.50.478 | +3.00.503 | +1.80.614 | -1.50.664 | +0.40.900 |
| Half fence | +1.90.571 | +2.10.545 | 53.7%443 | +9.50.005 | +2.90.427 | +4.60.182 | +5.00.245 | +3.80.256 | +0.60.864 | +2.50.458 |
| Breakable half fence | -7.50.032 | -7.40.035 | -9.50.005 | 44.2%416 | -6.60.068 | -4.90.164 | -4.50.309 | -5.70.099 | -8.90.010 | -7.00.044 |
| Low fence | -0.90.808 | -0.80.835 | -2.90.427 | +6.60.068 | 50.9%344 | +1.80.633 | +2.20.628 | +1.00.785 | -2.30.529 | -0.30.929 |
| Single wall | -2.70.455 | -2.50.478 | -4.60.182 | +4.90.164 | -1.80.633 | 49.1%395 | +0.40.921 | -0.80.825 | -4.00.247 | -2.10.553 |
| Fence and open | -3.10.484 | -3.00.503 | -5.00.245 | +4.50.309 | -2.20.628 | -0.40.921 | 48.7%189 | -1.20.782 | -4.50.306 | -2.50.565 |
| Open | -1.90.588 | -1.80.614 | -3.80.256 | +5.70.099 | -1.00.785 | +0.80.825 | +1.20.782 | 49.9%431 | -3.30.338 | -1.30.702 |
| Rectangle | +1.40.692 | +1.50.664 | -0.60.864 | +8.90.010 | +2.30.529 | +4.00.247 | +4.50.306 | +3.30.338 | 53.1%429 | +1.90.570 |
| Octagon | -0.60.870 | -0.40.900 | -2.50.458 | +7.00.044 | +0.30.929 | +2.10.553 | +2.50.565 | +1.30.702 | -1.90.570 | 51.2%418 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted3,430
Win rate49.8%
Widest swing-8.4 pts
Survive correction1
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rectangle | 52.6% | +2.8 | 0.254 | 369 | |
| Breakable full fence | 52.3% | +2.5 | 0.339 | 331 | |
| Half fence | 52.1% | +2.4 | 0.330 | 372 | |
| Low fence | 51.9% | +2.1 | 0.449 | 291 | |
| Full fence | 51.7% | +1.9 | 0.466 | 327 | |
| Octagon | 50.0% | +0.2 | 0.925 | 364 | |
| Fence and open | 48.7% | -1.1 | 0.785 | 152 | |
| Single wall | 48.5% | -1.3 | 0.627 | 334 | |
| Open | 48.5% | -1.3 | 0.604 | 361 | |
| Breakable half fence | 41.4% | -8.4 | <0.001 | 348 |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 14.16 on 9 df, p 0.117
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 51.7%327 | -0.60.881 | -0.50.902 | +10.30.007 | -0.20.959 | +3.20.414 | +3.00.541 | +3.20.401 | -0.90.814 | +1.70.659 |
| Breakable full fence | +0.60.881 | 52.3%331 | +0.10.976 | +10.90.004 | +0.40.925 | +3.80.332 | +3.60.465 | +3.80.319 | -0.30.935 | +2.30.551 |
| Half fence | +0.50.902 | -0.10.976 | 52.1%372 | +10.80.004 | +0.30.947 | +3.60.333 | +3.50.471 | +3.70.320 | -0.40.908 | +2.10.560 |
| Breakable half fence | -10.30.007 | -10.90.004 | -10.80.004 | 41.4%348 | -10.50.008 | -7.10.062 | -7.30.130 | -7.10.058 | -11.20.003 | -8.60.021 |
| Low fence | +0.20.959 | -0.40.925 | -0.30.947 | +10.50.008 | 51.9%291 | +3.40.398 | +3.20.522 | +3.40.386 | -0.70.861 | +1.90.631 |
| Single wall | -3.20.414 | -3.80.332 | -3.60.333 | +7.10.062 | -3.40.398 | 48.5%334 | -0.20.970 | +0.00.994 | -4.10.281 | -1.50.693 |
| Fence and open | -3.00.541 | -3.60.465 | -3.50.471 | +7.30.130 | -3.20.522 | +0.20.970 | 48.7%152 | +0.20.966 | -3.90.419 | -1.30.785 |
| Open | -3.20.401 | -3.80.319 | -3.70.320 | +7.10.058 | -3.40.386 | -0.00.994 | -0.20.966 | 48.5%361 | -4.10.268 | -1.50.682 |
| Rectangle | +0.90.814 | +0.30.935 | +0.40.908 | +11.20.003 | +0.70.861 | +4.10.281 | +3.90.419 | +4.10.268 | 52.6%369 | +2.60.486 |
| Octagon | -1.70.659 | -2.30.551 | -2.10.560 | +8.60.021 | -1.90.631 | +1.50.693 | +1.30.785 | +1.50.682 | -2.60.486 | 50.0%364 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.
Matches counted642
Win rate54.2%
Widest swing-8.9 pts
Survive correction0
Period2026/03/26 – 2026/09/23
Where it was fought
Akira's win rate on each stage, against this matchup everywhere| Stage | Stage effect | Win % | Change | p | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half fence | 62.0% | +7.8 | 0.164 | 71 · | |
| Octagon | 59.3% | +5.0 | 0.436 | 54 · | |
| Breakable half fence | 58.8% | +4.6 | 0.419 | 68 · | |
| Open | 57.1% | +2.9 | 0.601 | 70 · | |
| Rectangle | 56.7% | +2.5 | 0.688 | 60 · | |
| Single wall | 52.5% | -1.8 | 0.773 | 61 · | |
| Full fence | 52.2% | -2.0 | 0.720 | 69 · | |
| Fence and open | 48.6% | -5.6 | 0.485 | 37 · | |
| Breakable full fence | 48.5% | -5.7 | 0.325 | 66 · | |
| Low fence | 45.3% | -8.9 | 0.173 | 53 · |
p < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested
Stage against stage
Akira's win rate on the row's stage, minus the same on the column'sAll ten shapes at once: chi-square 6.46 on 9 df, p 0.693
| Stage | Full | Break. full | Half | Break. half | Low | Wall | Mixed | Open | Rect | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full fence | 52.2%69 | +3.70.668 | -9.80.242 | -6.70.434 | +6.90.450 | -0.30.974 | +3.50.729 | -5.00.556 | -4.50.609 | -7.10.433 |
| Breakable full fence | -3.70.668 | 48.5%66 | -13.50.112 | -10.30.230 | +3.20.728 | -4.00.654 | -0.20.987 | -8.70.312 | -8.20.358 | -10.80.239 |
| Half fence | +9.80.242 | +13.50.112 | 62.0%71 | +3.10.704 | +16.70.065 | +9.50.270 | +13.30.184 | +4.80.559 | +5.30.538 | +2.70.758 |
| Breakable half fence | +6.70.434 | +10.30.230 | -3.10.704 | 58.8%68 | +13.50.139 | +6.40.467 | +10.20.317 | +1.70.842 | +2.10.805 | -0.40.961 |
| Low fence | -6.90.450 | -3.20.728 | -16.70.065 | -13.50.139 | 45.3%53 | -7.20.445 | -3.40.753 | -11.90.192 | -11.40.227 | -14.00.148 |
| Single wall | +0.30.974 | +4.00.654 | -9.50.270 | -6.40.467 | +7.20.445 | 52.5%61 | +3.80.715 | -4.70.591 | -4.20.642 | -6.80.464 |
| Fence and open | -3.50.729 | +0.20.987 | -13.30.184 | -10.20.317 | +3.40.753 | -3.80.715 | 48.6%37 | -8.50.402 | -8.00.442 | -10.60.318 |
| Open | +5.00.556 | +8.70.312 | -4.80.559 | -1.70.842 | +11.90.192 | +4.70.591 | +8.50.402 | 57.1%70 | +0.50.956 | -2.10.813 |
| Rectangle | +4.50.609 | +8.20.358 | -5.30.538 | -2.10.805 | +11.40.227 | +4.20.642 | +8.00.442 | -0.50.956 | 56.7%60 | -2.60.780 |
| Octagon | +7.10.433 | +10.80.239 | -2.70.758 | +0.40.961 | +14.00.148 | +6.80.464 | +10.60.318 | +2.10.813 | +2.60.780 | 59.3%54 |
Better on the row's stage — deeper at 5 and 10 pointsBetter on the column's stagep < 0.05 on its ownStill there after correcting for how many were tested· fewer than 80 decided matches on one side of the comparison
How significance is decided
- Each gap is two win rates compared with a pooled two-proportion z test, over decided matches only.
- The 95% interval is Newcombe's hybrid score method, which keeps its shape near 0% and 100% where a symmetric interval does not.
- q is p corrected for how many tests were asked at once, by Benjamini–Hochberg at a 5% false discovery rate. A figure is called real on q, never on p alone.
- Standard errors are widened by a measured design effect, because one player appears in many matches and those matches are not independent of each other.
- Stages are assigned at random, so a gap between them is the stage's own effect and not a difference in who chose to play where.