Whoever lands the first hit of a round wins it a little more often than not. Compared inside the same match, so the better player of the two cannot take the credit, the edge is about the same size.
First striker won53.0%
Within the same match+5.4 pts
Typical first hitframe 55 (0.92 s)
Rounds read4,188,850
A round counts once whoever was pulled for it. Rounds where nothing landed, or both hits landed on the same frame, have no first strike and are left out.
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How often the first hit wins the round
Round win rate of the player who struck first, by rank band
A band holds the matches where both players were inside it. The whiskers are 95% intervals, clustered by match because a match's rounds are the same two people.