Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: Asia

さてさてさ～て

Career matches28,470

Career win rate59.7%

Round win rate56.7%

Peak rank44

Distinct opponents338

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1975 #54 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Pai20491,187 matches
Lion1980407 matches
El Blaze1979221 matches
Jacky1955149 matches
Wolf1990146 matches
Jean2005131 matches
Sarah193779 matches
Jeffry197071 matches
Eileen196266 matches
Vanessa194951 matches
Goh197333 matches
Akira196632 matches
Kage197921 matches
Aoi196812 matches
Brad198310 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Pai	44	15,815	9,440	6,375	59.7%
El Blaze	43	2,743	1,535	1,208	56.0%
Lion	42	2,084	1,184	900	56.8%
Jacky	42	885	511	374	57.7%
Jean	42	826	519	307	62.8%
Shun	41	664	386	278	58.1%
Taka	—	588	388	200	66.0%
Kage	42	585	370	215	63.2%
Eileen	41	505	315	190	62.4%
Lau	42	502	303	199	60.4%
Dural	—	493	304	189	61.7%
Sarah	39	477	272	205	57.0%
Jeffry	42	417	267	150	64.0%
Wolf	41	405	253	152	62.5%
Aoi	39	351	216	135	61.5%
Vanessa	40	312	209	103	67.0%
Brad	42	309	210	99	68.0%
Goh	40	279	182	97	65.2%
Akira	37	230	139	91	60.4%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

7,469 of 10,507 rounds counted

9.2 inputs a second (550 a minute) this season. Faster than 88% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Pai	9.4	566	3,661
Lion	9.4	565	1,163
El Blaze	8.8	529	276
Jacky	9.3	560	420
Wolf	8.1	483	450
Jean	9.1	544	382
Sarah	8.4	504	324
Eileen	8.3	496	263
Vanessa	8.2	489	191
Goh	8.4	507	89
Akira	9.6	574	117
Kage	9.0	538	82
Aoi	8.4	504	24
Brad	9.5	569	18
Shun	8.6	518	9

By opponent's character


Lau	9.4	562	903
Akira	9.6	574	762
Jacky	9.8	586	655
Kage	9.4	565	500
Brad	8.7	522	486
Lion	9.1	546	423
Sarah	8.9	533	465
Vanessa	9.1	544	368
Wolf	9.2	555	343
Lei Fei	9.1	544	394
Aoi	9.0	540	333
El Blaze	8.8	531	316
Pai	9.4	564	282
Jeffry	8.7	524	157
Eileen	8.5	509	244
Goh	8.8	530	182
Shun	8.8	528	213
Taka	8.7	524	222
Jean	9.1	543	201
Dural	9.1	545	20

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Lau	301	170	131	56.5%	-2.5
Akira	272	144	128	52.9%	-6.4
Jacky	211	122	89	57.8%	-1.6
Kage	183	103	80	56.3%	-4.2
Brad	172	109	63	63.4%	+1.0
Lion	164	112	52	68.3%	+6.2
Sarah	139	82	57	59.0%	-5.8
Vanessa	137	101	36	73.7%	+11.5
Wolf	137	78	59	56.9%	-4.7
Lei Fei	136	82	54	60.3%	-0.1
Aoi	107	76	31	71.0%	+6.5
El Blaze	107	60	47	56.1%	-4.6
Pai	97	72	25	74.2%	+10.2
Jeffry	87	55	32	63.2%	-4.1
Eileen	84	55	29	65.5%	+4.3
Goh	82	51	31	62.2%	-0.8
Shun	76	54	22	71.0%	+7.5
Taka	65	34	31	52.3%	-7.0
Jean	62	49	13	79.0%	+13.5
Dural	5	3	2	60.0%	+4.2

0 of 19 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 19 questions at once; about 1.0 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Open	301	190	111	63.1%	+1.6
Octagon	298	183	115	61.4%	+0.9
Breakable Full Fence	282	173	109	61.4%	+0.7
Full Fence	278	166	112	59.7%	-2.9
Rectangle	268	167	101	62.3%	+0.7
Breakable Half Fence	256	170	86	66.4%	+5.6
Low Fence	244	149	95	61.1%	-0.7
Single Wall	243	134	109	55.1%	-6.9
Half Fence	239	150	89	62.8%	+1.0
Full Fence and Open	95	50	45	52.6%	-9.4

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	1,621	62.2%	61.4%	+0.8
No walls	788	60.0%	61.6%	-1.6

Walls against open: +2.5 points (95% range -2.1 to +7.0), p 0.292 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


manatsu_7 (Rank 41)	92	51	41	55.4%
じゃんぬ (Rank 44)	57	16	41	28.1%
jinmenusagi (Rank 41)	56	34	22	60.7%
せろり☆ (Rank 44)	49	20	29	40.8%
たつや (Rank 40)	49	26	23	53.1%
カルティカ (Rank 40)	48	28	20	58.3%
自作マﾆア＠むめい。 (Rank 40)	48	26	22	54.2%
いくお (Rank 44)	39	22	17	56.4%
堂島様 (Rank 44)	39	13	26	33.3%
tu-kun0223 (Rank 41)	37	19	18	51.4%
『ρε』.α (Rank 41)	36	19	17	52.8%
かっこいいらう (Rank 44)	35	13	22	37.1%
ス～パ～オヤツマ～ン (Rank 42)	31	18	13	58.1%
かんしゅ (Rank 41)	30	19	11	63.3%
デネ (Rank 42)	29	22	7	75.9%
sizzle (Rank 43)	27	13	14	48.1%
おかし (Rank 43)	27	13	14	48.1%
どっせプレビに出たい (Rank 41)	27	21	6	77.8%
つがさん (Rank 40)	25	19	6	76.0%
愛蒔らぶり (Rank 41)	25	23	2	92.0%
CrossGorgonzola (Rank 43)	23	9	14	39.1%
ちび太☆らふぁ～る (Rank 41)	23	15	8	65.2%
ひじひじくん (Rank 41)	23	16	7	69.6%
gucchi_1222 (Rank 42)	22	14	8	63.6%
かめやま (Rank 43)	21	12	9	57.1%

Most played opponents, most recent first


ス～パ～オヤツマ～ン (Rank 42)	2026/10/16	31	18	13	58.1%
jinmenusagi (Rank 41)	2026/10/16	56	34	22	60.7%
じゃんぬ (Rank 44)	2026/10/16	57	16	41	28.1%
カルティカ (Rank 40)	2026/10/16	48	28	20	58.3%
自作マﾆア＠むめい。 (Rank 40)	2026/10/16	48	26	22	54.2%
つがさん (Rank 40)	2026/10/16	25	19	6	76.0%
『ρε』.α (Rank 41)	2026/10/14	36	19	17	52.8%
sizzle (Rank 43)	2026/10/13	27	13	14	48.1%
どっせプレビに出たい (Rank 41)	2026/10/12	27	21	6	77.8%
せろり☆ (Rank 44)	2026/10/12	49	20	29	40.8%
たつや (Rank 40)	2026/10/11	49	26	23	53.1%
manatsu_7 (Rank 41)	2026/10/08	92	51	41	55.4%
堂島様 (Rank 44)	2026/09/29	39	13	26	33.3%
かんしゅ (Rank 41)	2026/09/25	30	19	11	63.3%
かっこいいらう (Rank 44)	2026/09/22	35	13	22	37.1%
愛蒔らぶり (Rank 41)	2026/09/16	25	23	2	92.0%
デネ (Rank 42)	2026/09/13	29	22	7	75.9%
ちび太☆らふぁ～る (Rank 41)	2026/09/11	23	15	8	65.2%
いくお (Rank 44)	2026/09/10	39	22	17	56.4%
ひじひじくん (Rank 41)	2026/09/08	23	16	7	69.6%
かめやま (Rank 43)	2026/09/08	21	12	9	57.1%
CrossGorgonzola (Rank 43)	2026/09/04	23	9	14	39.1%
tu-kun0223 (Rank 41)	2026/08/03	37	19	18	51.4%
おかし (Rank 43)	2026/07/26	27	13	14	48.1%
gucchi_1222 (Rank 42)	2026/07/25	22	14	8	63.6%

Round openings

Every character


backdash into evade down	553	5.6%
evade up into crouch dash forward	430	4.3%
Hi'en Tankyaku9K	350	3.5%
Hi'en Tankyaku9K into forward dash	237	2.4%
crouch into Souka Senpukyaku3PK	225	2.3%
backdash into throw escape	207	2.1%
evade down into forward dash	182	1.8%
backdash into evade up	170	1.7%
crouch into Soukasui3P	150	1.5%
backdash into Senchutai3K	140	1.4%
backdash into throwP+G	135	1.4%
Hi'en Tankyaku9K into guardG	130	1.3%
evade down into crouch dash forward	117	1.2%
backdash into punchP	113	1.1%
guardG into evade down	99	1.0%

1,387 further openings account for the other 6,686 rounds.

Counted from 2,473 of the 2,624 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Pai

Career: 9,440–6,375 · 59.7%
This season: 1,187 matches · 64.3%
Peak rank: 44

First hit in 56.6% of 4,098 rounds. Won 60.7% of the rounds they struck first, 56.0% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 38.4% of rounds, against 26.6% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: backs off first in 45.9% of rounds, against 31.7% against everyone else.
On Rectangle stages: waits first in 26.4% of rounds, against 16.7% on the other stages.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 41.3% of rounds, against 32.8% after anything else.
After losing a round: evades first in 20.6% of rounds, against 10.8% after winning one.
When behind: evades first in 21.6% of rounds, against 12.7% when ahead or level.
In round 1: opens with “9K Hi'en Tankyaku into forward dash” in 9.8% of rounds, against 4.4% in their other rounds.
Against Taka: opens with “crouch into 3P Soukasui” in 16.3% of rounds, against 3.3% against everyone else.
On Rectangle stages: opens with “crouch into 3P Soukasui” in 10.4% of rounds, against 2.8% on the other stages.

How is this tested?


Hi'en Tankyaku9K	350	8.4%
Hi'en Tankyaku9K into forward dash	237	5.7%
crouch into Souka Senpukyaku3PK	225	5.4%
backdash into evade down	206	5.0%
crouch into Soukasui3P	150	3.6%
backdash into Senchutai3K	140	3.4%
Hi'en Tankyaku9K into guardG	130	3.1%
evade up into crouch dash forward	127	3.1%
backdash into throw escape	95	2.3%
crouch into Senchutai3K	90	2.2%
Kochoukyaku4K+G into Ensei SenpukyakuK+G	83	2.0%
Kochoukyaku4K+G	80	1.9%
backdash into Souka Senpukyaku3PK	79	1.9%
backdash into evade up	60	1.4%
backdash into Hi'en Tankyaku9K	56	1.4%

346 further openings account for the other 2,033 rounds.

Counted from 1,043 of the 1,187 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Pai

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lau	55–39 · 59%	25–18 · 58%	+1.1
Jacky	30–28 · 52%	26–9 · 74%	-14.4
Akira	43–21 · 67%	7–13 · 35%	too few to test
Kage	31–27 · 53%	16–14 · 53%	too few to test
Lion	26–13 · 67%	19–7 · 73%	too few to test
Brad	31–12 · 72%	5–7 · 42%	too few to test
Lei Fei	26–20 · 57%	6–2 · 75%	too few to test
Sarah	20–13 · 61%	11–5 · 69%	too few to test
Aoi	21–4 · 84%	11–8 · 58%	too few to test
Pai	21–5 · 81%	16–4 · 80%	too few to test
Wolf	12–10 · 55%	9–7 · 56%	too few to test
El Blaze	13–10 · 57%	5–4 · 56%	too few to test
Vanessa	26–3 · 90%	9–0 · 100%	too few to test
Jeffry	11–11 · 50%	6–2 · 75%	too few to test
Shun	18–2 · 90%	4–0 · 100%	too few to test
Taka	12–1 · 92%	5–7 · 42%	too few to test
Goh	5–2 · 71%	6–6 · 50%	too few to test
Jean	10–4 · 71%	7–0 · 100%	too few to test

Nothing reliable: no gap here is bigger than stage luck alone produces.

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

144 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Lion

Career: 1,184–900 · 56.8%
This season: 407 matches · 58.2%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 53.4% of 1,586 rounds. Won 56.4% of the rounds they struck first, 52.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 33.2% of rounds, against 21.1% in their other rounds.
Against Vanessa: waits first in 23.5% of rounds, against 6.5% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 45.0% of rounds, against 31.4% after anything else.
After losing a round: evades first in 34.9% of rounds, against 21.5% after winning one.
When behind: evades first in 36.0% of rounds, against 23.8% when ahead or level.
Against Akira: opens with “backdash into 3K Dantai” in 8.3% of rounds, against 2.8% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


evade up into crouch dash forward	102	6.3%
backdash into evade down	76	4.7%
Banchu6P	63	3.9%
backdash into Dantai3K	56	3.5%
evade up into Dantai3K	56	3.5%
backdash into evade up	44	2.7%
Juchou Senshou8P+K	40	2.5%
backdash into throw escape	39	2.4%
backdash into Tanhikyaku46K	37	2.3%
Tourou Hassou41236P into Koushu RensuiPP	36	2.2%
evade up into throw escape	29	1.8%
evade down into crouch dash forward	28	1.7%
backdash into throwP+G	27	1.7%
evade down into forward dash	27	1.7%
backdash into punchP	26	1.6%

248 further openings account for the other 921 rounds.

Counted from 400 of the 407 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lion

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	20–8 · 71%	9–9 · 50%	too few to test
Lau	15–16 · 48%	3–6 · 33%	too few to test
Jacky	11–9 · 55%	5–6 · 45%	too few to test
Vanessa	9–6 · 60%	5–7 · 42%	too few to test
Kage	13–7 · 65%	4–4 · 50%	too few to test
Sarah	8–4 · 67%	4–7 · 36%	too few to test
Wolf	8–6 · 57%	4–3 · 57%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

7 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

El Blaze

Career: 1,535–1,208 · 56.0%
This season: 222 matches · 60.8%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 53.4% of 912 rounds. Won 56.1% of the rounds they struck first, 52.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Vanessa: waits first in 32.2% of rounds, against 7.7% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by waiting: waits first in 22.7% of rounds, against 7.4% after anything else.
After winning a round: backs off first in 48.1% of rounds, against 34.0% after losing one.
When behind: moves in first in 15.9% of rounds, against 6.6% when ahead or level.
Against Shun: opens with “evade down into forward dash” in 19.6% of rounds, against 2.2% against everyone else.
On Breakable Half Fence stages: opens with “evade up into crouch dash forward” in 25.5% of rounds, against 6.6% on the other stages.

How is this tested?


evade up into crouch dash forward	71	7.7%
backdash into evade down	55	6.0%
evade up into Straight6P+K	39	4.2%
backdash into throw escape	32	3.5%
evade down into forward dash	28	3.0%
backdash into Straight6P+K	26	2.8%
backdash into evade up	22	2.4%
backdash into Head Smash Kick46K	16	1.7%
backdash into Shadow Strike6P	16	1.7%
crouch dash forward into Straight6P+K	15	1.6%
guardG into Tornado Spin (Deflect)P+K+G	15	1.6%
guardG into evade down	15	1.6%
evade up into evade down	14	1.5%
evade down into crouch dash forward	13	1.4%
guardG into throw escape	13	1.4%

184 further openings account for the other 531 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as El Blaze

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Wolf	11–6 · 65%	6–8 · 43%	too few to test
Akira	6–5 · 55%	5–9 · 36%	too few to test
Lau	7–13 · 35%	0–1 · 0%	too few to test
Lei Fei	6–6 · 50%	4–2 · 67%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Wolf

Career: 253–152 · 62.5%
This season: 146 matches · 61.0%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 46.1% of 584 rounds. Won 60.2% of the rounds they struck first, 52.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 30.8% of rounds, against 15.6% in their other rounds.
In round 1: opens with “3P Arrow Knuckle” in 8.9% of rounds, against 1.6% in their other rounds.
Against Kage: opens with “3P Arrow Knuckle” in 9.3% of rounds, against 2.9% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


backdash into Mow Down Chop1P+K	55	9.2%
backdash into evade down	47	7.9%
Arrow Knuckle3P	20	3.4%
crouch into Arrow Knuckle3P	19	3.2%
backdash into throwP+G	17	2.9%
backdash into Heavy Middle Kick3K+G	15	2.5%
crouch dash back into Mow Down Chop1P+K	15	2.5%
Arrow Knuckle3P into guardG	13	2.2%
Low Hammer2P	13	2.2%
backdash into throw escape	13	2.2%
evade up into crouch dash forward	13	2.2%
Arrow Knuckle3P into evade down	12	2.0%
backdash into punchP	12	2.0%
backdash into Heavy Toe Kick4K+G	8	1.3%
crouch dash back into Gasp Kneel Palm Bomb6P+K	8	1.3%

128 further openings account for the other 315 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Wolf

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Brad	12–7 · 63%	0–1 · 0%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jacky

Career: 511–374 · 57.7%
This season: 149 matches · 52.4%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 52.5% of 590 rounds. Won 53.2% of the rounds they struck first, 51.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 52.1% of rounds, against 34.5% after anything else.
After winning a round: backs off first in 47.0% of rounds, against 31.9% after losing one.
After landing the first hit of the round before: waits first in 12.5% of rounds, against 3.8% after being hit first.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	28	4.7%
crouch into Low Spin Kick1K+G	28	4.7%
Low Spin Kick1K+G into Lightning Kick 12K+G	22	3.7%
evade down into forward dash	19	3.2%
evade down into Dash Hammer Kick66K	17	2.9%
evade up into crouch dash forward	17	2.9%
backdash into Bil Jee6P+K	14	2.4%
backdash into High Angle Upper Kick6K	14	2.4%
evade down into Middle Smash6P	14	2.4%
backdash into Dash Hammer Kick66K	13	2.2%
backdash into Middle Smash6P	13	2.2%
crouch dash back into guardG	11	1.9%
Low Spin Kick1K+G	10	1.7%
Low Spin Kick1K+G into Spinning KickK+G	10	1.7%
backdash into evade up	10	1.7%

146 further openings account for the other 352 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jacky

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	8–5 · 62%	3–3 · 50%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 519–307 · 62.8%
This season: 131 matches · 67.2%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 47.5% of 533 rounds. Won 61.7% of the rounds they struck first, 55.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Jacky: backs off first in 72.9% of rounds, against 49.8% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 61.6% of rounds, against 41.7% after anything else.

How is this tested?


backdash into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	45	8.4%
backdash into Yoko'enpi6P	44	8.2%
backdash into evade down	43	8.1%
evade down into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	21	3.9%
Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	17	3.2%
evade up into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	15	2.8%
backdash into Chudan Mawashigeri3K	14	2.6%
evade up into crouch dash forward	14	2.6%
backdash into evade up	12	2.2%
backdash into throwP+G	12	2.2%
evade down into forward dash	12	2.2%
guardG into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	11	2.1%
backdash into Kake'uchi46P	10	1.9%
backdash into Tate'enpi~Tenkai Hizageri33PK	9	1.7%
backdash into throw escape	9	1.7%

104 further openings account for the other 246 rounds.

Sarah

Career: 272–205 · 57.0%
This season: 79 matches · 54.4%
Peak rank: 39

First hit in 46.0% of 324 rounds. Won 55.0% of the rounds they struck first, 50.3% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

No reliable tells for this character.

How is this tested?


evade up into crouch dash forward	31	9.6%
evade down into forward dash	23	7.1%
evade down into throw escape	23	7.1%
backdash into evade down	21	6.5%
guardG into evade down	17	5.2%
evade down into crouch dash forward	14	4.3%
guardG into throw escape	13	4.0%
evade up into evade down	8	2.5%
crouch dash forward	7	2.2%
evade up into punchP	6	1.9%
guardG into evade up	6	1.9%
backdash into punchP	5	1.5%
evade down	5	1.5%
backdash into Switch Kick4K	4	1.2%
evade up into throw escape	4	1.2%

99 further openings account for the other 137 rounds.

Jeffry

Career: 267–150 · 64.0%
This season: 71 matches · 59.1%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 56.1% of 289 rounds. Won 53.1% of the rounds they struck first, 56.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	23	8.0%
evade down into forward dash	14	4.8%
backdash into Toe Kick2K	11	3.8%
evade up into crouch dash forward	10	3.5%
backdash into Elbow Hammer6PP	9	3.1%
backdash into Dash Elbow66P	7	2.4%
backdash into Megaton Knuckle43P+K	7	2.4%
backdash into Kenka Hook46P	6	2.1%
backdash into punchP	6	2.1%
evade down into Dash Elbow66P	6	2.1%
evade down into Dash Elbow Upper66PP	6	2.1%
Overblow Shoulder66P+K	5	1.7%
evade down into Elbow Hammer6PP	5	1.7%
evade up into evade down	5	1.7%
forward dash into evade up	5	1.7%

97 further openings account for the other 164 rounds.

Eileen

Career: 315–190 · 62.4%
This season: 66 matches · 60.6%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 55.4% of 258 rounds. Won 55.2% of the rounds they struck first, 61.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


evade up into crouch dash forward	23	8.7%
backdash into Enkou Kenka46P	20	7.6%
backdash into evade down	15	5.7%
Douchu6P	12	4.5%
backdash into Sokutantai3K	12	4.5%
Enkou Kenka46P	9	3.4%
backdash into Kesshi Hanbi46K+G	9	3.4%
backdash into evade up	6	2.3%
backdash into Ribyou Hoso43P+K	5	1.9%
backdash into punchP	5	1.9%
crouch into Sokutantai3K	5	1.9%
evade down into guardG	5	1.9%
guardG into evade up	5	1.9%
crouch dash forward	4	1.5%
crouch dash forward into Sokutantai3K	4	1.5%

83 further openings account for the other 125 rounds.

Vanessa

Career: 209–103 · 67.0%
This season: 51 matches · 56.9%
Peak rank: 40

First hit in 16.4% of 208 rounds. Won 58.8% of the rounds they struck first, 53.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Offensive Style: evade up into crouch dash forward	13	6.2%
Defensive Style: Wind Elbow	12	5.8%
Defensive Style: backdash into evade down	9	4.3%
Defensive Style: evade up into crouch dash forward	8	3.9%
Offensive Style: Body Blow	6	2.9%
Offensive Style: evade down into Spinning Savate66K+G	6	2.9%
Defensive Style: Shadow Slicer	5	2.4%
Offensive Style: evade up into Spinning Savate66K+G	5	2.4%
Offensive Style: evade up into evade down	5	2.4%
Defensive Style: backdash into Shadow Slicer66K	4	1.9%
Defensive Style: evade down into forward dash	4	1.9%
Defensive Style: guard into evade down	4	1.9%
Offensive Style: evade up into throw escape	4	1.9%
Offensive Style: guard into Spinning Savate66K+G	4	1.9%
Defensive Style: crouch into Stinger Low Blow1P+K	3	1.4%

89 further openings account for the other 116 rounds.

Goh

Career: 182–97 · 65.2%
This season: 33 matches · 63.6%
Peak rank: 40

First hit in 49.2% of 132 rounds. Won 67.7% of the rounds they struck first, 49.2% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	18	13.1%
backdash into Karura4P+K	12	8.8%
Hiji'ate6P	10	7.3%
evade up into crouch dash forward	7	5.1%
evade down into Kurogane Kudaki66P	6	4.4%
backdash into Kirin33P	5	3.6%
backdash into Hiji'ate6P	4	2.9%
backdash into throwP+G	4	2.9%
evade down into forward dash	4	2.9%
guardG into evade down	4	2.9%
Karura4P+K	3	2.2%
backward movement into evade down	3	2.2%
crouch into Kirin33P	3	2.2%
forward dash	3	2.2%
guardG into throw escape	3	2.2%

38 further openings account for the other 48 rounds.

Akira

Career: 139–91 · 60.4%
This season: 32 matches · 62.5%
Peak rank: 37

First hit in 67.5% of 117 rounds. Won 60.8% of the rounds they struck first, 57.9% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into Jouho Touken6P	13	11.1%
Rimon Chouchu66P	12	10.3%
forward dash into Jouho Touken6P	11	9.4%
backdash into evade down	7	6.0%
evade down into Jouho Touken6P	7	6.0%
Rimon Chouchu66P into crouch dash forward	5	4.3%
Rimon Chouchu66P into Jouho Touken6P	4	3.4%
Rimon Chouchu66P into evade down	4	3.4%
Jouho Touken6P	3	2.6%
backdash into Rimon Chouchu66P	3	2.6%
backdash into Youhou33P	3	2.6%
evade down	3	2.6%
evade down into forward dash	3	2.6%
guardG into Jouho Touken6P	3	2.6%
Hekishou43P	2	1.7%

28 further openings account for the other 34 rounds.

Kage

Career: 370–215 · 63.2%
This season: 21 matches · 52.4%
Peak rank: 42

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	9	11.0%
Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K	8	9.8%
evade up into crouch dash forward	8	9.8%
Kouten63214P	7	8.5%
backdash into Nakageri3K	6	7.3%
backdash into Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K	4	4.9%
Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K into Hagakure-ryu In Fujingeki46P+KP	2	2.4%
Rasen4P	2	2.4%
backdash into Furikakato OtoshiK+G	2	2.4%
backdash into Nirenkyaku3KK	2	2.4%
backdash into evade up	2	2.4%
backdash into throw escape	2	2.4%
crouch dash forward into Nakageri3K	2	2.4%
evade up into Nakageri3K	2	2.4%
guardG into evade up	2	2.4%

22 further openings account for the other 22 rounds.

Brad

Career: 210–99 · 68.0%
This season: 10 matches · 70.0%
Peak rank: 42

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into Turn Savate44K	3	7.0%
backdash into evade down	3	7.0%
evade down into Stop Kick4K	3	7.0%
evade up into Jolt Upper3P	3	7.0%
crouch dash forward into Elbow Hook6P	2	4.7%
crouch dash forward into Jolt Upper3P	2	4.7%
evade up into Stop Kick4K	2	4.7%
Dtee Sawk Dtrohng4P+K	1	2.3%
Elbow Hook6P	1	2.3%
Ga MuayP+K+G	1	2.3%
Middle Spin Kick66K	1	2.3%
Rapid Double JabP+K into Dtee Sawk Dtrohng4P+K	1	2.3%
backdash into Sharp Shoot1P	1	2.3%
backdash into Shovel Hook2P+K	1	2.3%
backdash into Stop Kick4K	1	2.3%

17 further openings account for the other 17 rounds.

Aoi

Career: 216–135 · 61.5%
This season: 12 matches · 50.0%
Peak rank: 39

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


evade up into crouch dash forward	4	9.8%
guardG into evade down	4	9.8%
Chudan Hiji'ate6P	2	4.9%
evade down into Chudan Hiji'ate6P	2	4.9%
evade down into crouch dash forward	2	4.9%
guardG into Chudan Hiji'ate6P	2	4.9%
backdash into Kasane'ate46P	1	2.4%
backdash into Koromoguruma66P	1	2.4%
backdash into Maegeri3K	1	2.4%
backdash into Raijinha6K	1	2.4%
backdash into Sanseigan66P+K	1	2.4%
backdash into evade down	1	2.4%
backdash into evade up	1	2.4%
backdash into throwP+G	1	2.4%
backdash into throw escape	1	2.4%

16 further openings account for the other 16 rounds.

Shun

Career: 386–278 · 58.1%
This season: 5 matches · 40.0%
Peak rank: 41

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Gyou'in Haishu3P	3	13.6%
Gyou'in Haishu3P into evade down	3	13.6%
Koushinhi4P+K+G	3	13.6%
backdash into Gyou'in Haishu3P	3	13.6%
Gyou'in Haishu3P into guardG	2	9.1%
backdash into Getsuga Gakushu46P	1	4.5%
backdash into Koushinhi4P+K+G	1	4.5%
backdash into Rensai Gakushu46PP	1	4.5%
backdash into backward movement	1	4.5%
backdash into crouch dash forward	1	4.5%
backdash into guardG	1	4.5%
backdash into offensive move	1	4.5%
offensive move into Gyou'in Haishu3P	1	4.5%

Lau

Career: 303–199 · 60.4%
This season: 2 matches · 50.0%
Peak rank: 42

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


evade up into crouch dash forward	2	28.6%
Chugeki6P	1	14.3%
backdash into Junho Chushou33P	1	14.3%
backdash into Sako Soushou4P+K	1	14.3%
backdash into evade down	1	14.3%
evade down into Chugeki6P	1	14.3%

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (103 here; about 5.2 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Pai: 9 of 16 tests hold up
Lion: 6 of 16 tests hold up
El Blaze: 6 of 15 tests hold up
Wolf: 3 of 15 tests hold up
Jacky: 3 of 14 tests hold up
Jean: 2 of 14 tests hold up
Sarah: 0 of 13 tests hold up
Jeffry: not tested (too few rounds)
Eileen: not tested (too few rounds)
Vanessa: not tested (too few rounds)
Goh: not tested (too few rounds)
Akira: not tested (too few rounds)
Kage: not tested (too few rounds)
Brad: not tested (too few rounds)
Aoi: not tested (too few rounds)
Shun: not tested (too few rounds)
Lau: not tested (too few rounds)