Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: South America

会長さん

Career matches14,367

Career win rate51.9%

Round win rate51.6%

Peak rank36

Distinct opponents518

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1751 #566 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Goh17891,281 matches
Jean1748260 matches
Taka1742212 matches
Jeffry1750177 matches
Jacky1751160 matches
Brad1747148 matches
Lion1726130 matches
Shun176581 matches
Sarah175868 matches
El Blaze175558 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Goh	36	8,924	4,441	4,483	49.8%
Jean	33	1,199	618	581	51.5%
Jacky	32	950	490	460	51.6%
Jeffry	33	714	402	312	56.3%
Sarah	34	514	293	221	57.0%
Brad	33	511	305	206	59.7%
El Blaze	32	447	260	187	58.2%
Taka	34	420	242	178	57.6%
Lion	33	403	234	169	58.1%
Shun	33	285	169	116	59.3%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

8,893 of 10,372 rounds counted

6.1 inputs a second (369 a minute) this season. Faster than 22% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Goh	6.2	372	4,126
Jean	5.8	351	1,039
Taka	6.5	391	841
Jeffry	6.1	366	289
Jacky	6.0	361	655
Brad	5.8	346	598
Lion	6.3	379	529
Shun	6.7	400	312
Sarah	5.8	348	274
El Blaze	5.9	356	230

By opponent's character


Jacky	6.2	370	1,175
Akira	6.2	371	743
Wolf	6.2	372	703
Lau	6.1	367	556
Pai	6.2	371	624
Jeffry	6.0	359	510
Aoi	6.4	384	507
Brad	6.2	373	440
Jean	6.1	368	397
Sarah	6.1	367	433
Goh	6.2	369	435
Shun	6.3	376	384
Lei Fei	5.9	356	405
Lion	6.3	377	363
Kage	6.0	357	293
Vanessa	6.1	367	324
El Blaze	5.9	356	268
Taka	6.0	358	149
Dural	6.4	382	95
Eileen	5.8	348	89

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Jacky	339	189	150	55.8%	+3.5
Akira	221	114	107	51.6%	-4.2
Wolf	203	112	91	55.2%	-0.1
Lau	169	68	101	40.2%	-10.2
Pai	164	91	73	55.5%	+3.1
Jeffry	162	77	85	47.5%	-6.4
Aoi	147	84	63	57.1%	+5.4
Brad	124	72	52	58.1%	+5.6
Jean	121	55	66	45.5%	-6.9
Sarah	121	62	59	51.2%	+2.2
Goh	120	66	54	55.0%	+2.5
Shun	113	62	51	54.9%	+1.5
Lei Fei	106	52	54	49.1%	+0.3
Lion	104	46	58	44.2%	-4.4
Kage	98	63	35	64.3%	+12.9
Vanessa	86	49	37	57.0%	+9.2
El Blaze	81	45	36	55.6%	+3.0
Taka	43	20	23	46.5%	-7.2
Dural	29	12	17	41.4%	-16.6
Eileen	24	9	15	37.5%	-15.6

0 of 18 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 18 questions at once; about 0.9 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Open	315	162	153	51.4%	+1.2
Half Fence	279	154	125	55.2%	+2.6
Full Fence	267	138	129	51.7%	-1.1
Low Fence	251	121	130	48.2%	-4.5
Rectangle	243	122	121	50.2%	-2.5
Octagon	237	125	112	52.7%	+0.9
Breakable Full Fence	235	116	119	49.4%	-3.0
Single Wall	223	124	99	55.6%	+3.1
Breakable Half Fence	210	123	87	58.6%	+5.3
Full Fence and Open	185	93	92	50.3%	-2.2

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	1,471	52.9%	52.6%	+0.3
No walls	789	51.6%	51.6%	-0.0

Walls against open: +0.3 points (95% range -4.3 to +4.9), p 0.894 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


ふぇに (Rank 35)	47	25	22	53.2%
bh_iflg (Rank 33)	32	14	18	43.8%
よーこー (Rank 35)	32	17	15	53.1%
Grimaster (Rank 30)	30	21	9	70.0%
aona (Rank 35)	28	12	16	42.9%
mahiro_725 (Rank 36)	28	13	15	46.4%
あをゐ (Rank 33)	26	20	6	76.9%
HB (Rank 30)	25	15	10	60.0%
nanami.madogiwa (Rank 35)	25	11	14	44.0%
★闘将拉麵男★ (Rank 38)	25	3	22	12.0%
mossan_opa2 (Rank 34)	24	7	17	29.2%
yamaneko (Rank 32)	24	12	12	50.0%
MikuMartineau (Rank 32)	22	11	11	50.0%
鳩男 (Rank 32)	21	11	10	52.4%
BigBoin (Rank 33)	20	13	7	65.0%
asari0727 (Rank 29)	20	11	9	55.0%
striker0123 (Rank 30)	19	13	6	68.4%
rikubon-ps (Rank 35)	18	9	9	50.0%
けいすけ新宿 (Rank 33)	18	13	5	72.2%
DJG10159 (Rank 36)	17	9	8	52.9%
Koutei (Rank 32)	16	5	11	31.2%
Sore (Rank 35)	16	11	5	68.8%
takamo_white (Rank 35)	16	8	8	50.0%
クロサギ@はなちゃん (Rank 30)	16	8	8	50.0%
ヘニオ (Rank 34)	16	12	4	75.0%

Most played opponents, most recent first


あをゐ (Rank 33)	2026/10/12	26	20	6	76.9%
DJG10159 (Rank 36)	2026/10/11	17	9	8	52.9%
Koutei (Rank 32)	2026/10/11	16	5	11	31.2%
ふぇに (Rank 35)	2026/10/10	47	25	22	53.2%
★闘将拉麵男★ (Rank 38)	2026/10/09	25	3	22	12.0%
bh_iflg (Rank 33)	2026/10/09	32	14	18	43.8%
rikubon-ps (Rank 35)	2026/10/07	18	9	9	50.0%
BigBoin (Rank 33)	2026/10/06	20	13	7	65.0%
Grimaster (Rank 30)	2026/09/29	30	21	9	70.0%
よーこー (Rank 35)	2026/09/29	32	17	15	53.1%
nanami.madogiwa (Rank 35)	2026/09/29	25	11	14	44.0%
striker0123 (Rank 30)	2026/09/27	19	13	6	68.4%
yamaneko (Rank 32)	2026/09/26	24	12	12	50.0%
aona (Rank 35)	2026/09/25	28	12	16	42.9%
クロサギ@はなちゃん (Rank 30)	2026/09/22	16	8	8	50.0%
鳩男 (Rank 32)	2026/09/03	21	11	10	52.4%
mahiro_725 (Rank 36)	2026/09/02	28	13	15	46.4%
けいすけ新宿 (Rank 33)	2026/08/22	18	13	5	72.2%
takamo_white (Rank 35)	2026/08/22	16	8	8	50.0%
ヘニオ (Rank 34)	2026/08/21	16	12	4	75.0%
HB (Rank 30)	2026/08/20	25	15	10	60.0%
mossan_opa2 (Rank 34)	2026/07/31	24	7	17	29.2%
Sore (Rank 35)	2026/07/30	16	11	5	68.8%
asari0727 (Rank 29)	2026/06/19	20	11	9	55.0%
MikuMartineau (Rank 32)	2026/06/09	22	11	11	50.0%

Round openings

Every character


backdash into Karura4P+K	930	9.9%
throwP+G	845	9.0%
Soukyu46P	656	7.0%
Kirin33P	585	6.2%
Kirin33P into forward dash	394	4.2%
backward movement into Hiji'ate6P	304	3.2%
kickK	283	3.0%
backdash into Doumawashi Kaitengeri46K+G	246	2.6%
backdash into Dohyouwari43P	218	2.3%
forward dash into throwP+G	208	2.2%
crouch into Nozuchi1P+K	193	2.1%
Ao'oni Midaremage214P+K	158	1.7%
crouch into Squat Straight	146	1.6%
Middle Spin Kick66K	140	1.5%
Juchou Senshou8P+K	124	1.3%

412 further openings account for the other 3,945 rounds.

Counted from 2,324 of the 2,575 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Goh

Career: 4,441–4,483 · 49.8%
This season: 1,281 matches · 47.3%
Peak rank: 36

First hit in 44.5% of 4,183 rounds. Won 53.4% of the rounds they struck first, 45.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 4 or later: backs off first in 36.6% of rounds, against 29.3% in their other rounds.
Against Akira: waits first in 28.5% of rounds, against 1.2% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by backing off: attacks straight away in 78.1% of rounds, against 52.5% after anything else.
After being hit first in the round before: backs off first in 34.8% of rounds, against 26.4% after landing the first hit.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into 4P+K Karura” in 29.2% of rounds, against 19.5% in their other rounds.
Against Lei Fei: opens with “33P Kirin” in 19.9% of rounds, against 13.5% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “P+G throw”: opens with “backdash into 4P+K Karura” in 67.1% of rounds, against 9.9% after anything else.
After being hit first in the round before: opens with “backdash into 4P+K Karura” in 24.7% of rounds, against 17.4% after landing the first hit.

How is this tested?


backdash into Karura4P+K	930	22.1%
throwP+G	845	20.1%
Soukyu46P	656	15.6%
Kirin33P	585	13.9%
Kirin33P into forward dash	394	9.3%
backward movement into Hiji'ate6P	304	7.2%
forward dash into throwP+G	207	4.9%
crouch into Sune'uchi2P	114	2.7%
backdash into Shouzuka Okuri1P+K	73	1.7%
Kirin33P into forward movement	11	0.3%
Sune Kudaki43P	9	0.2%
crouch into Batousatsu3KP	9	0.2%
evade down into Raikou3P	9	0.2%
Hiji'ate6P	5	0.1%
crouch into Denkou3PP	4	0.1%

39 further openings account for the other 59 rounds.

Counted from 1,041 of the 1,281 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Goh

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	37–42 · 47%	25–18 · 58%	-10.3
Lau	18–17 · 51%	10–19 · 34%	too few to test
Akira	14–27 · 34%	7–16 · 30%	too few to test
Jeffry	18–31 · 37%	5–10 · 33%	too few to test
Wolf	18–15 · 55%	10–8 · 56%	too few to test
Sarah	15–23 · 39%	14–11 · 56%	too few to test
Jean	16–20 · 44%	5–9 · 36%	too few to test
Lei Fei	14–10 · 58%	11–14 · 44%	too few to test
Brad	14–9 · 61%	7–11 · 39%	too few to test
Aoi	13–15 · 46%	5–8 · 38%	too few to test
Goh	10–11 · 48%	8–13 · 38%	too few to test
Pai	15–11 · 58%	7–10 · 41%	too few to test
El Blaze	19–12 · 61%	8–3 · 73%	too few to test
Kage	18–8 · 69%	8–5 · 62%	too few to test
Vanessa	17–8 · 68%	4–6 · 40%	too few to test
Shun	14–15 · 48%	3–7 · 30%	too few to test
Taka	5–6 · 45%	2–6 · 25%	too few to test
Lion	7–9 · 44%	3–1 · 75%	too few to test

Nothing reliable: no gap here is bigger than stage luck alone produces.

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

240 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 618–581 · 51.5%
This season: 260 matches · 55.0%
Peak rank: 33

First hit in 51.5% of 1,033 rounds. Won 55.8% of the rounds they struck first, 50.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

After opening the round before by waiting: backs off first in 29.9% of rounds, against 20.8% after anything else.
Against Jeffry: opens with “33P Tate'enpi into 33PK Tate'enpi~Tenkai Hizageri” in 22.2% of rounds, against 8.5% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “4P+K Oihiji”: opens with “crouch into 1P+K Nozuchi” in 34.5% of rounds, against 18.2% after anything else.

How is this tested?


backdash into Doumawashi Kaitengeri46K+G	246	23.6%
crouch into Nozuchi1P+K	193	18.6%
Oihiji4P+K	118	11.3%
Tate'enpi33P into Tate'enpi~Tenkai Hizageri33PK	98	9.4%
Tate'enpi33P	97	9.3%
punchP	63	6.1%
crouch into Shitamaeken2P	60	5.8%
punchP into kickK	31	3.0%
punchP into Hangetsu NirenzukiP+K	30	2.9%
Nozuchi1P+K	12	1.1%
Oihiji4P+K into Hangetsu NirenzukiP+K	11	1.1%
punchP into KounirenPP	10	1.0%
punchP into Maegeri~InabikariKP	7	0.7%
Shitamaeken2P	6	0.6%
backdash into Hou'ou Kourui Otoshi4K+G	5	0.5%

36 further openings account for the other 53 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jean

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Goh	9–9 · 50%	4–2 · 67%	too few to test
Akira	8–16 · 33%	2–0 · 100%	too few to test
Jacky	8–6 · 57%	10–1 · 91%	too few to test
Wolf	9–10 · 47%	3–0 · 100%	too few to test
Aoi	11–4 · 73%	3–0 · 100%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Taka

Career: 242–178 · 57.6%
This season: 212 matches · 58.5%
Peak rank: 34

First hit in 59.1% of 798 rounds. Won 55.3% of the rounds they struck first, 52.8% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: waits first in 21.9% of rounds, against 7.8% in their other rounds.
Against Akira: waits first in 27.0% of rounds, against 9.3% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by attacking: backs off first in 39.6% of rounds, against 17.3% after anything else.
After losing a round: evades first in 8.6% of rounds, against 3.8% after winning one.
When behind: evades first in 8.5% of rounds, against 5.2% when ahead or level.
In round 1: opens with “crouch into 2P Shita Harite” in 21.4% of rounds, against 6.9% in their other rounds.
Against Akira: opens with “crouch into 2P Shita Harite” in 27.0% of rounds, against 8.5% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “214P+K Ao'oni Midaremage”: opens with “K kick” in 73.3% of rounds, against 23.7% after anything else.
When ahead: opens with “K kick” in 37.1% of rounds, against 30.7% when level or behind.

How is this tested?


kickK	261	32.4%
backdash into Dohyouwari43P	218	27.1%
Ao'oni Midaremage214P+K	158	19.6%
crouch into Shita Harite2P	85	10.6%
evade down into Ao'oni Midaremage214P+K	17	2.1%
evade down into Morote Tsuppari66PP	16	2.0%
Shita Harite2P into Hiji'ate6P	5	0.6%
evade down into throwP+G	4	0.5%
Morotezuki66P into Morote Tsuppari66PP	3	0.4%
Shita Harite2P	3	0.4%
crouch into Kachi'age33P+K	3	0.4%
evade down into kickK	3	0.4%
backdash into Morote Tsuppari66PP	2	0.2%
backward movement into Onigoroshi3P	2	0.2%
evade down into Kumoyaburi4P+K	2	0.2%

23 further openings account for the other 24 rounds.

Counted from 201 of the 212 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Taka

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	13–9 · 59%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

11 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Jeffry

Career: 402–312 · 56.3%
This season: 177 matches · 56.5%
Peak rank: 33

First hit in 48.4% of 711 rounds. Won 59.6% of the rounds they struck first, 46.6% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Jacky: backs off first in 45.8% of rounds, against 35.2% against everyone else.
On Low Fence stages: backs off first in 51.7% of rounds, against 36.7% on the other stages.
After winning a round: attacks straight away in 38.4% of rounds, against 22.4% after losing one.
When behind: evades first in 30.5% of rounds, against 17.0% when ahead or level.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into 43P Double Hammer Down” in 18.9% of rounds, against 11.8% in their other rounds.

How is this tested?


backdash into Double Hammer Down43P	97	13.6%
Middle Hell Stab6P+K	95	13.3%
backdash into Full Swing Double Hammer41236P+K	74	10.4%
evade down into Dash Elbow Upper66PP	73	10.2%
evade down into Dash Elbow66P	66	9.3%
crouch into Low Knuckle2P	64	9.0%
kickK into Threat StanceP+K+G	39	5.5%
backdash into Dash Elbow66P	24	3.4%
backdash into Elbow Butt6P	14	2.0%
backdash into Dash Elbow Upper66PP	10	1.4%
backdash into Megaton Knuckle43P+K	10	1.4%
kickK into punchP	10	1.4%
Middle Hell Stab6P+K into Body CrushP+K	9	1.3%
Low Knuckle2P	7	1.0%
evade down into Elbow Butt6P	7	1.0%

54 further openings account for the other 113 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jeffry

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	14–9 · 61%	9–6 · 60%	too few to test
Akira	9–4 · 69%	4–4 · 50%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jacky

Career: 490–460 · 51.6%
This season: 160 matches · 53.1%
Peak rank: 32

First hit in 54.6% of 650 rounds. Won 54.4% of the rounds they struck first, 48.8% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: waits first in 38.1% of rounds, against 16.5% in their other rounds.
Against Wolf: evades first in 57.1% of rounds, against 37.9% against everyone else.
On Breakable Full Fence stages: evades first in 60.3% of rounds, against 38.8% on the other stages.
In round 1: opens with “crouch into 2P Squat Straight” in 33.8% of rounds, against 13.7% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: opens with “crouch into 2P Squat Straight” in 30.8% of rounds, against 15.9% against everyone else.
On Low Fence stages: opens with “crouch into 2P Squat Straight” in 31.6% of rounds, against 15.8% on the other stages.

How is this tested?


crouch into Squat Straight2P	122	18.6%
evade down into Smash Straight3P	112	17.1%
backdash into Spin Heel Sword4K+G	91	13.9%
evade down into crouch dash forward	47	7.2%
Slant Back Knuckle1P into Rage Kick1PK	40	6.1%
crouch dash forward into Smash Straight3P	26	4.0%
evade down into Low Spin Kick1K+G	23	3.5%
evade down into Dash Hammer Kick66K	22	3.4%
Dash Hammer Kick66K	21	3.2%
crouch into Low Spin Kick1K+G	15	2.3%
evade down into forward dash	10	1.5%
evade down into crouch	9	1.4%
Squat Straight2P	8	1.2%
evade down into Rage Kick1PK	7	1.1%
evade down	6	0.9%

51 further openings account for the other 97 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jacky

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	3–4 · 43%	8–10 · 44%	too few to test
Wolf	10–6 · 62%	3–1 · 75%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Brad

Career: 305–206 · 59.7%
This season: 148 matches · 60.1%
Peak rank: 33

First hit in 38.7% of 597 rounds. Won 64.9% of the rounds they struck first, 51.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: waits first in 20.9% of rounds, against 7.6% in their other rounds.
Against Akira: evades first in 12.8% of rounds, against 2.9% against everyone else.
On Rectangle stages: backs off first in 23.1% of rounds, against 3.0% on the other stages.
In round 1: opens with “crouch into 2P Sit Jab” in 20.3% of rounds, against 7.1% in their other rounds.
On Rectangle stages: opens with “crouch into 2P Sit Jab” in 23.1% of rounds, against 9.1% on the other stages.
After opening the round before with “4P+K+G Sway Back into K Mighty Knee Upper”: opens with “3P Jolt Upper into 3PK Jolt Upper~Spin Kick” in 34.0% of rounds, against 17.0% after anything else.

How is this tested?


Middle Spin Kick66K	140	23.4%
Jolt Upper3P into Jolt Upper~Spin Kick3PK	112	18.7%
Sway Back4P+K+G into Mighty Knee UpperK	66	11.0%
crouch into Sit Jab2P	62	10.4%
offensive move	52	8.7%
Sway Back4P+K+G into BreakdownP+K	18	3.0%
Jackal Straight46P+K	13	2.2%
backdash into Stop Kick4K	13	2.2%
punchP into forward movement	11	1.8%
Dtee Sawk Dtrohng4P+K	10	1.7%
punchP into Jab StraightPP	10	1.7%
punchP into forward dash	9	1.5%
backdash into Turn Savate44K	5	0.8%
evade down into Middle Spin Kick66K	5	0.8%
backward movement into Sawk Klab6P+K	4	0.7%

40 further openings account for the other 68 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Brad

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Wolf	13–9 · 59%	6–1 · 86%	too few to test
Akira	18–5 · 78%	2–4 · 33%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Lion

Career: 234–169 · 58.1%
This season: 130 matches · 53.1%
Peak rank: 33

First hit in 55.5% of 528 rounds. Won 53.9% of the rounds they struck first, 50.6% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Vanessa: moves in first in 14.6% of rounds, against 3.3% against everyone else.
In round 1: opens with “8P+K Juchou Senshou” in 43.8% of rounds, against 16.8% in their other rounds.
After opening the round before with “8P+K Juchou Senshou”: opens with “44K Koushutai into P+K Souji Senpu” in 16.2% of rounds, against 5.4% after anything else.

How is this tested?


Juchou Senshou8P+K	124	23.4%
evade down into Sen'inshou3P	71	13.4%
crouch into Shicchi Soutai3K+G	59	11.2%
Koushutai44K into Souji SenpuP+K	39	7.4%
crouch into Katousui2P	27	5.1%
evade down into crouch dash forward	27	5.1%
Tenshin Ryou'inkyaku6K+G	22	4.2%
crouch dash forward into Sen'inshou3P	18	3.4%
Kishitsu Kasensou43P	15	2.8%
backdash into Kishitsu Kasensou43P	14	2.6%
backdash into Heimonkyaku6K	8	1.5%
Shicchi Soutai3K+G	6	1.1%
evade down into Fujinkyaku66K	6	1.1%
evade down into Senshippo66P	6	1.1%
Tenshin Ryou'inkyaku6K+G into KouhaitaiK+G	5	0.9%

46 further openings account for the other 82 rounds.

Shun

Career: 169–116 · 59.3%
This season: 81 matches · 72.8%
Peak rank: 33

First hit in 57.4% of 312 rounds. Won 67.0% of the rounds they struck first, 57.9% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: evades first in 45.7% of rounds, against 20.3% in their other rounds.
After losing a round: evades first in 39.8% of rounds, against 7.2% after winning one.
When behind: evades first in 38.6% of rounds, against 5.8% when ahead.
In round 2: opens with “backdash into 4P+K Tenshin Benshu” in 25.9% of rounds, against 8.2% in their other rounds.
After winning a round: opens with “crouch into 2K Gyousentai” in 28.3% of rounds, against 2.2% after losing one.
When ahead: opens with “crouch into 2K Gyousentai” in 29.8% of rounds, against 1.4% when behind.
On 10+ drinks: opens with “crouch into 2K Gyousentai” in 41.2% of rounds, against 11.1% on other drink counts.

How is this tested?


crouch into Gyousentai2K	41	13.1%
backdash into Tenshin Benshu4P+K	40	12.8%
crouch into Fukuchougeki2P	35	11.2%
evade down into Chubu Soutenkyaku66K	29	9.3%
evade down into Gyou'in Haishu3P	25	8.0%
Kasen Gyou'in6P+K+G into Kasen Gyou'in TeishitsugekiKGP	19	6.1%
Gyousentai2K	13	4.2%
evade down into crouch dash forward	13	4.2%
backdash into evade down	11	3.5%
backdash into Chubu Soutenkyaku66K	8	2.6%
forward dash into Kasen Zenbokushou6PP	8	2.6%
Chubu Soutenkyaku66K	5	1.6%
Fukuchougeki2P	5	1.6%
backdash into Sokutan Senshu6K	5	1.6%
evade down into throwP+G	5	1.6%

33 further openings account for the other 50 rounds.

Sarah

Career: 293–221 · 57.0%
This season: 68 matches · 54.4%
Peak rank: 34

First hit in 58.4% of 274 rounds. Won 58.1% of the rounds they struck first, 44.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into Crescent Heel4K+G	60	21.9%
kickK into punchP	56	20.4%
crouch dash back into Full Spin Heel Kick9K	30	10.9%
backdash into Serpent Smash Cannon2P+KK	28	10.2%
crouch into Squat Straight2P	24	8.8%
backdash into Serpent Toe Kick2P+K	21	7.7%
kickK	17	6.2%
backdash into Quick Knee6K	10	3.6%
backdash into Full Spin Heel Kick9K	8	2.9%
Full Spin Heel Kick9K	2	0.7%
crouch dash back into Serpent Smash Cannon2P+KK	2	0.7%
crouch dash back into Sharpsword44K	2	0.7%
evade down into Serpent Toe Kick2P+K	2	0.7%
Squat Straight2P	1	0.4%
backdash into Double Rise Kick4P+K	1	0.4%

10 further openings account for the other 10 rounds.

El Blaze

Career: 260–187 · 58.2%
This season: 58 matches · 62.1%
Peak rank: 32

First hit in 40.6% of 229 rounds. Won 55.9% of the rounds they struck first, 55.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into Darkness Sword43K+G	50	21.4%
Demon Dance9P+K into Demon's Tail9P+KK	37	15.8%
crouch into Sit Jab2P	26	11.1%
crouch dash forward into Volcano Upper4P+K	19	8.1%
back, up-back kick+guard47K+G	14	6.0%
backdash into Volcano Upper4P+K	13	5.6%
back, up-back kick+guard47K+G into forward movement	7	3.0%
evade down into Volcano Upper4P+K	7	3.0%
up, up-back kick+guard87K+G	7	3.0%
up-back kick+guard7K+G	7	3.0%
Demon Dance9P+K	4	1.7%
up-back kick+guard7K+G into forward movement	4	1.7%
backdash into evade down	3	1.3%
forward dash into Volcano Upper4P+K	3	1.3%
Shouda46PP into Rising Back Spin Kick46PPK	2	0.8%

23 further openings account for the other 31 rounds.

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (122 here; about 6.1 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Goh: 8 of 16 tests hold up
Jean: 3 of 15 tests hold up
Taka: 9 of 15 tests hold up
Jeffry: 5 of 15 tests hold up
Jacky: 6 of 15 tests hold up
Brad: 6 of 15 tests hold up
Lion: 3 of 15 tests hold up
Shun: 7 of 16 tests hold up
Sarah: not tested (too few rounds)
El Blaze: not tested (too few rounds)