Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: South America

ぱりぱり

Career matches15,412

Career win rate57.2%

Round win rate52.8%

Peak rank42

Distinct opponents488

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1886 #167 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Lion1889879 matches
Pai1899345 matches
Kage1901277 matches
Eileen1908271 matches
Akira1850215 matches
Jean1897204 matches
Lau1878121 matches
Jacky187936 matches
Aoi189514 matches
Goh190112 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Lion	41	2,419	1,312	1,107	54.2%
Aoi	42	2,100	1,237	863	58.9%
Kage	41	2,053	1,149	904	56.0%
Jean	41	1,390	807	583	58.1%
Eileen	41	1,312	764	548	58.2%
Brad	—	1,253	725	528	57.9%
Vanessa	—	1,010	544	466	53.9%
Akira	38	946	554	392	58.6%
Jacky	38	932	526	406	56.4%
Pai	39	882	515	367	58.4%
Lau	38	630	386	244	61.3%
Goh	37	485	300	185	61.9%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

7,238 of 9,744 rounds counted

6.8 inputs a second (411 a minute) this season. Faster than 41% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Lion	7.0	420	2,664
Pai	6.9	413	475
Kage	6.3	379	1,125
Eileen	7.0	420	992
Akira	7.3	440	679
Jean	6.5	389	857
Lau	7.0	417	213
Jacky	6.5	389	140
Aoi	7.2	430	55
Goh	7.0	419	38

By opponent's character


Jacky	6.9	416	729
Kage	6.8	406	628
Lau	6.8	406	745
Akira	7.1	427	551
Lei Fei	6.4	385	630
Lion	7.0	421	587
Sarah	6.7	404	355
El Blaze	6.8	409	375
Jeffry	6.7	403	248
Aoi	6.9	416	252
Pai	7.3	438	231
Brad	6.7	402	284
Vanessa	6.9	412	315
Wolf	6.9	416	314
Jean	7.1	426	257
Goh	6.7	402	219
Shun	7.0	421	180
Eileen	7.0	422	193
Taka	6.6	393	129
Dural	6.7	400	16

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Jacky	254	134	120	52.8%	-2.9
Kage	205	115	90	56.1%	+4.1
Lau	200	109	91	54.5%	-1.9
Akira	191	98	93	51.3%	-5.3
Lei Fei	175	95	80	54.3%	+1.6
Lion	172	99	73	57.6%	+1.5
Sarah	121	71	50	58.7%	+2.4
El Blaze	119	74	45	62.2%	+3.5
Jeffry	118	52	66	44.1%	-8.2
Aoi	111	64	47	57.7%	-0.6
Pai	107	62	45	57.9%	-0.4
Brad	103	54	49	52.4%	-3.1
Vanessa	99	54	45	54.5%	-0.2
Wolf	98	60	38	61.2%	+2.1
Jean	81	47	34	58.0%	+3.1
Goh	80	49	31	61.2%	+1.6
Shun	53	36	17	67.9%	+13.9
Eileen	51	24	27	47.1%	-10.0
Taka	50	31	19	62.0%	+7.5
Dural	10	6	4	60.0%	+19.5

0 of 19 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 19 questions at once; about 1.0 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Breakable Half Fence	282	157	125	55.7%	-0.4
Low Fence	260	141	119	54.2%	-1.0
Full Fence	255	159	96	62.4%	+5.8
Half Fence	246	135	111	54.9%	-0.5
Rectangle	238	131	107	55.0%	-1.1
Octagon	235	123	112	52.3%	-1.5
Single Wall	234	130	104	55.6%	+2.0
Breakable Full Fence	221	131	90	59.3%	+3.0
Open	211	117	94	55.5%	-1.5
Full Fence and Open	101	50	51	49.5%	-4.8

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	1,477	56.6%	55.8%	+0.8
No walls	705	55.0%	55.2%	-0.1

Walls against open: +0.9 points (95% range -3.7 to +5.6), p 0.693 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


VF12360-PC (Rank 38)	50	31	19	62.0%
ふかふか (Rank 38)	44	26	18	59.1%
Mochi/かしわもち (Rank 39)	39	24	15	61.5%
cyomiko (Rank 41)	31	13	18	41.9%
おさげ (Rank 39)	30	10	20	33.3%
かんしゅ (Rank 41)	30	9	21	30.0%
くろいぬ (Rank 37)	30	17	13	56.7%
マハリータまるこ (Rank 39)	30	17	13	56.7%
ハティーン (Rank 40)	27	17	10	63.0%
tu-kun0223 (Rank 36)	24	14	10	58.3%
ゼータ(MSZ-006) (Rank 40)	24	15	9	62.5%
堂島様 (Rank 43)	24	4	20	16.7%
シエロJ (Rank 42)	20	2	18	10.0%
manatsu_7 (Rank 42)	19	5	14	26.3%
Kiri (Rank 39)	18	14	4	77.8%
nanbara (Rank 37)	18	11	7	61.1%
oooomatsu (Rank 38)	18	15	3	83.3%
vintage-channel9 (Rank 38)	18	10	8	55.6%
おむすび山かずkaz_kcjj (Rank 39)	18	10	8	55.6%
ネンジ (Rank 39)	17	7	10	41.2%
Aki (Rank 39)	16	5	11	31.2%
ken3000wo (Rank 35)	16	10	6	62.5%
montanmo (Rank 37)	16	10	6	62.5%
paoya0423 (Rank 36)	16	10	6	62.5%
zakisan (Rank 36)	16	10	6	62.5%

Most played opponents, most recent first


VF12360-PC (Rank 38)	2026/10/16	50	31	19	62.0%
ゼータ(MSZ-006) (Rank 40)	2026/10/16	24	15	9	62.5%
Kiri (Rank 39)	2026/10/15	18	14	4	77.8%
おむすび山かずkaz_kcjj (Rank 39)	2026/10/15	18	10	8	55.6%
vintage-channel9 (Rank 38)	2026/10/15	18	10	8	55.6%
oooomatsu (Rank 38)	2026/10/14	18	15	3	83.3%
manatsu_7 (Rank 42)	2026/10/04	19	5	14	26.3%
paoya0423 (Rank 36)	2026/09/30	16	10	6	62.5%
nanbara (Rank 37)	2026/09/26	18	11	7	61.1%
マハリータまるこ (Rank 39)	2026/09/24	30	17	13	56.7%
tu-kun0223 (Rank 36)	2026/09/18	24	14	10	58.3%
Mochi/かしわもち (Rank 39)	2026/09/11	39	24	15	61.5%
Aki (Rank 39)	2026/09/09	16	5	11	31.2%
zakisan (Rank 36)	2026/09/02	16	10	6	62.5%
かんしゅ (Rank 41)	2026/09/02	30	9	21	30.0%
cyomiko (Rank 41)	2026/08/28	31	13	18	41.9%
ハティーン (Rank 40)	2026/08/28	27	17	10	63.0%
堂島様 (Rank 43)	2026/08/18	24	4	20	16.7%
ふかふか (Rank 38)	2026/08/05	44	26	18	59.1%
montanmo (Rank 37)	2026/07/31	16	10	6	62.5%
くろいぬ (Rank 37)	2026/07/29	30	17	13	56.7%
ken3000wo (Rank 35)	2026/07/24	16	10	6	62.5%
シエロJ (Rank 42)	2026/07/20	20	2	18	10.0%
おさげ (Rank 39)	2026/05/26	30	10	20	33.3%
ネンジ (Rank 39)	2026/05/16	17	7	10	41.2%

Round openings

Every character


Banchu6P	570	6.2%
backdash into evade down	532	5.8%
evade down into forward dash	488	5.3%
punchP	414	4.5%
forward movement into punchP	384	4.2%
backdash into evade up	361	3.9%
backward movement into forward punch+kick6P+K	270	2.9%
Ukoushin46P+K	260	2.8%
Douchu6P	246	2.7%
evade down into crouch dash forward	220	2.4%
backdash into punchP	190	2.1%
Senchuken6P	159	1.7%
evade up into crouch dash forward	155	1.7%
evade down into punchP	149	1.6%
crouch dash back into guardG	145	1.6%

953 further openings account for the other 4,674 rounds.

Counted from 2,267 of the 2,398 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Lion

Career: 1,312–1,107 · 54.2%
This season: 885 matches · 53.3%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 58.3% of 3,558 rounds. Won 54.6% of the rounds they struck first, 47.0% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 51.5% of rounds, against 42.2% in their other rounds.
Against Shun: evades first in 43.5% of rounds, against 17.1% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by evading: evades first in 27.5% of rounds, against 16.2% after anything else.
After winning a round: backs off first in 37.5% of rounds, against 28.2% after losing one.
In round 1: opens with “backward movement into 6P+K forward punch+kick” in 11.0% of rounds, against 6.4% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: opens with “6P Banchu” in 31.5% of rounds, against 13.5% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “6P Banchu”: opens with “6P Banchu” in 22.0% of rounds, against 12.8% after anything else.
After losing a round: opens with “P punch” in 10.1% of rounds, against 4.5% after winning one.
When behind: opens with “P punch” in 9.4% of rounds, against 5.7% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


Banchu6P	570	15.8%
backward movement into forward punch+kick6P+K	270	7.5%
Ukoushin46P+K	260	7.2%
punchP	217	6.0%
evade down into forward dash	163	4.5%
backdash into evade down	152	4.2%
backdash into evade up	132	3.7%
Juchou Senshou8P+K	103	2.9%
evade down into Katousui2P	85	2.4%
Katousui2P	83	2.3%
evade down into crouch dash forward	73	2.0%
backdash into Senshippo66P	72	2.0%
forward movement into punchP	68	1.9%
backdash into punchP	56	1.6%
evade down into punchP	53	1.5%

270 further openings account for the other 1,245 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lion

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	21–33 · 39%	23–28 · 45%	-5.7
Akira	26–26 · 50%	14–12 · 54%	too few to test
Kage	22–15 · 59%	14–7 · 67%	too few to test
Lau	24–21 · 53%	13–8 · 62%	too few to test
Lion	11–24 · 31%	13–11 · 54%	too few to test
Aoi	27–15 · 64%	8–7 · 53%	too few to test
Lei Fei	15–15 · 50%	3–10 · 23%	too few to test
Jeffry	11–12 · 48%	8–7 · 53%	too few to test
Brad	12–9 · 57%	10–6 · 62%	too few to test
Vanessa	16–16 · 50%	7–3 · 70%	too few to test
Jean	14–9 · 61%	5–4 · 56%	too few to test
El Blaze	11–7 · 61%	7–1 · 88%	too few to test
Pai	5–8 · 38%	7–3 · 70%	too few to test
Sarah	14–6 · 70%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test
Taka	11–5 · 69%	1–5 · 17%	too few to test
Eileen	13–5 · 72%	1–4 · 20%	too few to test
Shun	12–4 · 75%	3–0 · 100%	too few to test

Nothing reliable: no gap here is bigger than stage luck alone produces.

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Pai

Career: 515–367 · 58.4%
This season: 347 matches · 53.6%
Peak rank: 39

First hit in 55.5% of 1,405 rounds. Won 53.7% of the rounds they struck first, 48.3% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 4 or later: backs off first in 38.2% of rounds, against 26.2% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: moves in first in 20.2% of rounds, against 8.4% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by evading: evades first in 41.9% of rounds, against 26.6% after anything else.
After losing a round: moves in first in 13.1% of rounds, against 5.6% after winning one.
In round 2: opens with “evade down into crouch dash forward” in 5.8% of rounds, against 2.8% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 19.3% of rounds, against 4.5% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 11.0% of rounds, against 1.9% after winning one.
When behind: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 10.1% of rounds, against 4.1% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


Senchuken6P	159	11.2%
evade down into forward dash	113	8.0%
backdash into evade down	89	6.3%
forward movement into punchP	80	5.7%
evade down into crouch dash forward	50	3.5%
evade up into crouch dash forward	47	3.3%
backdash into evade up	43	3.0%
punchP	40	2.8%
Hi'en Tankyaku9K into guardG	36	2.5%
evade down into Souchuken2P	27	1.9%
evade down into punchP	26	1.8%
backdash into punchP	21	1.5%
Ensei Haijinkyaku7K+G into guardG	20	1.4%
evade up into evade down	19	1.3%
evade up into punchP	17	1.2%

199 further openings account for the other 626 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Pai

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Pai	12–6 · 67%	9–5 · 64%	too few to test
El Blaze	15–10 · 60%	1–1 · 50%	too few to test
Jacky	7–13 · 35%	9–2 · 82%	too few to test
Sarah	12–10 · 55%	2–0 · 100%	too few to test
Lau	10–5 · 67%	2–9 · 18%	too few to test
Aoi	6–9 · 40%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test
Lion	8–4 · 67%	6–5 · 55%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Kage

Career: 1,149–904 · 56.0%
This season: 280 matches · 60.0%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 59.8% of 1,143 rounds. Won 59.9% of the rounds they struck first, 49.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 4 or later: backs off first in 49.4% of rounds, against 34.9% in their other rounds.
Against Lau: moves in first in 8.8% of rounds, against 2.5% against everyone else.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 11.1% of rounds, against 5.1% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 13.7% of rounds, against 4.6% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “backdash into evade up”: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 26.5% of rounds, against 7.3% after anything else.

How is this tested?


Hiji'uchi6P	101	8.8%
backdash into evade up	78	6.8%
Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K	69	6.0%
backdash into evade down	64	5.5%
evade down into forward dash	62	5.4%
backward movement into Nagiharai6P+K	46	4.0%
punchP	43	3.7%
backdash into punchP	36	3.1%
evade down into punchP	31	2.7%
evade down into Jizuridan2P	28	2.4%
forward movement into punchP	27	2.3%
backdash into Jizuridan2P	26	2.2%
Rasen4P	24	2.1%
crouch dash back into guardG	24	2.1%
evade up into crouch dash forward	24	2.1%

175 further openings account for the other 471 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Kage

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lau	19–10 · 66%	5–10 · 33%	too few to test
Lei Fei	11–5 · 69%	3–13 · 19%	too few to test
Jacky	13–8 · 62%	2–6 · 25%	too few to test
Akira	4–6 · 40%	9–2 · 82%	too few to test
Kage	8–6 · 57%	6–6 · 50%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Eileen

Career: 764–548 · 58.2%
This season: 276 matches · 62.0%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 58.0% of 1,117 rounds. Won 58.0% of the rounds they struck first, 53.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 4 or later: backs off first in 44.5% of rounds, against 30.6% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: backs off first in 50.6% of rounds, against 33.0% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by moving in: moves in first in 24.7% of rounds, against 9.2% after anything else.
In round 4 or later: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 10.0% of rounds, against 3.8% in their other rounds.
After opening the round before with “backdash into evade down”: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 19.6% of rounds, against 6.1% after anything else.
After losing a round: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 9.1% of rounds, against 4.1% after winning one.

How is this tested?


Douchu6P	246	21.8%
backdash into evade down	74	6.6%
evade down into forward dash	65	5.8%
forward movement into punchP	61	5.4%
punchP	55	4.9%
crouch dash back into guardG	50	4.4%
backdash into evade up	35	3.1%
backdash into punchP	35	3.1%
backdash into Koushi Choukan236P	28	2.5%
evade down into crouch dash forward	23	2.0%
evade down into punchP	20	1.8%
backdash into guardG	19	1.7%
evade up into crouch dash forward	18	1.6%
evade down into Fukushinshou2P	14	1.2%
evade down into guardG	13	1.1%

153 further openings account for the other 371 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Eileen

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Kage	13–9 · 59%	7–2 · 78%	too few to test
Lei Fei	16–4 · 80%	2–2 · 50%	too few to test
El Blaze	10–9 · 53%	4–4 · 50%	too few to test
Akira	8–7 · 53%	0–3 · 0%	too few to test
Sarah	5–3 · 62%	9–1 · 90%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Akira

Career: 554–392 · 58.6%
This season: 216 matches · 52.3%
Peak rank: 38

First hit in 59.9% of 852 rounds. Won 55.1% of the rounds they struck first, 46.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 35.2% of rounds, against 20.7% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: moves in first in 30.0% of rounds, against 10.9% against everyone else.
After losing a round: moves in first in 19.4% of rounds, against 7.0% after winning one.
When behind: moves in first in 19.2% of rounds, against 9.6% when ahead or level.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 9.8% of rounds, against 3.2% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 25.7% of rounds, against 8.0% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 16.8% of rounds, against 3.7% after winning one.
When ahead: opens with “66P Rimon Chouchu into forward dash” in 11.1% of rounds, against 1.5% when level or behind.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	86	10.1%
forward movement into punchP	81	9.5%
Rimon Chouchu66P	77	9.0%
Rimon Chouchu66P into forward dash	53	6.2%
backdash into evade up	41	4.8%
backdash into Jouho Senshou46P	32	3.8%
backdash into guardG	28	3.3%
evade down into forward dash	23	2.7%
punchP	23	2.7%
crouch dash back into guardG	18	2.1%
backdash into Jouho Touken6P	16	1.9%
backdash into punchP	16	1.9%
evade down into crouch dash forward	15	1.8%
evade up into crouch dash forward	14	1.6%
backdash into Housui2P	12	1.4%

134 further openings account for the other 318 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Akira

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	11–4 · 73%	7–4 · 64%	too few to test
Wolf	5–8 · 38%	4–3 · 57%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Lau

Career: 386–244 · 61.3%
This season: 121 matches · 50.4%
Peak rank: 38

First hit in 57.0% of 493 rounds. Won 53.0% of the rounds they struck first, 44.8% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 44.6% of rounds, against 26.5% in their other rounds.
Against Kage: moves in first in 15.0% of rounds, against 4.6% against everyone else.
On Half Fence stages: evades first in 50.0% of rounds, against 33.4% on the other stages.
Against Kage: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 9.8% of rounds, against 2.7% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


Chugeki6P	85	17.0%
evade down into forward dash	39	7.8%
evade down into crouch dash forward	31	6.2%
backdash into evade down	28	5.6%
forward movement into punchP	23	4.6%
punchP	17	3.4%
evade up into crouch dash forward	15	3.0%
backdash into evade up	14	2.8%
evade down into Souchuken2P	14	2.8%
backdash into punchP	11	2.2%
evade down into punchP	11	2.2%
evade down into Junho Chushou33P	8	1.6%
evade up into evade down	8	1.6%
backdash into Kosoushou46P	7	1.4%
backdash into guardG	6	1.2%

98 further openings account for the other 182 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lau

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Kage	8–10 · 44%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 807–583 · 58.1%
This season: 211 matches · 58.8%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 62.5% of 325 rounds. Won 53.7% of the rounds they struck first, 47.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

After losing a round: moves in first in 17.5% of rounds, against 3.2% after winning one.
After losing a round: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 15.8% of rounds, against 1.6% after winning one.

How is this tested?


forward movement into punchP	32	9.7%
Yoko'enpi6P	30	9.1%
backdash into evade down	27	8.2%
backdash into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	22	6.7%
backdash into Kake'uchi46P	17	5.2%
punchP	17	5.2%
Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	13	3.9%
backdash into evade up	13	3.9%
evade down into forward dash	13	3.9%
Tate'enpi33P into Tate'enpi~Tenkai Hizageri33PK	9	2.7%
backdash into punchP	9	2.7%
Shitamaeken2P	7	2.1%
backdash into Kake'uchi~Maekeri'age46PK	5	1.5%
backdash into Oihiji4P+K	5	1.5%
backward movement into evade up	5	1.5%

64 further openings account for the other 106 rounds.

Counted from 83 of the 211 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Jacky

Career: 526–406 · 56.4%
This season: 36 matches · 55.6%
Peak rank: 38

First hit in 57.3% of 143 rounds. Won 59.8% of the rounds they struck first, 42.6% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Middle Smash6P	21	14.7%
forward movement into punchP	11	7.7%
backdash into guardG	7	4.9%
crouch dash back into guardG	7	4.9%
evade down into Squat Straight2P	6	4.2%
backdash into evade up	4	2.8%
backdash into punchP	4	2.8%
evade up into Squat Straight2P	4	2.8%
Dash Hammer Kick66K	3	2.1%
Middle Smash6P into forward dash	3	2.1%
backdash into Beat & Back KnuckleP+KP	3	2.1%
backdash into Squat Straight2P	3	2.1%
backdash into evade down	3	2.1%
evade down into forward dash	3	2.1%
forward dash into guardG	3	2.1%

48 further openings account for the other 58 rounds.

Aoi

Career: 1,237–863 · 58.9%
This season: 14 matches · 64.3%
Peak rank: 42

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Ouda6P+K	7	12.7%
backdash into evade down	7	12.7%
evade down into forward dash	5	9.1%
evade up into Koromoguruma66P	3	5.5%
Hou'oushu3P	2	3.6%
Namigaeshi64P+K into punchP	2	3.6%
Ryoushi43P	2	3.6%
backdash into Koromoguruma66P	2	3.6%
evade down into Koromoguruma66P	2	3.6%
evade down into Ouda6P+K	2	3.6%
evade down into crouch dash forward	2	3.6%
Chudan Hiji'ate6P	1	1.8%
Hou'oushu3P into guardG	1	1.8%
Koromoguruma66P	1	1.8%
backdash into Kasane'ate46P	1	1.8%

15 further openings account for the other 15 rounds.

Goh

Career: 300–185 · 61.9%
This season: 12 matches · 83.3%
Peak rank: 37

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Hiji'ate6P	8	19.5%
evade down into crouch dash forward	5	12.2%
backdash into evade down	2	4.9%
backdash into punchP	2	4.9%
evade down into forward dash	2	4.9%
evade up into Kurogane Kudaki66P	2	4.9%
punchP	2	4.9%
Hiji'ate6P into backdash	1	2.4%
Sune'uchi2P	1	2.4%
backdash into Karura4P+K	1	2.4%
backdash into Kirin33P	1	2.4%
backdash into Kumite Harai (Deflect)4P+K+G	1	2.4%
backdash into Kurogane Kudaki66P	1	2.4%
backdash into evade up	1	2.4%
backdash into throw escape	1	2.4%

10 further openings account for the other 10 rounds.

Counted from 9 of the 12 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (103 here; about 5.2 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Lion: 9 of 16 tests hold up
Pai: 8 of 16 tests hold up
Kage: 5 of 15 tests hold up
Eileen: 6 of 15 tests hold up
Akira: 8 of 15 tests hold up
Lau: 4 of 15 tests hold up
Jean: 2 of 11 tests hold up
Jacky: not tested (too few rounds)
Aoi: not tested (too few rounds)
Goh: not tested (too few rounds)