Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: Asia
かつぞう@LivingOnTheEdge
Elo rating
Overall, and on each character played 10+ times1604 #1,326 of 3,686 on the Elo list →
- Shun1590292 matches
Goh158175 matches
Aoi161261 matches
Jeffry160144 matches
Eileen160838 matches
Vanessa161132 matches
Sarah159630 matches
Pai162525 matches
Akira159419 matches
The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.
Characters played — VF5's own record
| Shun | 30 | 805 | 439 | 366 | 54.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aoi | 33 | 529 | 332 | 197 | 62.8% |
| Vanessa | 28 | 298 | 175 | 123 | 58.7% |
| Pai | 30 | 262 | 167 | 95 | 63.7% |
| Goh | 29 | 249 | 128 | 121 | 51.4% |
| Eileen | 29 | 229 | 129 | 100 | 56.3% |
| Akira | 27 | 146 | 91 | 55 | 62.3% |
| Sarah | 29 | 109 | 71 | 38 | 65.1% |
| Jeffry | 27 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 62.0% |
| Lau | — | 48 | 27 | 21 | 56.2% |
| Taka | — | 15 | 10 | 5 | 66.7% |
These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.
Inputs per second
1,214 of 2,466 rounds counted5.9 inputs a second (352 a minute) this season. Faster than 15% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.
By character played
| Shun | 5.9 | 356 | 1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goh | 5.5 | 330 | 169 |
| Aoi | 6.1 | 364 | 31 |
| Vanessa | 5.0 | 300 | 10 |
| Pai | 5.9 | 357 | 4 |
By opponent's character
| Jacky | 6.0 | 357 | 127 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akira | 5.7 | 344 | 120 |
| Jeffry | 6.3 | 379 | 103 |
| Wolf | 6.2 | 370 | 78 |
| Aoi | 5.8 | 345 | 97 |
| Pai | 5.7 | 344 | 64 |
| Lion | 5.6 | 335 | 73 |
| Brad | 5.8 | 348 | 107 |
| Sarah | 5.9 | 356 | 44 |
| Shun | 6.0 | 363 | 65 |
| Lau | 5.4 | 326 | 37 |
| Goh | 6.1 | 364 | 61 |
| Kage | 5.6 | 336 | 65 |
| Lei Fei | 5.6 | 335 | 42 |
| Vanessa | 6.1 | 368 | 55 |
| Jean | 5.6 | 334 | 20 |
| El Blaze | 5.5 | 332 | 23 |
| Eileen | 6.0 | 357 | 21 |
| Taka | 5.9 | 351 | 8 |
| Dural | 6.0 | 363 | 4 |
An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.
Against each character
| Jacky | 64 | 35 | 29 | 54.7% | -5.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira | 59 | 33 | 26 | 55.9% | -2.5 |
| Jeffry | 51 | 29 | 22 | 56.9% | +3.5 |
| Wolf | 47 | 26 | 21 | 55.3% | -1.8 |
| Aoi | 45 | 33 | 12 | 73.3% | +15.3 |
| Pai | 44 | 30 | 14 | 68.2% | +9.5 |
| Lion | 35 | 21 | 14 | 60.0% | +5.7 |
| Brad | 33 | 20 | 13 | 60.6% | +3.2 |
| Sarah | 33 | 23 | 10 | 69.7% | +14.0 |
| Shun | 33 | 17 | 16 | 51.5% | -8.6 |
| Lau | 26 | 17 | 9 | 65.4% | +12.6 |
| Goh | 25 | 11 | 14 | 44.0% | -9.9 |
| Kage | 25 | 12 | 13 | 48.0% | -7.3 |
| Lei Fei | 24 | 9 | 15 | 37.5% | -13.1 |
| Vanessa | 24 | 12 | 12 | 50.0% | -8.5 |
| Jean | 18 | 4 | 14 | 22.2% | -29.0 |
| El Blaze | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60.0% | +2.8 |
| Eileen | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50.0% | -7.3 |
| Taka | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% | +8.0 |
| Dural | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | -45.5 |
0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.
A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.
By ring shape
| Low Fence | 85 | 43 | 42 | 50.6% | -7.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable Half Fence | 82 | 50 | 32 | 61.0% | +7.1 |
| Breakable Full Fence | 70 | 45 | 25 | 64.3% | +9.1 |
| Half Fence | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60.3% | +1.0 |
| Octagon | 59 | 33 | 26 | 55.9% | -1.5 |
| Single Wall | 59 | 26 | 33 | 44.1% | -14.1 |
| Open | 52 | 28 | 24 | 53.9% | -2.6 |
| Rectangle | 52 | 32 | 20 | 61.5% | +5.5 |
| Full Fence | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55.1% | -3.4 |
| Full Fence and Open | 25 | 15 | 10 | 60.0% | +6.0 |
0 of 9 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 9 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.
With or without walls
| Stages | Matches | Win % | Expected | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walls | 375 | 60.0% | 56.9% | +3.1 |
| No walls | 196 | 49.5% | 56.8% | -7.3 |
Walls against open: +10.4 points (95% range +2.0 to +18.8), p 0.015 — a difference this size is unlikely to be chance.
The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.
How these are tested
- Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
- Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
- Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.
Most played opponents
| Akishin-0313 (Rank 29) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| saw121 (Rank 27) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| 助手D (Rank 30) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| nidone_55 (Rank 25) | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% |
| pinturicchio (Rank 30) | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% |
| Hi-VisionZERO (Rank 30) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| いちまる1972 (Rank 29) | 7 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% |
| ketubat (Rank 26) | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50.0% |
| okb@j＞おーけーびー (Rank 27) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83.3% |
| Shinovu (Rank 25) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| kaisoumi77 (Rank 26) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| run-run52 (Rank 26) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| ルビーロマン葵 (Rank 32) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| 黒鵜なぎ@Vtuber (Rank 31) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% |
| SUTEKI-_-san (Rank 28) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| kupipi_ff11 (Rank 25) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| moroQamazingdelicious (Rank 26) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| shiphon74 (Rank 26) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| zan_srz (Rank 30) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
| うをん (Rank 29) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| え～る (Rank 30) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| りてりん (Rank 27) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
| ヘニオ (Rank 30) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| マーボウ (Rank 26) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| マーレさん (Rank 32) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
Most played opponents, most recent first
| りてりん (Rank 27) | 2026/07/10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hi-VisionZERO (Rank 30) | 2026/07/10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| nidone_55 (Rank 25) | 2026/07/04 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62.5% |
| え～る (Rank 30) | 2026/06/30 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| いちまる1972 (Rank 29) | 2026/06/07 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 42.9% |
| zan_srz (Rank 30) | 2026/06/06 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
| うをん (Rank 29) | 2026/06/04 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| okb@j＞おーけーびー (Rank 27) | 2026/06/04 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83.3% |
| saw121 (Rank 27) | 2026/05/31 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| moroQamazingdelicious (Rank 26) | 2026/05/29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| run-run52 (Rank 26) | 2026/05/27 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| kupipi_ff11 (Rank 25) | 2026/05/23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| Akishin-0313 (Rank 29) | 2026/05/23 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| pinturicchio (Rank 30) | 2026/05/22 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% |
| ヘニオ (Rank 30) | 2026/05/22 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| Shinovu (Rank 25) | 2026/05/17 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| shiphon74 (Rank 26) | 2026/05/10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| SUTEKI-_-san (Rank 28) | 2026/05/10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| マーレさん (Rank 32) | 2026/05/10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% |
| マーボウ (Rank 26) | 2026/05/09 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| kaisoumi77 (Rank 26) | 2026/05/06 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| ketubat (Rank 26) | 2026/05/05 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50.0% |
| ルビーロマン葵 (Rank 32) | 2026/04/19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| 黒鵜なぎ@Vtuber (Rank 31) | 2026/04/17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% |
| 助手D (Rank 30) | 2026/03/28 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
Round openings
Every character
| backdash into evade up | 482 | 19.5% |
|---|---|---|
| backdash into guardG | 180 | 7.3% |
| forward movement into punchP | 174 | 7.0% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 94 | 3.8% |
| guardG | 84 | 3.4% |
| forward movement into RengekiPP | 83 | 3.4% |
| guardG into evade down | 67 | 2.7% |
| Soukyu46P into forward movement | 42 | 1.7% |
| guardG into crouch | 34 | 1.4% |
| backdash into RengekiPP | 32 | 1.3% |
| backdash into evade down | 29 | 1.2% |
| backdash into Kasen Gyou'in6P+K+G | 28 | 1.1% |
| Defensive Style: forward movement into punchP | 24 | 1.0% |
| forward dash into backdash | 24 | 1.0% |
| backdash into Senpu Soutai3K+G | 22 | 0.9% |
409 further openings account for the other 1,071 rounds.
Shun
- Career
- 439–366 · 54.5%
- This season
- 294 matches · 56.8%
- Peak rank
- 30
First hit in 50.9% of 1,130 rounds. Won 57.0% of the rounds they struck first, 50.1% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
- In round 1: waits first in 28.2% of rounds, against 7.7% in their other rounds.
- Against Aoi: waits first in 28.2% of rounds, against 11.8% against everyone else.
- After opening the round before by waiting: waits first in 21.9% of rounds, against 5.2% after anything else.
- After losing a round: backs off first in 70.8% of rounds, against 55.8% after winning one.
- In round 1: opens with “G guard” in 10.5% of rounds, against 2.7% in their other rounds.
- Against Aoi: opens with “G guard” in 23.5% of rounds, against 3.2% against everyone else.
- After opening the round before with “G guard”: opens with “G guard” in 14.9% of rounds, against 2.0% after anything else.
- After winning a round: opens with “forward movement into PP Rengeki” in 16.3% of rounds, against 2.3% after losing one.
- When ahead: opens with “forward movement into PP Rengeki” in 13.3% of rounds, against 5.5% when level or behind.
| backdash into evade up | 288 | 25.4% |
|---|---|---|
| backdash into guardG | 83 | 7.3% |
| forward movement into RengekiPP | 83 | 7.3% |
| forward movement into punchP | 75 | 6.6% |
| guardG | 54 | 4.8% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 48 | 4.2% |
| guardG into evade down | 35 | 3.1% |
| backdash into RengekiPP | 32 | 2.8% |
| backdash into Kasen Gyou'in6P+K+G | 28 | 2.5% |
| backdash into Senpu Soutai3K+G | 22 | 1.9% |
| backdash into Tenshin Souchushou6P+K | 19 | 1.7% |
| backdash into Shinho Suikoushu43P+K | 17 | 1.5% |
| backdash into Kasen Zenbokushou6PP | 16 | 1.4% |
| Kasen Chugeki6P into Kasen Zenbokushou6PP | 15 | 1.3% |
| backdash into evade down | 14 | 1.2% |
105 further openings account for the other 307 rounds.
By stage type
Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Shun
| Opponent | Walls | No walls | Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacky | 13–9 · 59% | 7–4 · 64% | too few to test |
| Jeffry | 6–6 · 50% | 7–9 · 44% | too few to test |
| Akira | 8–9 · 47% | 2–3 · 40% | too few to test |
| Aoi | 12–4 · 75% | 5–1 · 83% | too few to test |
Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.
Goh
- Career
- 128–121 · 51.4%
- This season
- 75 matches · 50.7%
- Peak rank
- 29
First hit in 48.2% of 309 rounds. Won 55.0% of the rounds they struck first, 50.0% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
- In round 1: waits first in 28.0% of rounds, against 6.8% in their other rounds.
- After opening the round before by backing off: attacks straight away in 35.8% of rounds, against 16.7% after anything else.
| backdash into evade up | 59 | 19.1% |
|---|---|---|
| Soukyu46P into forward movement | 42 | 13.6% |
| backdash into guardG | 26 | 8.4% |
| forward movement into punchP | 23 | 7.4% |
| backdash into Soukyu46P | 13 | 4.2% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 13 | 4.2% |
| guardG | 13 | 4.2% |
| backdash into Kyousengeri46K | 8 | 2.6% |
| guardG into evade down | 7 | 2.3% |
| Tsukikage6K | 5 | 1.6% |
| guardG into crouch | 5 | 1.6% |
| Kyousengeri46K | 4 | 1.3% |
| Soukyu46P | 4 | 1.3% |
| backdash into Batousatsu3KP | 4 | 1.3% |
| backdash into Shouzuka Okuri1P+K | 4 | 1.3% |
54 further openings account for the other 79 rounds.
Aoi
- Career
- 332–197 · 62.8%
- This season
- 61 matches · 45.9%
- Peak rank
- 33
First hit in 52.5% of 244 rounds. Won 51.6% of the rounds they struck first, 44.8% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| backdash into evade up | 27 | 11.0% |
|---|---|---|
| forward movement into punchP | 20 | 8.1% |
| backdash into guardG | 15 | 6.1% |
| Kamageri4K | 13 | 5.3% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 11 | 4.5% |
| Inshou43P+K | 9 | 3.7% |
| forward movement into Nirentotsu OuchuPPP | 8 | 3.2% |
| forward punch+kick+guard6P+K+G | 7 | 2.9% |
| guardG into Hou'oushu3P | 7 | 2.9% |
| guardG into crouch | 7 | 2.9% |
| guardG into evade down | 7 | 2.9% |
| Jousei Ryusenshou214P+K | 6 | 2.4% |
| backdash into Hou'oushu3P | 6 | 2.4% |
| backdash into Jousei Ryusenshou214P+K | 6 | 2.4% |
| guardG | 5 | 2.0% |
57 further openings account for the other 92 rounds.
Jeffry
- Career
- 57–35 · 62.0%
- This season
- 44 matches · 61.4%
- Peak rank
- 27
First hit in 58.2% of 177 rounds. Won 63.1% of the rounds they struck first, 47.3% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| backdash into evade up | 32 | 18.0% |
|---|---|---|
| forward movement into punchP | 23 | 12.9% |
| backdash into guardG | 14 | 7.9% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 13 | 7.3% |
| Knee Push4K | 9 | 5.1% |
| backdash into Side Kick3K | 6 | 3.4% |
| Elbow Butt6P into Elbow Hammer6PP | 4 | 2.2% |
| backdash into Ducking Low2K+G | 3 | 1.7% |
| backdash into Knee Push4K | 3 | 1.7% |
| backdash into Toe Kick Hammer2KP | 3 | 1.7% |
| backdash into evade down | 3 | 1.7% |
| backdash into punchP | 3 | 1.7% |
| forward movement into Knuckle KickPK | 3 | 1.7% |
| guardG | 3 | 1.7% |
| guardG into evade down | 3 | 1.7% |
45 further openings account for the other 53 rounds.
Eileen
- Career
- 129–100 · 56.3%
- This season
- 38 matches · 60.5%
- Peak rank
- 29
First hit in 44.1% of 152 rounds. Won 61.2% of the rounds they struck first, 51.8% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| backdash into evade up | 28 | 18.4% |
|---|---|---|
| forward movement into punchP | 20 | 13.2% |
| backdash into Kesshi Hanbi46K+G | 17 | 11.2% |
| backdash into guardG | 15 | 9.9% |
| Kousokuhon7K+G | 11 | 7.2% |
| up-forward kick+guard9K+G | 7 | 4.6% |
| backdash into Enkou Kenka46P | 5 | 3.3% |
| forward dash into backdash | 4 | 2.6% |
| up, up-forward kick+guard89K+G | 3 | 2.0% |
| backdash into Douchu6P | 2 | 1.3% |
| backdash into Goku Shicchi (Interrupt Moves)6P+K+G | 2 | 1.3% |
| backdash into Honshin Kousoutai3K+G | 2 | 1.3% |
| backdash into Rinheki Hairen1PK | 2 | 1.3% |
| backdash into evade down | 2 | 1.3% |
| forward movement into Enkou RensouPP | 2 | 1.3% |
25 further openings account for the other 30 rounds.
Vanessa
- Career
- 175–123 · 58.7%
- This season
- 32 matches · 68.8%
- Peak rank
- 28
First hit in 30.7% of 140 rounds. Won 60.5% of the rounds they struck first, 57.7% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| Defensive Style: forward movement into punchP | 24 | 17.1% |
|---|---|---|
| Defensive Style: backdash into evade up | 14 | 10.0% |
| Defensive Style: Back Charge Kick | 9 | 6.4% |
| Defensive Style: guard | 8 | 5.7% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into back kick+guard4K+G | 7 | 5.0% |
| Defensive Style: kick into Switch Left SlicerKK | 6 | 4.3% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into guardG | 5 | 3.6% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into Switch Left SlicerKK | 4 | 2.9% |
| Defensive Style: guard into evade down | 4 | 2.9% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into Boomerang Hook3P+K | 3 | 2.1% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into Low Spin Slicer2K+G | 3 | 2.1% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into Shadow Slicer66K | 3 | 2.1% |
| Defensive Style: backdash into Sit Jab2P | 3 | 2.1% |
| Defensive Style: evade down into guardG | 3 | 2.1% |
| Defensive Style: guard into throw escape | 3 | 2.1% |
34 further openings account for the other 41 rounds.
Sarah
- Career
- 71–38 · 65.1%
- This season
- 30 matches · 53.3%
- Peak rank
- 29
First hit in 60.6% of 127 rounds. Won 57.1% of the rounds they struck first, 46.0% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| backdash into evade up | 29 | 22.7% |
|---|---|---|
| backdash into guardG | 17 | 13.3% |
| backdash into Crescent Heel4K+G | 9 | 7.0% |
| forward dash into backdash | 8 | 6.2% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 5 | 3.9% |
| forward movement into punchP | 5 | 3.9% |
| guardG into evade down | 5 | 3.9% |
| Back Knuckle Turn44P | 4 | 3.1% |
| backdash into Low Spin Kick3K+G | 3 | 2.3% |
| backdash into backward movement | 3 | 2.3% |
| Low Spin Kick3K+G | 2 | 1.6% |
| backdash | 2 | 1.6% |
| backdash into Flash Piston PunchPPP | 2 | 1.6% |
| backdash into Switch Kick4K | 2 | 1.6% |
| backdash into evade down | 2 | 1.6% |
28 further openings account for the other 30 rounds.
Pai
- Career
- 167–95 · 63.7%
- This season
- 25 matches · 80.0%
- Peak rank
- 30
First hit in 50.5% of 101 rounds. Won 66.7% of the rounds they struck first, 66.0% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| Ensei Haijinkyaku7K+G | 14 | 13.9% |
|---|---|---|
| forward movement into RenkentaiPK | 11 | 10.9% |
| backdash into Honrakukyaku46K+G | 7 | 6.9% |
| forward movement into punchP | 7 | 6.9% |
| backdash into evade up | 6 | 5.9% |
| guardG into evade down | 6 | 5.9% |
| backdash into guardG | 4 | 4.0% |
| guardG | 4 | 4.0% |
| guardG into Honshin Soukyaku1K+G | 4 | 4.0% |
| backdash into RaigekishouPPP | 3 | 3.0% |
| Kochoukyaku4K+G | 2 | 2.0% |
| backdash into RenkentaiPK | 2 | 2.0% |
| backdash into throwP+G | 2 | 2.0% |
| forward movement into RaigekishouPPP | 2 | 2.0% |
| guardG into Souanshou3P+K | 2 | 2.0% |
23 further openings account for the other 25 rounds.
Akira
- Career
- 91–55 · 62.3%
- This season
- 19 matches · 47.4%
- Peak rank
- 27
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| Jouho Senshou46P into forward movement | 13 | 16.2% |
|---|---|---|
| backdash into evade up | 13 | 16.2% |
| backdash into guardG | 6 | 7.5% |
| Senzankou66P+K into throwP+G | 5 | 6.2% |
| backdash into Senzankou66P+K | 4 | 5.0% |
| backdash into Souka Housui3P+K | 3 | 3.8% |
| Rimon Chouchu66P | 2 | 2.5% |
| Souka Housui3P+K into crouch | 2 | 2.5% |
| backdash into Chutenshou2K+GP | 2 | 2.5% |
| guardG | 2 | 2.5% |
| guardG into Jouho Senshou46P | 2 | 2.5% |
| guardG into crouch | 2 | 2.5% |
| guardG into evade down | 2 | 2.5% |
| Fujinkyaku2K+G into Chutenshou2K+GP | 1 | 1.2% |
| Jouho Touken6P into backdash | 1 | 1.2% |
20 further openings account for the other 20 rounds.
How these are tested
A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.
- An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
- Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
- Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
- A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (32 here; about 1.6 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
- Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.
Tests behind each character's list
- Shun: 9 of 17 tests hold up
- Goh: 2 of 15 tests hold up
- Aoi: not tested (too few rounds)
- Jeffry: not tested (too few rounds)
- Eileen: not tested (too few rounds)
- Vanessa: not tested (too few rounds)
- Sarah: not tested (too few rounds)
- Pai: not tested (too few rounds)
- Akira: not tested (too few rounds)