Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: Asia

Aki

Career matches11,424

Career win rate54.2%

Round win rate51.1%

Peak rank42

Distinct opponents455

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1754 #551 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Jeffry17251,072 matches
Jean1794931 matches
Jacky1764135 matches
El Blaze1746123 matches
Lau173952 matches
Brad175124 matches
Kage175214 matches
Vanessa175613 matches
Pai174312 matches
Akira175410 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Jean	42	5,280	2,841	2,439	53.8%
Jeffry	40	2,118	1,084	1,034	51.2%
Jacky	39	1,609	856	753	53.2%
Kage	37	1,122	597	525	53.2%
El Blaze	39	586	318	268	54.3%
Dural	—	226	152	74	67.3%
Brad	35	210	152	58	72.4%
Akira	33	100	77	23	77.0%
Lau	35	74	51	23	68.9%
Lion	34	32	23	9	71.9%
Pai	33	26	16	10	61.5%
Vanessa	33	19	15	4	79.0%
Taka	33	17	8	9	47.1%
Sarah	33	3	2	1	66.7%
Wolf	33	2	1	1	50.0%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

6,171 of 9,836 rounds counted

7.1 inputs a second (425 a minute) this season. Faster than 48% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Jeffry	6.4	386	2,353
Jean	7.5	453	2,739
Jacky	7.6	456	459
El Blaze	6.9	413	54
Lau	7.5	449	211
Brad	7.2	429	97
Kage	6.6	394	58
Vanessa	7.3	437	47
Pai	7.0	418	50
Akira	7.5	448	40
Lion	7.5	451	38
Sarah	7.0	417	20
Wolf	7.2	434	5

By opponent's character


Jacky	7.6	455	549
Kage	7.0	423	517
Akira	7.0	423	573
Lau	7.4	442	547
Brad	6.6	395	478
Lion	7.2	434	504
Shun	6.9	415	360
Lei Fei	7.1	424	380
Vanessa	6.9	415	330
Jeffry	6.9	416	260
Pai	7.5	447	284
Goh	7.0	418	238
El Blaze	7.1	426	219
Sarah	6.7	403	212
Wolf	7.1	427	169
Aoi	7.0	418	193
Jean	7.3	440	152
Eileen	6.3	381	95
Taka	7.4	444	79
Dural	6.9	413	32

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Jacky	238	126	112	52.9%	+3.7
Kage	201	105	96	52.2%	-1.5
Akira	192	99	93	51.6%	-0.6
Lau	186	80	106	43.0%	-6.0
Brad	175	98	77	56.0%	+2.1
Lion	174	80	94	46.0%	-3.6
Shun	149	77	72	51.7%	+0.8
Lei Fei	131	68	63	51.9%	+1.6
Vanessa	128	67	61	52.3%	+2.2
Jeffry	123	67	56	54.5%	+0.5
Pai	116	56	60	48.3%	-4.8
Goh	98	60	38	61.2%	+9.8
El Blaze	96	49	47	51.0%	-0.1
Sarah	93	38	55	40.9%	-14.1
Wolf	80	44	36	55.0%	+2.1
Aoi	79	38	41	48.1%	-2.5
Jean	61	45	16	73.8%	+13.1
Eileen	52	28	24	53.9%	+5.1
Taka	34	22	12	64.7%	+12.2
Dural	9	1	8	11.1%	-37.4

0 of 19 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 19 questions at once; about 1.0 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Breakable Full Fence	285	157	128	55.1%	+4.8
Half Fence	269	130	139	48.3%	-3.6
Open	262	134	128	51.1%	-0.8
Rectangle	244	124	120	50.8%	-0.6
Breakable Half Fence	232	119	113	51.3%	+0.5
Full Fence	228	118	110	51.8%	-1.0
Single Wall	226	115	111	50.9%	-1.6
Low Fence	222	120	102	54.0%	+2.9
Octagon	221	119	102	53.9%	+0.7
Full Fence and Open	93	54	39	58.1%	+5.5

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	1,479	51.9%	51.7%	+0.2
No walls	710	52.0%	51.9%	+0.1

Walls against open: +0.1 points (95% range -4.8 to +4.9), p 0.978 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


Tokkovanessa_VF (Rank 42)	43	19	24	44.2%
mudanadoryokuzki (Rank 38)	41	29	12	70.7%
jinmenusagi (Rank 43)	38	16	22	42.1%
サバオリ (Rank 41)	34	11	23	32.4%
★闘将拉麵男★ (Rank 37)	31	19	12	61.3%
cyomiko (Rank 41)	29	8	21	27.6%
ビルちゃん (Rank 40)	27	10	17	37.0%
manatsu_7 (Rank 42)	26	10	16	38.5%
堂島様 (Rank 43)	25	7	18	28.0%
ひかる (Rank 39)	24	16	8	66.7%
ダンプよっし～2.0 (Rank 39)	24	11	13	45.8%
妹に運転を教える (Rank 39)	24	9	15	37.5%
Vgyjyrdgjk (Rank 37)	21	12	9	57.1%
めがじぇね (Rank 41)	21	4	17	19.1%
jikacho-Gigas (Rank 41)	20	11	9	55.0%
gucchi_1222 (Rank 42)	19	8	11	42.1%
しょべるん (Rank 38)	19	6	13	31.6%
ikkyusaaan (Rank 40)	18	10	8	55.6%
いくお (Rank 42)	18	5	13	27.8%
おかし (Rank 41)	18	2	16	11.1%
ス～パ～オヤツマ～ン (Rank 42)	18	3	15	16.7%
KA-GO (Rank 41)	17	10	7	58.8%
shenron0321 (Rank 42)	17	7	10	41.2%
くりたろう (Rank 39)	17	10	7	58.8%
nidaimebannai (Rank 38)	16	11	5	68.8%

Most played opponents, most recent first


ス～パ～オヤツマ～ン (Rank 42)	2026/10/18	18	3	15	16.7%
妹に運転を教える (Rank 39)	2026/10/13	24	9	15	37.5%
jinmenusagi (Rank 43)	2026/10/13	38	16	22	42.1%
mudanadoryokuzki (Rank 38)	2026/10/07	41	29	12	70.7%
jikacho-Gigas (Rank 41)	2026/10/07	20	11	9	55.0%
おかし (Rank 41)	2026/10/06	18	2	16	11.1%
めがじぇね (Rank 41)	2026/10/06	21	4	17	19.1%
manatsu_7 (Rank 42)	2026/10/02	26	10	16	38.5%
cyomiko (Rank 41)	2026/09/30	29	8	21	27.6%
ikkyusaaan (Rank 40)	2026/09/16	18	10	8	55.6%
堂島様 (Rank 43)	2026/09/16	25	7	18	28.0%
ひかる (Rank 39)	2026/09/09	24	16	8	66.7%
nidaimebannai (Rank 38)	2026/09/09	16	11	5	68.8%
サバオリ (Rank 41)	2026/09/05	34	11	23	32.4%
shenron0321 (Rank 42)	2026/08/29	17	7	10	41.2%
いくお (Rank 42)	2026/08/29	18	5	13	27.8%
ダンプよっし～2.0 (Rank 39)	2026/08/29	24	11	13	45.8%
Tokkovanessa_VF (Rank 42)	2026/08/22	43	19	24	44.2%
KA-GO (Rank 41)	2026/08/18	17	10	7	58.8%
くりたろう (Rank 39)	2026/08/05	17	10	7	58.8%
しょべるん (Rank 38)	2026/07/29	19	6	13	31.6%
gucchi_1222 (Rank 42)	2026/07/25	19	8	11	42.1%
ビルちゃん (Rank 40)	2026/06/02	27	10	17	37.0%
Vgyjyrdgjk (Rank 37)	2026/05/19	21	12	9	57.1%
★闘将拉麵男★ (Rank 37)	2026/05/19	31	19	12	61.3%

Round openings

Every character


backdash into evade up	1,770	18.6%
backdash into evade down	1,369	14.4%
evade up into crouch dash forward	341	3.6%
evade down into crouch dash forward	262	2.8%
guardG into evade down	246	2.6%
Low Knuckle2P	219	2.3%
backdash into throwP+G	216	2.3%
guardG into evade up	215	2.3%
punchP	182	1.9%
guardG into throw escape	170	1.8%
guardG	158	1.7%
crouch into Low Knuckle2P	142	1.5%
punchP into Double KnucklePP	115	1.2%
Elbow Butt6P	109	1.1%
guardG into Low Knuckle2P	108	1.1%

753 further openings account for the other 3,892 rounds.

Counted from 2,334 of the 2,406 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Jeffry

Career: 1,084–1,034 · 51.2%
This season: 1,075 matches · 51.4%
Peak rank: 40

First hit in 52.0% of 4,364 rounds. Won 53.5% of the rounds they struck first, 47.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: evades first in 15.1% of rounds, against 8.3% in their other rounds.
Against Shun: evades first in 22.1% of rounds, against 9.1% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 56.1% of rounds, against 45.6% after anything else.
After losing a round: evades first in 10.5% of rounds, against 6.1% after winning one.
When behind: evades first in 10.5% of rounds, against 7.3% when ahead or level.
In round 1: opens with “evade up into crouch dash forward” in 4.8% of rounds, against 2.3% in their other rounds.
Against Brad: opens with “2P Low Knuckle” in 11.5% of rounds, against 4.4% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “backdash into evade down”: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 24.4% of rounds, against 11.7% after anything else.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	838	19.1%
backdash into evade down	612	13.9%
Low Knuckle2P	219	5.0%
crouch into Low Knuckle2P	142	3.2%
evade up into crouch dash forward	128	2.9%
punchP into Double KnucklePP	115	2.6%
guardG into throw escape	114	2.6%
Elbow Butt6P	109	2.5%
guardG into Low Knuckle2P	108	2.5%
guardG into evade down	108	2.5%
punchP	100	2.3%
evade down into crouch dash forward	86	2.0%
guardG into evade up	84	1.9%
guardG	83	1.9%
backdash into throwP+G	76	1.7%

270 further openings account for the other 1,473 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jeffry

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	38–43 · 47%	19–23 · 45%	+2.2
Akira	26–30 · 46%	14–17 · 45%	too few to test
Kage	26–30 · 46%	15–15 · 50%	+2.2
Brad	36–23 · 61%	17–11 · 61%	too few to test
Lion	17–21 · 45%	9–8 · 53%	too few to test
Shun	19–17 · 53%	11–9 · 55%	too few to test
El Blaze	17–12 · 59%	5–9 · 36%	too few to test
Lei Fei	16–16 · 50%	9–9 · 50%	too few to test
Aoi	12–15 · 44%	8–9 · 47%	too few to test
Vanessa	17–13 · 57%	7–5 · 58%	too few to test
Lau	19–19 · 50%	4–2 · 67%	too few to test
Jeffry	15–14 · 52%	10–3 · 77%	too few to test
Sarah	16–18 · 47%	4–6 · 40%	too few to test
Goh	17–10 · 63%	9–3 · 75%	too few to test
Eileen	15–12 · 56%	2–1 · 67%	too few to test
Wolf	13–12 · 52%	3–5 · 38%	too few to test
Pai	11–9 · 55%	2–6 · 25%	too few to test
Jean	9–5 · 64%	5–3 · 62%	too few to test

Nothing reliable: no gap here is bigger than stage luck alone produces.

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 2,841–2,439 · 53.8%
This season: 935 matches · 49.4%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 52.5% of 3,589 rounds. Won 51.6% of the rounds they struck first, 49.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: evades first in 24.6% of rounds, against 11.3% in their other rounds.
Against Shun: evades first in 34.3% of rounds, against 13.3% against everyone else.
On Rectangle stages: moves in first in 10.7% of rounds, against 2.7% on the other stages.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 60.5% of rounds, against 46.6% after anything else.
After losing a round: evades first in 16.2% of rounds, against 6.5% after winning one.
When behind: evades first in 16.3% of rounds, against 8.5% when ahead or level.
In round 1: opens with “evade up into crouch dash forward” in 7.0% of rounds, against 3.0% in their other rounds.
Against Shun: opens with “evade down into crouch dash forward” in 11.3% of rounds, against 2.9% against everyone else.
On Open stages: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 28.3% of rounds, against 19.7% on the other stages.
After opening the round before with “backdash into evade up”: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 31.7% of rounds, against 19.5% after anything else.
After losing a round: opens with “evade up into crouch dash forward” in 4.3% of rounds, against 1.8% after winning one.
When ahead: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 25.1% of rounds, against 19.4% when level or behind.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	739	20.4%
backdash into evade down	539	14.9%
evade up into crouch dash forward	144	4.0%
evade down into crouch dash forward	124	3.4%
backdash into throwP+G	119	3.3%
Yoko'enpi6P	100	2.8%
guardG into evade up	92	2.5%
guardG into evade down	87	2.4%
Shitamaeken2P	82	2.3%
punchP into kickK	82	2.3%
backdash into Yoko'enpi6P	59	1.6%
guardG into Shitamaeken2P	59	1.6%
punchP	59	1.6%
crouch into Shitamaeken2P	52	1.4%
backdash into Oihiji4P+K	51	1.4%

210 further openings account for the other 1,227 rounds.

Counted from 889 of the 935 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jean

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lau	18–39 · 32%	12–17 · 41%	too few to test
Jacky	20–20 · 50%	16–11 · 59%	too few to test
Kage	31–20 · 61%	8–6 · 57%	too few to test
Lion	13–16 · 45%	14–19 · 42%	too few to test
Lei Fei	24–19 · 56%	6–12 · 33%	too few to test
Vanessa	23–23 · 50%	9–4 · 69%	too few to test
Brad	19–19 · 50%	6–8 · 43%	too few to test
Shun	15–20 · 43%	8–7 · 53%	too few to test
Akira	18–18 · 50%	6–7 · 46%	too few to test
Pai	15–14 · 52%	12–5 · 71%	too few to test
Goh	15–10 · 60%	8–7 · 53%	too few to test
Jeffry	16–13 · 55%	3–4 · 43%	too few to test
El Blaze	11–13 · 46%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Sarah	9–16 · 36%	2–2 · 50%	too few to test
Wolf	7–1 · 88%	9–3 · 75%	too few to test
Jean	11–2 · 85%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test
Taka	5–5 · 50%	7–3 · 70%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

46 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

El Blaze

Career: 318–268 · 54.3%
This season: 123 matches · 58.5%
Peak rank: 39

First hit in 47.4% of 490 rounds. Won 57.3% of the rounds they struck first, 52.3% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

After opening the round before with “backdash into evade down”: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 27.0% of rounds, against 15.1% after anything else.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	91	18.4%
backdash into evade up	70	14.1%
evade up into crouch dash forward	22	4.4%
evade down into crouch dash forward	21	4.2%
guardG	21	4.2%
guardG into evade down	19	3.8%
Volcano Upper4P+K	17	3.4%
up, up-back kick+guard87K+G	15	3.0%
up-back kick+guard7K+G	12	2.4%
guardG into evade up	11	2.2%
guardG into throw escape	10	2.0%
punchP	10	2.0%
backdash into Darkness Sword43K+G	9	1.8%
backdash into Demon's Tail9P+KK	9	1.8%
evade down into throw escape	8	1.6%

79 further openings account for the other 151 rounds.

Jacky

Career: 856–753 · 53.2%
This season: 135 matches · 51.1%
Peak rank: 39

First hit in 43.9% of 442 rounds. Won 58.8% of the rounds they struck first, 42.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

When behind: evades first in 25.6% of rounds, against 11.5% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	59	13.1%
backdash into evade down	50	11.1%
evade up into crouch dash forward	27	6.0%
Low Spin Kick1K+G	19	4.2%
guardG into evade down	16	3.6%
evade down into crouch dash forward	14	3.1%
guardG into evade up	14	3.1%
Squat Straight2P	10	2.2%
evade up into throw escape	10	2.2%
Middle Smash6P	9	2.0%
evade down into throw escape	9	2.0%
guardG into throw escape	8	1.8%
backdash into throwP+G	7	1.6%
backdash into Smash Straight3P	6	1.3%
guardG	6	1.3%

97 further openings account for the other 185 rounds.

Counted from 109 of the 135 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Lau

Career: 51–23 · 68.9%
This season: 52 matches · 67.3%
Peak rank: 35

First hit in 46.2% of 210 rounds. Won 65.0% of the rounds they struck first, 52.2% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	33	15.6%
backdash into evade down	27	12.8%
guardG into evade down	11	5.2%
evade up into crouch dash forward	10	4.7%
Souchuken2P	6	2.8%
backdash into throwP+G	6	2.8%
evade down into crouch dash forward	6	2.8%
guardG into evade up	6	2.8%
Chugeki6P	5	2.4%
backdash into Kosoushou46P	4	1.9%
evade down into throw escape	4	1.9%
punchP	4	1.9%
backdash into Chugeki6P	3	1.4%
backdash into Senkyaku Renkan Sakurokushou3KPP	3	1.4%
guardG	3	1.4%

64 further openings account for the other 80 rounds.

Brad

Career: 152–58 · 72.4%
This season: 24 matches · 66.7%
Peak rank: 35

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	9	9.3%
evade up into crouch dash forward	7	7.2%
backdash into evade down	6	6.2%
backdash into Sway Back4P+K+G	5	5.2%
evade down into crouch dash forward	5	5.2%
guardG into evade up	5	5.2%
backdash into Stop Kick4K	4	4.1%
backdash into Jolt Upper3P	3	3.1%
backdash into throwP+G	3	3.1%
crouch into Jolt Upper~Spin Kick3PK	3	3.1%
guardG into evade down	3	3.1%
Jaguar Tail2K+G	2	2.1%
Middle Spin Kick66K	2	2.1%
Sit Jab2P	2	2.1%
backdash into Middle Spin Kick66K	2	2.1%

28 further openings account for the other 36 rounds.

Kage

Career: 597–525 · 53.2%
This season: 14 matches · 57.1%
Peak rank: 37

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	6	10.3%
backdash into evade up	6	10.3%
backdash into Nakageri3K	5	8.6%
backdash into Furikakato OtoshiK+G	4	6.9%
backdash into Fusenjin3P	2	3.5%
backdash into kickK	2	3.5%
backdash into throwP+G	2	3.5%
crouch into Jizuridan2P	2	3.5%
evade up into crouch dash forward	2	3.5%
forward dash into evade down	2	3.5%
Fusenjin3P	1	1.7%
Rasen4P	1	1.7%
backdash into Gen'you4K+G	1	1.7%
backdash into HagasanePK	1	1.7%
backdash into Nirenkyaku3KK	1	1.7%

20 further openings account for the other 20 rounds.

Pai

Career: 16–10 · 61.5%
This season: 12 matches · 41.7%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	15	30.0%
backdash into evade up	4	8.0%
Enshi Soushou66P into kickK	2	4.0%
backdash into Chouho Soukasui66P+K	2	4.0%
backdash into Senchuken6P	2	4.0%
evade down into crouch dash forward	2	4.0%
Chouho Soukasui66P+K	1	2.0%
Senchuken6P into punchP	1	2.0%
Souanshou3P+K	1	2.0%
backdash	1	2.0%
backdash into Enshi Soushou66P	1	2.0%
backdash into Heiho Chutenshou64P	1	2.0%
backdash into Koutankyaku66K	1	2.0%
backdash into Souanshou3P+K	1	2.0%
backdash into Souchuken2P	1	2.0%

14 further openings account for the other 14 rounds.

Vanessa

Career: 15–4 · 79.0%
This season: 13 matches · 76.9%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Offensive Style: backdash into evade up	9	19.1%
Offensive Style: backdash into evade down	6	12.8%
Defensive Style: backdash into evade down	3	6.4%
Offensive Style: evade down into crouch dash forward	3	6.4%
Offensive Style: evade up into crouch dash forward	2	4.3%
Offensive Style: guard into Leg Guard Crush2P	2	4.3%
Offensive Style: guard into evade down	2	4.3%
Defensive Style: guard into evade down	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: Leg Slicer into throwP+G	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: One Two into Combo UpperPPP	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: backdash into Flag Back Knuckle3KP	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: backdash into Heel Kick6K+G	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: backdash into Hunting Kick66KK	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: backdash into Long Barrel Blow66P	1	2.1%
Offensive Style: backdash into kickK	1	2.1%

12 further openings account for the other 12 rounds.

Akira

Career: 77–23 · 77.0%
This season: 10 matches · 80.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	10	25.0%
backdash into evade up	5	12.5%
evade down into crouch dash forward	3	7.5%
Rimon Chouchu66P into forward dash	2	5.0%
guardG into evade up	2	5.0%
Jouho Touken6P	1	2.5%
Rimon Chouchu66P	1	2.5%
Youteitou6K into Kenhou6KP	1	2.5%
backdash into Youhou33P	1	2.5%
backdash into backward movement	1	2.5%
crouch dash forward into Yakuho Chouchu666P	1	2.5%
evade down into Satei3K+G	1	2.5%
evade down into Souka Housui3P+K	1	2.5%
evade down into punchP	1	2.5%
evade up into Fukko3K+GP+K	1	2.5%

8 further openings account for the other 8 rounds.

Taka

Career: 8–9 · 47.1%
This season: 8 matches · 50.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Shita Harite2P	8	25.8%
backdash into evade up	5	16.1%
crouch into Shita Harite2P	4	12.9%
backdash into evade down	3	9.7%
guardG into punchP	2	6.5%
backdash into Aka'oni MidaremageP+K	1	3.2%
backdash into Kumoyaburi4P+K	1	3.2%
backdash into Marutahiza6K	1	3.2%
evade up into Marutahiza6K	1	3.2%
evade up into crouch dash forward	1	3.2%
evade up into throw escape	1	3.2%
forward dash into guardG	1	3.2%
guardG	1	3.2%
guardG into Shita Harite2P	1	3.2%

Sarah

Career: 2–1 · 66.7%
This season: 4 matches · 0.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	10	50.0%
Full Spin Heel Kick9K	1	5.0%
Rising Elbow6P	1	5.0%
backdash	1	5.0%
backdash into Long Snap Side Chop3P+K	1	5.0%
backdash into Serpent Smash Cannon2P+KK	1	5.0%
backdash into evade up	1	5.0%
evade down into Switch Kick4K	1	5.0%
guardG	1	5.0%
guardG into evade up	1	5.0%
guardG into throw escape	1	5.0%

Wolf

Career: 1–1 · 50.0%
This season: 1 matches · 100.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Jab StraightPP into One Two UpperPPP	1	20.0%
Screw Hook63214P into Screw Lariat63214PP	1	20.0%
backdash into evade up	1	20.0%
guardG into punchP	1	20.0%
punchP into Hammer KickPK	1	20.0%

Not counted here: Lion. Their matches were not pulled for openings.

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (66 here; about 3.3 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Jeffry: 8 of 18 tests hold up
Jean: 12 of 18 tests hold up
El Blaze: 1 of 15 tests hold up
Jacky: 1 of 15 tests hold up
Lau: not tested (too few rounds)
Brad: not tested (too few rounds)
Kage: not tested (too few rounds)
Pai: not tested (too few rounds)
Vanessa: not tested (too few rounds)
Akira: not tested (too few rounds)
Taka: not tested (too few rounds)
Sarah: not tested (too few rounds)
Wolf: not tested (too few rounds)