Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: North America
i'mdoingit!
Elo rating
Overall, and on each character played 10+ times1634 #1,132 of 3,686 on the Elo list →
The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.
Characters played — VF5's own record
| Brad | 32 | 1,027 | 573 | 454 | 55.8% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacky | 32 | 661 | 385 | 276 | 58.2% |
| Lau | 32 | 523 | 325 | 198 | 62.1% |
| Shun | 23 | 161 | 90 | 71 | 55.9% |
| Goh | 27 | 119 | 85 | 34 | 71.4% |
| Akira | 26 | 114 | 73 | 41 | 64.0% |
| Pai | 26 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 84.6% |
| Taka | 26 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 76.9% |
| El Blaze | 26 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 56.5% |
| Lei Fei | 26 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33.3% |
| Wolf | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% |
These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.
Inputs per second
2,759 of 3,223 rounds counted6.7 inputs a second (400 a minute) this season. Faster than 36% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.
By character played
| Jacky | 6.8 | 408 | 1,425 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brad | 6.3 | 378 | 854 |
| Lau | 6.9 | 416 | 245 |
| Akira | 7.8 | 466 | 77 |
| Pai | 6.8 | 405 | 74 |
| El Blaze | 6.3 | 380 | 28 |
| Lei Fei | 6.8 | 405 | 22 |
| Goh | 5.8 | 347 | 11 |
| Taka | 6.7 | 403 | 9 |
| Shun | 7.4 | 444 | 8 |
| Wolf | 6.3 | 378 | 6 |
By opponent's character
| Akira | 6.8 | 410 | 357 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pai | 6.8 | 407 | 302 |
| Sarah | 6.7 | 402 | 281 |
| Jacky | 6.4 | 383 | 203 |
| Shun | 6.4 | 383 | 183 |
| Taka | 6.2 | 372 | 161 |
| Jeffry | 6.6 | 397 | 143 |
| Lion | 6.9 | 415 | 164 |
| Lau | 6.7 | 399 | 115 |
| Kage | 6.7 | 403 | 135 |
| Brad | 7.0 | 418 | 103 |
| Lei Fei | 7.0 | 420 | 105 |
| Wolf | 6.7 | 404 | 98 |
| Vanessa | 6.4 | 384 | 99 |
| Goh | 6.5 | 390 | 99 |
| Jean | 6.9 | 416 | 40 |
| El Blaze | 6.8 | 407 | 78 |
| Aoi | 7.0 | 423 | 40 |
| Eileen | 6.8 | 405 | 53 |
An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.
Against each character
| Akira | 98 | 61 | 37 | 62.2% | +2.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pai | 80 | 50 | 30 | 62.5% | -0.4 |
| Sarah | 75 | 39 | 36 | 52.0% | -3.2 |
| Jacky | 69 | 52 | 17 | 75.4% | +6.3 |
| Shun | 56 | 28 | 28 | 50.0% | -10.3 |
| Taka | 45 | 32 | 13 | 71.1% | +8.6 |
| Jeffry | 43 | 24 | 19 | 55.8% | -1.7 |
| Lion | 41 | 21 | 20 | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Lau | 38 | 15 | 23 | 39.5% | -24.7 |
| Kage | 37 | 25 | 12 | 67.6% | +6.1 |
| Brad | 33 | 20 | 13 | 60.6% | -0.7 |
| Lei Fei | 32 | 19 | 13 | 59.4% | -12.4 |
| Wolf | 32 | 19 | 13 | 59.4% | +5.9 |
| Vanessa | 28 | 23 | 5 | 82.1% | +8.3 |
| Goh | 26 | 18 | 8 | 69.2% | -3.3 |
| Jean | 26 | 18 | 8 | 69.2% | +10.2 |
| El Blaze | 24 | 13 | 11 | 54.2% | +4.6 |
| Aoi | 17 | 14 | 3 | 82.3% | +11.9 |
| Eileen | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64.3% | +2.1 |
0 of 6 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 6 questions at once; about 0.3 would by chance alone.
A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.
By ring shape
| Low Fence | 109 | 60 | 49 | 55.0% | -5.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable Half Fence | 94 | 60 | 34 | 63.8% | +6.5 |
| Octagon | 90 | 53 | 37 | 58.9% | -1.2 |
| Single Wall | 88 | 62 | 26 | 70.5% | +5.3 |
| Open | 86 | 51 | 35 | 59.3% | -2.9 |
| Half Fence | 79 | 44 | 35 | 55.7% | -5.0 |
| Full Fence | 74 | 45 | 29 | 60.8% | +0.7 |
| Breakable Full Fence | 64 | 47 | 17 | 73.4% | +8.3 |
| Rectangle | 62 | 34 | 28 | 54.8% | -9.0 |
| Full Fence and Open | 42 | 29 | 13 | 69.0% | +7.2 |
0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.
With or without walls
| Stages | Matches | Win % | Expected | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walls | 463 | 61.1% | 60.9% | +0.2 |
| No walls | 283 | 61.1% | 62.3% | -1.2 |
Walls against open: +1.4 points (95% range -6.8 to +9.7), p 0.733 — no measurable difference.
The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.
How these are tested
- Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
- Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
- Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.
Most played opponents
| THEWEIAND (Rank 26) | 41 | 33 | 8 | 80.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B34TD0WN (Rank 31) | 27 | 14 | 13 | 51.9% |
| lilpuncake123 (Rank 29) | 27 | 22 | 5 | 81.5% |
| JINXHAND (Rank 32) | 23 | 8 | 15 | 34.8% |
| bugprincess(bpdmaxxing) (Rank 32) | 21 | 13 | 8 | 61.9% |
| llMICll (Rank 34) | 14 | 4 | 10 | 28.6% |
| Kungfuhustle99 (Rank 29) | 13 | 4 | 9 | 30.8% |
| leefung._ (Rank 32) | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.5% |
| raybladex (Rank 33) | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15.4% |
| Sevensided253 (Rank 32) | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% |
| KrsJin (Rank 33) | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27.3% |
| legendaryhero (Rank 28) | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27.3% |
| teh-sneek (Rank 26) | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80.0% |
| BearPrincess420 (Rank 16) | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Belzagy (Rank 29) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% |
| DatDemo (Rank 29) | 9 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% |
| Hottoy (Rank 31) | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11.1% |
| Jaguar (Rank 33) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% |
| Jason_Elbow (Rank 40) | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% |
| Jiikae (Rank 29) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| Kai_Uchiha10 (Rank 30) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| LDW (Rank 26) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% |
| RayBladeX (Rank 33) | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22.2% |
| TheLetterAfterZ (Rank 31) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| mattjhernandez52 (Rank 20) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% |
Most played opponents, most recent first
| BearPrincess420 (Rank 16) | 2026/10/17 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kungfuhustle99 (Rank 29) | 2026/10/16 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 30.8% |
| llMICll (Rank 34) | 2026/10/16 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 28.6% |
| leefung._ (Rank 32) | 2026/10/13 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.5% |
| Kai_Uchiha10 (Rank 30) | 2026/09/29 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| DatDemo (Rank 29) | 2026/09/29 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 66.7% |
| Jason_Elbow (Rank 40) | 2026/09/06 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44.4% |
| raybladex (Rank 33) | 2026/09/05 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15.4% |
| THEWEIAND (Rank 26) | 2026/08/23 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 80.5% |
| teh-sneek (Rank 26) | 2026/08/04 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80.0% |
| B34TD0WN (Rank 31) | 2026/08/03 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 51.9% |
| RayBladeX (Rank 33) | 2026/07/23 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22.2% |
| Sevensided253 (Rank 32) | 2026/07/22 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41.7% |
| lilpuncake123 (Rank 29) | 2026/07/21 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 81.5% |
| bugprincess(bpdmaxxing) (Rank 32) | 2026/07/21 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 61.9% |
| Jaguar (Rank 33) | 2026/07/21 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% |
| TheLetterAfterZ (Rank 31) | 2026/07/18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| JINXHAND (Rank 32) | 2026/07/16 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 34.8% |
| LDW (Rank 26) | 2026/07/14 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% |
| Jiikae (Rank 29) | 2026/06/20 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55.6% |
| Belzagy (Rank 29) | 2026/06/19 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% |
| KrsJin (Rank 33) | 2026/06/18 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27.3% |
| Hottoy (Rank 31) | 2026/05/30 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11.1% |
| legendaryhero (Rank 28) | 2026/05/27 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27.3% |
| mattjhernandez52 (Rank 20) | 2026/05/05 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% |
Round openings
Every character
| punchP | 689 | 22.2% |
|---|---|---|
| guardG | 143 | 4.6% |
| no input | 94 | 3.0% |
| guardG into punchP | 87 | 2.8% |
| punchP into Jab Straight | 76 | 2.5% |
| Middle Smash6P | 53 | 1.7% |
| punchP into Middle Smash6P | 41 | 1.3% |
| backdash into guardG | 38 | 1.2% |
| Slide Shuffle (Deflect)4P+K+G | 35 | 1.1% |
| Slant Back Knuckle1P | 34 | 1.1% |
| guardG into Slant Back Knuckle1P | 33 | 1.1% |
| guardG into Middle Smash6P | 32 | 1.0% |
| guardG into throw escape | 31 | 1.0% |
| Chugeki6P | 30 | 1.0% |
| punchP into forward dash | 28 | 0.9% |
534 further openings account for the other 1,658 rounds.
Counted from 782 of the 814 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.
Jacky
- Career
- 385–276 · 58.2%
- This season
- 382 matches · 59.7%
- Peak rank
- 32
First hit in 46.4% of 1,507 rounds. Won 60.8% of the rounds they struck first, 51.9% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
- In round 1: waits first in 28.5% of rounds, against 18.5% in their other rounds.
| punchP | 337 | 22.3% |
|---|---|---|
| guardG | 60 | 4.0% |
| Middle Smash6P | 53 | 3.5% |
| guardG into punchP | 46 | 3.0% |
| no input | 41 | 2.7% |
| punchP into Middle Smash6P | 41 | 2.7% |
| Slide Shuffle (Deflect)4P+K+G | 35 | 2.3% |
| Slant Back Knuckle1P | 34 | 2.2% |
| guardG into Slant Back Knuckle1P | 33 | 2.2% |
| guardG into Middle Smash6P | 32 | 2.1% |
| Slant Back Knuckle1P into Slide Shuffle (Deflect)4P+K+G | 24 | 1.6% |
| crouch dash back into Beat & Back KnuckleP+KP | 24 | 1.6% |
| punchP into Slant Back Knuckle1P | 24 | 1.6% |
| punchP into Jab StraightPP | 23 | 1.5% |
| backdash into Slide Shuffle (Deflect)4P+K+G | 22 | 1.4% |
234 further openings account for the other 684 rounds.
By stage type
Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jacky
| Opponent | Walls | No walls | Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akira | 21–13 · 62% | 11–5 · 69% | too few to test |
| Jacky | 12–5 · 71% | 10–1 · 91% | too few to test |
| Sarah | 9–7 · 56% | 8–9 · 47% | too few to test |
| Pai | 18–4 · 82% | 4–5 · 44% | too few to test |
| Jeffry | 11–7 · 61% | 3–2 · 60% | too few to test |
| Brad | 10–9 · 53% | 2–1 · 67% | too few to test |
| Lion | 4–6 · 40% | 3–8 · 27% | too few to test |
| Shun | 7–9 · 44% | 0–2 · 0% | too few to test |
| Lau | 8–4 · 67% | 2–6 · 25% | too few to test |
Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.
Brad
- Career
- 573–454 · 55.8%
- This season
- 244 matches · 59.0%
- Peak rank
- 32
First hit in 47.2% of 849 rounds. Won 56.4% of the rounds they struck first, 52.0% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
- In round 1: opens with “G guard” in 10.8% of rounds, against 4.2% in their other rounds.
| punchP | 182 | 21.3% |
|---|---|---|
| punchP into Jab StraightPP | 53 | 6.2% |
| guardG | 50 | 5.9% |
| no input | 30 | 3.5% |
| Rapid Double JabP+K | 27 | 3.2% |
| guardG into punchP | 27 | 3.2% |
| Dtee Sawk Dtrohng4P+K | 25 | 2.9% |
| guardG into Sharp Shoot1P | 18 | 2.1% |
| punchP into Jab~High KickPK | 17 | 2.0% |
| backdash into guardG | 13 | 1.5% |
| Jab StraightPP into Combination LowPPK | 12 | 1.4% |
| Jab StraightPP into Combination UpperPPP | 12 | 1.4% |
| guardG into Elbow Hook6P | 11 | 1.3% |
| Rapid Double JabP+K into punchP | 10 | 1.2% |
| backdash into Sway Back4P+K+G | 10 | 1.2% |
158 further openings account for the other 356 rounds.
Counted from 212 of the 244 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.
By stage type
Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Brad
| Opponent | Walls | No walls | Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah | 7–7 · 50% | 7–5 · 58% | too few to test |
| Taka | 12–3 · 80% | 8–2 · 80% | too few to test |
| Jacky | 9–2 · 82% | 8–4 · 67% | too few to test |
| Pai | 10–7 · 59% | 4–0 · 100% | too few to test |
Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.
32 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.
Lau
- Career
- 325–198 · 62.1%
- This season
- 100 matches · 64.0%
- Peak rank
- 32
First hit in 48.9% of 399 rounds. Won 62.6% of the rounds they struck first, 55.9% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
No reliable tells for this character.
| punchP | 106 | 26.4% |
|---|---|---|
| Chugeki6P | 30 | 7.5% |
| guardG into Chugeki6P | 22 | 5.5% |
| guardG | 19 | 4.7% |
| punchP into Chugeki6P | 15 | 3.7% |
| guardG into Hou'ou Soushou6PP | 13 | 3.2% |
| crouch into Chisoutai2K+G | 10 | 2.5% |
| guardG into punchP | 10 | 2.5% |
| no input | 10 | 2.5% |
| backdash into Kosoushou46P | 9 | 2.2% |
| backdash into guardG | 8 | 2.0% |
| punchP into forward dash | 8 | 2.0% |
| punchP into RenshouPP | 7 | 1.7% |
| Chugeki6P into Hou'ou Soushou6PP | 6 | 1.5% |
| backdash into Sako Soushou4P+K | 5 | 1.2% |
83 further openings account for the other 124 rounds.
By stage type
Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lau
| Opponent | Walls | No walls | Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akira | 7–8 · 47% | 6–2 · 75% | too few to test |
Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.
Akira
- Career
- 73–41 · 64.0%
- This season
- 44 matches · 68.2%
- Peak rank
- 26
First hit in 54.8% of 166 rounds. Won 56.0% of the rounds they struck first, 62.7% of the rounds they were struck first.
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| punchP | 26 | 15.6% |
|---|---|---|
| forward dash into Jouho Touken6P | 14 | 8.4% |
| no input | 8 | 4.8% |
| punchP into KansuitaiPK | 8 | 4.8% |
| Rimon Chouchu66P | 6 | 3.6% |
| backdash into Jouho Senshou46P | 6 | 3.6% |
| forward dash into Rimon Chouchu66P | 5 | 3.0% |
| guardG into Jouho Touken6P | 5 | 3.0% |
| backdash into Jouho Touken6P | 4 | 2.4% |
| backdash into backward movement | 4 | 2.4% |
| backdash into guardG | 4 | 2.4% |
| guardG | 4 | 2.4% |
| Ekishou3P | 3 | 1.8% |
| Ekishou3P into guardG | 3 | 1.8% |
| backdash into Koboku214P | 3 | 1.8% |
49 further openings account for the other 64 rounds.
Pai
- Career
- 22–4 · 84.6%
- This season
- 22 matches · 86.4%
- Peak rank
- 26
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| punchP | 19 | 22.9% |
|---|---|---|
| punchP into RenshouPP | 19 | 22.9% |
| RenshouPP into Renken ToukyakuPPK | 7 | 8.4% |
| guardG | 5 | 6.0% |
| punchP into RenkentaiPK | 4 | 4.8% |
| RenshouPP into RaigekishouPPP | 3 | 3.6% |
| guardG into Senchuken6P | 3 | 3.6% |
| crouch dash forward into Souanshou3P+K | 2 | 2.4% |
| guardG into forward dash | 2 | 2.4% |
| punchP into Senchuken6P | 2 | 2.4% |
| Hi'en Tankyaku9K | 1 | 1.2% |
| Hi'en Tankyaku9K into Hi'en Rekkyaku9KK | 1 | 1.2% |
| Renken ToukyakuPPK into Renken ToukikyakuPPKK | 1 | 1.2% |
| Soukasui3P into Souka Senpukyaku3PK | 1 | 1.2% |
| backdash into guardG | 1 | 1.2% |
12 further openings account for the other 12 rounds.
El Blaze
- Career
- 13–10 · 56.5%
- This season
- 7 matches · 71.4%
- Peak rank
- 26
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| punchP | 8 | 28.6% |
|---|---|---|
| punchP into Quick HookPP | 5 | 17.9% |
| guardG | 3 | 10.7% |
| punchP into Jab~High KickPK | 2 | 7.1% |
| Quick HookPP into Outrage ComboPPK | 1 | 3.6% |
| backdash into Rocket Discharge6P+K+G | 1 | 3.6% |
| crouch dash back into Shadow Fang6PK | 1 | 3.6% |
| crouch into Rocket Discharge6P+K+G | 1 | 3.6% |
| crouch into Straight6P+K | 1 | 3.6% |
| guardG into punchP | 1 | 3.6% |
| kickK into Midday HeatKK | 1 | 3.6% |
| no input | 1 | 3.6% |
| punchP into Shadow Strike6P | 1 | 3.6% |
| punchP into forward dash | 1 | 3.6% |
Lei Fei
- Career
- 2–4 · 33.3%
- This season
- 5 matches · 60.0%
- Peak rank
- 26
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| punchP | 6 | 27.3% |
|---|---|---|
| punchP into Sayu ShoukenPP | 4 | 18.2% |
| Sayu ShoukenPP into Renkan MahosuiPPP | 2 | 9.1% |
| Kaisei Tento1P+K | 1 | 4.5% |
| Kakushu Suigeki6P into punchP | 1 | 4.5% |
| SokutankyakuK+G | 1 | 4.5% |
| Yushin Kengeki4P | 1 | 4.5% |
| backdash into throw escape | 1 | 4.5% |
| crouch into Fukusoushou2P | 1 | 4.5% |
| guardG into Kakushu Suigeki6P | 1 | 4.5% |
| guardG into punchP | 1 | 4.5% |
| no input | 1 | 4.5% |
| punchP into Kakushu Suigeki6P | 1 | 4.5% |
Goh
- Career
- 85–34 · 71.4%
- This season
- 3 matches · 66.7%
- Peak rank
- 27
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
Taka
- Career
- 20–6 · 76.9%
- This season
- 3 matches · 33.3%
- Peak rank
- 26
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| punchP | 2 | 22.2% |
|---|---|---|
| punchP into Tsuppari 2PP | 2 | 22.2% |
| Hiji'ate6P | 1 | 11.1% |
| Yoko Harite4P into Honda Harite4PP | 1 | 11.1% |
| guardG | 1 | 11.1% |
| guardG into Susuharai1PP | 1 | 11.1% |
| punchP into Hiji'ate6P | 1 | 11.1% |
Shun
- Career
- 90–71 · 55.9%
- This season
- 2 matches · 100.0%
- Peak rank
- 23
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| Kasen Chugeki6P | 2 | 25.0% |
|---|---|---|
| Tanhi ChougekiK+G | 1 | 12.5% |
| Tenshin Haishu4P into kickK | 1 | 12.5% |
| backdash into Gyou'in Haishu3P | 1 | 12.5% |
| crouch into Gyou'in Haishu3P | 1 | 12.5% |
| guardG into Kasen Chugeki6P | 1 | 12.5% |
| punchP into RengekiPP | 1 | 12.5% |
Wolf
- Career
- 1–0 · 100.0%
- This season
- 2 matches · 100.0%
- Peak rank
- 26
Significant Tells
Too few rounds to test opener patterns.
| crouch | 1 | 16.7% |
|---|---|---|
| guardG into Comet Hook1P | 1 | 16.7% |
| no input | 1 | 16.7% |
| punchP | 1 | 16.7% |
| punchP into backdash | 1 | 16.7% |
| punchP into evade up | 1 | 16.7% |
How these are tested
A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.
- An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
- Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
- Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
- A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (43 here; about 2.1 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
- Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.
Tests behind each character's list
- Jacky: 1 of 15 tests hold up
- Brad: 1 of 15 tests hold up
- Lau: 0 of 13 tests hold up
- Akira: not tested (too few rounds)
- Pai: not tested (too few rounds)
- El Blaze: not tested (too few rounds)
- Lei Fei: not tested (too few rounds)
- Goh: not tested (too few rounds)
- Taka: not tested (too few rounds)
- Shun: not tested (too few rounds)
- Wolf: not tested (too few rounds)