Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: Asia

エル・シエロ

Career matches6,095

Career win rate68.0%

Round win rate58.7%

Peak rank43

Distinct opponents458

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1959 #67 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Jacky1991496 matches
Lion1969493 matches
Kage2004239 matches
Akira1995209 matches
Taka1958175 matches
Lau1944168 matches
Jeffry1978166 matches
Goh1964131 matches
Jean1960120 matches
Wolf193246 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Lion	43	1,354	942	412	69.6%
Jacky	43	1,188	766	422	64.5%
Kage	43	892	638	254	71.5%
Akira	43	575	405	170	70.4%
Jeffry	43	461	327	134	70.9%
Jean	41	432	279	153	64.6%
Lau	43	406	266	140	65.5%
Goh	41	375	246	129	65.6%
Taka	42	331	224	107	67.7%
Wolf	34	72	47	25	65.3%
El Blaze	33	8	4	4	50.0%
Pai	33	1	1	0	100.0%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

6,489 of 9,077 rounds counted

7.2 inputs a second (434 a minute) this season. Faster than 52% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Jacky	7.3	441	1,174
Lion	7.5	452	1,496
Kage	7.3	436	605
Akira	8.3	500	442
Taka	6.9	416	701
Lau	7.0	421	635
Jeffry	6.8	406	449
Goh	6.8	407	544
Jean	6.6	395	261
Wolf	6.4	383	162
El Blaze	6.3	375	10
Pai	7.3	437	10

By opponent's character


Akira	7.3	440	678
Brad	6.8	410	701
Jacky	7.3	439	558
Lau	7.4	444	487
Vanessa	7.5	452	389
Lion	7.3	440	443
Kage	7.3	440	409
Eileen	7.2	433	323
Goh	7.6	455	366
Shun	7.4	442	266
Sarah	7.0	423	332
Pai	7.3	437	206
Aoi	6.7	401	207
El Blaze	7.4	441	311
Lei Fei	6.8	407	256
Jeffry	6.9	416	148
Jean	7.2	434	174
Wolf	7.3	439	130
Taka	6.7	400	87
Dural	6.4	384	18

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Akira	237	160	77	67.5%	+0.6
Brad	198	119	79	60.1%	-7.1
Jacky	173	121	52	69.9%	+3.4
Lau	165	96	69	58.2%	-8.0
Vanessa	148	98	50	66.2%	+1.4
Lion	135	95	40	70.4%	+6.4
Kage	132	77	55	58.3%	-9.4
Eileen	117	80	37	68.4%	+4.7
Goh	110	73	37	66.4%	+1.8
Shun	110	75	35	68.2%	+2.2
Sarah	107	71	36	66.4%	-0.5
Pai	101	67	34	66.3%	-2.3
Aoi	98	64	34	65.3%	+0.7
El Blaze	95	65	30	68.4%	+5.3
Lei Fei	92	62	30	67.4%	+4.6
Jeffry	80	54	26	67.5%	+2.7
Jean	60	46	14	76.7%	+8.4
Wolf	52	34	18	65.4%	+0.4
Taka	32	21	11	65.6%	-3.7
Dural	11	5	6	45.5%	-19.8

0 of 19 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 19 questions at once; about 1.0 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Breakable Half Fence	260	167	93	64.2%	-2.2
Octagon	259	178	81	68.7%	+4.0
Low Fence	250	182	68	72.8%	+8.4
Breakable Full Fence	244	167	77	68.4%	+3.2
Single Wall	215	140	75	65.1%	+0.6
Open	211	144	67	68.2%	+1.4
Full Fence	209	133	76	63.6%	-3.8
Rectangle	206	127	79	61.6%	-4.9
Half Fence	202	124	78	61.4%	-4.5
Full Fence and Open	94	54	40	57.5%	-8.0

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	1,380	64.9%	65.9%	-1.0
No walls	676	68.9%	65.6%	+3.3

Walls against open: -4.3 points (95% range -9.0 to +0.4), p 0.072 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


k-wofs (Rank 41)	43	28	15	65.1%
カルティカ (Rank 40)	40	25	15	62.5%
『ρε』.α (Rank 42)	37	23	14	62.2%
藪からＢＯＹ (Rank 42)	33	16	17	48.5%
ハマラウ (Rank 43)	31	16	15	51.6%
KA-GO (Rank 40)	30	17	13	56.7%
おかし (Rank 40)	28	24	4	85.7%
Tokkovanessa_VF (Rank 42)	27	16	11	59.3%
GP (Rank 39)	25	15	10	60.0%
モブ太郎 (Rank 41)	24	15	9	62.5%
STAGEW(ON)@스테이지원 (Rank 42)	23	16	7	69.6%
!باللههذاتحديث؟ (Rank 39)	22	15	7	68.2%
ATTIME (Rank 41)	22	18	4	81.8%
マルコメＸ (Rank 44)	22	10	12	45.5%
mudanadoryokuzki (Rank 38)	21	12	9	57.1%
shenron0321 (Rank 41)	21	12	9	57.1%
かんしゅ (Rank 42)	20	11	9	55.0%
ぱりぱり (Rank 40)	20	18	2	90.0%
Taiyaki_Ltd (Rank 38)	19	10	9	52.6%
jikacho-Gigas (Rank 41)	19	13	6	68.4%
schwein777 (Rank 42)	19	16	3	84.2%
spacex_falcon_heavy (Rank 43)	19	12	7	63.2%
こんにちわアキラ (Rank 41)	19	8	11	42.1%
マハリータまるこ (Rank 40)	19	15	4	79.0%
ikkyusaaan (Rank 40)	18	9	9	50.0%

Most played opponents, most recent first


かんしゅ (Rank 42)	2026/09/25	20	11	9	55.0%
モブ太郎 (Rank 41)	2026/09/23	24	15	9	62.5%
shenron0321 (Rank 41)	2026/09/18	21	12	9	57.1%
!باللههذاتحديث؟ (Rank 39)	2026/09/18	22	15	7	68.2%
『ρε』.α (Rank 42)	2026/09/10	37	23	14	62.2%
藪からＢＯＹ (Rank 42)	2026/09/09	33	16	17	48.5%
Tokkovanessa_VF (Rank 42)	2026/09/09	27	16	11	59.3%
ハマラウ (Rank 43)	2026/08/05	31	16	15	51.6%
k-wofs (Rank 41)	2026/07/31	43	28	15	65.1%
schwein777 (Rank 42)	2026/07/31	19	16	3	84.2%
カルティカ (Rank 40)	2026/07/31	40	25	15	62.5%
マルコメＸ (Rank 44)	2026/07/25	22	10	12	45.5%
KA-GO (Rank 40)	2026/07/23	30	17	13	56.7%
マハリータまるこ (Rank 40)	2026/07/22	19	15	4	79.0%
mudanadoryokuzki (Rank 38)	2026/07/22	21	12	9	57.1%
ぱりぱり (Rank 40)	2026/07/20	20	18	2	90.0%
GP (Rank 39)	2026/07/08	25	15	10	60.0%
おかし (Rank 40)	2026/07/06	28	24	4	85.7%
ikkyusaaan (Rank 40)	2026/07/04	18	9	9	50.0%
spacex_falcon_heavy (Rank 43)	2026/07/03	19	12	7	63.2%
こんにちわアキラ (Rank 41)	2026/07/03	19	8	11	42.1%
jikacho-Gigas (Rank 41)	2026/06/24	19	13	6	68.4%
ATTIME (Rank 41)	2026/06/18	22	18	4	81.8%
STAGEW(ON)@스테이지원 (Rank 42)	2026/05/30	23	16	7	69.6%
Taiyaki_Ltd (Rank 38)	2026/05/05	19	10	9	52.6%

Round openings

Every character


backdash into evade up	547	6.0%
backdash into evade down	457	5.0%
punchP	269	3.0%
crouch dash forward into guardG	266	2.9%
guardG	139	1.5%
Middle Smash6P	129	1.4%
forward dash into guardG	118	1.3%
Banchu6P	116	1.3%
forward movement into punchP	107	1.2%
kickK	106	1.2%
Hiji'uchi6P	104	1.1%
backdash into punchP	103	1.1%
guardG into evade down	101	1.1%
crouch dash forward into Smash Straight3P	98	1.1%
forward dash into Low Spin Kick1K+G	91	1.0%

1,150 further openings account for the other 6,357 rounds.

Lion

Career: 942–412 · 69.6%
This season: 494 matches · 60.7%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 51.7% of 2,016 rounds. Won 58.0% of the rounds they struck first, 53.2% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: backs off first in 38.5% of rounds, against 30.9% in their other rounds.
Against Brad: waits first in 10.6% of rounds, against 3.9% against everyone else.
After winning a round: backs off first in 40.1% of rounds, against 20.0% after losing one.
When ahead: backs off first in 38.2% of rounds, against 23.3% when level or behind.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 8.7% of rounds, against 4.3% in their other rounds.
Against Eileen: opens with “6P Banchu” in 14.5% of rounds, against 5.2% against everyone else.
On Half Fence stages: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 11.1% of rounds, against 4.8% on the other stages.
After opening the round before with “backdash into evade up”: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 16.4% of rounds, against 4.8% after anything else.
After winning a round: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 8.6% of rounds, against 3.6% after losing one.
When ahead: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 8.6% of rounds, against 3.7% when level or behind.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	126	6.2%
Banchu6P	116	5.7%
backdash into evade up	111	5.5%
punchP	86	4.2%
Dantai3K	72	3.6%
backdash into Dantai3K	65	3.2%
Tourou Hassou41236P	64	3.2%
Katousui2P into backdash	54	2.7%
Shicchi Soutai3K+G	47	2.3%
In'you4P	46	2.3%
crouch dash forward into guardG	43	2.1%
Ukoushin46P+K	41	2.0%
crouch dash forward into Sen'inshou3P	36	1.8%
backdash into Fujinkyaku66K	33	1.6%
guardG	32	1.6%

259 further openings account for the other 1,051 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lion

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lau	19–15 · 56%	8–10 · 44%	too few to test
Akira	25–12 · 68%	10–4 · 71%	too few to test
Brad	20–16 · 56%	7–2 · 78%	too few to test
Vanessa	16–7 · 70%	10–4 · 71%	too few to test
Jacky	16–9 · 64%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Lion	14–9 · 61%	6–1 · 86%	too few to test
Eileen	13–7 · 65%	6–1 · 86%	too few to test
Kage	13–9 · 59%	1–1 · 50%	too few to test
Shun	9–6 · 60%	5–1 · 83%	too few to test
Goh	8–6 · 57%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test
Pai	9–4 · 69%	2–4 · 33%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jacky

Career: 766–422 · 64.5%
This season: 497 matches · 65.8%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 48.3% of 1,981 rounds. Won 62.1% of the rounds they struck first, 55.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: backs off first in 38.6% of rounds, against 27.0% in their other rounds.
Against Lei Fei: moves in first in 61.3% of rounds, against 26.1% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by moving in: moves in first in 37.7% of rounds, against 26.4% after anything else.
After winning a round: backs off first in 36.9% of rounds, against 14.1% after losing one.
When ahead: backs off first in 35.8% of rounds, against 15.3% when level or behind.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 9.0% of rounds, against 3.0% in their other rounds.
Against Lei Fei: opens with “crouch dash forward into G guard” in 18.9% of rounds, against 5.2% against everyone else.
After winning a round: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 6.9% of rounds, against 1.7% after losing one.
When behind: opens with “6P Middle Smash” in 10.7% of rounds, against 5.2% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


Middle Smash6P	129	6.4%
crouch dash forward into guardG	119	5.9%
backdash into evade up	106	5.3%
crouch dash forward into Smash Straight3P	98	4.9%
backdash into evade down	92	4.6%
forward dash into Low Spin Kick1K+G	91	4.5%
Low Spin Kick1K+G	71	3.5%
Middle Smash6P into kickK	69	3.4%
punchP	62	3.1%
Squat Straight2P	59	2.9%
backdash into Dash Hammer Kick66K	37	1.8%
backdash into Step-in Middle Kick66K+G	33	1.6%
punchP into Jab StraightPP	29	1.4%
Spin Heel Sword4K+G	26	1.3%
forward dash into guardG	25	1.2%

220 further openings account for the other 963 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jacky

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	21–7 · 75%	11–4 · 73%	too few to test
Vanessa	15–13 · 54%	8–4 · 67%	too few to test
Kage	14–8 · 64%	6–6 · 50%	too few to test
Brad	17–9 · 65%	5–4 · 56%	too few to test
Pai	16–10 · 62%	5–2 · 71%	too few to test
Aoi	12–8 · 60%	4–1 · 80%	too few to test
Eileen	13–4 · 76%	9–2 · 82%	too few to test
Lau	11–10 · 52%	3–4 · 43%	too few to test
Lei Fei	9–2 · 82%	9–5 · 64%	too few to test
Sarah	8–6 · 57%	7–2 · 78%	too few to test
Shun	12–7 · 63%	4–2 · 67%	too few to test
Goh	9–7 · 56%	5–3 · 62%	too few to test
Lion	10–6 · 62%	2–0 · 100%	too few to test
Jacky	7–6 · 54%	6–2 · 75%	too few to test
Jeffry	7–5 · 58%	6–2 · 75%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Kage

Career: 638–254 · 71.5%
This season: 241 matches · 69.7%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 49.7% of 946 rounds. Won 59.8% of the rounds they struck first, 61.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

After winning a round: backs off first in 34.2% of rounds, against 22.2% after losing one.
When behind: attacks straight away in 62.6% of rounds, against 42.5% when ahead or level.
In round 2: opens with “6P Hiji'uchi” in 15.8% of rounds, against 9.0% in their other rounds.
Against Akira: opens with “6P Hiji'uchi” in 20.9% of rounds, against 8.5% against everyone else.
When behind: opens with “6P Hiji'uchi” in 23.0% of rounds, against 9.5% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


Hiji'uchi6P	104	10.7%
backdash into evade up	56	5.8%
backdash into evade down	46	4.7%
Fusenjin3P	37	3.8%
backward movement into Nagiharai6P+K	34	3.5%
Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K	32	3.3%
Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K into punchP	32	3.3%
Hagakure-ryu In Shippujin4P+K+G into Hagakure-ryu In Kusanagigiri6P	26	2.7%
backdash into Nakageri3K	26	2.7%
backdash into Gen'you4K+G	21	2.2%
backdash into punchP	21	2.2%
crouch dash forward into guardG	20	2.1%
Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K into Hagakure-ryu You Jumonji KamaeP+K+G	18	1.9%
Jizuridan2P	18	1.9%
Fusenjin3P into punchP	16	1.6%

149 further openings account for the other 465 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Kage

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	18–7 · 72%	13–1 · 93%	too few to test
Brad	18–7 · 72%	5–0 · 100%	too few to test
Jacky	11–3 · 79%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test
Shun	8–3 · 73%	6–4 · 60%	too few to test
Vanessa	8–4 · 67%	4–1 · 80%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Akira

Career: 405–170 · 70.4%
This season: 209 matches · 71.3%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 53.2% of 821 rounds. Won 67.0% of the rounds they struck first, 55.0% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against El Blaze: backs off first in 71.0% of rounds, against 38.7% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 47.5% of rounds, against 31.9% after anything else.
After winning a round: backs off first in 46.5% of rounds, against 25.7% after losing one.
When ahead: backs off first in 45.2% of rounds, against 28.3% when level or behind.
In round 1: opens with “crouch dash forward into 6P Jouho Touken” in 5.7% of rounds, against 2.4% in their other rounds.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	79	9.5%
forward dash into Jouho Touken6P	70	8.4%
backdash into evade up	49	5.9%
backdash into Goko Shutsudou3K+GP	29	3.5%
crouch dash forward into Jouho Touken6P	27	3.2%
backdash into Satei3K+G	25	3.0%
backdash into Rimon Chouchu66P	24	2.9%
punchP into forward dash	20	2.4%
Rimon Chouchu66P	19	2.3%
crouch dash forward into forward dash	18	2.2%
Jouho Touken6P into forward dash	16	1.9%
crouch dash forward into Rimon Chouchu66P	16	1.9%
Jouho Touken6P	15	1.8%
crouch dash forward into guardG	15	1.8%
Geimon Tessen46P+K+G	14	1.7%

122 further openings account for the other 398 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Akira

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	14–4 · 78%	1–4 · 20%	too few to test
Vanessa	9–4 · 69%	5–1 · 83%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Taka

Career: 224–107 · 67.7%
This season: 175 matches · 70.9%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 51.0% of 700 rounds. Won 63.9% of the rounds they struck first, 58.0% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: backs off first in 33.7% of rounds, against 21.9% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: backs off first in 43.3% of rounds, against 22.9% against everyone else.
After losing a round: attacks straight away in 54.1% of rounds, against 39.5% after winning one.
When behind: attacks straight away in 65.4% of rounds, against 39.4% when ahead or level.
In round 4 or later: opens with “forward dash into 1P+K Kirikabu Kudaki” in 10.5% of rounds, against 1.9% in their other rounds.
After opening the round before with “K kick”: opens with “K kick” in 22.2% of rounds, against 11.1% after anything else.

How is this tested?


kickK	93	13.2%
Hiji'ate6P	52	7.4%
backdash into Kachi'age33P+K	36	5.1%
forward dash into Kirikabu Kudaki1P+K	29	4.1%
punchP into Tsuppari 2PP	27	3.8%
backdash into evade up	26	3.7%
punchP into throwP+G	21	3.0%
backdash into evade down	17	2.4%
forward dash into guardG	15	2.1%
guardG	15	2.1%
punchP	15	2.1%
crouch dash forward into guardG	14	2.0%
forward dash into Marutahiza6K	12	1.7%
guardG into evade down	11	1.6%
backdash into punchP	10	1.4%

131 further openings account for the other 312 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Taka

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lei Fei	5–3 · 62%	10–3 · 77%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jeffry

Career: 327–134 · 70.9%
This season: 166 matches · 63.9%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 53.3% of 657 rounds. Won 56.6% of the rounds they struck first, 59.3% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: backs off first in 53.0% of rounds, against 33.1% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: backs off first in 56.0% of rounds, against 35.5% against everyone else.
After losing a round: attacks straight away in 40.1% of rounds, against 21.4% after winning one.
When behind: attacks straight away in 46.6% of rounds, against 22.4% when ahead or level.
Against Jacky: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 19.0% of rounds, against 6.2% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	52	7.9%
forward dash into Ducking Low2K+G	39	5.9%
punchP	35	5.3%
backdash into evade down	31	4.7%
backdash into Overblow Shoulder66P+K	29	4.4%
crouch dash forward into guardG	24	3.6%
Low Knuckle2P	19	2.9%
Tsunami Beat3K+G	19	2.9%
forward movement into punchP	18	2.7%
forward dash into guardG	17	2.6%
Low Knuckle2P into backdash	15	2.3%
backdash into Toe Kick2K	13	2.0%
backdash into punchP	13	2.0%
guardG	11	1.7%
punchP into Knuckle KickPK	11	1.7%

132 further openings account for the other 315 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jeffry

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	8–9 · 47%	5–2 · 71%	too few to test
Jacky	6–3 · 67%	6–2 · 75%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Lau

Career: 266–140 · 65.5%
This season: 168 matches · 66.1%
Peak rank: 43

First hit in 43.8% of 651 rounds. Won 61.4% of the rounds they struck first, 58.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: backs off first in 50.6% of rounds, against 35.6% in their other rounds.
Against Jean: moves in first in 28.1% of rounds, against 12.8% against everyone else.
After losing a round: attacks straight away in 53.2% of rounds, against 26.2% after winning one.
When behind: attacks straight away in 51.7% of rounds, against 30.6% when ahead or level.
In round 4 or later: opens with “6P Chugeki” in 13.2% of rounds, against 7.2% in their other rounds.
Against Kage: opens with “6P Chugeki” in 26.8% of rounds, against 7.4% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “6P Chugeki” in 17.6% of rounds, against 5.0% after winning one.

How is this tested?


Chugeki6P	57	8.6%
backdash into evade up	57	8.6%
Fukko Kensou1P	38	5.8%
backdash into Kensou4P	31	4.7%
Senchutai3K	30	4.5%
backdash into Junho Chushou33P	28	4.2%
Kosoushou46P	27	4.1%
forward dash into Sako Soushou4P+K	25	3.8%
forward dash into guardG	24	3.6%
backdash into Sako Soushou4P+K	22	3.3%
Ko'en Senshi66K+G	19	2.9%
backdash into evade down	18	2.7%
guardG	18	2.7%
backward movement into Chugeki6P	16	2.4%
backdash into Kosoushou46P	13	2.0%

107 further openings account for the other 237 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lau

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Brad	11–7 · 61%	2–0 · 100%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Goh

Career: 246–129 · 65.6%
This season: 131 matches · 67.9%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 54.0% of 543 rounds. Won 62.8% of the rounds they struck first, 55.2% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Jacky: backs off first in 69.1% of rounds, against 39.9% against everyone else.
After losing a round: attacks straight away in 50.3% of rounds, against 24.8% after winning one.
When behind: attacks straight away in 56.8% of rounds, against 27.6% when ahead or level.
Against Jeffry: opens with “3K+G Ni'oudaoshi” in 18.2% of rounds, against 3.8% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade up	54	9.9%
backdash into Karura4P+K	49	9.0%
Hiji'ate6P	29	5.3%
Ni'oudaoshi3K+G	27	5.0%
backdash into evade down	26	4.8%
punchP	20	3.7%
backdash into kickK	19	3.5%
Karura4P+K	17	3.1%
forward dash into Ni'oudaoshi3K+G	15	2.8%
guardG	14	2.6%
forward movement into punchP	12	2.2%
punchP into Shouda~KasumigoroshiPK	12	2.2%
forward dash into guardG	11	2.0%
kickK	10	1.8%
backdash into Maegeri3K	9	1.6%

99 further openings account for the other 220 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Goh

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lau	8–4 · 67%	3–3 · 50%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 279–153 · 64.6%
This season: 121 matches · 63.6%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 59.1% of 484 rounds. Won 58.7% of the rounds they struck first, 56.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

After losing a round: attacks straight away in 54.0% of rounds, against 29.9% after winning one.
When behind: attacks straight away in 55.0% of rounds, against 34.1% when ahead or level.
In round 4 or later: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 9.5% of rounds, against 2.2% in their other rounds.
On Breakable Full Fence stages: opens with “backdash into evade up” in 16.7% of rounds, against 3.5% on the other stages.
When behind: opens with “6P Yoko'enpi” in 18.9% of rounds, against 5.7% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


Yoko'enpi6P	43	8.8%
backdash into evade up	24	4.9%
Renge Karitsumi2K+G	23	4.7%
backdash into evade down	20	4.1%
backdash into Oihiji4P+K	18	3.7%
punchP	18	3.7%
Shitanagi Shutou1P	17	3.5%
Shitamaeken2P	16	3.3%
Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	12	2.5%
backdash into Chudan Mawashigeri3K	11	2.2%
backdash into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	11	2.2%
guardG	11	2.2%
guardG into evade down	11	2.2%
crouch dash forward into guardG	9	1.8%
guardG into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	8	1.6%

117 further openings account for the other 237 rounds.

Wolf

Career: 47–25 · 65.3%
This season: 46 matches · 63.0%
Peak rank: 34

First hit in 55.0% of 191 rounds. Won 61.0% of the rounds they struck first, 58.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Face Lift Kick3K	14	7.3%
backdash into evade up	11	5.8%
Low Hammer2P	9	4.7%
forward movement into punchP	9	4.7%
backdash into Face Lift Kick3K	7	3.7%
punchP	7	3.7%
backdash into punchP	6	3.1%
punchP into evade up	6	3.1%
backdash into guardG	5	2.6%
guardG into evade down	5	2.6%
punchP into Hammer KickPK	5	2.6%
Elbow Butt4P	4	2.1%
Screw Hook63214P into Screw Lariat63214PP	4	2.1%
backdash into Elbow Butt4P	4	2.1%
backdash into Low Drop Kick62K	4	2.1%

61 further openings account for the other 91 rounds.

El Blaze

Career: 4–4 · 50.0%
This season: 3 matches · 33.3%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Flame Toe Kick46PK into Inferno Savate46PKK	1	10.0%
High-Speed Jab46P into Flame Toe Kick46PK	1	10.0%
Rolling Low Knuckle1P	1	10.0%
Shadow Strike6P	1	10.0%
backdash into Volcano Upper4P+K	1	10.0%
backdash into evade up	1	10.0%
crouch dash forward into backdash	1	10.0%
guardG into Middle Kick3K	1	10.0%
guardG into Shadow Strike6P	1	10.0%
punchP	1	10.0%

Pai

Career: 1–0 · 100.0%
This season: 2 matches · 100.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Senchuken6P	8	80.0%
Senchuken6P into forward dash	1	10.0%
punchP into RenshouPP	1	10.0%

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (134 here; about 6.7 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Lion: 10 of 16 tests hold up
Jacky: 9 of 16 tests hold up
Kage: 5 of 15 tests hold up
Akira: 5 of 15 tests hold up
Taka: 6 of 15 tests hold up
Jeffry: 5 of 14 tests hold up
Lau: 7 of 14 tests hold up
Goh: 4 of 15 tests hold up
Jean: 5 of 14 tests hold up
Wolf: not tested (too few rounds)
El Blaze: not tested (too few rounds)
Pai: not tested (too few rounds)