Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: South America

マクシミリアン15世

Career matches16,509

Career win rate51.0%

Round win rate49.4%

Peak rank35

Distinct opponents607

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1623 #1,203 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Wolf16391,009 matches
Jacky1705872 matches
Akira1568690 matches
Jeffry1668604 matches
Jean1616351 matches
Goh1601314 matches
Kage1595291 matches
Lion1618178 matches
Sarah1596157 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Wolf	34	5,030	2,507	2,523	49.8%
Jacky	35	2,997	1,564	1,433	52.2%
Akira	32	1,861	964	897	51.8%
Jeffry	34	1,676	849	827	50.7%
Lion	32	1,394	726	668	52.1%
Sarah	32	1,368	694	674	50.7%
Kage	33	881	450	431	51.1%
Jean	32	734	379	355	51.6%
Goh	31	568	294	274	51.8%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

17,792 of 18,245 rounds counted

7.2 inputs a second (434 a minute) this season. Faster than 52% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Wolf	7.2	430	3,900
Jacky	7.2	430	3,350
Akira	7.9	473	2,800
Jeffry	7.1	424	2,484
Jean	6.8	410	1,464
Goh	7.0	422	1,284
Kage	7.2	434	1,178
Lion	7.6	456	716
Sarah	6.7	399	616

By opponent's character


Akira	7.2	432	2,094
Jacky	7.4	445	2,029
Jean	7.2	433	1,407
Wolf	7.5	449	1,336
Kage	7.2	430	1,077
Jeffry	7.3	437	955
Pai	7.3	436	942
Lau	7.3	436	892
Lion	7.2	432	845
Shun	7.2	434	806
Goh	7.1	424	781
Sarah	7.4	443	715
Vanessa	7.1	426	689
El Blaze	7.0	420	632
Brad	7.1	426	661
Aoi	7.1	428	620
Lei Fei	7.1	424	555
Taka	6.9	416	392
Eileen	7.0	420	263
Dural	7.6	458	101

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Akira	528	281	247	53.2%	+5.3
Jacky	501	268	233	53.5%	+4.9
Jean	350	145	205	41.4%	-6.5
Wolf	333	187	146	56.2%	+4.9
Kage	265	121	144	45.7%	-1.5
Jeffry	241	129	112	53.5%	+2.8
Pai	233	117	116	50.2%	+2.6
Lau	228	100	128	43.9%	-3.2
Lion	211	97	114	46.0%	-1.8
Shun	206	100	106	48.5%	-1.2
Goh	195	81	114	41.5%	-5.7
Sarah	184	99	85	53.8%	+2.6
Vanessa	174	79	95	45.4%	-1.8
El Blaze	165	76	89	46.1%	-2.7
Brad	164	63	101	38.4%	-7.7
Aoi	157	76	81	48.4%	-1.9
Lei Fei	142	62	80	43.7%	-5.0
Taka	98	52	46	53.1%	-1.6
Eileen	72	26	46	36.1%	-8.1
Dural	27	20	7	74.1%	+23.6

0 of 19 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 19 questions at once; about 1.0 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Low Fence	515	250	265	48.5%	-0.8
Open	473	224	249	47.4%	-0.7
Octagon	466	231	235	49.6%	+1.1
Single Wall	442	220	222	49.8%	+0.8
Breakable Full Fence	438	229	209	52.3%	+3.9
Rectangle	430	214	216	49.8%	+0.7
Breakable Half Fence	424	219	205	51.6%	+3.4
Full Fence	403	189	214	46.9%	-2.1
Half Fence	374	168	206	44.9%	-4.8
Full Fence and Open	244	110	134	45.1%	-2.5

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	2,535	49.3%	48.8%	+0.5
No walls	1,430	48.5%	48.8%	-0.2

Walls against open: +0.7 points (95% range -2.6 to +4.1), p 0.677 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


akira__9633 (Rank 32)	112	53	59	47.3%
gigantic-show422 (Rank 30)	90	40	50	44.4%
ぬっき～＠女キャラ嫌 (Rank 35)	68	25	43	36.8%
orz (Rank 29)	65	39	26	60.0%
fwnd1396 (Rank 32)	47	24	23	51.1%
motor_colt61 (Rank 35)	43	10	33	23.3%
bh_iflg (Rank 34)	41	21	20	51.2%
handon-san- (Rank 27)	40	23	17	57.5%
NekoPunchMaster (Rank 33)	38	20	18	52.6%
Zeno-vfws0111 (Rank 30)	38	14	24	36.8%
Zenpro-052 (Rank 35)	38	10	28	26.3%
ayunii216 (Rank 29)	38	14	24	36.8%
もっこり (Rank 36)	38	15	23	39.5%
BigBoin (Rank 35)	37	21	16	56.8%
migu_garden (Rank 35)	34	13	21	38.2%
JAGAMARU-MIKE (Rank 30)	32	15	17	46.9%
Melt (Rank 35)	32	14	18	43.8%
paoya0423 (Rank 35)	32	20	12	62.5%
Chomelungma-GTR (Rank 32)	31	14	17	45.2%
cream-soba-1972 (Rank 31)	31	20	11	64.5%
タイヨウ (Rank 32)	30	13	17	43.3%
cokeshi (Rank 30)	28	18	10	64.3%
hikabun (Rank 36)	28	11	17	39.3%
umiyama_kai (Rank 39)	28	8	20	28.6%
猫鼻 (Rank 32)	28	19	9	67.9%

Most played opponents, most recent first


Chomelungma-GTR (Rank 32)	2026/10/18	31	14	17	45.2%
Zeno-vfws0111 (Rank 30)	2026/10/18	38	14	24	36.8%
NekoPunchMaster (Rank 33)	2026/10/17	38	20	18	52.6%
bh_iflg (Rank 34)	2026/10/16	41	21	20	51.2%
ぬっき～＠女キャラ嫌 (Rank 35)	2026/10/16	68	25	43	36.8%
gigantic-show422 (Rank 30)	2026/10/16	90	40	50	44.4%
akira__9633 (Rank 32)	2026/10/16	112	53	59	47.3%
orz (Rank 29)	2026/10/16	65	39	26	60.0%
JAGAMARU-MIKE (Rank 30)	2026/10/16	32	15	17	46.9%
Melt (Rank 35)	2026/10/15	32	14	18	43.8%
ayunii216 (Rank 29)	2026/10/15	38	14	24	36.8%
hikabun (Rank 36)	2026/10/14	28	11	17	39.3%
cream-soba-1972 (Rank 31)	2026/10/14	31	20	11	64.5%
Zenpro-052 (Rank 35)	2026/10/14	38	10	28	26.3%
motor_colt61 (Rank 35)	2026/10/14	43	10	33	23.3%
migu_garden (Rank 35)	2026/10/14	34	13	21	38.2%
fwnd1396 (Rank 32)	2026/10/14	47	24	23	51.1%
handon-san- (Rank 27)	2026/10/14	40	23	17	57.5%
BigBoin (Rank 35)	2026/10/11	37	21	16	56.8%
タイヨウ (Rank 32)	2026/10/10	30	13	17	43.3%
猫鼻 (Rank 32)	2026/10/10	28	19	9	67.9%
cokeshi (Rank 30)	2026/10/08	28	18	10	64.3%
umiyama_kai (Rank 39)	2026/09/09	28	8	20	28.6%
paoya0423 (Rank 35)	2026/09/09	32	20	12	62.5%
もっこり (Rank 36)	2026/08/05	38	15	23	39.5%

Round openings

Every character


forward movement into punchP	596	4.4%
backdash into evade up	513	3.8%
evade down into guardG	341	2.5%
backward movement into evade up	335	2.5%
backward movement into evade down	332	2.4%
backdash into evade down	305	2.2%
evade down into forward dash	255	1.9%
Rimon Chouchu66P	242	1.8%
Middle Spin Kick46K+G	139	1.0%
evade up into crouch dash back	129	0.9%
Rolling Savate6K+G	127	0.9%
Dash Hammer Kick66K	124	0.9%
backdash into crouch dash forward	123	0.9%
punchP	120	0.9%
Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	119	0.9%

1,725 further openings account for the other 9,881 rounds.

Counted from 3,354 of the 4,159 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Jacky

Career: 1,564–1,433 · 52.2%
This season: 873 matches · 50.2%
Peak rank: 35

First hit in 37.5% of 3,337 rounds. Won 52.9% of the rounds they struck first, 47.8% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 46.5% of rounds, against 36.1% in their other rounds.
Against Pai: evades first in 29.8% of rounds, against 15.9% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by backing off: backs off first in 35.6% of rounds, against 24.7% after anything else.
Against Sarah: opens with “backward movement into evade down” in 12.0% of rounds, against 3.0% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “46K+G Middle Spin Kick” in 6.5% of rounds, against 1.1% after winning one.
When behind: opens with “46K+G Middle Spin Kick” in 5.7% of rounds, against 2.7% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


Middle Spin Kick46K+G	139	4.2%
Dash Hammer Kick66K	124	3.7%
backward movement into evade down	118	3.5%
backdash into evade up	111	3.3%
Slide Shuffle (Deflect)4P+K+G	106	3.2%
Middle Smash6P	105	3.1%
backward movement into evade up	99	3.0%
forward movement into punchP	94	2.8%
backdash into evade down	83	2.5%
evade down into guardG	81	2.4%
Slant Back Knuckle1P	79	2.4%
evade up into crouch dash back	74	2.2%
backward movement into Groin Kick6K+G	59	1.8%
Middle Smash6P into kickK	50	1.5%
Standing Knee Kick4K	48	1.4%

413 further openings account for the other 1,981 rounds.

Counted from 819 of the 873 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jacky

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	29–25 · 54%	15–16 · 48%	+1.1
Jean	28–17 · 62%	14–15 · 48%	too few to test
Jacky	16–14 · 53%	18–14 · 56%	+0.4
Lion	23–20 · 53%	2–9 · 18%	too few to test
Lau	13–18 · 42%	7–6 · 54%	too few to test
Kage	13–20 · 39%	6–8 · 43%	too few to test
Pai	8–16 · 33%	8–4 · 67%	too few to test
Sarah	7–13 · 35%	11–9 · 55%	too few to test
Jeffry	12–12 · 50%	7–8 · 47%	too few to test
Shun	9–12 · 43%	5–7 · 42%	too few to test
Aoi	5–7 · 42%	13–8 · 62%	too few to test
Goh	9–12 · 43%	8–7 · 53%	too few to test
Vanessa	15–8 · 65%	5–4 · 56%	too few to test
Wolf	13–8 · 62%	2–4 · 33%	too few to test
Eileen	8–4 · 67%	0–7 · 0%	too few to test
Lei Fei	8–5 · 62%	4–3 · 57%	too few to test
Brad	1–4 · 20%	4–10 · 29%	too few to test

Nothing reliable: no gap here is bigger than stage luck alone produces.

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

54 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Wolf

Career: 2,507–2,523 · 49.8%
This season: 1,013 matches · 47.5%
Peak rank: 34

First hit in 35.6% of 2,949 rounds. Won 53.2% of the rounds they struck first, 46.5% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 44.7% of rounds, against 33.1% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: backs off first in 48.8% of rounds, against 20.8% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by waiting: waits first in 15.0% of rounds, against 6.1% after anything else.
After the opponent opened the round before by waiting: attacks straight away in 43.5% of rounds, against 31.8% after anything else.
In round 4 or later: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 10.7% of rounds, against 4.8% in their other rounds.
Against Goh: opens with “backward movement into evade up” in 10.9% of rounds, against 2.7% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


forward movement into punchP	189	6.4%
Rolling Savate6K+G	127	4.3%
backdash into evade up	127	4.3%
evade down into guardG	105	3.5%
backward movement into evade up	87	2.9%
Arrow Knuckle3P into guardG	82	2.8%
backdash into evade down	81	2.7%
evade down into Elbow Butt4P	66	2.2%
evade down into forward dash	66	2.2%
backward movement into evade down	65	2.2%
Screw Hook63214P	61	2.1%
Arrow Knuckle3P	60	2.0%
forward dash into Gasp Kneel Palm Bomb6P+K	60	2.0%
One-Hand Reverse Hammer4P+K	57	1.9%
forward movement into Elbow Butt4P	51	1.7%

345 further openings account for the other 1,678 rounds.

Counted from 732 of the 1,013 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Wolf

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	26–28 · 48%	22–17 · 56%	-5.7
Akira	24–21 · 53%	15–21 · 42%	+7.5
Jean	12–19 · 39%	12–7 · 63%	too few to test
Wolf	13–17 · 43%	10–9 · 53%	too few to test
Shun	14–7 · 67%	3–5 · 38%	too few to test
Lei Fei	7–14 · 33%	7–11 · 39%	too few to test
Kage	14–15 · 48%	4–8 · 33%	too few to test
Lau	11–13 · 46%	6–8 · 43%	too few to test
Lion	9–17 · 35%	7–3 · 70%	too few to test
Sarah	11–16 · 41%	6–3 · 67%	too few to test
Aoi	5–14 · 26%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Vanessa	5–5 · 50%	8–6 · 57%	too few to test
Jeffry	12–3 · 80%	6–4 · 60%	too few to test
El Blaze	4–10 · 29%	6–6 · 50%	too few to test
Goh	7–1 · 88%	4–6 · 40%	too few to test

Nothing reliable: no gap here is bigger than stage luck alone produces.

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

281 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Jeffry

Career: 849–827 · 50.7%
This season: 604 matches · 46.7%
Peak rank: 34

First hit in 49.1% of 1,891 rounds. Won 50.4% of the rounds they struck first, 45.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Wolf: evades first in 29.0% of rounds, against 12.1% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by evading: evades first in 22.4% of rounds, against 11.5% after anything else.
When ahead: moves in first in 17.0% of rounds, against 11.5% when level or behind.
In round 3: opens with “6P Elbow Butt” in 5.7% of rounds, against 3.2% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 11.5% of rounds, against 5.3% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


forward movement into punchP	116	6.1%
Toe Kick2K	79	4.2%
backdash into evade up	73	3.9%
Elbow Butt6P	72	3.8%
Hell Dunk Elbow2P+K	66	3.5%
backdash into Megaton Knuckle43P+K	52	2.7%
backward movement into evade down	52	2.7%
Kenka Hook46P	51	2.7%
Dash Elbow66P	43	2.3%
evade down into guardG	41	2.2%
Heavy Back Knuckle4P into Threat StanceP+K+G	38	2.0%
Overblow Shoulder66P+K	37	1.9%
backdash into evade down	37	1.9%
Megaton Knuckle43P+K	36	1.9%
backdash into Kenka Hook46P	32	1.7%

316 further openings account for the other 1,073 rounds.

Counted from 458 of the 604 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jeffry

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	25–18 · 58%	9–9 · 50%	too few to test
Jacky	19–13 · 59%	12–15 · 44%	too few to test
Goh	6–14 · 30%	3–7 · 30%	too few to test
Jean	12–14 · 46%	5–6 · 45%	too few to test
Pai	9–11 · 45%	7–4 · 64%	too few to test
Brad	10–13 · 43%	2–2 · 50%	too few to test
Wolf	8–11 · 42%	0–2 · 0%	too few to test
Kage	3–10 · 23%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Aoi	10–6 · 62%	0–4 · 0%	too few to test
Lau	2–7 · 22%	2–5 · 29%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

146 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Akira

Career: 964–897 · 51.8%
This season: 692 matches · 46.5%
Peak rank: 32

First hit in 62.4% of 1,565 rounds. Won 48.5% of the rounds they struck first, 45.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 47.8% of rounds, against 39.2% in their other rounds.
Against Wolf: evades first in 27.2% of rounds, against 12.9% against everyone else.
Against Sarah: opens with “backdash into evade down” in 12.8% of rounds, against 1.9% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “forward dash into 6P Jouho Touken” in 9.4% of rounds, against 4.2% after winning one.

How is this tested?


Rimon Chouchu66P	242	15.2%
forward dash into Jouho Touken6P	113	7.1%
backdash into evade up	56	3.5%
backdash into evade down	39	2.5%
Senzankou66P+K	37	2.3%
backward movement into evade up	34	2.1%
evade down into forward dash	34	2.1%
Geimon Tessen46P+K+G	33	2.1%
Senzankou66P+K into throwP+G	32	2.0%
backward movement into evade down	32	2.0%
forward movement into punchP	32	2.0%
Rimon Chouchu66P into forward dash	30	1.9%
forward dash into Rimon Chouchu66P	29	1.8%
Jouho Senshou46P	28	1.8%
evade down into Rimon Chouchu66P	28	1.8%

224 further openings account for the other 792 rounds.

Counted from 391 of the 692 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Akira

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Wolf	22–20 · 52%	6–8 · 43%	too few to test
Jacky	16–12 · 57%	7–9 · 44%	too few to test
Akira	8–16 · 33%	2–2 · 50%	too few to test
Jeffry	11–10 · 52%	3–2 · 60%	too few to test
Kage	7–6 · 54%	3–5 · 38%	too few to test
Jean	3–9 · 25%	2–4 · 33%	too few to test
Shun	4–12 · 25%	1–4 · 20%	too few to test
Lau	6–11 · 35%	0–3 · 0%	too few to test
Sarah	8–3 · 73%	2–2 · 50%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

301 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 379–355 · 51.6%
This season: 351 matches · 53.0%
Peak rank: 32

First hit in 37.4% of 1,361 rounds. Won 54.6% of the rounds they struck first, 48.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: waits first in 22.0% of rounds, against 9.0% in their other rounds.
Against Wolf: evades first in 52.8% of rounds, against 16.9% against everyone else.
On Octagon stages: backs off first in 29.5% of rounds, against 18.3% on the other stages.
Against Pai: opens with “evade down into G guard” in 8.6% of rounds, against 3.0% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “forward dash into 6P Yoko'enpi” in 5.8% of rounds, against 1.7% after winning one.

How is this tested?


Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	119	8.7%
forward dash into Yoko'enpi6P	62	4.5%
Oihiji4P+K	55	4.0%
Yoko'enpi6P	49	3.6%
evade down into guardG	45	3.3%
backdash into evade up	39	2.9%
guardG into Oihiji4P+K	36	2.6%
forward movement into punchP	34	2.5%
backdash into evade down	28	2.0%
evade down into forward dash	27	2.0%
backward movement into evade up	26	1.9%
backward movement into evade down	25	1.8%
Shutoukiri4P into Shutoukiri~Ushirogeri4PK	24	1.8%
evade up into forward dash	21	1.5%
backdash into crouch dash forward	16	1.2%

276 further openings account for the other 760 rounds.

Counted from 328 of the 351 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jean

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	14–11 · 56%	8–0 · 100%	too few to test
Goh	4–6 · 40%	8–10 · 44%	too few to test
Jean	7–9 · 44%	3–5 · 38%	too few to test
El Blaze	8–1 · 89%	5–2 · 71%	too few to test
Jeffry	7–11 · 39%	2–0 · 100%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

23 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Kage

Career: 450–431 · 51.1%
This season: 291 matches · 48.5%
Peak rank: 33

First hit in 38.3% of 1,170 rounds. Won 54.9% of the rounds they struck first, 47.0% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 64.6% of rounds, against 53.8% in their other rounds.
Against Wolf: evades first in 31.8% of rounds, against 8.2% against everyone else.
In round 1: opens with “P+K Souhajin” in 10.3% of rounds, against 2.6% in their other rounds.

How is this tested?


Rasen4P	79	6.7%
Hiji'uchi6P	71	6.0%
Furikakato OtoshiK+G	69	5.8%
SouhajinP+K	53	4.5%
backdash into evade up	52	4.4%
Ryubisen44K+G	33	2.8%
Gen'you4K+G	29	2.5%
forward movement into punchP	27	2.3%
Ryu'eikyaku66K	25	2.1%
evade down into forward dash	25	2.1%
Rasen4P into kickK	23	1.9%
Rasen4P into Rasen Urageri4PK	21	1.8%
Hagakure-ryu In Shippujin4P+K+G into Hagakure-ryu In Ryubibarai2K	19	1.6%
backward movement into evade down	19	1.6%
Engetsugeri9K+G	18	1.5%

227 further openings account for the other 617 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Kage

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	13–7 · 65%	9–8 · 53%	too few to test
Wolf	16–8 · 67%	6–1 · 86%	too few to test
Lion	5–14 · 26%	1–5 · 17%	too few to test
Jacky	13–6 · 68%	4–2 · 67%	too few to test
Vanessa	4–11 · 27%	2–6 · 25%	too few to test
Jeffry	4–0 · 100%	9–5 · 64%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Lion

Career: 726–668 · 52.1%
This season: 178 matches · 53.9%
Peak rank: 32

First hit in 40.5% of 712 rounds. Won 57.3% of the rounds they struck first, 48.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 49.4% of rounds, against 34.9% in their other rounds.
On Single Wall stages: waits first in 18.9% of rounds, against 7.4% on the other stages.
In round 1: opens with “4P+K Taizan Soukoushu” in 12.4% of rounds, against 5.6% in their other rounds.

How is this tested?


Banchu6P	60	8.4%
Taizan Soukoushu4P+K	52	7.3%
backdash into Sentai4K	43	6.0%
forward movement into punchP	33	4.6%
backdash into evade up	29	4.0%
forward movement into Renkan SenshouPPP	22	3.1%
crouch into Dantai3K	20	2.8%
Sentai4K	15	2.1%
backward movement into evade down	15	2.1%
evade down into forward dash	15	2.1%
evade down into guardG	14	2.0%
Tourou Hassou41236P	12	1.7%
backdash into evade down	12	1.7%
backward movement into evade up	12	1.7%
evade down into throw escape	9	1.3%

188 further openings account for the other 353 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Lion

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Akira	11–5 · 69%	6–5 · 55%	too few to test
Jacky	10–10 · 50%	5–0 · 100%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Sarah

Career: 694–674 · 50.7%
This season: 157 matches · 49.0%
Peak rank: 32

First hit in 44.7% of 613 rounds. Won 53.6% of the rounds they struck first, 48.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: attacks straight away in 46.5% of rounds, against 28.7% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: moves in first in 28.1% of rounds, against 15.9% against everyone else.
Against Akira: opens with “backward movement into evade up” in 18.5% of rounds, against 3.6% against everyone else.

How is this tested?


forward movement into punchP	71	11.5%
Full Spin Heel Kick9K	35	5.7%
backward movement into evade up	30	4.9%
evade down into forward dash	27	4.4%
backdash into evade up	26	4.2%
evade down into guardG	22	3.6%
Hide Side Kick (Deflect)P+K	20	3.2%
Rising Elbow6P	17	2.8%
Stiletto66K	16	2.6%
punchP	14	2.3%
backdash into Full Spin Heel Kick9K	12	1.9%
Quick Knee6K	10	1.6%
backdash into evade down	10	1.6%
crouch into Leg Slicer2K+G	9	1.5%
evade up into crouch dash forward	9	1.5%

150 further openings account for the other 289 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Sarah

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Wolf	6–5 · 55%	7–10 · 41%	too few to test
Jacky	9–11 · 45%	1–6 · 14%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Not counted here: Goh. Their matches were not pulled for openings.

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (126 here; about 6.3 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Jacky: 6 of 17 tests hold up
Wolf: 6 of 18 tests hold up
Jeffry: 5 of 16 tests hold up
Akira: 4 of 15 tests hold up
Jean: 5 of 15 tests hold up
Kage: 3 of 15 tests hold up
Lion: 3 of 15 tests hold up
Sarah: 3 of 15 tests hold up