Virtua Fighter 5 REVO · v1.10 · Region: Asia

ごっちさん

Career matches14,036

Career win rate54.1%

Round win rate50.8%

Peak rank42

Distinct opponents421

Period2026/03/26 – 2026/10/18

Elo rating

Overall, and on each character played 10+ times

1781 #442 of 3,686 on the Elo list →

Jacky1787942 matches
Jean1765425 matches
Jeffry1815327 matches
Brad1792308 matches
Kage1757149 matches
Akira177269 matches
Goh177227 matches
Lau179927 matches
Vanessa177522 matches
Wolf177510 matches

The overall rating moves on every match, whatever was picked; a character's rating adds this player's own adjustment on it. Both run from every recorded match since v1.10; how they are worked out is on the Elo list.

Characters played — VF5's own record


Jacky	41	3,809	1,959	1,850	51.4%
Lau	42	3,100	1,667	1,433	53.8%
Jeffry	42	2,475	1,306	1,169	52.8%
Jean	41	1,472	783	689	53.2%
Akira	39	939	506	433	53.9%
Brad	41	795	469	326	59.0%
Kage	39	689	399	290	57.9%
Taka	37	296	205	91	69.3%
Goh	37	206	124	82	60.2%
Wolf	33	175	125	50	71.4%
Vanessa	34	34	22	12	64.7%
El Blaze	33	20	14	6	70.0%
Shun	33	20	15	5	75.0%
Pai	33	6	4	2	66.7%

These are the totals VF5 keeps for each character, read from the newest replay stored for it. They cover the player's whole ranked career and take no period.

Inputs per second

7,614 of 9,434 rounds counted

6.9 inputs a second (414 a minute) this season. Faster than 43% of the 4,069 regulars with enough rounds counted to compare.

By character played


Jacky	7.1	427	3,382
Jean	6.7	402	1,719
Jeffry	6.8	405	500
Brad	6.4	385	788
Kage	6.6	398	554
Akira	8.1	486	281
Goh	6.6	397	113
Lau	7.8	466	81
Vanessa	6.0	363	88
Wolf	6.2	371	38
El Blaze	6.2	375	30
Shun	6.4	382	20
Pai	6.6	398	12
Taka	6.8	408	8

By opponent's character


Jacky	7.2	431	792
Akira	7.1	425	620
Kage	6.9	415	623
Lau	6.9	416	536
Sarah	6.8	406	543
Vanessa	6.7	400	505
Brad	6.8	406	472
Aoi	6.8	406	417
Lion	7.0	423	421
Goh	7.0	420	353
Jeffry	6.9	412	282
Lei Fei	6.6	398	309
Wolf	7.1	428	250
El Blaze	6.5	392	282
Pai	6.8	410	240
Jean	7.1	425	274
Shun	7.0	420	258
Eileen	6.6	399	225
Taka	6.7	401	153
Dural	6.8	411	59

An input is any change on the controller (a new stick direction, a button pressed or released) from the bell to the moment a round is decided, over the live time of the round. Only rounds whose inputs have been decoded are counted. Who you face changes the pace too: see the inputs-per-second article under News.

Against each character


Jacky	232	122	110	52.6%	+1.5
Akira	197	95	102	48.2%	-2.7
Kage	184	84	100	45.6%	-8.3
Lau	177	97	80	54.8%	+3.8
Sarah	173	91	82	52.6%	+1.8
Vanessa	160	81	79	50.6%	+4.9
Brad	129	76	53	58.9%	+5.4
Aoi	118	54	64	45.8%	-8.0
Lion	114	63	51	55.3%	+4.9
Goh	103	65	38	63.1%	+10.3
Jeffry	102	59	43	57.8%	+4.8
Lei Fei	90	41	49	45.6%	-2.9
Wolf	88	51	37	58.0%	+5.3
El Blaze	87	36	51	41.4%	-10.0
Pai	83	46	37	55.4%	+2.9
Jean	80	45	35	56.2%	+1.3
Shun	80	30	50	37.5%	-14.4
Eileen	66	28	38	42.4%	-5.6
Taka	47	25	22	53.2%	-1.6
Dural	14	8	6	57.1%	+1.4

0 of 19 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 19 questions at once; about 1.0 would by chance alone.

A matchup row is the particular people played on that character, not the character in general: one strong regular moves it as much as the matchup does.

By ring shape


Octagon	257	130	127	50.6%	-1.4
Low Fence	253	124	129	49.0%	-2.0
Half Fence	242	141	101	58.3%	+7.2
Breakable Full Fence	232	121	111	52.2%	+2.6
Breakable Half Fence	231	123	108	53.2%	+0.8
Open	230	128	102	55.6%	+5.3
Rectangle	224	108	116	48.2%	-5.1
Single Wall	224	106	118	47.3%	-2.9
Full Fence	210	112	98	53.3%	+0.8
Full Fence and Open	118	55	63	46.6%	-6.3

0 of 10 rows differ from what this player's level and their opponents' ranks predict, once the test allows for asking 10 questions at once; about 0.5 would by chance alone.

With or without walls

Stages	Matches	Win %	Expected	vs expected
Walls	1,396	52.7%	51.9%	+0.8
No walls	707	50.6%	50.6%	+0.1

Walls against open: +0.7 points (95% range -3.9 to +5.2), p 0.772 — no measurable difference.

The fence-and-open stages and Training Room are on neither side, as on the stage report.

How these are tested

Each match gets an expected result from the two players' ranks, read off the ladder's rank-against-rank win rates, and shifted by one number per player so the expected wins add up to the actual ones. A row's gap is how far above that expectation it sits, against the same measure over the player's other matches.
Matches against the same opponent are not independent, so each test is widened by how unevenly this player's results fall across the people they played. Rows under 30 decided matches or 10 different opponents on either side carry no test, and each table is corrected for the number of rows tested in it.
Not adjusted for: how strong an opponent is for their rank. Rank carries most of it; the rest needs a rating model.

Most played opponents


自作マﾆア＠むめい。 (Rank 41)	67	38	29	56.7%
カルティカ (Rank 41)	49	24	25	49.0%
Tokkovanessa_VF (Rank 42)	46	24	22	52.2%
愛蒔らぶり (Rank 42)	39	16	23	41.0%
manatsu_7 (Rank 43)	35	17	18	48.6%
堂島様 (Rank 43)	30	9	21	30.0%
『Nεnji』.β (Rank 41)	29	10	19	34.5%
ス～パ～オヤツマ～ン (Rank 41)	29	8	21	27.6%
Aki (Rank 40)	27	17	10	63.0%
expensive-sand (Rank 40)	27	16	11	59.3%
ダンプよっし～2.0 (Rank 39)	25	14	11	56.0%
いくお (Rank 44)	24	6	18	25.0%
くりたろう (Rank 38)	24	15	9	62.5%
★闘将拉麵男★ (Rank 38)	23	16	7	69.6%
モブ太郎 (Rank 42)	23	11	12	47.8%
寿司眼鉄 (Rank 38)	22	11	11	50.0%
shenron0321 (Rank 42)	21	10	11	47.6%
『ρε』.α (Rank 41)	21	8	13	38.1%
かんしゅ (Rank 42)	19	8	11	42.1%
藪からＢＯＹ (Rank 42)	18	7	11	38.9%
Osamu_0303 (Rank 37)	17	11	6	64.7%
ごうくんまん (Rank 41)	17	8	9	47.1%
しょべるん (Rank 40)	17	12	5	70.6%
ぴゅあくん (Rank 39)	17	10	7	58.8%
マハリータまるこ (Rank 39)	17	9	8	52.9%

Most played opponents, most recent first


『Nεnji』.β (Rank 41)	2026/10/16	29	10	19	34.5%
自作マﾆア＠むめい。 (Rank 41)	2026/10/15	67	38	29	56.7%
Osamu_0303 (Rank 37)	2026/10/13	17	11	6	64.7%
manatsu_7 (Rank 43)	2026/10/13	35	17	18	48.6%
ごうくんまん (Rank 41)	2026/10/12	17	8	9	47.1%
堂島様 (Rank 43)	2026/10/10	30	9	21	30.0%
shenron0321 (Rank 42)	2026/10/10	21	10	11	47.6%
★闘将拉麵男★ (Rank 38)	2026/10/08	23	16	7	69.6%
Tokkovanessa_VF (Rank 42)	2026/10/02	46	24	22	52.2%
愛蒔らぶり (Rank 42)	2026/09/29	39	16	23	41.0%
ぴゅあくん (Rank 39)	2026/09/29	17	10	7	58.8%
寿司眼鉄 (Rank 38)	2026/09/29	22	11	11	50.0%
ス～パ～オヤツマ～ン (Rank 41)	2026/09/29	29	8	21	27.6%
しょべるん (Rank 40)	2026/09/27	17	12	5	70.6%
expensive-sand (Rank 40)	2026/09/27	27	16	11	59.3%
ダンプよっし～2.0 (Rank 39)	2026/09/27	25	14	11	56.0%
くりたろう (Rank 38)	2026/09/26	24	15	9	62.5%
カルティカ (Rank 41)	2026/09/22	49	24	25	49.0%
『ρε』.α (Rank 41)	2026/09/16	21	8	13	38.1%
かんしゅ (Rank 42)	2026/09/13	19	8	11	42.1%
いくお (Rank 44)	2026/09/10	24	6	18	25.0%
藪からＢＯＹ (Rank 42)	2026/09/09	18	7	11	38.9%
モブ太郎 (Rank 42)	2026/08/31	23	11	12	47.8%
マハリータまるこ (Rank 39)	2026/08/28	17	9	8	52.9%
Aki (Rank 40)	2026/06/02	27	17	10	63.0%

Round openings

Every character


backdash into evade down	566	6.5%
backdash into evade up	378	4.3%
forward movement into punchP	334	3.8%
crouch dash back into guardG	317	3.6%
crouch into Squat Straight2P	298	3.4%
forward dash into Middle Smash6P	222	2.5%
crouch into Low Knuckle2P	169	1.9%
Middle Spin Kick	167	1.9%
crouch dash forward into guardG	143	1.6%
guardG into evade down	135	1.6%
forward dash into guardG	125	1.4%
backward movement into backdash	114	1.3%
crouch into Shitamaeken2P	107	1.2%
evade down into guardG	106	1.2%
forward dash into evade up	105	1.2%

967 further openings account for the other 5,446 rounds.

Counted from 2,151 of the 2,324 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Jacky

Career: 1,959–1,850 · 51.4%
This season: 942 matches · 50.4%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 53.7% of 3,819 rounds. Won 52.5% of the rounds they struck first, 47.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: backs off first in 51.5% of rounds, against 41.6% in their other rounds.
Against Jacky: waits first in 21.6% of rounds, against 11.0% against everyone else.
After losing a round: moves in first in 36.3% of rounds, against 16.9% after winning one.
When behind: moves in first in 36.2% of rounds, against 20.0% when ahead or level.
In round 4 or later: opens with “crouch into 2P Squat Straight” in 12.1% of rounds, against 6.1% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: opens with “crouch dash back into G guard” in 9.0% of rounds, against 2.2% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “crouch dash back into G guard”: opens with “crouch dash back into G guard” in 9.5% of rounds, against 2.4% after anything else.
After winning a round: opens with “crouch into 2P Squat Straight” in 13.7% of rounds, against 4.1% after losing one.
When behind: opens with “forward dash into 6P Middle Smash” in 11.0% of rounds, against 3.8% when ahead or level.

How is this tested?


crouch into Squat Straight2P	298	7.7%
backdash into evade down	254	6.6%
forward dash into Middle Smash6P	222	5.8%
backdash into evade up	164	4.2%
crouch dash back into guardG	112	2.9%
Dash Hammer Kick66K	102	2.6%
backward movement into backdash	100	2.6%
Low Spin Kick1K+G	98	2.5%
Middle Spin Kick46K+G	89	2.3%
backdash into Middle Smash6P	82	2.1%
forward movement into punchP	76	2.0%
Low Spin Kick1K+G into guardG	67	1.7%
backdash into Dash Hammer Kick66K	64	1.7%
forward dash into Low Spin Kick1K+G	63	1.6%
backward movement into guardG	60	1.6%

281 further openings account for the other 2,005 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jacky

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	27–31 · 47%	12–12 · 50%	too few to test
Sarah	31–28 · 53%	13–9 · 59%	too few to test
Kage	27–16 · 63%	11–18 · 38%	too few to test
Vanessa	25–20 · 56%	4–8 · 33%	too few to test
Lau	18–15 · 55%	17–8 · 68%	too few to test
Akira	12–22 · 35%	10–16 · 38%	too few to test
Brad	22–16 · 58%	5–6 · 45%	too few to test
Goh	18–13 · 58%	11–8 · 58%	too few to test
Lion	14–12 · 54%	8–8 · 50%	too few to test
Jean	16–11 · 59%	6–7 · 46%	too few to test
Lei Fei	12–8 · 60%	5–10 · 33%	too few to test
Aoi	5–9 · 36%	3–7 · 30%	too few to test
Eileen	10–9 · 53%	4–7 · 36%	too few to test
El Blaze	10–10 · 50%	3–3 · 50%	too few to test
Pai	13–11 · 54%	4–3 · 57%	too few to test
Wolf	16–8 · 67%	1–4 · 20%	too few to test
Jeffry	16–4 · 80%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Shun	8–12 · 40%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Taka	2–5 · 29%	6–5 · 55%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Jean

Career: 783–689 · 53.2%
This season: 426 matches · 49.5%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 56.9% of 1,315 rounds. Won 53.3% of the rounds they struck first, 47.1% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

In round 1: evades first in 9.5% of rounds, against 3.6% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: backs off first in 74.0% of rounds, against 42.9% against everyone else.
After the opponent opened the round before by backing off: moves in first in 30.4% of rounds, against 18.8% after anything else.
After winning a round: waits first in 28.0% of rounds, against 12.0% after losing one.
When behind: moves in first in 29.1% of rounds, against 16.6% when ahead or level.
In round 1: opens with “forward movement into P punch” in 9.5% of rounds, against 3.5% in their other rounds.
Against Sarah: opens with “crouch dash back into 6P Yoko'enpi” in 17.8% of rounds, against 3.4% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “crouch dash back into 6P Yoko'enpi”: opens with “crouch dash back into 6P Yoko'enpi” in 22.0% of rounds, against 3.2% after anything else.
After winning a round: opens with “crouch into 2P Shitamaeken” in 13.7% of rounds, against 5.6% after losing one.
When ahead: opens with “crouch into 2P Shitamaeken” in 12.8% of rounds, against 6.5% when level or behind.

How is this tested?


crouch into Shitamaeken2P	107	8.1%
backdash into evade down	68	5.2%
forward movement into punchP	66	5.0%
backdash into Doumawashi Kaitengeri46K+G	64	4.9%
crouch dash back into Yoko'enpi6P	55	4.2%
backdash into evade up	53	4.0%
guardG into evade down	48	3.6%
crouch dash back into guardG	40	3.0%
Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	34	2.6%
crouch dash back into forward dash	34	2.6%
backdash into Gyaku Seikenzuki66P	30	2.3%
backdash into Yoko'enpi6P	28	2.1%
evade down into guardG	25	1.9%
forward dash into Yoko'enpi6P	25	1.9%
forward dash into guardG	25	1.9%

174 further openings account for the other 615 rounds.

Counted from 328 of the 426 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jean

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Jacky	9–8 · 53%	7–10 · 41%	too few to test
Lion	7–6 · 54%	5–6 · 45%	too few to test
Akira	10–8 · 56%	0–0 · —	too few to test
Kage	7–9 · 44%	2–5 · 29%	too few to test
Lau	9–9 · 50%	0–1 · 0%	too few to test
Brad	3–7 · 30%	5–3 · 62%	too few to test
El Blaze	5–6 · 45%	2–7 · 22%	too few to test
Lei Fei	5–12 · 29%	0–1 · 0%	too few to test
Vanessa	5–8 · 38%	2–3 · 40%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

98 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Jeffry

Career: 1,306–1,169 · 52.8%
This season: 327 matches · 48.9%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 58.6% of 1,243 rounds. Won 52.5% of the rounds they struck first, 48.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Wolf: waits first in 31.6% of rounds, against 16.8% against everyone else.
On Breakable Full Fence stages: attacks straight away in 12.3% of rounds, against 5.9% on the other stages.
After losing a round: moves in first in 45.8% of rounds, against 16.6% after winning one.
When behind: moves in first in 44.1% of rounds, against 21.7% when ahead or level.
Against Wolf: opens with “crouch into 2P Low Knuckle” in 30.4% of rounds, against 12.4% against everyone else.
After opening the round before with “crouch dash back into G guard”: opens with “crouch dash back into G guard” in 18.0% of rounds, against 3.8% after anything else.
After winning a round: opens with “crouch into 2P Low Knuckle” in 21.2% of rounds, against 9.8% after losing one.
When ahead: opens with “crouch into 2P Low Knuckle” in 20.3% of rounds, against 11.7% when level or behind.

How is this tested?


crouch into Low Knuckle2P	169	13.6%
forward movement into punchP	115	9.2%
backdash into evade down	93	7.5%
crouch dash back into guardG	64	5.1%
backdash into evade up	56	4.5%
crouch dash forward into guardG	36	2.9%
crouch dash back into Middle Hell Stab6P+K	33	2.6%
forward dash into Dash Elbow66P	27	2.2%
backdash into Double Hammer Down43P	20	1.6%
backdash into Side Kick3K	18	1.4%
forward dash into evade up	18	1.4%
guardG into evade down	15	1.2%
Overblow Shoulder66P+K	14	1.1%
backdash into Low Knuckle2P	14	1.1%
crouch dash forward into punchP	12	1.0%

192 further openings account for the other 540 rounds.

Counted from 308 of the 327 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Jeffry

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Lau	8–16 · 33%	4–2 · 67%	too few to test
Akira	9–9 · 50%	6–2 · 75%	too few to test
Jacky	7–10 · 41%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Sarah	11–12 · 48%	0–1 · 0%	too few to test
Kage	5–6 · 45%	4–5 · 44%	too few to test
Pai	7–6 · 54%	5–3 · 62%	too few to test
Shun	5–7 · 42%	5–3 · 62%	too few to test
Wolf	7–9 · 44%	3–1 · 75%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

19 of this character's decided matches could not be matched to the round-openings pull, which is what says the character was played, and are left out of this table.

How is this tested?

Brad

Career: 469–326 · 59.0%
This season: 308 matches · 57.1%
Peak rank: 41

First hit in 52.0% of 1,224 rounds. Won 58.2% of the rounds they struck first, 47.6% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Jeffry: backs off first in 51.6% of rounds, against 34.7% against everyone else.
After losing a round: moves in first in 33.8% of rounds, against 15.4% after winning one.
When behind: moves in first in 34.2% of rounds, against 18.7% when ahead or level.
Against Akira: opens with “4P+K Dtee Sawk Dtrohng” in 13.2% of rounds, against 4.6% against everyone else.
After losing a round: opens with “66K Middle Spin Kick” in 11.0% of rounds, against 2.7% after winning one.

How is this tested?


Middle Spin Kick66K	78	6.4%
backdash into evade down	71	5.8%
Dtee Sawk Dtrohng4P+K	63	5.1%
Ducking6P+K+G into Crush Knee KickK+G	56	4.6%
crouch dash back into guardG	55	4.5%
crouch into Sit Jab2P	51	4.2%
backdash into evade up	46	3.8%
backdash into Stop Kick4K	37	3.0%
forward movement into punchP	37	3.0%
crouch dash forward into guardG	29	2.4%
forward dash into Sharp Shoot1P	29	2.4%
forward dash into guardG	25	2.0%
Sharp Shoot1P	22	1.8%
backdash into punchP	22	1.8%
evade down into guardG	21	1.7%

199 further openings account for the other 585 rounds.

By stage type

Record against each character on walled and open stages, as Brad

Opponent	Walls	No walls	Walls vs open, rank-adjusted, pts
Vanessa	10–6 · 62%	12–8 · 60%	too few to test
Jacky	12–9 · 57%	5–2 · 71%	too few to test
Lau	14–8 · 64%	2–3 · 40%	too few to test
Kage	10–8 · 56%	1–4 · 20%	too few to test
Jeffry	3–5 · 38%	9–7 · 56%	too few to test
Aoi	5–3 · 62%	5–2 · 71%	too few to test

Walls: every fence, rectangle and octagon stage. No walls: open, low fence and single-wall stages. Snow Mountain and Training Room are left out.

How is this tested?

Kage

Career: 399–290 · 57.9%
This season: 149 matches · 53.7%
Peak rank: 39

First hit in 54.9% of 517 rounds. Won 54.9% of the rounds they struck first, 49.4% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Against Brad: waits first in 25.5% of rounds, against 10.2% against everyone else.
After opening the round before by attacking: backs off first in 63.5% of rounds, against 43.4% after anything else.
After winning a round: waits first in 18.0% of rounds, against 6.9% after losing one.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	37	7.1%
backdash into evade up	36	6.9%
Ryu'eikyaku66K	34	6.5%
crouch into Jizuridan2P	31	6.0%
crouch dash back into guardG	27	5.2%
forward movement into punchP	25	4.8%
backdash into Gen'you4K+G	17	3.3%
Fusenjin3P into forward movement	15	2.9%
backdash into Doukudaki46K	15	2.9%
crouch dash back into evade down	10	1.9%
throw escape	9	1.7%
backdash into Hagakure-ryu In Raijingeki46P+K	8	1.5%
backdash into Nakageri3K	8	1.5%
backdash into Fusenjin3P	7	1.4%
crouch dash forward into Fusenjin3P	7	1.4%

109 further openings account for the other 233 rounds.

Counted from 126 of the 149 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Akira

Career: 506–433 · 53.9%
This season: 69 matches · 50.7%
Peak rank: 39

First hit in 58.9% of 219 rounds. Won 52.7% of the rounds they struck first, 46.7% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	17	7.8%
crouch into Housui2P	17	7.8%
crouch dash back into Jouho Touken6P	16	7.3%
crouch dash forward into Jouho Touken6P	12	5.5%
backdash into evade up	11	5.0%
forward dash into Yakuho Chouchu666P	8	3.6%
Rimon Chouchu66P	7	3.2%
Senzankou66P+K	6	2.7%
backdash into Jouho Touken6P	6	2.7%
crouch dash back into forward dash	6	2.7%
forward dash into Jouho Touken6P	6	2.7%
crouch dash back into guardG	5	2.3%
crouch dash forward into Souka Housui3P+K	4	1.8%
crouch dash forward into forward dash	4	1.8%
evade down into forward dash	4	1.8%

58 further openings account for the other 90 rounds.

Counted from 52 of the 69 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Lau

Career: 1,667–1,433 · 53.8%
This season: 27 matches · 55.6%
Peak rank: 42

First hit in 47.8% of 111 rounds. Won 54.7% of the rounds they struck first, 44.8% of the rounds they were struck first.

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	13	11.7%
forward dash into Chugeki6P	9	8.1%
backdash into evade up	6	5.4%
backdash into Senchutai3K	5	4.5%
backdash into punchP	5	4.5%
forward dash into evade up	5	4.5%
backdash into Kosoushou46P	4	3.6%
forward dash into Fukko Kensou1P	4	3.6%
forward dash into evade down	4	3.6%
forward dash into guardG	4	3.6%
forward movement into punchP	4	3.6%
Fukko Kensou1P	2	1.8%
Kensou4P	2	1.8%
Souko Sensou66P+K	2	1.8%
crouch dash back into guardG	2	1.8%

37 further openings account for the other 40 rounds.

Vanessa

Career: 22–12 · 64.7%
This season: 22 matches · 68.2%
Peak rank: 34

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Offensive Style: forward movement into punchP	6	8.7%
Defensive Style: crouch dash back into guardG	5	7.2%
Defensive Style: Cut Upper	3	4.3%
Defensive Style: backdash into punchP	3	4.3%
Defensive Style: guard into evade down	3	4.3%
Defensive Style: Shadow Slicer	2	2.9%
Defensive Style: backdash into Shadow Slicer66K	2	2.9%
Defensive Style: crouch dash back into Cut-in Knee Kick6K	2	2.9%
Defensive Style: evade down into guardG	2	2.9%
Defensive Style: forward movement into punchP	2	2.9%
Defensive Style: guard into punchP	2	2.9%
Offensive Style: backdash into Bunker Buster9P	2	2.9%
Offensive Style: backdash into evade down	2	2.9%
Offensive Style: crouch dash back into guardG	2	2.9%
Defensive Style: Cut Upper into forward dash	1	1.4%

30 further openings account for the other 30 rounds.

Counted from 18 of the 22 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Goh

Career: 124–82 · 60.2%
This season: 27 matches · 48.1%
Peak rank: 37

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	7	10.6%
crouch into Sune'uchi2P	6	9.1%
guardG into evade down	5	7.6%
backdash into evade up	4	6.1%
crouch dash back into guardG	4	6.1%
backdash into guardG	3	4.5%
backdash into Soukyu46P	2	3.0%
crouch dash back into Karura4P+K	2	3.0%
crouch dash forward into guardG	2	3.0%
forward dash into Sune'uchi2P	2	3.0%
forward dash into throwP+G	2	3.0%
forward movement into punchP	2	3.0%
guardG	2	3.0%
Raikou3P into Denkou3PP	1	1.5%
backdash into Karura4P+K	1	1.5%

21 further openings account for the other 21 rounds.

Counted from 16 of the 27 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Wolf

Career: 125–50 · 71.4%
This season: 10 matches · 60.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


crouch into Low Hammer2P	6	15.8%
backdash into guardG	5	13.2%
backdash into Body Blow6P	2	5.3%
backdash into Elbow Butt4P	2	5.3%
backdash into evade down	2	5.3%
backdash into throwP+G	2	5.3%
crouch dash back into Mow Down Chop1P+K	2	5.3%
crouch dash back into guardG	2	5.3%
Heavy Middle Kick3K+G	1	2.6%
Heavy Middle Kick3K+G into guardG	1	2.6%
Quick Shoulder66P+K	1	2.6%
Screw Hook63214P into Screw Lariat63214PP	1	2.6%
backdash into Quick Shoulder66P+K	1	2.6%
crouch dash back into Elbow Butt4P	1	2.6%
crouch dash back into Gasp Kneel Palm Bomb6P+K	1	2.6%

8 further openings account for the other 8 rounds.

El Blaze

Career: 14–6 · 70.0%
This season: 7 matches · 57.1%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


evade down into guardG	5	16.7%
crouch dash back into guardG	4	13.3%
backdash into evade up	2	6.7%
forward dash into throw escape	2	6.7%
guardG into throw escape	2	6.7%
Low Drop Kick1K+G	1	3.3%
Rolling Low Knuckle1P	1	3.3%
backdash into Combination Blow3PP	1	3.3%
backdash into Low Spin Kick2K+G	1	3.3%
backdash into Rolling Low Knuckle1P	1	3.3%
crouch dash back into Volcano Upper4P+K	1	3.3%
crouch dash back into evade down	1	3.3%
crouch dash forward into guardG	1	3.3%
evade down into Low Spin Kick2K+G	1	3.3%
evade down into Sit Jab2P	1	3.3%

5 further openings account for the other 5 rounds.

Shun

Career: 15–5 · 75.0%
This season: 5 matches · 80.0%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


Gyou'in Haishu3P	4	25.0%
Haisenchu1P	2	12.5%
backdash into evade down	2	12.5%
Gyou'in Haishu3P into evade down	1	6.2%
Rensai Gakushu46PP into Rengeki Gakushu46PPP	1	6.2%
evade down into Koushu Rentai1KK	1	6.2%
forward dash into Toushin Soutanshu4KK	1	6.2%
forward dash into throwP+G	1	6.2%
guardG	1	6.2%
guardG into throw escape	1	6.2%
punchP	1	6.2%

Counted from 4 of the 5 matches played. The rest were not pulled for openings.

Pai

Career: 4–2 · 66.7%
This season: 3 matches · 66.7%
Peak rank: 33

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


forward movement into punchP	4	33.3%
Kochoukyaku4K+G	2	16.7%
Ensei Haijinkyaku7K+G	1	8.3%
Honshin Soukyaku1K+G	1	8.3%
evade down into Ensei KatanhekiP+K	1	8.3%
evade down into guardG	1	8.3%
guardG into crouch	1	8.3%
guardG into throw escape	1	8.3%

Taka

Career: 205–91 · 69.3%
This season: 2 matches · 50.0%
Peak rank: 37

Significant Tells

Too few rounds to test opener patterns.

How is this tested?


backdash into evade down	2	25.0%
crouch dash back into guardG	2	25.0%
crouch dash back into Ten'yaburi4P+KP	1	12.5%
forward dash into Hiji'ate6P	1	12.5%
forward dash into evade down	1	12.5%
forward movement into guardG	1	12.5%

How these are tested

A tell is a habit in how this player starts a round: something they do clearly more often in one situation than in the others — backing off more in round 2, say, or opening with one move more against one character. Each situation is compared with how they actually opened their rounds, and a tell is listed only if it is too strong to be a fluke even after allowing for how many situations were checked on this page. Anything weaker is left out, so a character with no tells listed may still have habits, just none the data can show for certain.

An opener is filed by what the player did first: attack (a named move or any button), move in (forward dash, forward movement or crouch dash forward), wait (guard, crouch or no input), back off (backdash, crouch dash back or backward movement) or evade. Each is also tested as the exact opener: the character's five most used, and the rest together.
Up to ten things known before a round starts are tested against the opener: which round it is, the opponent's character, the ring shape, how the player opened the round before and how the opponent did, whether they won or lost the round before, who landed the first hit of the round before, whether they go into it ahead, level or behind, and -- where a Shun is playing -- the drink points he starts it on: the player's own if they are Shun, the opponent's if they face one. Each is a chi-square test, divided by how much more alike the rounds of one match are than separate rounds would be, and never made more generous by it. Checked by shuffling the data so that nothing is there: the tests then find something no more often than chance allows.
Round results and drink points come from each match's round record, matched to its openers by the two players and the date. A match whose record is missing, lacks rounds the openers have, or does not add up to the match's result sits out of those four tests only. These four are compared only between rounds of the same number -- the score and the drinks follow from which round it is (every match starts level and on no drinks), so a pattern that is only “the first round is different” is not counted as one of theirs. Drawn rounds count toward neither side of the score, and the round after one has no previous result. Drink points are grouped as on the Shun report (none, 1–4, 5–9 and so on), with neighbouring groups joined where they are thin.
A character is tested with at least 300 rounds from 30 matches. Rare cases are pooled before testing, and a pattern is only named where it holds up after correcting for every test on this page (76 here; about 3.8 would come up by chance alone before the correction).
Walls against open is tested per opponent with 30+ matches and 10+ different players on each side, allowing for both players' ranks, and corrected across every player page at once: 0 of 2,552 hold up. With stages shuffled at random: 0 of 2,651–2,673.

Tests behind each character's list

Jacky: 9 of 16 tests hold up
Jean: 10 of 15 tests hold up
Jeffry: 8 of 16 tests hold up
Brad: 5 of 15 tests hold up
Kage: 3 of 14 tests hold up
Akira: not tested (too few rounds)
Lau: not tested (too few rounds)
Vanessa: not tested (too few rounds)
Goh: not tested (too few rounds)
Wolf: not tested (too few rounds)
El Blaze: not tested (too few rounds)
Shun: not tested (too few rounds)
Pai: not tested (too few rounds)
Taka: not tested (too few rounds)