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データと分析による新しい視点

バーチャファイター5 REVO · v1.10 · 30〜46段

飲酒ポイントが勝率に与える影響

同じ数値を1080×1080のカードにしたものです。投稿用にどうぞ。 クリックすると画像としてコピーできます。 実寸で開く ↗
集計ラウンド数160,317
素面47.1%
飲酒あり52.1%
対象期間2026/03/26 – 2026/09/24

飲酒ポイントが勝率に与える影響

開始時の飲酒ポイント別・五分（50%）からの差
-10%-5%+5%+10%+15%+20%0%0 drink points: -2.90 points from even — 47.10% of 110,723 rounds, 95% interval 46.8–47.4%1 drink points: -6.45 points from even — 43.55% of 2,287 rounds, 95% interval 41.5–45.6%2 drink points: -5.24 points from even — 44.76% of 2,288 rounds, 95% interval 42.7–46.8%3 drink points: -5.60 points from even — 44.40% of 2,811 rounds, 95% interval 42.6–46.2%4 drink points: -2.68 points from even — 47.32% of 4,311 rounds, 95% interval 45.8–48.8%5 drink points: -4.12 points from even — 45.88% of 3,614 rounds, 95% interval 44.3–47.5%6 drink points: -0.48 points from even — 49.52% of 3,538 rounds, 95% interval 47.9–51.2%7 drink points: +1.80 points from even — 51.80% of 3,494 rounds, 95% interval 50.1–53.5%8 drink points: +2.30 points from even — 52.30% of 3,545 rounds, 95% interval 50.6–53.9%9 drink points: +3.50 points from even — 53.50% of 3,288 rounds, 95% interval 51.8–55.2%10 drink points: +3.06 points from even — 53.06% of 3,268 rounds, 95% interval 51.4–54.8%11 drink points: +4.41 points from even — 54.41% of 2,996 rounds, 95% interval 52.6–56.2%12 drink points: +5.52 points from even — 55.52% of 2,781 rounds, 95% interval 53.7–57.4%13 drink points: +6.52 points from even — 56.52% of 2,261 rounds, 95% interval 54.5–58.5%14 drink points: +10.10 points from even — 60.10% of 1,960 rounds, 95% interval 57.9–62.2%15 drink points: +8.08 points from even — 58.08% of 1,541 rounds, 95% interval 55.6–60.5%16 drink points: +9.56 points from even — 59.56% of 1,192 rounds, 95% interval 56.8–62.3%17 drink points: +10.08 points from even — 60.08% of 977 rounds, 95% interval 57.0–63.1%18 drink points: +14.09 points from even — 64.09% of 788 rounds, 95% interval 60.7–67.4%19 drink points: +13.70 points from even — 63.70% of 675 rounds, 95% interval 60.0–67.2%20 drink points: +10.20 points from even — 60.20% of 500 rounds, 95% interval 55.9–64.4%21 drink points: +8.29 points from even — 58.29% of 398 rounds, 95% interval 53.4–63.0%-2.9%-4.1%+3.1%+8.1%+10.2%05101520五分からの勝率差（ポイント）飲酒ポイント

最初の数杯は不利になる

同じラウンドを7段階に分けたもの（95%信頼区間つき）
40%45%55%60%65%70%50%0 drinks: 47.10% of 110,723 rounds, 95% interval 46.8–47.4%47.1%1–4 drinks: 45.38% of 11,697 rounds, 95% interval 44.5–46.3%45.4%5–9 drinks: 50.53% of 17,479 rounds, 95% interval 49.8–51.3%50.5%10–14 drinks: 55.51% of 13,266 rounds, 95% interval 54.7–56.4%55.5%15–19 drinks: 60.45% of 5,173 rounds, 95% interval 59.1–61.8%60.5%20–24 drinks: 60.63% of 1,534 rounds, 95% interval 58.2–63.0%60.6%25+ drinks: 59.33% of 445 rounds, 95% interval 54.7–63.8%59.3%01–45–910–1415–1920–2425+ラウンド勝率飲酒ポイント
380ラウンド以上で測定それ未満

区間別の一覧

グラフの元になった数値
飲酒P勝率95%信頼区間勝敗ラウンド数割合
047.10%46.8–47.4%52,15558,568110,72369.07%
1–445.38%44.5–46.3%5,3086,38911,6977.30%
5–950.53%49.8–51.3%8,8338,64617,47910.90%
10–1455.51%54.7–56.4%7,3645,90213,2668.27%
15–1960.45%59.1–61.8%3,1272,0465,1733.23%
20–2460.63%58.2–63.0%9306041,5340.96%
25+59.33%54.7–63.8%2641814450.28%

飲酒ポイント別の全データ

グラフで省いた裾も含む全39段階
飲酒ポイント勝率95%信頼区間勝敗ラウンド数
047.10%46.8–47.4%52,15558,568110,723
143.55%41.5–45.6%9961,2912,287
244.76%42.7–46.8%1,0241,2642,288
344.40%42.6–46.2%1,2481,5632,811
447.32%45.8–48.8%2,0402,2714,311
545.88%44.3–47.5%1,6581,9563,614
649.52%47.9–51.2%1,7521,7863,538
751.80%50.1–53.5%1,8101,6843,494
852.30%50.6–53.9%1,8541,6913,545
953.50%51.8–55.2%1,7591,5293,288
1053.06%51.4–54.8%1,7341,5343,268
1154.41%52.6–56.2%1,6301,3662,996
1255.52%53.7–57.4%1,5441,2372,781
1356.52%54.5–58.5%1,2789832,261
1460.10%57.9–62.2%1,1787821,960
1558.08%55.6–60.5%8956461,541
1659.56%56.8–62.3%7104821,192
1760.08%57.0–63.1%587390977
1864.09%60.7–67.4%505283788
1963.70%60.0–67.2%430245675
2060.20%55.9–64.4%301199500
2158.29%53.4–63.0%232166398
2262.18%56.3–67.7%171104275 ·
2366.34%59.6–72.5%13669205 ·
2457.69%49.9–65.2%9066156 ·
2563.57%55.0–71.4%8247129 ·
2656.52%44.8–67.6%393069 ·
2757.58%45.6–68.8%382866 ·
2854.35%40.2–67.8%252146 ·
2952.50%37.5–67.1%211940 ·
3065.52%47.4–80.1%191029 ·
3150.00%25.4–74.6%6612 ·
3268.75%44.4–85.8%11516 ·
3375.00%40.9–92.8%628 ·
3437.50%13.7–69.4%358 ·
35100.00%43.9–100.0%303 ·
3650.00%15.0–85.0%224 ·
3775.00%30.1–95.4%314 ·
4054.55%28.0–78.7%6511 ·
同じ数値を1080×1080のカードにしたものです。投稿用にどうぞ。 クリックすると画像としてコピーできます。 実寸で開く ↗
集計ラウンド数133,066
素面47.3%
飲酒あり52.1%
対象期間2026/03/26 – 2026/09/24

飲酒ポイントが勝率に与える影響

開始時の飲酒ポイント別・五分（50%）からの差
-10%-5%+5%+10%+15%+20%0%0 drink points: -2.70 points from even — 47.30% of 91,846 rounds, 95% interval 47.0–47.6%1 drink points: -6.12 points from even — 43.88% of 1,855 rounds, 95% interval 41.6–46.1%2 drink points: -5.70 points from even — 44.30% of 1,912 rounds, 95% interval 42.1–46.5%3 drink points: -5.38 points from even — 44.62% of 2,389 rounds, 95% interval 42.6–46.6%4 drink points: -2.22 points from even — 47.78% of 3,604 rounds, 95% interval 46.1–49.4%5 drink points: -4.16 points from even — 45.84% of 2,978 rounds, 95% interval 44.0–47.6%6 drink points: -0.70 points from even — 49.30% of 2,913 rounds, 95% interval 47.5–51.1%7 drink points: +1.67 points from even — 51.67% of 2,872 rounds, 95% interval 49.8–53.5%8 drink points: +2.60 points from even — 52.60% of 2,928 rounds, 95% interval 50.8–54.4%9 drink points: +3.49 points from even — 53.49% of 2,722 rounds, 95% interval 51.6–55.4%10 drink points: +3.32 points from even — 53.32% of 2,695 rounds, 95% interval 51.4–55.2%11 drink points: +3.74 points from even — 53.74% of 2,499 rounds, 95% interval 51.8–55.7%12 drink points: +5.27 points from even — 55.27% of 2,296 rounds, 95% interval 53.2–57.3%13 drink points: +5.87 points from even — 55.87% of 1,874 rounds, 95% interval 53.6–58.1%14 drink points: +10.04 points from even — 60.04% of 1,639 rounds, 95% interval 57.6–62.4%15 drink points: +7.90 points from even — 57.90% of 1,316 rounds, 95% interval 55.2–60.5%16 drink points: +9.80 points from even — 59.80% of 1,005 rounds, 95% interval 56.7–62.8%17 drink points: +10.98 points from even — 60.98% of 815 rounds, 95% interval 57.6–64.3%18 drink points: +14.54 points from even — 64.54% of 657 rounds, 95% interval 60.8–68.1%19 drink points: +14.32 points from even — 64.32% of 569 rounds, 95% interval 60.3–68.2%20 drink points: +11.70 points from even — 61.70% of 423 rounds, 95% interval 57.0–66.2%-2.7%-4.2%+3.3%+7.9%+11.7%05101520五分からの勝率差（ポイント）飲酒ポイント

最初の数杯は不利になる

同じラウンドを7段階に分けたもの（95%信頼区間つき）
40%45%55%60%65%50%0 drinks: 47.30% of 91,846 rounds, 95% interval 47.0–47.6%47.3%1–4 drinks: 45.58% of 9,760 rounds, 95% interval 44.6–46.6%45.6%5–9 drinks: 50.52% of 14,413 rounds, 95% interval 49.7–51.3%50.5%10–14 drinks: 55.26% of 11,003 rounds, 95% interval 54.3–56.2%55.3%15–19 drinks: 60.75% of 4,362 rounds, 95% interval 59.3–62.2%60.8%20–24 drinks: 59.98% of 1,302 rounds, 95% interval 57.3–62.6%60.0%25+ drinks: 57.89% of 380 rounds, 95% interval 52.9–62.8%57.9%01–45–910–1415–1920–2425+ラウンド勝率飲酒ポイント
380ラウンド以上で測定それ未満

区間別の一覧

グラフの元になった数値
飲酒P勝率95%信頼区間勝敗ラウンド数割合
047.30%47.0–47.6%43,44048,40691,84669.02%
1–445.58%44.6–46.6%4,4495,3119,7607.33%
5–950.52%49.7–51.3%7,2817,13214,41310.83%
10–1455.26%54.3–56.2%6,0804,92311,0038.27%
15–1960.75%59.3–62.2%2,6501,7124,3623.28%
20–2459.98%57.3–62.6%7815211,3020.98%
25+57.89%52.9–62.8%2201603800.29%

飲酒ポイント別の全データ

グラフで省いた裾も含む全39段階
飲酒ポイント勝率95%信頼区間勝敗ラウンド数
047.30%47.0–47.6%43,44048,40691,846
143.88%41.6–46.1%8141,0411,855
244.30%42.1–46.5%8471,0651,912
344.62%42.6–46.6%1,0661,3232,389
447.78%46.1–49.4%1,7221,8823,604
545.84%44.0–47.6%1,3651,6132,978
649.30%47.5–51.1%1,4361,4772,913
751.67%49.8–53.5%1,4841,3882,872
852.60%50.8–54.4%1,5401,3882,928
953.49%51.6–55.4%1,4561,2662,722
1053.32%51.4–55.2%1,4371,2582,695
1153.74%51.8–55.7%1,3431,1562,499
1255.27%53.2–57.3%1,2691,0272,296
1355.87%53.6–58.1%1,0478271,874
1460.04%57.6–62.4%9846551,639
1557.90%55.2–60.5%7625541,316
1659.80%56.7–62.8%6014041,005
1760.98%57.6–64.3%497318815
1864.54%60.8–68.1%424233657
1964.32%60.3–68.2%366203569
2061.70%57.0–66.2%261162423
2155.26%50.0–60.5%189153342 ·
2261.50%55.0–67.6%13987226 ·
2365.56%58.4–72.1%11862180 ·
2456.49%47.9–64.7%7457131 ·
2561.95%52.7–70.4%7043113 ·
2655.93%43.3–67.8%332659 ·
2758.00%44.2–70.6%292150 ·
2847.37%32.5–62.7%182038 ·
2952.78%37.0–68.0%191736 ·
3066.67%47.8–81.4%18927 ·
3160.00%31.3–83.2%6410 ·
3261.54%35.5–82.3%8513 ·
3375.00%40.9–92.8%628 ·
3428.57%8.2–64.1%257 ·
35100.00%34.2–100.0%202 ·
3633.33%6.2–79.2%123 ·
3766.67%20.8–93.8%213 ·
4054.55%28.0–78.7%6511 ·
同じ数値を1080×1080のカードにしたものです。投稿用にどうぞ。 クリックすると画像としてコピーできます。 実寸で開く ↗
集計ラウンド数27,251
素面46.2%
飲酒あり52.1%
対象期間2026/03/26 – 2026/09/24

飲酒ポイントが勝率に与える影響

開始時の飲酒ポイント別・五分（50%）からの差
-10%-5%+5%+10%+15%0%0 drink points: -3.83 points from even — 46.17% of 18,877 rounds, 95% interval 45.5–46.9%1 drink points: -7.87 points from even — 42.13% of 432 rounds, 95% interval 37.6–46.8%3 drink points: -6.87 points from even — 43.13% of 422 rounds, 95% interval 38.5–47.9%4 drink points: -5.02 points from even — 44.98% of 707 rounds, 95% interval 41.4–48.7%5 drink points: -3.93 points from even — 46.07% of 636 rounds, 95% interval 42.2–50.0%6 drink points: +0.56 points from even — 50.56% of 625 rounds, 95% interval 46.6–54.5%7 drink points: +2.41 points from even — 52.41% of 622 rounds, 95% interval 48.5–56.3%8 drink points: +0.89 points from even — 50.89% of 617 rounds, 95% interval 47.0–54.8%9 drink points: +3.53 points from even — 53.53% of 566 rounds, 95% interval 49.4–57.6%10 drink points: +1.83 points from even — 51.83% of 573 rounds, 95% interval 47.7–55.9%11 drink points: +7.75 points from even — 57.75% of 497 rounds, 95% interval 53.4–62.0%12 drink points: +6.70 points from even — 56.70% of 485 rounds, 95% interval 52.3–61.0%13 drink points: +9.69 points from even — 59.69% of 387 rounds, 95% interval 54.7–64.5%-3.8%-3.9%+1.8%0510五分からの勝率差（ポイント）飲酒ポイント

最初の数杯は不利になる

同じラウンドを7段階に分けたもの（95%信頼区間つき）
40%45%55%60%65%70%75%80%50%0 drinks: 46.17% of 18,877 rounds, 95% interval 45.5–46.9%46.2%1–4 drinks: 44.35% of 1,937 rounds, 95% interval 42.1–46.6%44.4%5–9 drinks: 50.62% of 3,066 rounds, 95% interval 48.9–52.4%50.6%10–14 drinks: 56.74% of 2,263 rounds, 95% interval 54.7–58.8%56.7%15–19 drinks: 58.82% of 811 rounds, 95% interval 55.4–62.1%58.8%20–24 drinks: 64.22% of 232 rounds, 95% interval 57.9–70.1%64.2%25+ drinks: 67.69% of 65 rounds, 95% interval 55.6–77.8%67.7%01–45–910–1415–1920–2425+ラウンド勝率飲酒ポイント
380ラウンド以上で測定それ未満

区間別の一覧

グラフの元になった数値
飲酒P勝率95%信頼区間勝敗ラウンド数割合
046.17%45.5–46.9%8,71510,16218,87769.27%
1–444.35%42.1–46.6%8591,0781,9377.11%
5–950.62%48.9–52.4%1,5521,5143,06611.25%
10–1456.74%54.7–58.8%1,2849792,2638.30%
15–1958.82%55.4–62.1%4773348112.98%
20–2464.22%57.9–70.1%14983232 ·0.85%
25+67.69%55.6–77.8%442165 ·0.24%

飲酒ポイント別の全データ

グラフで省いた裾も含む全37段階
飲酒ポイント勝率95%信頼区間勝敗ラウンド数
046.17%45.5–46.9%8,71510,16218,877
142.13%37.6–46.8%182250432
247.07%42.1–52.1%177199376 ·
343.13%38.5–47.9%182240422
444.98%41.4–48.7%318389707
546.07%42.2–50.0%293343636
650.56%46.6–54.5%316309625
752.41%48.5–56.3%326296622
850.89%47.0–54.8%314303617
953.53%49.4–57.6%303263566
1051.83%47.7–55.9%297276573
1157.75%53.4–62.0%287210497
1256.70%52.3–61.0%275210485
1359.69%54.7–64.5%231156387
1460.44%55.0–65.6%194127321 ·
1559.11%52.6–65.3%13392225 ·
1658.29%51.1–65.1%10978187 ·
1755.56%47.9–63.0%9072162 ·
1861.83%53.3–69.7%8150131 ·
1960.38%50.9–69.2%6442106 ·
2051.95%41.0–62.8%403777 ·
2176.79%64.2–85.9%431356 ·
2265.31%51.3–77.1%321749 ·
2372.00%52.4–85.7%18725 ·
2464.00%44.5–79.8%16925 ·
2575.00%50.5–89.8%12416 ·
2660.00%31.3–83.2%6410 ·
2756.25%33.2–76.9%9716 ·
2887.50%52.9–97.8%718 ·
2950.00%15.0–85.0%224 ·
3050.00%9.4–90.5%112 ·
310.00%0.0–65.8%022 ·
32100.00%43.9–100.0%303 ·
34100.00%20.6–100.0%101 ·
35100.00%20.6–100.0%101 ·
36100.00%20.6–100.0%101 ·
37100.00%20.6–100.0%101 ·